Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$123

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

17.7%

Resolved

126

Trades

171

lifetime

Volume

$220

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-07-19

last 11-01 19:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 92 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 15% -$94

Politics

21% 0% -$29

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes		+3,000	$3	0¢	$4	+$2	10-31 19:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Romeu Zema qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	4	$20	20,000	0	+20,000	No	-$20	10-03 21:48
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$11	11,060	0	+11,060	open	—	11-01 19:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 1?	1	$6	6,000	0	+6,000	No	-$6	10-31 17:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 1?	1	$6	6,000	0	+6,000	No	-$6	10-31 17:54
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$6	6,000	0	+6,000	open	—	10-31 18:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:30 UTC	2	$4	35	0	+35	Down	-$2	09-17 20:32
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$4	4,000	0	+4,000	No	-$4	10-03 22:00
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$3	3,000	0	+3,000	No	-$3	10-03 22:00
2026 Balance of Power: Other	1	$3	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	10-31 19:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 20:45 UTC	3	$3	5	0	+5	Down	+$2	09-14 20:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 20:45 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	08-26 20:50
bitcoin above 78k on september 4 2026	2	$3	37	37	+0	Yes	+$1	09-04 13:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 2?	2	$2	6	6	+0	No	+$0	09-01 22:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 10?	2	$2	3	3	+0	No	+$0	09-09 22:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 3?	2	$2	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	09-03 06:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 19?	2	$2	6	6	+0	No	+$0	09-18 22:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 20?	1	$2	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$2	10-19 19:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 19:05 UTC	2	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$0	08-28 19:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:40 UTC	2	$2	4	0	+4	Up	$0	09-15 08:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 20:50 UTC	2	$2	5	0	+5	Down	-$1	09-14 20:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:40 UTC	2	$2	4	0	+4	Down	+$0	09-17 20:36
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$2	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$2	10-03 22:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 21:10 UTC	2	$2	4	0	+4	Up	$0	07-21 21:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 19:25 UTC	2	$2	4	0	+4	Up	$0	08-05 19:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 18:10 UTC	2	$2	4	0	+4	Up	$0	08-02 18:03
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 19:10 UTC	2	$2	4	0	+4	Up	$0	08-28 19:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 17:55 UTC	2	$2	4	0	+4	Down	+$0	07-22 17:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 16:25 UTC	2	$2	4	0	+4	Up	$0	07-26 16:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 19:20 UTC	2	$2	4	0	+4	Up	$0	08-03 19:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 18:55 UTC	2	$2	4	0	+4	Up	$0	07-30 18:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 19:35:15	Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	1,060	0¢	$1	0xb22093…
10-31 19:22:25	2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x5f8d41…
10-31 18:02:22	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	6,000	0¢	$6	0xb03808…
10-31 18:01:19	Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xa8bda6…
10-31 17:54:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6,000	0¢	$6	0x39fef8…
10-31 17:54:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6,000	0¢	$6	0x80198d…
10-30 19:16:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,090	0¢	$1	0xb81de7…
10-28 18:06:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	1,090	0¢	$1	0xdac601…
10-26 18:27:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	1,090	0¢	$1	0x58cb3d…
10-24 18:23:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	1,090	0¢	$1	0x5a2de4…
10-23 17:52:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	1,090	0¢	$1	0xb4890b…
10-22 20:12:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	1,090	0¢	$1	0xea74f5…
10-21 19:13:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	1,090	0¢	$1	0xce3cc6…
10-20 20:04:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	1,090	0¢	$1	0x927eb0…
10-19 19:41:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xf5f409…
10-18 17:53:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 19?	No	BUY	1,090	0¢	$1	0x82c765…
10-17 18:04:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 18?	No	BUY	1,090	0¢	$1	0x5ba3ea…
10-16 17:56:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 17?	No	BUY	1,090	0¢	$1	0x135b9c…
10-15 19:39:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	1,090	0¢	$1	0xef3c43…
10-14 19:30:24	bitcoin above 90k on october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	1,090	0¢	$1	0x02aa6b…
10-13 17:19:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 14?	No	BUY	1,090	0¢	$1	0xc13fc6…
10-12 18:27:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0e400f…
10-11 17:58:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd55089…
10-10 20:01:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 11?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf74f2f…
10-09 19:25:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 10?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x76489f…
10-08 19:06:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0742d8…
10-07 17:48:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x63ea48…
10-06 19:46:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4972db…
10-05 19:54:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 6?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdc2dde…
10-04 16:59:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x08388e…
10-03 22:01:19	Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x4bdd89…
10-03 22:00:55	Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x7aa368…
10-03 22:00:25	Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$4	0xc1c9d9…
10-03 21:53:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x17de9f…
10-03 21:48:14	Will Romeu Zema qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x061eb4…
10-03 21:47:17	Will Romeu Zema qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x20ce5f…
10-03 21:46:47	Will Romeu Zema qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x3d53e9…
10-03 21:45:19	Will Romeu Zema qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x6abb1a…
10-01 19:01:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x28223c…
09-30 18:15:26	bitcoin above 74k on october 1 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd7d4bc…
09-29 19:56:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa2ce56…
09-27 17:46:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on September 28?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4ad916…
09-25 20:55:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 26?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3d1a61…
09-24 19:03:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 25?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5bdf52…
09-23 19:24:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 24?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2db6eb…
09-22 19:21:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 23?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0e5e41…
09-21 19:36:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 22?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9e0009…
09-20 18:48:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 21?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbaf6bb…
09-19 20:57:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 20?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x25165a…
09-18 22:05:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 19?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xbfe217…
09-18 20:51:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 19?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xaa663b…
09-17 20:56:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5a1381…
09-17 20:36:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0e8ebd…
09-17 20:36:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe71005…
09-17 20:32:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x393cdd…
09-17 20:31:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x370875…
09-16 19:14:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 17?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6b61a7…
09-15 20:42:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 16?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x857ddf…
09-15 08:33:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1ff02f…
09-15 08:33:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcb1888…
09-14 20:52:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa0cd53…
09-14 20:51:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xffa797…
09-14 20:46:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x61be0a…
09-14 20:45:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc23c06…
09-14 20:45:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9eb463…
09-13 17:44:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 14?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa2694d…
09-12 12:32:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 12?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x4ba70f…
09-11 22:07:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 12?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x68b24f…
09-09 22:11:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 10?	No	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0x9cbe01…
09-09 19:48:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 10?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xdeabf7…
09-09 08:02:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 9?	No	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x42d1fb…
09-08 19:37:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 9?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x7d51b9…
09-08 07:34:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 8?	Yes	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x83e6d0…
09-07 20:06:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 8?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5b0deb…
09-07 08:01:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 7?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xe36d0b…
09-06 21:24:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 7?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x8e9bb8…
09-05 19:33:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 6?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x636171…
09-04 20:39:46	bitcoin above 80k on september 5 2026	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xac78f3…
09-04 19:50:06	bitcoin above 80k on september 5 2026	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x30d364…
09-04 13:46:54	bitcoin above 78k on september 4 2026	No	SELL	37	4¢	$2	0x3c22b7…
09-03 20:53:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 4?	No	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x68c652…
09-03 06:12:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 3?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x7662c9…
09-02 20:38:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 3?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb219f8…
09-01 22:05:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 2?	Yes	SELL	6	26¢	$1	0xad3a87…
09-01 18:38:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 2?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xbe106d…
09-01 13:09:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 1?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x9410ee…
09-01 13:09:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 1?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x947a27…
08-31 17:28:10	bitcoin above 80k on september 1 2026	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb68363…
08-30 19:03:09	bitcoin above 82k on september 1 2026	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x11de24…
08-29 20:29:31	bitcoin above 82k on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x3f23ed…
08-28 19:04:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x327f65…
08-28 19:03:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 19:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x982c5c…
08-28 19:03:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x36f0c2…
08-28 19:03:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8c87a5…
08-27 21:09:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd0099d…
08-26 20:50:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 20:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb437ea…
08-26 20:46:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0aeef9…
08-25 19:31:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x42f23e…
08-23 18:24:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 24?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x909399…
08-22 19:22:31	bitcoin above 54k on august 23 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x96cb10…