Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$69

Unrealized P&L

-$2.38K

Hit rate

1.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$9.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$555

Open exposure

$629

3 positions

First seen

2026-07-29

last 10-25 17:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

100% 0% -$47

Crypto

0% 33% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	+11,425	$3,001	6¢	$628	-$2,373	09-20 19:56
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+38	$3	2¢	$1	-$2	10-25 10:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	+62	$5	1¢	$1	-$4	10-25 10:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	6	$9.6K	26,635	15,210	+11,425	open	—	09-20 19:56
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026	2	$314	2,452	2,452	+0	No	-$30	09-21 06:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 17:25 UTC	1	$25	145	0	+145	Down	-$25	09-14 17:28
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$7	2,287	0	+2,287	No	-$7	07-29 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	+$7	10-25 10:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$5	38	0	+38	Down	-$5	10-25 17:26
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 5 - 1 Real Madrid CF?	1	$5	179	0	+179	No	-$5	10-25 17:28
Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?	1	$5	99	0	+99	open	—	10-25 10:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	1	$5	62	0	+62	open	—	10-25 10:44
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Real Madrid CF?	1	$5	56	0	+56	No	-$5	10-25 17:24
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	1	$3	38	0	+38	open	—	10-25 10:24
Will Vance peak at Category 4?	1	$3	140	0	+140	open	—	10-25 10:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 17:28:15	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 5 - 1 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	179	3¢	$5	0xbbb487…
10-25 17:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x4b6d6e…
10-25 17:24:30	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x81a377…
10-25 10:44:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x45dca4…
10-25 10:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x055707…
10-25 10:40:42	Will Vance peak at Category 4?	Yes	BUY	140	2¢	$3	0xfd228e…
10-25 10:25:50	Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?	Yes	BUY	99	5¢	$5	0xc9a1b3…
10-25 10:24:18	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x02a060…
09-21 06:41:29	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026	Yes	SELL	2,452	6¢	$142	0xed1f7d…
09-20 19:56:56	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11,239	27¢	$3,090	0x161313…
09-20 19:15:13	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15,210	22¢	$3,303	0xd5f02b…
09-18 20:40:51	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026	Yes	BUY	2,452	7¢	$172	0x90194d…
09-15 19:33:09	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,948	33¢	$643	0x7498e7…
09-14 17:28:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	145	17¢	$25	0xaa8a5b…
09-14 17:25:46	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7,500	20¢	$1,500	0xb260f9…
09-14 13:11:33	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	392	18¢	$71	0xb3a09d…
09-14 13:09:16	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5,556	18¢	$1,000	0xb8439c…
07-29 17:03:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,287	0¢	$7	0x4864d5…