Ringed-Shallows — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$60

Unrealized P&L

+$23

Hit rate

60.0%

Resolved

Trades

769

lifetime

Volume

$9.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$201

1 position

First seen

2026-02-20

last 07-05 08:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 33% $-69

Other

18% 50% +$9

Politics

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes		-415	$-224	48¢	$-201	+$23	06-09 18:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Fed rate hike in 2026?	1	$224	0	415	-415	open	—	06-09 18:45
btc updown 5m 1773167100	2	$205	264	260	+4	open	—	03-10 18:29
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner	2	$165	158	158	+0	open	—	05-25 16:33
btc updown 5m 1775030400	3	$158	159	82	+76	open	—	04-01 08:04
btc updown 5m 1773789300	7	$154	101	96	+5	open	—	03-17 23:20
btc updown 5m 1773162900	2	$145	102	101	+2	open	—	03-10 17:20
btc updown 5m 1774369500	6	$138	169	95	+74	open	—	03-24 16:29
btc updown 5m 1772617500	5	$135	114	112	+2	open	—	03-04 09:49
btc updown 5m 1774878300	7	$130	182	108	+75	open	—	03-30 13:49
btc updown 5m 1773165300	1	$124	147	0	+147	open	—	03-10 17:58
btc updown 5m 1773139200	2	$114	121	119	+2	open	—	03-10 10:44
highest temperature in taipei on march 30 2026 25corbelow	3	$111	60	60	+0	open	—	03-30 11:32
lol kt dk 2026 06 07	2	$110	111	111	+0	open	—	06-07 12:41
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda	3	$99	78	78	+0	open	—	05-30 12:23
btc updown 5m 1775940300	2	$98	82	78	+4	open	—	04-11 20:49
btc updown 5m 1782751500	9	$97	151	136	+15	open	—	06-29 16:48
btc updown 5m 1771941300	2	$88	72	72	+1	open	—	02-24 13:59
btc updown 5m 1775031300	3	$86	76	73	+2	open	—	04-01 08:19
btc updown 5m 1773163500	1	$85	129	0	+129	open	—	03-10 17:25
lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01 game2	4	$83	440	80	+360	open	—	07-01 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	9	$83	130	69	+61	Up	+$13	05-06 16:34
btc updown 5m 1773249900	8	$78	116	63	+52	open	—	03-11 17:29
btc updown 5m 1775496900	2	$78	59	56	+3	open	—	04-06 17:39
btc updown 5m 1774865700	2	$77	57	56	+1	open	—	03-30 10:19
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$76	83	83	+0	open	—	06-15 06:04
btc updown 5m 1773140100	1	$76	151	0	+151	open	—	03-10 10:54
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner	2	$75	133	133	+0	open	—	05-30 11:27
btc updown 5m 1775658000	2	$71	74	70	+4	open	—	04-08 14:24
bitcoin above 70k on april 9	2	$70	37	37	+0	open	—	04-09 15:40
btc updown 5m 1776763200	11	$68	53	51	+2	open	—	04-21 09:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 08:04:10	lol hle1 g2 2026 07 05	G2 Esports	BUY	269	3¢	$8	0x437bbe…
07-05 07:50:50	lol hle1 g2 2026 07 05 game2	G2 Esports	BUY	133	6¢	$8	0xa7e3a5…
07-03 09:53:46	lol g2 tes 2026 07 04	G2 Esports	SELL	36	95¢	$34	0x02049d…
07-03 09:32:56	lol g2 tes 2026 07 04	G2 Esports	BUY	36	53¢	$19	0x86c8d8…
07-03 08:58:49	btc updown 5m 1783068900	Down	SELL	25	80¢	$20	0x5f8b28…
07-03 08:55:23	btc updown 5m 1783068900	Down	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0x0cbcf7…
07-03 08:47:53	lol g2 tes 2026 07 04 game4	Top Esports	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xa5bf86…
07-01 09:39:07	lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	360	1¢	$4	0x29e9e5…
07-01 09:32:56	lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01 game2	T1	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x205576…
07-01 09:32:55	lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01 game2	T1	SELL	75	80¢	$60	0x480bce…
07-01 09:31:08	lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01 game2	T1	BUY	80	20¢	$16	0x57f9a6…
07-01 09:13:41	btc updown 5m 1782897000	Up	BUY	117	6¢	$7	0x248f06…
07-01 08:13:29	lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01 game1	Team Liquid	BUY	41	17¢	$7	0x1c05f9…
06-30 13:29:11	btc updown 5m 1782825900	Down	BUY	92	5¢	$5	0xd44808…
06-29 16:48:23	btc updown 5m 1782751500	Up	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x4a1d0a…
06-29 16:48:01	btc updown 5m 1782751500	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x1d1094…
06-29 16:47:26	btc updown 5m 1782751500	Up	SELL	40	45¢	$18	0x766957…
06-29 16:47:26	btc updown 5m 1782751500	Up	SELL	40	45¢	$18	0x3c9d60…
06-29 16:47:26	btc updown 5m 1782751500	Up	SELL	32	45¢	$14	0x2caecb…
06-29 16:47:25	btc updown 5m 1782751500	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xce1ed5…
06-29 16:47:25	btc updown 5m 1782751500	Up	SELL	6	45¢	$2	0xc9e3aa…
06-29 16:47:25	btc updown 5m 1782751500	Up	SELL	16	45¢	$7	0xae32d0…
06-29 16:46:56	btc updown 5m 1782751500	Up	BUY	136	23¢	$31	0x5948d9…
06-29 08:57:22	btc updown 5m 1782723300	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xb19ce3…
06-29 08:56:55	btc updown 5m 1782723300	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xe2ddc8…
06-29 08:56:55	btc updown 5m 1782723300	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xb07a35…
06-29 08:56:55	btc updown 5m 1782723300	Up	BUY	24	15¢	$4	0xa40952…
06-29 08:56:55	btc updown 5m 1782723300	Up	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xa2dd0b…
06-29 08:56:55	btc updown 5m 1782723300	Up	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x8ab529…
06-29 08:56:55	btc updown 5m 1782723300	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x8a5211…
06-29 08:56:55	btc updown 5m 1782723300	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x51c6b6…
06-29 08:56:55	btc updown 5m 1782723300	Up	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x4f58a4…
06-29 08:56:53	btc updown 5m 1782723300	Up	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0xfff33f…
06-29 08:56:53	btc updown 5m 1782723300	Up	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0xa4490a…
06-29 08:56:53	btc updown 5m 1782723300	Up	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x7badcc…
06-29 08:56:53	btc updown 5m 1782723300	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x710e0d…
06-16 11:07:37	btc updown 5m 1781607900	Up	BUY	173	4¢	$7	0x5ea21b…
06-16 11:04:31	btc updown 5m 1781607900	Up	BUY	16	47¢	$8	0xd8d312…
06-16 11:00:52	btc updown 5m 1781607600	Down	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0x5179ee…
06-16 10:56:30	btc updown 5m 1781607300	Up	BUY	37	19¢	$7	0xe51c1b…
06-15 18:38:31	btc updown 5m 1781548500	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x2b86b9…
06-15 18:38:30	btc updown 5m 1781548500	Up	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xee4805…
06-15 18:38:30	btc updown 5m 1781548500	Up	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0xe6c2f9…
06-15 18:38:30	btc updown 5m 1781548500	Up	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x33e84a…
06-15 18:36:12	btc updown 5m 1781548500	Up	SELL	18	42¢	$7	0xe9e866…
06-15 18:35:57	btc updown 5m 1781548500	Up	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0xb533b2…
06-15 16:59:54	btc updown 5m 1781542500	Down	SELL	28	65¢	$18	0xd2c8aa…
06-15 16:59:52	btc updown 5m 1781542500	Down	SELL	4	65¢	$2	0xc08e6b…
06-15 16:57:00	btc updown 5m 1781542500	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x76310b…
06-15 06:04:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	83	85¢	$71	0xfa30a8…
06-10 06:31:16	btc updown 5m 1781073000	Up	BUY	67	33¢	$22	0x0e9244…
06-10 06:29:49	btc updown 5m 1781072700	Up	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0xbc9096…
06-10 06:29:49	btc updown 5m 1781072700	Up	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x259972…
06-10 06:29:49	btc updown 5m 1781072700	Up	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0x0d91de…
06-10 06:29:36	btc updown 5m 1781072700	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x89915a…
06-10 06:29:19	btc updown 5m 1781072700	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$1	0xf002c1…
06-10 06:29:19	btc updown 5m 1781072700	Down	SELL	24	90¢	$21	0x459ddd…
06-10 06:25:49	btc updown 5m 1781072700	Down	BUY	25	58¢	$15	0x3037bd…
06-10 06:24:03	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	Yes	SELL	147	8¢	$12	0x793e0a…
06-10 06:24:00	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	53	6¢	$3	0x75eef6…
06-09 18:45:18	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	415	54¢	$224	0xe64578…
06-09 11:08:49	btc updown 5m 1781003400	Up	BUY	28	51¢	$14	0x1f1c5b…
06-09 11:08:25	btc updown 5m 1781003100	Up	SELL	15	95¢	$15	0x6890af…
06-09 11:04:31	btc updown 5m 1781003100	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x724a45…
06-09 11:01:48	btc updown 5m 1781002800	Up	BUY	47	17¢	$8	0x56859b…
06-09 10:54:15	btc updown 5m 1781002200	Down	BUY	83	4¢	$3	0x166a73…
06-09 10:51:18	lol nsea wbgy 2026 06 09	Weibo Gaming Youth Team	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x6fd1e5…
06-08 11:05:28	btc updown 5m 1780916700	Down	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0x0eb412…
06-08 10:00:19	lol al blg 2026 06 08 game1	Anyone's Legend	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0x1cb994…
06-07 18:33:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x11af7d…
06-07 18:32:12	lol g2 kc 2026 06 07 game4	Karmine Corp	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x09bad1…
06-07 18:32:12	lol g2 kc 2026 06 07 game4	Karmine Corp	BUY	95	4¢	$4	0x063744…
06-07 14:02:19	btc updown 5m 1780840800	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xd9cbfb…
06-07 12:41:25	lol kt dk 2026 06 07	KT Rolster	SELL	111	90¢	$100	0xbf7738…
06-07 09:33:03	lol kt dk 2026 06 07	KT Rolster	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x37387f…
06-05 20:46:28	btc updown 5m 1780692300	Up	BUY	44	36¢	$16	0x89057a…
06-04 16:02:48	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	Yes	BUY	147	22¢	$33	0xcb61d8…
06-04 15:51:16	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x9e1e60…
06-04 15:50:34	btc updown 5m 1780588200	Up	SELL	58	66¢	$38	0x4b1839…
06-04 15:50:13	btc updown 5m 1780588200	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xe8f6dd…
06-04 15:50:13	btc updown 5m 1780588200	Up	BUY	34	50¢	$17	0x924c8b…
06-04 15:50:13	btc updown 5m 1780588200	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x19a0af…
06-04 15:06:01	btc updown 5m 1780585500	Down	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0xe28682…
06-04 14:57:43	btc updown 5m 1780584900	Down	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x1cdb33…
06-04 14:48:45	btc updown 5m 1780584300	Up	BUY	307	5¢	$15	0xda1d0d…
06-04 14:33:33	btc updown 5m 1780583400	Up	BUY	148	8¢	$12	0x2bf659…
06-03 09:54:33	Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska	Anna Kalinskaya	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x0b459b…
06-03 09:52:15	LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	EDward Gaming	BUY	217	2¢	$5	0x0e861b…
06-03 00:07:15	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x419232…
06-03 00:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0x00b595…
06-03 00:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xf3aa1e…
05-31 16:52:10	LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Team Vitality	BUY	33	21¢	$7	0x1e1fa6…
05-31 15:24:49	Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverev	Jesper de Jong	BUY	129	7¢	$9	0xbcfc0e…
05-31 15:18:43	Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverev	Jesper de Jong	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0x1de64d…
05-30 22:24:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x417b5b…
05-30 22:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	26	75¢	$20	0x21e0fb…
05-30 22:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0x9feaf5…
05-30 22:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1f83d6…
05-30 22:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	44	85¢	$37	0x01d4ab…
05-30 22:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	44	36¢	$16	0xcea0a0…