Ordinary-Century — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

134

lifetime

Volume

$13.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$97

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 05-30 12:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 100% +$2

Other

20% 100% +$12

Sports

15% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$272	137	137	+0	open	—	02-07 03:53
Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$267	133	133	+0	open	—	02-13 09:16
Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$266	133	133	+0	open	—	02-10 11:10
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$243	122	122	+0	open	—	03-02 07:28
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$243	123	123	+0	open	—	03-02 07:52
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$240	120	120	+0	open	—	03-03 11:29
will tyrrell hatton win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$236	119	119	+0	open	—	04-05 11:43
Will Yulia Putintseva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	2	$234	117	117	+0	open	—	04-25 03:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	2	$234	117	117	+0	open	—	05-28 11:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	2	$234	117	117	+0	open	—	04-26 12:27
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$218	109	109	+0	open	—	03-27 08:36
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$217	109	109	+0	open	—	03-24 12:02
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	2	$216	108	108	+0	open	—	04-14 08:50
Will Ethereum dip to $400 in April?	2	$216	108	108	+0	open	—	04-14 09:08
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 9	1	$137	137	0	+137	open	—	02-09 11:45
will ethereum reach 2600 february 2 8	1	$137	137	0	+137	open	—	02-08 12:01
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 7	1	$137	137	0	+137	open	—	02-07 04:04
will the price of xrp be less than 1pt40 on february 5	1	$136	137	0	+137	open	—	02-05 16:40
ethereum above 1800 on february 15	1	$133	133	0	+133	open	—	02-15 07:41
bitcoin above 60k on february 12	1	$133	133	0	+133	open	—	02-12 12:23
ethereum above 1600 on february 13	1	$133	133	0	+133	open	—	02-13 09:31
ethereum above 2300 on february 11	1	$133	133	0	+133	open	—	02-11 06:07
ethereum above 1700 on february 10	1	$133	133	0	+133	open	—	02-10 11:19
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.25 Week of May 11 2026?	1	$133	133	0	+133	open	—	05-15 05:52
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 14?	1	$133	133	0	+133	open	—	05-14 10:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	1	$132	133	0	+133	No	+$0	05-13 11:52
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 12?	1	$132	132	0	+132	Yes	+$0	05-12 07:12
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $472.50 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$131	131	0	+131	open	—	05-22 04:14
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	1	$130	130	0	+130	open	—	05-24 07:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?	1	$129	129	0	+129	open	—	05-25 12:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 12:23:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xe5cde1…
05-28 11:23:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	105	99¢	$105	0x09b41e…
05-28 11:12:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	No	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0x166d9c…
05-28 09:58:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x555cef…
05-25 12:02:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0x93ed9a…
05-24 07:26:30	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x12aead…
05-24 07:03:36	LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Team Vitality	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x32ba59…
05-23 04:22:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x300ca5…
05-23 04:20:01	Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings	Punjab Kings	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xaf2c13…
05-22 04:14:01	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $472.50 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x69f255…
05-21 07:58:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	1,833	0¢	$6	0x48143e…
05-20 06:47:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x189e17…
05-20 06:14:48	AHL: Coachella Valley Firebirds vs. Colorado Eagles	Colorado Eagles	BUY	13	57¢	$8	0xc7087c…
05-19 03:44:39	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	HANJIN BRION	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xa76225…
05-18 04:23:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x0576fe…
05-18 03:46:01	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Panna Udvardy	Panna Udvardy	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0x3c0ae2…
05-17 12:11:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	1,736	0¢	$6	0xf2d3ec…
05-15 05:52:20	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.25 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0xcea467…
05-14 10:56:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0xa36a78…
05-13 11:52:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$132	0xdd7eda…
05-12 07:12:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0xf7c8cc…
05-11 06:35:05	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Astralis	BUY	11	69¢	$7	0x3e0b12…
05-10 05:56:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xc544ab…
05-09 12:46:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0xd2578e…
05-08 04:01:08	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $165 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0x8ffcd8…
05-07 08:55:30	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xe6433f…
05-07 08:31:18	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marie Bouzkova vs Taylor Townsend	Taylor Townsend	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0x390bbb…
05-05 02:57:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x7c6e02…
05-04 08:19:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x91905a…
05-03 07:58:32	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x94816b…
05-02 12:04:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	119	99¢	$118	0xa3263c…
05-01 08:45:06	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $248 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	119	99¢	$118	0xb05c7b…
04-30 09:49:00	Will Google reach $400 in April?	No	BUY	118	99¢	$117	0x04ef32…
04-28 10:21:00	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x32d6a1…
04-27 06:34:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xf14e17…
04-26 12:30:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x7da0dd…
04-26 12:27:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0x00fcda…
04-26 12:09:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xadab0e…
04-25 04:02:30	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xc3ec77…
04-25 03:57:54	Will Yulia Putintseva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0x5ceab8…
04-25 03:42:14	Will Yulia Putintseva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x7de49f…
04-24 10:11:18	bitcoin above 82k on april 24	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x9c2333…
04-24 09:20:42	Madrid Open: Caty McNally vs Victoria Mboko	Victoria Mboko	BUY	9	73¢	$7	0xfc6e6c…
04-23 12:26:14	ethereum above 2100 on april 23	Yes	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x1a7075…
04-22 12:12:50	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 22	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xd3d000…
04-21 10:16:04	bitcoin above 72k on april 21	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x62612a…
04-20 04:31:14	ethereum above 2600 on april 20	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x1f26e5…
04-20 03:35:54	Gwangju: August Holmgren vs Yunchaokete Bu	August Holmgren	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x6342de…
04-19 12:51:54	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 19	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xb29e7e…
04-17 03:31:00	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 380 399	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x313936…
04-16 09:37:10	ethereum above 2100 on april 16	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x98d398…
04-15 10:25:30	bitcoin above 70k on april 15	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$117	0xfe8e43…
04-14 09:10:35	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 14	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x9c1e71…
04-14 09:08:47	Will Ethereum dip to $400 in April?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0x7139ff…
04-14 08:52:57	Will Ethereum dip to $400 in April?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x110c21…
04-14 08:50:55	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0x40ea24…
04-14 08:32:01	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x063777…
04-14 08:28:35	mlb wsh pit 2026 04 14	Washington Nationals	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xad27b9…
04-13 08:43:25	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 13	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x7f7ec2…
04-13 08:43:03	ethereum above 2400 on april 13	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0x9ab573…
04-13 08:42:17	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$4	0xffaf79…
04-12 05:14:21	bitcoin above 76k on april 12	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x6dfdb3…
04-12 03:38:43	mlb mia det 2026 04 12	Detroit Tigers	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x456179…
04-11 11:20:23	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 115 139	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x15459a…
04-09 12:08:11	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 9	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xf3371b…
04-08 05:03:19	ethereum above 1900 on april 8	Yes	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x8a757b…
04-07 04:11:03	ethereum above 1800 on april 7	Yes	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xa72a95…
04-07 03:37:55	nba min ind 2026 04 07	Pacers	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xb025be…
04-05 11:46:05	bitcoin above 70k on april 5	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x9866b3…
04-05 11:43:45	will tyrrell hatton win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	119	99¢	$118	0x3afa28…
04-05 11:28:17	will tyrrell hatton win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	119	99¢	$118	0xc88340…
04-04 09:44:59	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 165 189	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x1a0057…
04-04 08:47:59	mlb tor cws 2026 04 04	Chicago White Sox	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xde987f…
04-03 04:30:27	bitcoin above 62k on april 3	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x1a9572…
04-02 09:01:01	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on april 2	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xc57dde…
03-31 12:36:15	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	BUY	111	100¢	$110	0x9ba3bf…
03-30 04:30:34	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 30	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xc9a646…
03-29 12:40:44	ethereum above 1800 on march 29	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x46720b…
03-29 01:53:56	will xrp dip to 1pt25 on march 28	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x109644…
03-28 05:21:11	ethereum above 1800 on march 28	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xf25f34…
03-27 08:45:45	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 320 339	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x6ba96a…
03-27 08:38:41	nba hou mem 2026 03 27	Rockets	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x4e2152…
03-27 08:36:55	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	109	99¢	$109	0xed09f3…
03-27 07:46:13	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xcf8774…
03-26 13:52:01	bitcoin above 66k on march 26	Yes	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x4d7344…
03-25 08:27:37	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 115 139	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x9ded1a…
03-24 12:07:57	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 420 439	No	BUY	109	100¢	$108	0x4c0b0f…
03-24 12:02:39	Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	109	100¢	$108	0xbe4aa2…
03-24 11:29:17	Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x992808…
03-21 05:51:03	ethereum above 2300 on march 21	No	BUY	109	100¢	$108	0xafa10e…
03-20 12:43:19	ethereum above 1900 on march 20	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x68cd6b…
03-17 11:52:35	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 17	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x88f78a…
03-16 11:53:03	ethereum above 2000 on march 16	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x03d87d…
03-14 12:27:25	will kate hudson win best actress at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x0fbc80…
03-13 11:04:03	bitcoin above 66k on march 13	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x1a8421…
03-12 06:45:03	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 12	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x766e1f…
03-12 05:59:09	lol ve bw 2026 03 12	Bushido Wildcats	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xeb42d9…
03-10 09:39:03	bitcoin above 78k on march 10	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xd36aec…
03-09 04:40:01	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 9	No	BUY	107	100¢	$106	0x4b1b67…
03-08 08:40:25	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 8	No	BUY	107	100¢	$106	0xf539ee…