Realized P&L
+$139
Unrealized P&L
-$20
Hit rate
96.1%
Resolved
7
Trades
1,077
lifetime
Volume
$11.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$53
11 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 07-01 15:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
74% 40% +$18
Other
25% 50% +$121
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes -58 $-25 39¢ $-22 +$2 06-15 21:16
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +60 $8 12¢ $7 $-1 06-26 09:21
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -19 $-2 38¢ $-7 $-5 06-10 22:02
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -30 $-8 16¢ $-5 +$3 06-15 23:55
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -15 $-8 27¢ $-4 +$4 06-10 21:25
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -80 $-5 $-3 +$2 06-10 21:29
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +20 $-1 $2 +$3 06-10 22:10
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +40 $5 $1 $-3 06-30 23:09
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? No +60 $16 $1 $-15 06-02 20:52
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? Yes +110 $13 $0 $-13 06-03 10:53
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? Yes +10 $-2 $0 +$3 06-03 10:39