Boring-Millimeter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$459

Unrealized P&L

-$33

Hit rate

39.2%

Resolved

228

Trades

528

lifetime

Volume

$2.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-25 05:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 107 days

Categories

Other

51% 23% -$236

Crypto

26% 17% -$130

Politics

23% 21% -$93

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes		+176	$9	6¢	$11	+$3	10-17 18:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes		+660	$36	0¢	$1	-$35	10-08 19:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	9	$244	1,248	1,248	+0	No	+$8	06-08 07:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	16	$143	5,315	3,194	+2,122	No	-$52	09-29 11:46
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$103	124	124	+0	Yes	+$1	01-15 18:30
will wti reach 140 in june 2026 374	7	$96	2,080	2,080	+0	No	-$38	06-11 20:44
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	2	$78	1,026	1,026	+0	No	-$4	06-04 10:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	5	$74	1,135	475	+660	open	—	10-08 19:20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	12	$71	2,312	2,312	+0	No	-$5	09-14 17:05
will starmer say trump during the next prime ministers questions event 642	4	$69	90	90	+0	No	-$7	03-25 07:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7?	2	$67	441	441	+0	No	+$48	06-02 15:46
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 15 20260810150912478	7	$55	1,202	655	+546	No	-$25	08-19 19:04
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	5	$53	566	566	+0	No	+$7	05-23 03:59
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	6	$50	656	656	+0	open	—	09-25 15:35
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	1	$50	51	0	+51	No	+$1	01-15 18:31
israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418	1	$50	51	0	+51	No	+$1	01-16 09:47
bitcoin above 62k on july 17 2026	6	$47	254	210	+44	Yes	-$8	07-17 08:18
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?	2	$46	60	60	+0	Yes	+$20	05-22 05:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	4	$40	222	222	+0	No	-$14	05-29 23:07
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	13	$36	1,682	932	+750	No	-$7	08-22 22:50
will wti reach 150 in june 2026 555	5	$36	1,207	1,207	+0	No	-$13	06-11 17:44
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	4	$32	714	714	+0	No	-$4	06-05 23:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$31	344	344	+0	No	-$4	05-23 18:48
epl mun mac 2026 01 17 mac	1	$30	60	0	+60	No	-$30	01-17 08:01
bitcoin above 64k on july 14 2026	4	$30	115	115	+0	Yes	+$20	07-14 14:09
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	3	$28	229	170	+59	No	-$10	08-17 19:01
Will England win on 2026-07-01?	3	$27	16	16	+0	Yes	+$2	07-01 17:52
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	2	$27	18	18	+0	Yes	+$7	07-04 18:45
houthis successfully target shipping by march 31	2	$26	142	142	+0	No	-$24	04-01 04:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	3	$25	228	228	+0	Yes	+$4	05-18 01:14
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	6	$25	531	531	+0	Yes	-$9	07-28 12:57
bitcoin above 66k on july 21 2026	2	$23	51	51	+0	Yes	+$9	07-20 18:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 05:47:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	520	0¢	$1	0x5e621f…
10-25 05:46:47	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	55	2¢	$1	0x580a92…
10-22 18:36:36	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	55	4¢	$2	0x5d0292…
10-19 07:14:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 21?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$3	0xd9bf07…
10-18 00:47:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$3	0x527bfd…
10-18 00:47:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	Yes	SELL	300	1¢	$3	0x8aaf8f…
10-17 18:30:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	BUY	176	5¢	$9	0xb61976…
10-17 00:35:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x5c4843…
10-17 00:34:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	700	1¢	$7	0x05fcf2…
10-15 19:42:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	157	1¢	$1	0x25dbc9…
10-15 02:34:52	bitcoin above 86k on october 17 2026	Yes	BUY	27	5¢	$1	0xbefa57…
10-15 02:33:46	will wti dip to 70 in october 2026	Yes	SELL	49	1¢	$0	0x912a52…
10-15 02:33:38	will wti dip to 65 in october 2026	Yes	SELL	104	1¢	$1	0x164172…
10-11 23:45:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?	Yes	BUY	49	3¢	$2	0x899b77…
10-11 23:44:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 12?	Yes	SELL	44	4¢	$2	0xe06f58…
10-08 22:17:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	106	4¢	$4	0x229347…
10-08 22:16:21	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	Yes	SELL	45	10¢	$5	0x224685…
10-08 19:20:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	BUY	660	2¢	$15	0x099518…
10-08 19:19:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	SELL	275	2¢	$5	0xbe2bca…
10-08 18:48:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?	Yes	BUY	104	2¢	$2	0xae38c8…
10-08 16:27:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	44	8¢	$4	0x6c8c34…
10-08 11:35:47	Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	39¢	$16	0xdb7bcc…
10-07 02:14:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	530	1¢	$7	0x9c600f…
10-06 02:47:40	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x0a8097…
10-05 17:53:23	Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x5ef624…
09-29 11:46:50	will bitcoin reach 90k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	83	2¢	$1	0xb41158…
09-29 11:46:30	Pakistan military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	1¢	$0	0xdcfcb2…
09-29 11:46:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	SELL	598	0¢	$1	0x467bc3…
09-27 21:58:30	Pakistan military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	3¢	$2	0x70c633…
09-27 21:54:53	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Yes	SELL	16	5¢	$1	0x6d43b1…
09-27 21:54:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 29?	Yes	SELL	69	1¢	$1	0xdf8007…
09-25 19:01:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 29?	Yes	BUY	69	2¢	$1	0xf2cfdd…
09-25 15:38:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	BUY	275	8¢	$22	0x88b69a…
09-25 15:35:08	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	276	4¢	$10	0xa36c34…
09-25 15:35:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0xc497c7…
09-21 16:14:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	276	4¢	$10	0x0fc8ec…
09-20 18:27:45	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Yes	BUY	159	7¢	$11	0xc1207e…
09-20 18:27:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	281	4¢	$12	0x25b78b…
09-17 19:36:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	281	4¢	$11	0x770732…
09-17 19:35:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x40ef77…
09-16 08:23:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17?	No	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x265089…
09-16 08:23:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	SELL	113	1¢	$1	0xc43e91…
09-15 16:41:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x28e039…
09-15 16:41:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	BUY	2,833	1¢	$34	0x3d2704…
09-15 16:40:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	SELL	1,207	1¢	$13	0x2684ba…
09-15 07:42:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x2c9e41…
09-15 07:42:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	SELL	105	1¢	$1	0x0a5a3f…
09-14 17:05:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,312	1¢	$17	0x5843d7…
09-14 17:05:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	SELL	557	1¢	$6	0x93b538…
09-14 17:05:03	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	SELL	1,429	1¢	$11	0xbea211…
09-13 05:55:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	BUY	557	2¢	$13	0xdbf145…
09-13 05:54:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	SELL	321	2¢	$6	0x27d87a…
09-10 06:17:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,429	1¢	$10	0x5591e0…
09-07 21:48:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x858f50…
09-02 17:34:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	BUY	321	3¢	$9	0x2f6ed9…
09-02 17:33:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	SELL	157	3¢	$4	0x022470…
08-24 20:00:28	bitcoin above 86k on august 27 2026	Yes	BUY	51	3¢	$1	0x4ea92b…
08-24 19:59:43	bitcoin above 86k on august 27 2026	Yes	SELL	31	2¢	$1	0xadfae5…
08-24 19:59:37	us x iran ceasefire continues through august 25	No	SELL	139	1¢	$1	0x7d1c5b…
08-24 18:05:30	bitcoin above 86k on august 27 2026	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xf2fcac…
08-24 18:04:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	SELL	21	5¢	$1	0x5dbece…
08-24 18:00:43	us x iran ceasefire continues through august 25	No	BUY	139	1¢	$1	0x67999d…
08-24 18:00:12	bitcoin above 86k on august 27 2026	Yes	SELL	49	2¢	$1	0xbecb2b…
08-24 10:45:19	bitcoin above 86k on august 27 2026	Yes	BUY	49	3¢	$1	0xc886a9…
08-24 10:44:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0xce67a4…
08-22 22:50:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$3	0xea2efe…
08-22 22:50:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0xa50c9e…
08-22 22:50:21	bitcoin above 70k on august 25 2026	No	SELL	37	1¢	$0	0xcf05f1…
08-22 22:50:09	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	80	2¢	$1	0x3fffe8…
08-22 16:10:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xc893d3…
08-22 16:03:27	bitcoin above 70k on august 25 2026	No	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x69fe2a…
08-21 12:59:37	bitcoin above 68k on august 25 2026	No	BUY	52	3¢	$1	0x34c1e6…
08-21 12:58:45	bitcoin above 66k on august 25 2026	No	BUY	75	2¢	$2	0x28b5dc…
08-21 09:01:15	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0x39371e…
08-20 18:33:34	will bitcoin reach 78k august 17 23 2026	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0x5ebdcc…
08-20 16:22:54	bitcoin above 66k on august 24 2026	No	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x2d8d81…
08-20 13:38:51	bitcoin above 68k on august 21 2026	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x4bd738…
08-20 11:42:01	will bitcoin reach 78k august 17 23 2026	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xb0ba35…
08-20 10:37:40	us x iran ceasefire continues through august 22	No	BUY	103	3¢	$3	0xd2b522…
08-20 10:37:27	us x iran ceasefire continues through august 22	No	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0x020ba1…
08-20 10:37:15	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	45	7¢	$3	0x3c30fb…
08-20 10:36:25	us x iran ceasefire continues through august 22	No	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x732b04…
08-20 08:21:48	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	45	4¢	$2	0xcb467b…
08-20 04:37:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$3	0xdc77b1…
08-20 04:37:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	117	0¢	$1	0x0f8c27…
08-19 19:04:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 15 20260810150912478	Yes	BUY	546	2¢	$12	0x336368…
08-19 19:04:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 15 20260810150912478	Yes	SELL	433	2¢	$8	0xbd445f…
08-19 19:02:34	bitcoin above 72k on august 20 2026	Yes	SELL	31	3¢	$1	0x002a5e…
08-19 19:02:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	167	1¢	$2	0x46def6…
08-19 15:42:48	bitcoin above 72k on august 20 2026	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x09804e…
08-19 15:30:18	bitcoin above 62k on august 25 2026	No	BUY	53	4¢	$2	0xeaba28…
08-19 15:29:04	bitcoin above 70k on august 25 2026	Yes	SELL	56	27¢	$15	0x935300…
08-19 14:58:09	bitcoin above 70k on august 25 2026	Yes	BUY	56	4¢	$2	0xe7497e…
08-19 14:55:30	bitcoin above 62k on august 23 2026	No	SELL	29	2¢	$1	0x7d7a4f…
08-19 14:09:01	bitcoin above 66k on august 20 2026	Yes	SELL	24	23¢	$6	0x222720…
08-19 12:47:46	bitcoin above 62k on august 20 2026	No	SELL	39	1¢	$0	0x5bb757…
08-19 12:45:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xd970f6…
08-19 08:53:40	bitcoin above 66k on august 20 2026	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0xe5729a…
08-18 18:40:45	bitcoin above 62k on august 23 2026	No	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x108edf…
08-18 07:06:45	bitcoin above 62k on august 20 2026	No	BUY	39	4¢	$2	0x4dd8db…