Realized P&L
+$139
Unrealized P&L
-$14
Hit rate
96.1%
Resolved
7
Trades
873
lifetime
Volume
$9.63K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$206
10 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 06-09 20:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
73% 40% +$18
Other
26% 50% +$121
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -66 $-89 100¢ $-66 +$23 06-08 06:34
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +40 $34 91¢ $36 +$2 06-09 19:20
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +120 $49 25¢ $30 $-19 06-09 20:24
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +90 $22 26¢ $23 +$2 06-08 06:57
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +51 $24 38¢ $20 $-4 06-02 20:54
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? Yes +30 $16 31¢ $9 $-7 05-29 09:21
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? No +60 $16 14¢ $8 $-7 06-02 20:52
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +30 $7 21¢ $6 $-0 06-01 00:46
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? Yes +110 $13 $6 $-7 06-03 10:53
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? Yes +10 $-2 $1 +$3 06-03 10:39