Thankful-Beat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$128.9K

Unrealized P&L

+$3.76K

Hit rate

38.6%

Resolved

210

Trades

332

lifetime

Volume

$679.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.05K

Open exposure

$25.0K

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 10-27 11:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Other

69% 46% -$119,636

Politics

29% 33% -$9,845

Crypto

2% 73% +$440

Sports

0% 75% +$136

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No		+22,208	$18,703	100¢	$22.2K	+$3,449	10-23 11:27
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No		+2,832	$2,499	99¢	$2.8K	+$306	10-20 20:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	16	$89.8K	128,229	128,229	+0	Yes	-$4,566	05-06 18:44
nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	7	$37.9K	33,275	11,068	+22,208	open	—	10-23 11:27
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	4	$29.2K	15,670	15,670	+0	open	—	09-02 09:00
dota2 bb4 ts8 2026 03 13	2	$26.1K	43,610	0	+43,610	BetBoom Team	-$26,095	03-13 17:13
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	2	$22.8K	55,570	0	+55,570	No	-$22,842	05-06 19:31
dota2 ty xtreme 2026 03 29	2	$13.5K	9,726	9,726	+0	Team Yandex	+$1,431	03-29 14:02
will trump meet with putin by march 31	1	$12.3K	12,311	0	+12,311	No	+$12	03-30 00:35
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	2	$11.1K	23,469	0	+23,469	Natus Vincere	-$11,056	09-22 09:26
dota2 bb4 lgd 2026 06 07	5	$10.9K	15,521	15,521	+0	LGD Gaming	-$5,970	06-07 12:35
dota2 ty lgd 2026 06 07 game3	7	$10.4K	9,658	9,658	+0	LGD Gaming	-$793	06-07 18:48
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 btts	2	$10.0K	17,117	0	+17,117	Yes	+$7,117	07-01 20:15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?	1	$9.8K	14,572	0	+14,572	No	-$9,763	05-04 18:59
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	3	$9.7K	19,013	0	+19,013	Belgium	-$9,697	07-06 00:44
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?	1	$9.4K	9,425	0	+9,425	No	+$9	08-28 00:25
US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils	2	$9.2K	17,018	0	+17,018	Gael Monfils	-$9,215	09-02 00:21
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 total 3pt5	2	$9.0K	16,718	0	+16,718	Under	+$7,689	07-01 16:10
dota2 ty navi 2026 09 21	3	$8.3K	21,370	0	+21,370	Team Yandex	-$8,278	09-21 15:54
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?	1	$8.1K	9,116	0	+9,116	Yes	+$1,003	08-30 13:15
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	2	$8.0K	4,927	4,927	+0	Team Falcons	+$1,867	05-26 13:02
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	5	$7.6K	7,522	7,522	+0	Yes	-$4,242	10-23 11:21
dota2 tundra ty 2026 03 29 game2	1	$7.5K	12,299	0	+12,299	Tundra Esports	+$4,821	03-29 16:45
England leading at halftime?	1	$6.5K	10,088	0	+10,088	No	-$6,500	06-23 19:17
dota2 ty lgd 2026 06 07 game1	3	$6.1K	3,695	3,695	+0	Team Yandex	+$1,327	06-07 15:45
fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 btts	1	$6.0K	9,894	0	+9,894	Yes	+$3,894	06-22 23:57
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	1	$5.8K	10,859	0	+10,859	Team Yandex	+$5,104	10-11 15:34
fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 1pt5	2	$5.2K	11,575	0	+11,575	Norway	-$5,242	06-16 22:27
nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	5	$5.2K	2,669	2,669	+0	No	-$10	03-16 22:22
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 btts	2	$5.0K	10,159	0	+10,159	No	-$5,046	06-30 21:17
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner	1	$5.0K	9,360	0	+9,360	Team Spirit	-$5,000	10-11 14:27
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 spread away 1pt5	1	$5.0K	8,333	0	+8,333	Paraguay	-$5,000	07-04 19:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 11:01:03	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LEGION (BO1) - PARI Universe Group B	BetBoom Team	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x8e1e82…
10-27 10:57:51	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LEGION (BO1) - PARI Universe Group B	BetBoom Team	BUY	5,115	68¢	$3,478	0x1b2acc…
10-23 11:27:38	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7,120	83¢	$5,928	0x02b8b8…
10-23 11:21:56	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4,624	1¢	$31	0xd9b98c…
10-22 21:27:26	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7,335	79¢	$5,802	0x7627ec…
10-21 13:25:26	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,529	83¢	$2,099	0xcfb9d1…
10-20 20:23:06	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,095	86¢	$1,800	0xfcd110…
10-20 20:21:53	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,832	88¢	$2,499	0x6862cd…
10-17 21:51:11	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7,752	90¢	$7,000	0xb575ee…
10-17 11:52:26	FC Barcelona leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5,460	53¢	$2,894	0x708ba9…
10-11 15:34:15	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	10,859	53¢	$5,755	0x9458b8…
10-11 14:27:46	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	9,360	53¢	$5,000	0xcf47d5…
10-10 12:53:55	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	2,597	77¢	$2,000	0xa8a131…
10-10 12:53:12	Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)	PARIVISION	BUY	2,003	50¢	$1,000	0x018108…
10-10 04:52:43	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x1a6006…
10-09 22:22:59	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0x86bcb8…
10-09 22:19:56	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	406	49¢	$200	0xf3f1f8…
10-09 20:07:13	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner	LGD Gaming	BUY	1,794	56¢	$1,000	0x9c4a62…
10-09 17:09:37	Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	1win	BUY	1,429	14¢	$200	0x88114a…
10-08 22:36:11	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	2,941	68¢	$2,000	0xabf280…
10-08 20:58:24	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	Team Yandex	BUY	2,544	79¢	$2,000	0x79e92a…
10-08 11:38:35	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,789	9¢	$157	0xb88422…
10-08 11:38:27	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,899	56¢	$1,627	0x2f5e62…
10-08 11:30:02	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	Team Yandex	BUY	3,314	75¢	$2,500	0x0c812b…
10-08 05:40:13	Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)	Team Yandex	BUY	1,587	63¢	$1,000	0x869331…
10-02 20:36:12	dota2 pari aur1 2026 10 03 game handicap away 1pt5	PARIVISION	BUY	909	55¢	$500	0x5e00c6…
10-02 20:25:45	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner	PARIVISION	BUY	653	77¢	$500	0xfbab69…
10-02 15:41:06	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A	LGD Gaming	BUY	3,074	65¢	$2,000	0x4a7fb8…
10-02 14:30:42	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches	PARIVISION	BUY	1,235	81¢	$1,000	0xb083b8…
10-02 14:28:47	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner	LGD Gaming	BUY	1,769	57¢	$1,000	0xc91519…
10-02 13:15:02	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner	LGD Gaming	BUY	1,471	68¢	$1,000	0x93d67b…
10-02 13:12:14	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches	PARIVISION	BUY	1,238	81¢	$1,000	0x1f77cd…
10-02 13:11:50	dota2 og bb4 2026 10 02	BetBoom Team	BUY	1,538	65¢	$1,000	0xfdddf6…
10-02 13:10:32	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner	LGD Gaming	BUY	1,619	62¢	$1,000	0x14876f…
10-02 02:13:14	dota2 pari aur1 2026 10 03	PARIVISION	BUY	971	82¢	$800	0xd6e77e…
10-02 02:08:15	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,899	69¢	$2,000	0x962b5b…
10-02 02:01:00	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,789	34¢	$600	0xd03592…
10-02 01:59:50	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	No	SELL	11,068	87¢	$9,618	0x7cf73e…
09-30 14:59:51	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,790	88¢	$1,575	0x6b83aa…
09-29 19:43:27	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6,499	87¢	$5,654	0x9df5e8…
09-27 17:40:02	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,779	85¢	$2,362	0xbce5af…
09-24 15:43:45	dota2 ty 1win 2026 09 24	1win	BUY	280	16¢	$46	0x263bb2…
09-24 15:43:17	dota2 aur1 gl 2026 09 24 game2	Aurora	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xfc977e…
09-24 14:18:01	dota2 aur1 gl 2026 09 24 game2	Aurora	BUY	48	67¢	$32	0x04f173…
09-24 14:17:34	dota2 aur1 gl 2026 09 24 game1	Aurora	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x1971f0…
09-24 13:34:54	dota2 aur1 gl 2026 09 24 game1	Aurora	BUY	33	78¢	$26	0x9a5ed8…
09-24 09:27:02	dota2 navi lgd 2026 09 24	LGD Gaming	BUY	26	33¢	$9	0xbdba2f…
09-22 09:26:48	Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	1win	BUY	71	48¢	$34	0x5ef802…
09-22 09:26:27	Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	1win	BUY	23,398	47¢	$11,022	0x060257…
09-21 15:54:49	dota2 ty navi 2026 09 21	Natus Vincere	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0xb1970b…
09-21 15:54:28	dota2 ty navi 2026 09 21	Natus Vincere	BUY	10,949	39¢	$4,253	0x87333c…
09-21 10:15:45	dota2 ty navi 2026 09 21	Natus Vincere	BUY	10,357	39¢	$4,000	0x383360…
09-02 09:00:18	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15,670	93¢	$14,574	0xeb5699…
09-02 00:21:43	US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	7,399	57¢	$4,215	0x41e79f…
09-02 00:21:00	US Open ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Gael Monfils	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	9,619	52¢	$5,000	0x6e32e8…
08-31 20:50:06	FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	4,408	43¢	$1,895	0xace487…
08-31 12:47:40	FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5,000	40¢	$2,000	0x378028…
08-30 21:30:18	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9,702	94¢	$9,120	0x1074b4…
08-30 13:15:24	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	9,116	89¢	$8,113	0xb20586…
08-29 00:26:34	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x0b3903…
08-28 10:30:22	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,967	93¢	$5,549	0x29091c…
08-28 00:25:18	Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9,425	100¢	$9,416	0x86576f…
08-23 13:18:16	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	TEAM VISION	BUY	2,991	50¢	$1,500	0x374f8f…
08-23 12:54:27	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	TEAM VISION	BUY	2,114	63¢	$1,327	0x8be34d…
08-23 10:02:04	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner	TEAM VISION	BUY	1,251	40¢	$500	0xbc5e23…
08-23 09:55:04	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner	TEAM VISION	BUY	1,695	59¢	$1,000	0xbf6b8f…
08-23 06:32:18	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	1,852	54¢	$1,000	0x422a12…
08-22 11:25:49	dota2 boombo ts8 2026 08 22	Team Spirit	BUY	12	63¢	$8	0x989334…
08-22 10:57:34	dota2 boombo ts8 2026 08 22	Team Spirit	BUY	3,428	63¢	$2,160	0x49b898…
08-22 08:56:15	dota2 vsn2 ty 2026 08 22	TEAM VISION	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0xb18fbb…
08-22 08:47:07	dota2 vsn2 ty 2026 08 22	TEAM VISION	BUY	4,590	72¢	$3,305	0x03e42b…
08-22 07:33:18	dota2 ngx boombo 2026 08 22	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	2,517	40¢	$1,000	0x9482b2…
08-22 02:04:30	dota2 ts8 liquid 2026 08 21	Team Liquid	BUY	2,632	38¢	$1,000	0x3610bc…
08-21 09:12:03	dota2 liquid flc 2026 08 21	Team Falcons	BUY	2,500	40¢	$1,000	0x834162…
08-21 08:00:36	dota2 liquid flc 2026 08 21 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	1,786	56¢	$1,000	0x2b3c73…
08-21 03:24:21	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	23	35¢	$8	0xe2d502…
08-21 02:36:19	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	3,249	35¢	$1,137	0xfd4fc1…
08-21 02:31:22	dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20	BoomBoys	BUY	3,409	44¢	$1,500	0xf996d8…
08-21 02:30:49	dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20	BoomBoys	BUY	2,273	44¢	$1,000	0x43eccb…
08-17 05:30:21	dota2 liquid ty 2026 08 20	Team Liquid	BUY	1,818	55¢	$1,000	0x1a93eb…
08-16 20:06:46	dota2 liquid ty 2026 08 20	Team Liquid	BUY	3,442	55¢	$1,900	0xfccea0…
08-14 03:16:58	dota2 boombo vsn2 2026 08 14	TEAM VISION	BUY	5,131	68¢	$3,500	0x5e984d…
08-13 02:18:43	dota2 boombo og 2026 08 12	BoomBoys	BUY	2,778	72¢	$2,000	0x4140c9…
07-06 00:44:46	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	United States	BUY	35	52¢	$18	0xb5e039…
07-05 23:29:26	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	United States	BUY	53	51¢	$27	0x5c630c…
07-05 23:28:40	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	United States	BUY	18,925	51¢	$9,652	0xf60d8a…
07-05 20:09:20	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 btts	No	BUY	11,976	42¢	$5,000	0x9f4d2b…
07-04 19:26:37	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 spread away 1pt5	France	BUY	8,333	60¢	$5,000	0x2afaa1…
07-03 18:07:17	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 btts	Yes	BUY	11,513	43¢	$5,000	0xf2ed27…
07-03 03:09:14	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 btts	Yes	BUY	9,413	53¢	$5,000	0x3b4950…
07-02 18:05:44	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 btts	No	BUY	9,091	55¢	$5,000	0xf163fc…
07-02 11:52:43	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	13,158	38¢	$5,000	0x63f83a…
07-02 01:02:01	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	3,125	16¢	$500	0x9b4919…
07-02 00:02:31	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 spread home 1pt5	Bosnia and Herzegovina	BUY	4,717	53¢	$2,500	0x9fb6c1…
07-01 22:19:31	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Senegal	BUY	2,506	40¢	$1,000	0x6ed752…
07-01 20:15:44	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 btts	Yes	BUY	8,551	58¢	$5,000	0xb20e82…
07-01 20:13:35	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 btts	Yes	BUY	8,566	58¢	$5,000	0x7d3d0a…
07-01 16:10:22	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x0cf845…
07-01 16:09:58	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	16,682	54¢	$9,008	0x7dfd25…
07-01 00:19:23	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 btts	Yes	BUY	67	41¢	$28	0xddb891…