Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$94

Unrealized P&L

+$14

Hit rate

94.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$202

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-31

last 10-19 15:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Sports

56% 64% +$92

Politics

27% — —

Other

13% 92% +$2

Tech

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		-2,562	-$18	0¢	$-4	+$14	05-09 02:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nhl lak nyr 2026 03 16	1	$97	186	0	+186	Kings	+$89	03-16 14:46
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	20	$37	2,443	2,443	+0	open	—	05-24 09:08
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	1	$18	0	2,562	-2,562	open	—	05-09 02:38
nhl sea fla 2026 03 24	1	$2	4	0	+4	Panthers	+$2	03-24 13:04
nba lac nop 2026 03 18	1	$2	4	0	+4	Pelicans	+$2	03-18 11:34
nba lal hou 2026 03 16	1	$2	3	0	+3	Lakers	-$2	03-16 12:16
nba phx min 2026 03 17	1	$2	3	0	+3	Timberwolves	+$1	03-17 13:41
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	1	$2	3	0	+3	Under	+$1	07-07 11:47
nhl phi sj 2026 03 21	1	$2	4	0	+4	Flyers	+$2	03-21 11:56
nba okc bos 2026 03 25	1	$2	3	0	+3	Celtics	-$2	03-25 09:33
nhl ott nyr 2026 03 23	1	$2	4	0	+4	Senators	-$2	03-23 05:59
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 200 219	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	01-31 18:30
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$1	3	0	+3	Spain	+$1	07-17 06:54
nba den phx 2026 03 24	1	$1	2	0	+2	Nuggets	+$1	03-24 12:41
cbb vand nebr 2026 03 21	1	$1	3	0	+3	Nebraska Cornhuskers	-$1	03-21 04:50
nhl cbj phi 2026 03 24	1	$1	2	0	+2	Blue Jackets	+$1	03-24 06:35
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	1	$1	2	0	+2	Over	+$1	07-07 11:46
atp papoe cosano 2026 08 19	1	$1	2	0	+2	Radu Mihai Papoe	+$0	08-19 12:20
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	1	$1	2	0	+2	England	-$1	07-17 11:26
nhl bos pit 2026 03 08	1	$1	2	0	+2	Penguins	-$1	03-08 12:31
cbb tenn vir 2026 03 22	1	$1	2	0	+2	Tennessee Volunteers	+$1	03-22 06:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	09-07 18:15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	06-07 15:33
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	06-07 15:31
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	06-07 15:31
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-07 15:34
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	06-07 15:31
Will Z.ai have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	10-19 15:20
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-07 15:34
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-07 15:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 15:20:51	Will Z.ai have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6cc6da…
09-07 18:15:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa3119b…
08-19 12:20:52	atp papoe cosano 2026 08 19	Radu Mihai Papoe	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x78f537…
07-17 11:26:57	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x70970c…
07-17 06:54:40	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	3	59¢	$1	0x5edfed…
07-07 11:47:26	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x9a7dbd…
07-07 11:46:58	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x41ce38…
06-07 15:34:46	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0c0e4d…
06-07 15:34:33	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7937b2…
06-07 15:34:19	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3238d2…
06-07 15:34:10	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7baff5…
06-07 15:34:03	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x256f5d…
06-07 15:33:55	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6593d0…
06-07 15:33:49	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb94771…
06-07 15:33:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa2df51…
06-07 15:32:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3e4616…
06-07 15:32:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x61ab4e…
06-07 15:32:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe47016…
06-07 15:31:48	spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x369b15…
06-07 15:31:39	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x249680…
06-07 15:31:30	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf68cc9…
06-07 15:31:22	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfbf3bc…
06-07 15:31:07	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6f25b7…
06-07 15:31:00	Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe9f1af…
06-07 15:30:45	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfb812a…
06-07 15:30:37	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x270fa3…
06-07 15:30:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 8?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x07f4ad…
05-24 09:08:03	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	702	1¢	$6	0xa0b621…
05-24 09:07:12	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	505	1¢	$4	0x716476…
05-24 09:06:22	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	190	1¢	$2	0xe6b8d7…
05-24 09:00:33	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xa89b3d…
05-24 08:29:10	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x114231…
05-24 08:23:40	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x2894ab…
05-24 08:19:45	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xc6a9da…
05-24 08:18:07	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x677936…
05-24 07:56:53	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xf35f43…
05-24 07:50:14	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x706acf…
05-24 07:36:12	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xebf8a0…
05-24 07:23:57	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x94d833…
05-24 07:17:53	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x6f16f3…
05-24 07:12:14	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x261a6e…
05-24 07:09:12	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	143	1¢	$1	0x25bcb9…
05-24 06:56:22	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	269	1¢	$2	0x5578db…
05-24 06:51:38	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	588	1¢	$5	0x00669a…
05-24 06:43:14	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xf6d00b…
05-24 06:36:58	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xd3b734…
05-10 00:02:03	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2,443	1¢	$17	0xf0b623…
05-09 02:38:01	Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2,562	1¢	$18	0xc587ec…
03-25 09:33:43	nba okc bos 2026 03 25	Thunder	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x262567…
03-24 13:04:41	nhl sea fla 2026 03 24	Panthers	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x4b728f…
03-24 12:41:15	nba den phx 2026 03 24	Nuggets	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xadf984…
03-24 06:35:15	nhl cbj phi 2026 03 24	Blue Jackets	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7a7a59…
03-23 05:59:23	nhl ott nyr 2026 03 23	Rangers	BUY	4	36¢	$2	0xbc2f0e…
03-22 06:52:13	cbb tenn vir 2026 03 22	Tennessee Volunteers	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x91d1cc…
03-21 11:56:27	nhl phi sj 2026 03 21	Flyers	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x93d713…
03-21 04:50:59	cbb vand nebr 2026 03 21	Vanderbilt Commodores	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x8386a3…
03-18 11:34:21	nba lac nop 2026 03 18	Pelicans	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x92f836…
03-17 13:41:05	nba phx min 2026 03 17	Timberwolves	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xd7e263…
03-16 14:46:49	nhl lak nyr 2026 03 16	Kings	BUY	186	52¢	$97	0x28111a…
03-16 12:16:55	nba lal hou 2026 03 16	Rockets	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xe7e740…
03-08 12:31:21	nhl bos pit 2026 03 08	Bruins	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb00b64…
01-31 18:30:44	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 200 219	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x269121…