Realized P&L
+$139
Unrealized P&L
-$18
Hit rate
96.1%
Resolved
7
Trades
904
lifetime
Volume
$9.89K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$195
13 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 06-10 22:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
73% 40% +$18
Other
26% 50% +$121
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -66 $-89 100¢ $-66 +$23 06-08 06:34
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +40 $34 93¢ $37 +$3 06-09 19:20
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +120 $49 22¢ $26 $-23 06-09 20:24
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes -38 $-15 38¢ $-14 +$0 06-10 21:41
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -15 $-8 57¢ $-8 $-0 06-10 21:25
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -19 $-2 38¢ $-7 $-5 06-10 22:02
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +30 $7 24¢ $7 +$0 06-01 00:46
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? No +60 $16 11¢ $7 $-9 06-02 20:52
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? Yes +110 $13 $6 $-7 06-03 10:53
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +20 $-1 29¢ $6 +$7 06-10 22:10
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? Yes +30 $16 18¢ $5 $-11 05-29 09:21
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -80 $-5 $-5 +$0 06-10 21:29
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? Yes +10 $-2 $1 +$3 06-03 10:39