Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.16K

Unrealized P&L

+$610

Hit rate

73.1%

Resolved

Trades

465

lifetime

Volume

$88.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$190

Open exposure

$10.3K

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-07 10:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

55% 78% +$2,543

Tech

22% 80% +$2,518

Politics

22% 50% +$1,201

Crypto

1% 0% -$102

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?	No	+7,103	$5,014	89¢	$6.3K	+$1,308	10-21 14:32
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31?	No	+1,576	$1,095	98¢	$1.5K	+$442	11-05 09:35
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	No	+3,916	$1,101	32¢	$1.3K	+$172	10-09 06:14
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+4,000	$400	12¢	$500	+$100	09-07 07:17
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+500	$345	78¢	$388	+$43	09-16 17:55
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+10,000	$1,500	3¢	$265	-$1,235	09-08 18:21
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+527	$163	8¢	$44	-$120	09-25 15:54
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+0	$100	2¢	$0	-$100	11-04 15:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?	29	$13.1K	10,653	10,653	+0	open	—	11-06 20:04
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?	12	$7.2K	4,397	4,397	+0	open	—	11-07 10:38
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	11	$5.9K	3,952	3,952	+0	No	-$619	09-11 13:26
Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?	68	$5.0K	7,103	0	+7,103	open	—	10-21 14:32
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31?	5	$4.4K	3,468	1,892	+1,576	open	—	11-05 09:35
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?	6	$4.4K	3,623	3,623	+0	No	+$1,859	09-21 00:25
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	8	$3.8K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$310	10-29 17:50
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?	3	$3.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	10-29 17:51
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	7	$3.2K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$698	09-18 01:02
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	38	$2.3K	4,419	4,419	+0	open	—	10-05 04:51
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	12	$1.9K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$939	11-04 02:53
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $300B by December 31?	2	$1.9K	980	976	+4	open	—	10-14 10:14
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	3	$1.7K	1,262	1,262	+0	Yes	+$117	09-19 00:53
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	4	$1.6K	932	932	+0	No	+$2	09-10 16:09
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	2	$1.5K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	09-08 18:21
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	7	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$60	01-27 23:52
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	3	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$559	11-05 14:02
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?	4	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$660	11-04 06:57
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	4	$1.1K	600	600	+0	Yes	+$50	09-09 18:02
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	5	$1.1K	1,200	1,200	+0	Yes	-$274	11-04 00:02
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	1	$1.1K	3,916	0	+3,916	open	—	10-09 06:14
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?	11	$1.1K	1,522	1,505	+16	No	+$533	09-09 17:32
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1150?	26	$1.0K	536	536	+0	Yes	+$46	09-11 09:03
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200?	8	$967	1,700	451	+1,249	No	+$305	09-09 08:47
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?	12	$896	602	602	+0	No	+$306	09-15 06:03
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	4	$862	500	500	+0	open	—	10-29 17:54
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	5	$840	500	500	+0	open	—	11-05 14:24
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $1,800?	12	$785	823	0	+823	Yes	+$39	09-09 03:47
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$741	14,564	14,564	+0	open	—	11-04 15:26
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	3	$740	500	500	+0	open	—	09-13 20:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 10:38:16	Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1,220	89¢	$1,086	0x9ba0d4…
11-06 20:04:24	Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?	No	SELL	693	79¢	$547	0xa4d55f…
11-06 19:01:36	Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?	No	SELL	460	79¢	$363	0x8cb309…
11-06 05:08:34	Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?	No	SELL	1,092	73¢	$801	0xffd0be…
11-05 14:24:42	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	466	99¢	$462	0xacb8d8…
11-05 14:11:01	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$33	0xcb4601…
11-05 14:02:31	Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	890	100¢	$889	0x14c512…
11-05 10:01:21	Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x16363e…
11-05 09:35:27	Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31?	No	BUY	1,576	86¢	$1,355	0x14d61f…
11-04 16:26:33	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	101	24¢	$24	0x11c814…
11-04 16:26:22	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	211	24¢	$50	0x0aa5e4…
11-04 16:24:45	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	SELL	144	24¢	$34	0xcac93e…
11-04 16:24:22	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x73074c…
11-04 16:24:21	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	24	24¢	$6	0x6e26df…
11-04 15:26:27	Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	9,710	2¢	$214	0x548fa2…
11-04 13:54:45	Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1,265	2¢	$28	0x855fa7…
11-04 13:52:51	Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3,589	2¢	$79	0x9a44b2…
11-04 08:38:13	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	136	26¢	$35	0x51b6f8…
11-04 08:38:13	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0x44f3dd…
11-04 07:39:33	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	26	27¢	$7	0xc886ed…
11-04 07:37:34	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	13	27¢	$4	0x662b7e…
11-04 07:37:24	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xb11a8f…
11-04 07:36:55	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0x1e0ccc…
11-04 07:36:55	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	80	27¢	$22	0x09eb88…
11-04 07:36:37	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	SELL	429	72¢	$310	0x92d1b4…
11-04 07:36:22	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	SELL	2	72¢	$2	0x6dcfec…
11-04 07:28:25	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x41fdc2…
11-04 07:27:51	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	SELL	41	73¢	$30	0x6bfa64…
11-04 07:27:37	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0xae077e…
11-04 06:57:12	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	SELL	851	99¢	$843	0x3b2a3e…
11-04 05:33:21	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	SELL	149	99¢	$147	0x075098…
11-04 04:54:33	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	52	31¢	$16	0x94676c…
11-04 04:54:24	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	105	31¢	$33	0x296c4c…
11-04 04:54:16	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	343	31¢	$106	0xc1a938…
11-04 03:25:03	Will Democrats win older women in the midterms?	No	SELL	330	6¢	$20	0xa0dfa6…
11-04 03:24:31	Will Democrats win older women in the midterms?	No	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x8eb926…
11-04 02:56:10	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	SELL	500	98¢	$490	0x6e7b97…
11-04 02:53:55	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0xb4a9ee…
11-04 02:53:55	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	SELL	500	97¢	$485	0x225596…
11-04 02:53:21	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	SELL	274	97¢	$266	0x1e3f18…
11-04 02:40:03	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	SELL	85	94¢	$80	0x6968a4…
11-04 02:38:31	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	SELL	490	94¢	$461	0xfaa8d2…
11-04 02:30:15	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$47	0x50f0d8…
11-04 02:29:42	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x7c7989…
11-04 02:01:55	Will Democrats win older women in the midterms?	No	BUY	300	9¢	$27	0xb91eb7…
11-04 01:58:42	Will Republicans win 8–9% of the Black vote?	Yes	BUY	314	35¢	$110	0x77de6c…
11-04 00:02:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	700	1¢	$5	0x20ffba…
11-03 03:54:07	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	400	34¢	$135	0x180924…
11-03 03:24:27	Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	14,564	3¢	$420	0xc345f0…
11-03 03:14:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	200	37¢	$73	0xbfd1d2…
11-03 03:04:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	69	40¢	$28	0x984bf7…
11-03 03:04:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	102	40¢	$41	0x7aea97…
11-03 03:03:52	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	129	40¢	$52	0x9f1147…
11-03 02:17:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	300	48¢	$144	0xa69cc9…
11-03 01:07:12	Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,000	44¢	$440	0x766069…
11-02 23:24:12	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	800	33¢	$264	0xcddca3…
11-02 23:22:25	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	99	33¢	$33	0xbb2850…
11-02 23:22:24	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	401	33¢	$132	0x2703a0…
11-02 23:17:10	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	BUY	230	33¢	$76	0x8703b1…
11-02 22:09:51	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	BUY	270	33¢	$89	0x72f6cb…
11-02 21:59:31	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x6f4f63…
11-02 19:56:52	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	BUY	389	33¢	$128	0x78a375…
11-02 19:38:34	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	BUY	597	33¢	$197	0x31e1db…
11-02 19:37:12	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	1,141	31¢	$354	0x47f9b4…
11-02 19:26:42	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0x048bf6…
11-02 00:17:57	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	1,141	25¢	$285	0x07ab4b…
10-29 20:38:52	Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?	No	SELL	525	49¢	$257	0x41f4d9…
10-29 17:54:04	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	500	94¢	$472	0xd64f41…
10-29 17:53:53	Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1,328	84¢	$1,110	0x832eac…
10-29 17:52:07	Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?	No	SELL	662	63¢	$417	0xed4ab0…
10-29 17:51:49	Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,000	94¢	$1,881	0x5ef482…
10-29 17:50:59	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	3,000	68¢	$2,040	0x7c8deb…
10-29 14:49:52	Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?	No	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0xad0f3e…
10-26 20:54:03	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	259	26¢	$68	0x780632…
10-26 20:52:38	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	26	28¢	$7	0xb80010…
10-26 20:52:33	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x37a13b…
10-26 20:51:33	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	161	28¢	$45	0xda76cc…
10-26 20:51:32	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	44	28¢	$12	0x09a845…
10-26 20:50:03	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	500	30¢	$148	0x9e701b…
10-25 05:59:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	500	83¢	$415	0xb0f175…
10-25 02:49:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	500	83¢	$415	0xb3aa35…
10-23 18:53:18	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x977cbf…
10-23 18:52:41	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	300	78¢	$234	0xc3ace9…
10-23 18:39:12	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	136	78¢	$106	0xa67bf6…
10-21 14:32:38	Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?	No	BUY	135	61¢	$82	0x4d76aa…
10-20 16:46:26	Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31?	No	SELL	1,892	89¢	$1,676	0x41816d…
10-20 06:37:52	Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?	No	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0xb4464f…
10-20 06:37:52	Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?	No	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0x7a939b…
10-20 06:37:52	Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?	No	BUY	41	69¢	$28	0x4df8f0…
10-20 06:37:52	Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?	No	BUY	305	69¢	$211	0x393dc7…
10-19 14:29:23	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	62¢	$1,240	0x4a2a08…
10-17 18:51:24	Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xbb92ca…
10-17 18:51:24	Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?	No	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0x3fd34a…
10-17 18:51:03	Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xa740cb…
10-17 18:51:03	Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?	No	BUY	112	71¢	$79	0x47ef02…
10-17 11:45:32	Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xe44f87…
10-17 11:45:32	Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x8508e2…
10-17 11:45:30	Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?	No	BUY	83	73¢	$61	0x566eea…
10-17 11:45:30	Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?	No	BUY	292	73¢	$213	0x4de567…
10-16 19:45:37	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	BUY	1,000	36¢	$360	0xff5902…