Winged-Sport — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$109

Unrealized P&L

-$122

Hit rate

80.9%

Resolved

300

Trades

1,345

lifetime

Volume

$13.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$71

10 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 10-29 22:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 122 days

Categories

Politics

71% 57% +$9

Other

27% 60% +$39

Tech

2% 0% -$146

Sports

0% 50% -$2

Crypto

0% 0% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	+215	$65	10¢	$20	-$45	06-30 16:37
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	Yes	+108	$30	12¢	$14	-$17	09-12 08:57
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	+54	$27	23¢	$12	-$14	10-29 22:58
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	+100	$17	11¢	$11	-$6	06-26 09:21
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?	Yes	+130	$20	4¢	$5	-$14	09-03 05:06
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	+60	$12	6¢	$3	-$9	06-15 23:55
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	+20	$5	12¢	$2	-$3	06-24 13:38
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+35	$3	4¢	$1	-$1	10-19 17:06
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+38	$3	3¢	$1	-$2	05-09 17:19
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+50	$12	1¢	$0	-$12	09-15 20:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	128	$1.5K	1,150	1,084	+66	No	+$184	05-20 08:46
will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	72	$754	682	682	+0	Yes	+$175	06-18 06:51
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	35	$571	492	386	+106	Yes	+$122	05-12 11:54
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 10, 2026?	8	$314	166	166	+0	Yes	+$19	04-10 15:16
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	10	$223	250	50	+200	No	-$128	05-21 23:39
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026?	8	$221	118	118	+0	Yes	+$14	04-09 20:27
Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?	19	$216	210	120	+90	Yes	+$53	05-29 16:13
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	28	$214	325	110	+215	open	—	06-30 16:37
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	14	$211	170	170	+0	Yes	+$66	06-08 06:34
will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	15	$191	116	116	+0	Yes	+$8	06-17 21:31
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	28	$185	214	142	+71	No	-$24	06-20 20:44
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	8	$180	270	160	+110	Yes	-$45	04-16 19:06
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	15	$145	170	102	+68	Yes	-$23	05-21 09:14
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	8	$141	80	80	+0	No	+$9	06-29 20:12
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 7, 2026?	11	$139	145	0	+145	Yes	+$6	04-10 08:06
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	14	$123	70	70	+0	Yes	+$4	05-23 17:29
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	11	$114	70	70	+0	No	+$11	05-24 16:36
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	14	$113	120	120	+0	No	+$19	05-22 21:46
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	4	$110	60	60	+0	No	+$8	06-28 15:01
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	20	$100	201	95	+106	Yes	-$26	05-29 07:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	6	$100	80	80	+0	Yes	+$32	05-09 06:27
netanyahu out by march 31 854	3	$99	51	51	+0	No	+$3	04-03 18:49
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 13	5	$99	60	60	+0	No	+$21	03-14 07:59
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	5	$98	59	59	+0	Yes	+$17	03-30 17:03
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 6, 2026?	5	$98	100	0	+100	Yes	+$2	04-06 07:37
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	3	$97	50	50	+0	Yes	+$2	04-11 15:20
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	13	$88	100	100	+0	open	—	10-19 17:05
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	4	$84	107	107	+0	open	—	10-29 22:53
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	14	$83	108	108	+0	No	+$9	05-25 13:11
will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	3	$80	60	60	+0	Yes	+$40	07-13 14:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 22:58:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x2da062…
10-29 22:57:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x67765f…
10-29 22:57:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0xb735e8…
10-29 22:53:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	107	38¢	$41	0xbe8efd…
10-21 20:25:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xa48be1…
10-21 10:30:50	Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	31¢	$5	0x96da1d…
10-19 17:06:29	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x638871…
10-19 17:06:29	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x2f3fd5…
10-19 17:05:38	US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0x98a86d…
10-19 17:04:30	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$1	0xe859e5…
10-16 18:42:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0xc7ae7b…
10-15 16:41:17	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 22?	Yes	SELL	16	28¢	$4	0xec768a…
10-15 15:31:55	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 22?	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xa47427…
10-15 14:19:59	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 22?	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0xb1fb55…
10-08 10:02:06	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xe9300f…
10-06 08:30:36	Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0x184ac9…
10-03 21:43:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	48	38¢	$18	0xfc4c95…
09-30 16:13:42	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 21?	Yes	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x968382…
09-30 16:12:51	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 20?	Yes	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x2b018c…
09-30 16:09:30	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xcfcb80…
09-30 12:24:45	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x5b9c3b…
09-25 19:37:39	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0x7165dd…
09-25 14:57:48	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	43	17¢	$7	0xefa9ee…
09-23 18:19:38	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x0924f4…
09-23 13:58:56	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?	Yes	SELL	93	0¢	$0	0x9e0c87…
09-23 13:58:40	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?	Yes	SELL	162	0¢	$0	0x3131ea…
09-23 13:58:14	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?	Yes	SELL	197	0¢	$1	0x3268c4…
09-22 11:28:03	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	Yes	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x738bb7…
09-22 11:27:34	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x71c644…
09-22 11:27:25	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x15c06b…
09-22 11:27:13	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x807dd1…
09-21 20:11:37	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xbc5644…
09-21 19:23:37	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	44	46¢	$20	0x7235a5…
09-21 19:21:25	us x yemen ceasefire continues through september 30 20260920	No	BUY	43	10¢	$4	0x523014…
09-20 19:54:37	us x yemen ceasefire continues through september 25 20260920	Yes	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x3cf6a5…
09-19 15:55:51	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 21?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x2f754e…
09-19 14:48:42	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 21?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xfb737a…
09-19 14:48:38	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 20?	Yes	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0xae69ae…
09-19 14:40:51	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 18?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xffc7fc…
09-19 14:40:29	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 20?	Yes	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x69207d…
09-18 10:50:09	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 22?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xce5e51…
09-17 19:04:37	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x59ab73…
09-17 19:04:24	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7fbc53…
09-17 18:48:45	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x68f809…
09-17 18:33:52	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?	Yes	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0x253b50…
09-17 18:13:01	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x2fd3cb…
09-17 17:31:54	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0xacb6fb…
09-17 17:15:43	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x28b10b…
09-17 17:14:31	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?	Yes	BUY	29	1¢	$0	0xeae82d…
09-17 17:13:57	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?	Yes	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0xcde5e9…
09-17 17:13:28	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x9d3c43…
09-17 17:13:25	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x71ca65…
09-17 17:13:19	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?	Yes	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0x7f170f…
09-17 17:13:04	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?	Yes	BUY	85	3¢	$2	0xfb101d…
09-17 17:12:45	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x4e97da…
09-17 17:12:10	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?	Yes	BUY	47	1¢	$0	0xd391e4…
09-17 17:11:54	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1a8869…
09-17 17:11:43	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2681b7…
09-17 17:11:07	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1e7516…
09-17 17:10:49	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5fd16d…
09-17 17:10:39	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe904ad…
09-17 17:10:31	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?	Yes	BUY	94	1¢	$1	0x2b1bf3…
09-17 17:09:55	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x8aa684…
09-17 15:51:06	saudi arabia military action against yemen on september 21 20260916	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x57e2fe…
09-17 15:50:55	saudi arabia military action against yemen on september 20 20260916	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xdb7a8c…
09-17 15:44:12	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 19?	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xace8f9…
09-17 14:41:16	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	SELL	91	30¢	$27	0xe2662d…
09-17 13:25:01	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 19?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xc5d84f…
09-16 16:51:30	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x30c5ef…
09-16 16:50:33	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	BUY	40	36¢	$14	0xc19d1f…
09-16 08:49:40	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 21?	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x37092c…
09-15 20:55:27	Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x96d009…
09-15 15:01:18	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	BUY	31	63¢	$20	0x776548…
09-14 19:22:30	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 19?	Yes	BUY	23	80¢	$18	0xa8c733…
09-14 19:21:31	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 16?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xa7e290…
09-14 19:21:15	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 15?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x190f2f…
09-13 08:51:57	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Yes	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xd658a5…
09-12 22:28:52	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 13?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x04a7d9…
09-12 17:15:46	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 15	No	BUY	29	67¢	$19	0x680b96…
09-12 08:57:12	Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	Yes	BUY	108	28¢	$30	0xfa058e…
09-11 14:26:06	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 13?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x38d823…
09-11 13:53:33	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 14?	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x861ab0…
09-11 13:53:33	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x77b3f6…
09-11 13:53:16	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 11?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x0fd451…
09-10 20:59:13	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 13?	Yes	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xb43623…
09-10 20:36:22	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 8?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xfde084…
09-10 20:35:49	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 15?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xc4568a…
09-10 20:35:28	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 12?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x8c54c9…
09-10 20:35:21	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 10?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xa7c6aa…
09-10 20:35:09	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 13?	Yes	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xc6362a…
09-10 20:35:09	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 13?	Yes	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x6c8810…
09-10 20:34:54	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 14?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xec9088…
09-10 20:34:54	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 14?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xe4465c…
09-10 20:34:37	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 11?	Yes	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x7b69fe…
09-03 05:06:04	Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?	Yes	BUY	130	15¢	$20	0xbf5050…
07-31 21:20:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x29617a…
07-24 20:38:52	iran military action against a gulf state on july 25 20260708212322950	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x147700…
07-24 14:17:58	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xc80141…
07-23 17:25:49	iran military action against a gulf state on july 29 20260708212322954	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x58e7f2…
07-23 16:56:58	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe21ecd…