Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

52.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$152

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-07-20

last 10-30 16:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

79% 52% -$6

Politics

17% 64% +$8

Tech

3% 0% -$3

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No		+3	$2	97¢	$3	+$1	07-26 12:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump say coal during cabinet meeting 20260727172357441	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	07-28 23:19
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	+$0	07-31 19:35
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-19 21:31
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	08-23 19:05
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-10 14:48
will coin dip to 142 50 by august 17 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-19 13:25
spy up or down on august 11 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Down	+$2	08-11 07:15
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-07 12:47
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	09-08 21:58
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-09 06:47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-10 02:52
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-13 07:52
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	09-18 08:36
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-15 17:44
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	08-20 23:02
will aapl reach 316 by august 3 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-03 09:24
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-20 06:21
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-20 15:00
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	+$5	08-16 11:43
will trump say hottest during remarks in new york 20260811183234691	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	-$2	08-13 16:10
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-02 13:59
will trump say hell 7 times during remarks in new york 20260811183234682	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	08-12 15:39
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-16 02:58
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	08-07 14:42
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on August 31, 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-22 12:13
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-03 00:59
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-03 17:24
will trump say zohran or mamdani during remarks in new york 20260811183234694	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-12 07:30
will trump say barack hussein obama during remarks in new york 20260811183234695	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-12 23:50
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	08-07 06:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 16:10:28	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x501efd…
10-29 07:37:37	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x8d6637…
10-28 23:37:22	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9d5b04…
10-27 02:02:21	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x9976bb…
10-23 15:30:53	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xc74539…
10-23 07:04:50	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x732685…
10-22 23:04:41	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xafb6aa…
10-16 12:16:22	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x69b584…
10-16 04:10:21	Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0af4ee…
10-15 19:02:53	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x901e66…
10-15 10:33:55	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xfcb0e7…
10-15 02:32:58	spy up or down on october 15 2026	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb6f481…
10-11 18:25:10	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xfb3b06…
10-11 10:13:53	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x62f082…
10-07 11:44:02	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x968fc4…
10-07 03:40:33	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x52e996…
09-18 08:36:42	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x135a63…
09-10 14:48:07	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x167f42…
09-10 02:52:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x69b6d0…
09-09 06:47:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x8301ec…
09-08 21:58:48	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x41e810…
09-07 12:47:57	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x46d826…
09-04 00:45:21	Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x1fbad8…
08-23 19:05:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x8688a3…
08-22 21:29:30	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x29c920…
08-22 21:15:00	Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x0275be…
08-22 12:13:28	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa5449b…
08-20 23:02:16	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x5a6f04…
08-20 15:00:39	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x74ab6e…
08-20 06:25:37	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xeb47d0…
08-20 06:25:00	Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x69b28f…
08-20 06:21:04	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x252059…
08-19 21:31:34	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x517bb9…
08-19 13:25:48	will coin dip to 142 50 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x5bf0c7…
08-17 23:07:39	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x2f6c99…
08-17 15:06:52	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x8be796…
08-17 06:37:52	will msft dip to 480 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x77d6b1…
08-16 22:37:39	xagusd up or down on august 17 2026	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe32a39…
08-16 11:43:07	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xf064e8…
08-16 02:58:39	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x0065e8…
08-15 17:44:00	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x30956d…
08-15 09:00:12	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x0117c7…
08-14 08:16:10	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xd6786f…
08-14 00:15:06	spx up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xc8f9f8…
08-13 16:10:43	will trump say hottest during remarks in new york 20260811183234691	No	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x0ce37b…
08-13 07:52:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xe25ead…
08-12 23:50:33	will trump say barack hussein obama during remarks in new york 20260811183234695	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x35a87f…
08-12 15:39:36	will trump say hell 7 times during remarks in new york 20260811183234682	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x073a97…
08-12 07:30:22	will trump say zohran or mamdani during remarks in new york 20260811183234694	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xdb2c3f…
08-11 23:25:33	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x6df76d…
08-11 15:17:01	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xbe82fa…
08-11 07:15:55	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xdad345…
08-07 22:46:31	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x76963a…
08-07 14:42:19	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x6a41a0…
08-07 06:40:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x8b3965…
08-06 22:39:09	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xc42d64…
08-05 01:28:23	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x19c4d0…
08-04 17:27:50	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xb8331e…
08-04 09:25:50	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x54762d…
08-04 01:24:57	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x4af334…
08-03 17:24:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x8bf645…
08-03 09:24:05	will aapl reach 316 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x5dbd4c…
08-03 00:59:11	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xab1acc…
08-02 16:58:29	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x262bd7…
08-02 13:59:57	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x711820…
08-01 03:39:53	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xbadb91…
07-31 19:35:27	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x721b4d…
07-31 11:35:00	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x151a34…
07-30 19:09:33	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x3340eb…
07-30 08:22:27	will trump say iran or israel 10 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357439	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6b0428…
07-28 23:19:53	will trump say coal during cabinet meeting 20260727172357441	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x0ee77d…
07-28 12:35:50	will trump say nobody like him during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556638	No	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x517f6d…
07-27 22:29:03	will xagusd reach 61 by july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x7a55fb…
07-27 13:35:06	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x157c4d…
07-27 00:50:52	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x15111f…
07-26 12:50:43	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x07d5bc…
07-26 00:50:04	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xbd1b7e…
07-25 12:49:54	another pandemic before gta vi	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x8be7f1…
07-25 00:49:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x32f88f…
07-24 12:49:27	will trump say melania during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255822	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x7dbac9…
07-24 00:49:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x1e1a76…
07-23 12:47:54	iran military action against a gulf state on july 24 20260708212322949	No	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x827bf0…
07-23 00:46:57	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x59e68c…
07-22 12:44:54	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x5fa074…
07-22 00:44:46	spy up or down on july 22 2026	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xfad229…
07-21 12:44:12	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x410299…
07-21 00:44:00	will spy reach 750 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x06f117…
07-20 12:43:54	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0xeb1547…