Pleased-Oats — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$594

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.7%

Resolved

Trades

302

lifetime

Volume

$53.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$178

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 08-14 04:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

46% 0% $-595

Politics

34% 100% +$0

Crypto

19% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	4	$3.4K	1,753	1,753	+0	open	—	04-12 15:04
netanyahu out by march 31 854	7	$2.6K	1,730	920	+809	open	—	03-29 07:54
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$2.2K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	03-24 07:07
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	6	$2.1K	1,369	865	+504	open	—	04-27 03:18
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?	2	$2.1K	1,714	446	+1,268	open	—	06-22 04:41
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	2	$2.1K	1,200	1,081	+119	open	—	06-27 04:00
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$2.1K	2,057	2,057	+0	open	—	02-28 09:55
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	2	$2.0K	1,015	1,015	+0	open	—	02-19 19:04
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	1	$2.0K	0	2,006	-2,006	open	—	01-16 21:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$1.7K	900	900	+0	open	—	05-30 19:38
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	2	$1.7K	848	848	+0	open	—	02-19 15:09
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	3	$1.6K	356	1,256	-900	open	—	07-02 21:55
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	7	$1.5K	900	900	+0	open	—	05-09 06:09
Netanyahu out by April 30?	5	$1.3K	700	700	+0	open	—	04-14 21:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	4	$1.3K	930	930	+0	open	—	08-14 04:35
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	2	$1.2K	584	584	+0	open	—	02-24 17:53
will base launch a token by june 30 2027	12	$1.1K	1,468	376	+1,092	open	—	08-08 07:35
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	2	$998	500	500	+0	No	+$0	05-07 01:40
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$972	500	500	+0	open	—	03-14 12:57
mwoh swe ita 2026 02 11	2	$900	921	0	+921	open	—	02-08 15:27
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	10	$855	483	483	+0	open	—	02-20 06:43
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	3	$662	0	675	-675	open	—	06-01 09:14
will hyperliquid reach 48 in march	3	$650	691	0	+691	open	—	03-26 13:29
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	11	$612	400	400	+0	open	—	08-04 19:08
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	2	$612	377	377	+0	open	—	04-21 21:18
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$601	309	309	+0	open	—	01-25 15:34
will hyperliquid reach 52 in march	1	$600	627	0	+627	open	—	03-20 03:12
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$600	311	311	+0	open	—	02-24 17:52
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	1	$580	611	0	+611	open	—	07-02 18:45
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$576	655	0	+655	open	—	05-11 04:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 04:35:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	260	45¢	$117	0xfdcc36…
08-12 00:31:25	ssi public model released by october 31 2026 20260810094604191	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x1ca600…
08-11 21:09:48	ssi public model released by october 31 2026 20260810094604191	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xeba75b…
08-11 20:15:16	hype updown 4h 1786478400	Down	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x780862…
08-11 20:00:49	hype updown 4h 1786478400	Down	BUY	44	54¢	$24	0xcf527e…
08-11 19:20:25	hype updown 4h 1786464000	Down	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0xbe6b25…
08-11 19:20:04	hype updown 4h 1786464000	Down	BUY	42	30¢	$13	0x5318d0…
08-11 18:54:48	hype updown 4h 1786464000	Down	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x3cadaa…
08-08 07:35:43	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	40	69¢	$28	0xd1b15c…
08-08 07:33:33	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	18	69¢	$13	0x41b395…
08-05 01:54:53	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	Yes	SELL	100	51¢	$51	0x9b3377…
08-05 00:37:59	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	Yes	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x632628…
08-05 00:37:41	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	Yes	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x3ea8e4…
08-04 19:08:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	161	77¢	$124	0x487d54…
08-04 19:06:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x535c26…
08-04 19:06:14	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xdc494f…
08-04 19:06:14	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x149df5…
08-04 19:06:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	8	77¢	$7	0xbb8d69…
08-04 19:06:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	13	77¢	$10	0x3e790e…
08-04 19:05:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0xf0b8fb…
08-04 19:05:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x015b1d…
08-04 18:43:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0xf8b4dc…
08-04 18:41:11	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	200	77¢	$154	0x4af6a2…
08-04 18:11:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0x927d0b…
08-04 05:26:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	1,400	12¢	$168	0x235824…
08-04 02:32:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	1,400	12¢	$168	0x0c288d…
08-01 06:39:38	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	400	61¢	$244	0x8952c0…
07-30 14:53:42	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x4bb516…
07-30 13:50:17	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	30	69¢	$21	0x1fc336…
07-30 06:10:20	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	30	69¢	$21	0x3b1e62…
07-30 02:02:36	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	100	69¢	$69	0x25667e…
07-29 23:56:47	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	35	69¢	$24	0x786268…
07-29 23:50:06	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0xeffc8d…
07-29 23:49:41	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0xc193d3…
07-29 23:44:54	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	15	69¢	$10	0xe51326…
07-29 23:41:39	will base launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	99	96¢	$95	0x0845ff…
07-29 23:40:42	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	1,068	60¢	$646	0x705273…
07-22 10:59:12	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	SELL	150	94¢	$141	0xe1b7b3…
07-22 05:50:52	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x6d6d56…
07-21 21:10:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	SELL	200	61¢	$122	0x6ee139…
07-21 20:51:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	Yes	SELL	200	75¢	$150	0x064205…
07-21 08:28:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x6aa3d6…
07-17 08:51:28	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	420	95¢	$400	0x19b016…
07-16 21:14:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	669	54¢	$362	0x2fd753…
07-05 01:27:23	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	SELL	100	56¢	$56	0x463e7a…
07-04 22:03:59	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	SELL	593	6¢	$36	0xd8971c…
07-04 20:54:16	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x6478b9…
07-04 20:54:14	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	150	70¢	$105	0x7c7812…
07-04 15:37:05	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	71	6¢	$4	0x6806e5…
07-04 15:05:13	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x82dc40…
07-04 15:03:38	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xea73ed…
07-04 12:59:02	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x9b6df5…
07-04 06:50:05	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	120	6¢	$7	0x456b7f…
07-04 06:49:25	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x4dc3f6…
07-04 05:22:20	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0x689c36…
07-04 05:22:13	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0xe16003…
07-04 04:19:26	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x1564aa…
07-02 21:55:59	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	581	99¢	$574	0x465ef7…
07-02 18:45:14	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	611	95¢	$580	0x2ac806…
07-02 18:44:41	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	356	98¢	$350	0x9361b9…
06-27 04:00:08	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,081	94¢	$1,016	0x506f5e…
06-25 22:13:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	600	88¢	$528	0xf2081d…
06-25 18:10:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	70	95¢	$66	0x840e98…
06-25 18:05:01	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	147	98¢	$144	0xee212c…
06-25 18:04:46	Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	68	89¢	$60	0x16989e…
06-25 18:04:22	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	74¢	$67	0x17ee6f…
06-25 18:03:52	will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in june 2026	No	BUY	205	100¢	$205	0xba5e80…
06-25 18:03:17	will hyperliquid reach 88 in june	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd17b61…
06-25 18:03:07	will hyperliquid reach 92 in june	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x429f30…
06-22 04:41:59	Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	446	97¢	$432	0xfe94a8…
06-16 00:31:45	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	147	95¢	$140	0x124d28…
06-16 00:28:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	330	91¢	$300	0x21751f…
06-16 00:28:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	70	79¢	$55	0x93bbf2…
06-08 17:40:04	Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,714	97¢	$1,659	0x373ff9…
06-08 15:30:16	hype updown 5m 1780932600	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xd394a4…
06-08 15:30:16	hype updown 5m 1780932600	Up	SELL	9	50¢	$5	0x220f71…
06-08 15:30:13	hype updown 5m 1780932600	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xccf250…
06-07 16:00:42	worst cup fakers fc vspt infamous fc 20260603233701031	Fakers	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x70ca5a…
06-07 15:55:43	hype updown 5m 1780932600	Down	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xc3420c…
06-07 15:55:09	hype updown 5m 1780932600	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x2375b7…
06-02 05:21:53	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,200	88¢	$1,056	0x08088d…
06-02 05:20:06	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?	No	SELL	212	88¢	$186	0x7ab3a3…
06-01 20:13:56	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	675	95¢	$641	0xf971d2…
06-01 09:14:19	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xc6244d…
05-31 17:33:38	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	395	99¢	$390	0x062c18…
05-31 04:22:40	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	514	96¢	$493	0x94b97d…
05-30 19:38:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	900	97¢	$875	0x93639c…
05-30 19:37:38	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	263	97¢	$256	0x494d53…
05-30 19:32:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	900	97¢	$871	0x89eb70…
05-28 15:51:18	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x701bf1…
05-28 15:46:56	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x40bdf7…
05-26 13:35:15	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	Yes	SELL	44	71¢	$31	0x86d26e…
05-26 13:31:59	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x0af9d6…
05-25 19:28:32	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x133251…
05-25 13:56:04	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	Yes	SELL	30	71¢	$21	0x2a0348…
05-25 12:03:18	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x04f208…
05-25 07:00:37	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	Yes	SELL	9	71¢	$7	0xbf4c7b…
05-25 06:39:07	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	Yes	SELL	9	71¢	$6	0xdd0843…
05-25 02:39:15	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?	No	SELL	50	44¢	$22	0xacc319…
05-24 23:33:22	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xdfd18d…