Realized P&L
-$7.53K
Unrealized P&L
-$74
Hit rate
63.6%
Resolved
4,168
Trades
17,154
lifetime
Volume
$189.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$292
4 positions
First seen
2026-03-31
last 07-22 05:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 58 days
Categories
Crypto
84%
62%
-$5,996
Politics
12%
67%
-$67
Other
5%
74%
-$1,603
Tech
0%
67%
+$134
Sports
0%
100%
+$2
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-22).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | -152 | -$102 | 96¢ | $-147 | -$45 | 05-30 17:37 | |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | -83 | -$57 | 100¢ | $-83 | -$26 | 05-11 16:19 | |
| US recession by end of 2026? | No | -39 | -$35 | 94¢ | $-37 | -$2 | 06-22 23:48 | |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | No | -27 | -$24 | 92¢ | $-25 | -$2 | 06-22 23:48 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026 | 41 | $19.3K | 16,358 | 16,358 | +0 | Yes | -$505 | 04-27 18:26 |
| fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5 | 28 | $2.5K | 2,000 | 2,000 | +0 | Under | +$240 | 07-19 19:30 |
| fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts | 1 | $860 | 2,000 | 0 | +2,000 | No | -$860 | 07-19 19:33 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | 13 | $729 | 845 | 845 | +0 | Yes | +$21 | 05-01 02:00 |
| es2 rso eib 2026 04 02 total 1pt5 | 2 | $630 | 518 | 518 | +0 | Under | -$370 | 04-02 19:44 |
| fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout | 1 | $500 | 1,191 | 0 | +1,191 | No | -$500 | 07-19 21:30 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 21:55 UTC | 16 | $491 | 1,232 | 0 | +1,232 | Down | +$92 | 07-04 21:59 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | 129 | $480 | 948 | 0 | +948 | Down | +$2 | 06-02 01:52 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | 129 | $435 | 693 | 0 | +693 | Down | +$2 | 06-02 00:44 |
| Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31? | 15 | $425 | 298 | 298 | +0 | No | +$149 | 05-30 18:10 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 4 | $371 | 226 | 226 | +0 | No | +$65 | 05-30 13:39 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 23:45 UTC | 7 | $341 | 729 | 0 | +729 | Up | -$341 | 07-04 23:48 |
| Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30? | 6 | $328 | 769 | 769 | +0 | No | -$72 | 05-07 08:17 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 09:40 UTC | 21 | $320 | 641 | 0 | +641 | Up | +$321 | 07-02 09:41 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 00:15 UTC | 21 | $320 | 678 | 0 | +678 | Up | -$320 | 07-03 00:17 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 22:40 UTC | 23 | $320 | 667 | 0 | +667 | Up | +$347 | 07-03 22:43 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 07:05 UTC | 20 | $320 | 752 | 0 | +752 | Up | -$320 | 07-04 07:07 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 02:50 UTC | 21 | $320 | 654 | 0 | +654 | Up | -$320 | 07-02 02:53 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 00:50 UTC | 21 | $320 | 651 | 0 | +651 | Down | +$332 | 07-04 00:51 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 14:20 UTC | 19 | $320 | 655 | 0 | +655 | Up | -$320 | 07-04 14:22 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 00:35 UTC | 21 | $320 | 670 | 0 | +670 | Down | +$350 | 07-04 00:37 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 22:25 UTC | 18 | $320 | 728 | 0 | +728 | Down | -$94 | 07-03 22:25 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 23:05 UTC | 19 | $320 | 706 | 0 | +706 | Down | +$386 | 07-03 23:07 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 15:45 UTC | 22 | $320 | 662 | 0 | +662 | Up | -$320 | 07-05 15:45 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 06:40 UTC | 23 | $320 | 662 | 0 | +662 | Down | +$342 | 07-05 06:43 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 07:25 UTC | 21 | $320 | 715 | 0 | +715 | Up | -$320 | 07-03 07:28 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 07:15 UTC | 19 | $320 | 658 | 0 | +658 | Up | -$320 | 07-04 07:18 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 20:20 UTC | 18 | $319 | 638 | 0 | +638 | Up | +$319 | 07-03 20:23 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 21:00 UTC | 21 | $318 | 635 | 0 | +635 | Up | +$317 | 07-03 21:01 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 05:15 UTC | 3 | $301 | 304 | 0 | +304 | Up | +$3 | 06-24 05:28 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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