Pleased-Oats — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$594

Unrealized P&L

-$277

Hit rate

62.7%

Resolved

Trades

265

lifetime

Volume

$51.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$193

Open exposure

$3.47K

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 07-22 10:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

45% 0% $-595

Politics

33% 100% +$0

Crypto

20% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	+1,268	$1,227	98¢	$1.2K	+$14	06-22 04:41
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	-900	$-865	99¢	$-887	$-22	07-02 21:55
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	+611	$580	94¢	$577	$-3	07-02 18:45
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+420	$400	95¢	$400	$-0	07-17 08:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+260	$466	52¢	$134	$-332	07-16 21:14
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	+119	$40	94¢	$112	+$72	06-27 04:00
Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026?	No	+68	$60	90¢	$61	+$1	06-25 18:04
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+90	$67	67¢	$60	$-7	06-25 18:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	4	$3.4K	1,753	1,753	+0	open	—	04-12 15:04
netanyahu out by march 31 854	7	$2.6K	1,730	920	+809	open	—	03-29 07:54
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$2.2K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	03-24 07:07
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	6	$2.1K	1,369	865	+504	open	—	04-27 03:18
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?	2	$2.1K	1,714	446	+1,268	open	—	06-22 04:41
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	2	$2.1K	1,200	1,081	+119	open	—	06-27 04:00
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$2.1K	2,057	2,057	+0	open	—	02-28 09:55
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	2	$2.0K	1,015	1,015	+0	open	—	02-19 19:04
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	1	$2.0K	0	2,006	-2,006	open	—	01-16 21:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$1.7K	900	900	+0	open	—	05-30 19:38
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	2	$1.7K	848	848	+0	open	—	02-19 15:09
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	3	$1.6K	356	1,256	-900	open	—	07-02 21:55
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	7	$1.5K	900	900	+0	open	—	05-09 06:09
Netanyahu out by April 30?	5	$1.3K	700	700	+0	open	—	04-14 21:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	3	$1.2K	930	669	+260	open	—	07-16 21:14
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	2	$1.2K	584	584	+0	open	—	02-24 17:53
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	2	$998	500	500	+0	No	+$0	05-07 01:40
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$972	500	500	+0	open	—	03-14 12:57
mwoh swe ita 2026 02 11	2	$900	921	0	+921	open	—	02-08 15:27
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	10	$855	483	483	+0	open	—	02-20 06:43
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	3	$662	0	675	-675	open	—	06-01 09:14
will hyperliquid reach 48 in march	3	$650	691	0	+691	open	—	03-26 13:29
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	2	$612	377	377	+0	open	—	04-21 21:18
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$601	309	309	+0	open	—	01-25 15:34
will hyperliquid reach 52 in march	1	$600	627	0	+627	open	—	03-20 03:12
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$600	311	311	+0	open	—	02-24 17:52
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	1	$580	611	0	+611	open	—	07-02 18:45
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$576	655	0	+655	open	—	05-11 04:49
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	9	$545	682	0	+682	Yes	$-545	05-11 04:46
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	1	$507	0	536	-536	open	—	01-13 18:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 10:59:12	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	SELL	150	94¢	$141	0xe1b7b3…
07-22 05:50:52	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x6d6d56…
07-21 21:10:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	SELL	200	61¢	$122	0x6ee139…
07-21 20:51:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	Yes	SELL	200	75¢	$150	0x064205…
07-21 08:28:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x6aa3d6…
07-17 08:51:28	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	420	95¢	$400	0x19b016…
07-16 21:14:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	669	54¢	$362	0x2fd753…
07-05 01:27:23	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	SELL	100	56¢	$56	0x463e7a…
07-04 22:03:59	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	SELL	593	6¢	$36	0xd8971c…
07-04 20:54:16	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x6478b9…
07-04 20:54:14	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	150	70¢	$105	0x7c7812…
07-04 15:37:05	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	71	6¢	$4	0x6806e5…
07-04 15:05:13	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x82dc40…
07-04 15:03:38	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xea73ed…
07-04 12:59:02	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x9b6df5…
07-04 06:50:05	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	120	6¢	$7	0x456b7f…
07-04 06:49:25	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x4dc3f6…
07-04 05:22:20	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0x689c36…
07-04 05:22:13	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0xe16003…
07-04 04:19:26	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x1564aa…
07-02 21:55:59	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	581	99¢	$574	0x465ef7…
07-02 18:45:14	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	611	95¢	$580	0x2ac806…
07-02 18:44:41	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	356	98¢	$350	0x9361b9…
06-27 04:00:08	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,081	94¢	$1,016	0x506f5e…
06-25 22:13:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	600	88¢	$528	0xf2081d…
06-25 18:10:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	70	95¢	$66	0x840e98…
06-25 18:05:01	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	147	98¢	$144	0xee212c…
06-25 18:04:46	Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	68	89¢	$60	0x16989e…
06-25 18:04:22	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	74¢	$67	0x17ee6f…
06-25 18:03:52	will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in june 2026	No	BUY	205	100¢	$205	0xba5e80…
06-25 18:03:17	will hyperliquid reach 88 in june	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd17b61…
06-25 18:03:07	will hyperliquid reach 92 in june	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x429f30…
06-22 04:41:59	Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	446	97¢	$432	0xfe94a8…
06-16 00:31:45	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	147	95¢	$140	0x124d28…
06-16 00:28:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	330	91¢	$300	0x21751f…
06-16 00:28:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	70	79¢	$55	0x93bbf2…
06-08 17:40:04	Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,714	97¢	$1,659	0x373ff9…
06-08 15:30:16	hype updown 5m 1780932600	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xd394a4…
06-08 15:30:16	hype updown 5m 1780932600	Up	SELL	9	50¢	$5	0x220f71…
06-08 15:30:13	hype updown 5m 1780932600	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xccf250…
06-07 16:00:42	worst cup fakers fc vspt infamous fc 20260603233701031	Fakers	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x70ca5a…
06-07 15:55:43	hype updown 5m 1780932600	Down	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xc3420c…
06-07 15:55:09	hype updown 5m 1780932600	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x2375b7…
06-02 05:21:53	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,200	88¢	$1,056	0x08088d…
06-02 05:20:06	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?	No	SELL	212	88¢	$186	0x7ab3a3…
06-01 20:13:56	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	675	95¢	$641	0xf971d2…
06-01 09:14:19	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xc6244d…
05-31 17:33:38	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	395	99¢	$390	0x062c18…
05-31 04:22:40	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	514	96¢	$493	0x94b97d…
05-30 19:38:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	900	97¢	$875	0x93639c…
05-30 19:37:38	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	263	97¢	$256	0x494d53…
05-30 19:32:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	900	97¢	$871	0x89eb70…
05-28 15:51:18	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x701bf1…
05-28 15:46:56	Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x40bdf7…
05-26 13:35:15	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	Yes	SELL	44	71¢	$31	0x86d26e…
05-26 13:31:59	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x0af9d6…
05-25 19:28:32	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x133251…
05-25 13:56:04	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	Yes	SELL	30	71¢	$21	0x2a0348…
05-25 12:03:18	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x04f208…
05-25 07:00:37	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	Yes	SELL	9	71¢	$7	0xbf4c7b…
05-25 06:39:07	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	Yes	SELL	9	71¢	$6	0xdd0843…
05-25 02:39:15	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?	No	SELL	50	44¢	$22	0xacc319…
05-24 23:33:22	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xdfd18d…
05-24 22:08:00	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?	No	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x678dbf…
05-24 21:14:43	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?	Yes	BUY	24	61¢	$15	0x5cd349…
05-24 17:52:44	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x37119a…
05-24 16:29:42	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xf3779b…
05-11 04:49:29	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	300	92¢	$276	0x7160ca…
05-11 04:46:00	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	106	19¢	$20	0x55a298…
05-09 06:09:01	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	216	96¢	$208	0xd8dbac…
05-09 05:21:42	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xf5bc0d…
05-09 04:12:45	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0xeb87f0…
05-09 04:05:50	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	171	96¢	$165	0xe152df…
05-07 01:40:50	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0x51133f…
05-03 04:19:10	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x8ca72e…
05-03 03:43:32	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	400	93¢	$372	0x65b933…
04-27 03:18:52	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	355	84¢	$300	0xbc2585…
04-27 03:18:46	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	504	99¢	$500	0x9c924a…
04-27 03:18:26	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	500	76¢	$378	0x5e1c42…
04-22 04:45:14	spy up or down on april 22 2026	Down	SELL	407	21¢	$85	0x6c829e…
04-22 04:30:54	spy up or down on april 22 2026	Down	SELL	42	22¢	$9	0xebb71f…
04-22 04:30:54	spy up or down on april 22 2026	Down	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x778952…
04-22 04:30:52	spy up or down on april 22 2026	Down	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0xf95f7c…
04-22 04:30:52	spy up or down on april 22 2026	Down	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0xefdabb…
04-22 04:30:52	spy up or down on april 22 2026	Down	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0xe31693…
04-22 04:30:52	spy up or down on april 22 2026	Down	SELL	18	22¢	$4	0xa787c6…
04-22 04:30:52	spy up or down on april 22 2026	Down	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x39e863…
04-22 04:30:52	spy up or down on april 22 2026	Down	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x18e206…
04-22 04:30:28	spy up or down on april 22 2026	Down	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0xe9b3cc…
04-22 04:30:20	spy up or down on april 22 2026	Down	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xf62318…
04-22 04:05:02	spy up or down on april 22 2026	Down	SELL	277	22¢	$61	0xedaf5b…
04-22 02:11:18	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	214	94¢	$200	0xb4cd35…
04-22 01:34:06	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	651	93¢	$608	0xe3f42e…
04-22 00:19:44	wti up or down on april 22 2026	Down	SELL	113	56¢	$63	0x3d6a93…
04-22 00:16:02	spy up or down on april 22 2026	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xab9c29…
04-22 00:16:00	spy up or down on april 22 2026	Down	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x9fa242…
04-22 00:15:58	spy up or down on april 22 2026	Down	BUY	95	32¢	$30	0xd10b14…
04-22 00:15:56	spy up or down on april 22 2026	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x42236d…
04-22 00:15:56	spy up or down on april 22 2026	Down	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x310c99…
04-22 00:15:54	spy up or down on april 22 2026	Down	BUY	95	33¢	$31	0xe78028…