Winged-Sport — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$139

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,124

lifetime

Volume

$12.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 07-31 21:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

74% 40% +$18

Other

25% 50% +$121

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	128	$1.5K	1,150	1,084	+66	open	—	05-20 08:46
will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	70	$735	632	682	-50	open	—	06-18 06:51
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	34	$552	492	366	+126	Yes	+$122	05-12 11:54
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 10, 2026?	8	$314	166	166	+0	open	—	04-10 15:16
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026?	8	$221	118	118	+0	open	—	04-09 20:27
Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?	19	$216	210	120	+90	open	—	05-29 16:13
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	28	$214	325	110	+215	open	—	06-30 16:37
will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	15	$191	116	116	+0	open	—	06-17 21:31
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	8	$180	270	160	+110	open	—	04-16 19:06
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	15	$145	170	102	+68	open	—	05-21 09:14
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	8	$141	80	80	+0	open	—	06-29 20:12
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 7, 2026?	11	$139	145	0	+145	open	—	04-10 08:06
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	6	$131	200	0	+200	open	—	05-21 23:39
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	14	$123	70	70	+0	open	—	05-23 17:29
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	11	$114	70	70	+0	open	—	05-24 16:36
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	14	$113	120	120	+0	open	—	05-22 21:46
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	4	$110	60	60	+0	open	—	06-28 15:01
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	2	$103	30	96	-66	open	—	06-08 06:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	6	$100	80	80	+0	Yes	+$32	05-09 06:27
netanyahu out by march 31 854	3	$99	51	51	+0	open	—	04-03 18:49
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 13	5	$99	60	60	+0	open	—	03-14 07:59
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	5	$98	59	59	+0	open	—	03-30 17:03
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 6, 2026?	5	$98	100	0	+100	open	—	04-06 07:37
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	19	$97	193	95	+98	open	—	05-29 07:28
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	3	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	04-11 15:20
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	14	$83	108	108	+0	open	—	05-25 13:11
will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	3	$80	60	60	+0	open	—	07-13 14:28
will hezbollah disarm by april 30 343	3	$78	40	40	+0	open	—	04-18 19:53
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	7	$77	55	55	+0	open	—	05-31 05:40
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	4	$77	40	40	+0	open	—	04-26 22:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 21:20:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x29617a…
07-24 20:38:52	iran military action against a gulf state on july 25 20260708212322950	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x147700…
07-24 14:17:58	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xc80141…
07-23 17:25:49	iran military action against a gulf state on july 29 20260708212322954	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x58e7f2…
07-23 16:56:58	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe21ecd…
07-23 16:56:25	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x90b204…
07-23 16:53:03	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	Yes	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xda3210…
07-23 14:55:06	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0xcb5a11…
07-21 18:54:37	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	SELL	9	93¢	$9	0x995d30…
07-21 18:28:42	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x3935e1…
07-21 18:01:30	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xe5a587…
07-21 14:24:28	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xbd869d…
07-21 14:24:28	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x67a66f…
07-21 14:24:01	iran military action against a gulf state on july 27 20260708212322952	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xcb5f8b…
07-21 14:23:49	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x914613…
07-21 14:23:13	iran military action against a gulf state on july 24 20260708212322949	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x9f9529…
07-21 14:22:25	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	SELL	40	92¢	$37	0x8ad50a…
07-20 21:18:24	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xa011f4…
07-20 21:16:28	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xf0a3ce…
07-20 21:16:27	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x246da2…
07-20 21:11:42	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x68c7fb…
07-20 21:11:30	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x5f0c4a…
07-20 21:08:25	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xbd0bb7…
07-19 21:45:51	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xe18a0e…
07-19 21:45:51	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	BUY	22	47¢	$10	0x62dbfc…
07-19 19:17:10	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x4fb614…
07-19 18:47:01	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	30	42¢	$12	0x0d6aab…
07-19 18:19:19	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0xc8b2ad…
07-18 19:25:13	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x8a5410…
07-18 19:24:15	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x7dbf13…
07-18 18:52:22	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	Yes	BUY	25	21¢	$5	0x419445…
07-18 17:41:00	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc4f5e7…
07-18 17:38:13	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x0a726f…
07-14 21:59:58	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xdcbfcb…
07-13 20:39:26	israel military action against greater beirut by july 31 20260708204650550	Yes	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0x025bf9…
07-13 20:33:31	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xd55e61…
07-13 20:33:14	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0xcf0462…
07-13 20:33:14	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	18	31¢	$5	0xbdd1cd…
07-13 14:35:43	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x84d99d…
07-13 14:33:56	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x955fb9…
07-13 14:28:56	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xdaa205…
07-13 14:28:43	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x52e32b…
07-12 06:48:31	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	38	10¢	$4	0xfd5e0e…
07-12 06:33:55	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x287394…
07-12 06:33:17	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x670a91…
07-08 13:29:34	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x8e3717…
07-08 01:30:59	will south sudan have an ebola case in 2026	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x594cc6…
07-01 15:37:44	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x8350bb…
06-30 23:09:11	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xddc78f…
06-30 23:08:44	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0x6b64eb…
06-30 16:37:50	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xa6b2c1…
06-30 12:47:17	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	Yes	SELL	30	15¢	$4	0x10d41a…
06-29 21:23:16	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	Yes	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0xb06ad4…
06-29 20:12:49	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xaa01ec…
06-29 16:59:10	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x41bcee…
06-29 16:57:26	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x9e0a6b…
06-29 16:56:28	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0xa9814b…
06-29 16:08:50	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x9e9b39…
06-29 15:58:37	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x12eb43…
06-29 14:37:37	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa9d842…
06-29 14:23:55	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	30	65¢	$20	0x94ce4f…
06-29 14:19:05	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0x86352e…
06-29 14:00:37	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	15	60¢	$9	0x97f573…
06-29 04:15:40	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x064848…
06-29 03:27:26	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xb85c85…
06-29 03:18:22	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x374b71…
06-28 15:01:37	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xd5553f…
06-28 13:48:13	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	34	70¢	$24	0xc366f0…
06-28 13:47:14	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x76118f…
06-28 07:22:47	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	24	72¢	$17	0x5544b5…
06-28 07:13:49	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xccebff…
06-28 05:08:04	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x798279…
06-27 22:09:34	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x3ab383…
06-27 22:09:07	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xed53f6…
06-27 22:08:55	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xd798ef…
06-27 22:08:22	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0x8d712e…
06-27 21:14:29	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0xff4ad3…
06-27 20:28:04	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0xab1f11…
06-26 18:54:32	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	11	31¢	$4	0x29e5d7…
06-26 18:54:14	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x25cd35…
06-26 18:49:29	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x377a5c…
06-26 18:49:29	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x2611d8…
06-26 18:19:01	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x5c6647…
06-26 18:16:16	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x96163d…
06-26 18:15:55	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xf3b3a5…
06-26 18:15:23	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x601b45…
06-26 18:15:14	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xadde98…
06-26 18:15:02	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xae168e…
06-26 09:21:10	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0x33012b…
06-26 09:21:05	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xd3f7b8…
06-26 09:08:32	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x0f471c…
06-26 08:57:31	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	22¢	$4	0x98c7b2…
06-25 00:30:02	will the republic of the congo have an ebola case in 2026	Yes	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0xa589a1…
06-24 13:39:32	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x009ccd…
06-24 13:38:31	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xcde4f2…
06-24 09:13:50	will the republic of the congo have an ebola case in 2026	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xba2432…
06-24 01:10:01	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	22¢	$4	0x30ca06…
06-23 23:49:56	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0xefacad…
06-23 20:37:20	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x516029…
06-23 07:49:17	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0xac6e4d…