Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31.6K

Unrealized P&L

+$2.42K

Hit rate

28.9%

Resolved

2,375

Trades

6,800

lifetime

Volume

$258.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

$28.7K

30 positions

First seen

2026-08-10

last 10-27 06:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

90% 27% -$30,743

Politics

5% 33% -$497

Sports

4% 53% -$278

Crypto

1% 0% -$117

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 479 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	+8,908	$8,233	92¢	$8.2K	+$7	10-26 17:00
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	+5,414	$3,815	96¢	$5.2K	+$1,396	10-26 23:40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	+4,825	$3,720	94¢	$4.5K	+$792	10-16 18:30
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+2,848	$2,404	94¢	$2.7K	+$273	10-26 17:45
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	+1,519	$1,169	74¢	$1.1K	-$53	10-23 08:16
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	+3,285	$657	28¢	$908	+$252	10-26 08:45
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+2,228	$893	38¢	$858	-$35	10-27 07:30
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	+977	$664	66¢	$640	-$24	10-25 23:52
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	+676	$467	80¢	$538	+$71	10-15 06:06
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	+600	$395	72¢	$435	+$40	10-22 01:19
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	+460	$414	93¢	$428	+$14	10-04 09:40
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	+580	$395	66¢	$386	-$9	10-22 16:44
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	+2,862	$350	12¢	$358	+$8	10-22 15:37
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	No	+442	$340	68¢	$298	-$42	10-22 15:28
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	+357	$219	70¢	$248	+$29	10-23 18:59
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	+254	$245	97¢	$247	+$2	10-17 08:03
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	+839	$281	22¢	$180	-$100	10-21 11:06
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+1,840	$317	10¢	$175	-$142	10-09 22:53
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	No	+155	$145	97¢	$150	+$5	10-27 01:50
Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026?	No	+131	$124	100¢	$131	+$6	10-23 20:52
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	+1,001	$178	12¢	$121	-$57	10-22 15:38
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	+193	$124	55¢	$105	-$18	10-22 15:37
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	+425	$106	24¢	$100	-$6	10-24 11:49
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	+164	$112	59¢	$97	-$15	10-22 05:26
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	+297	$89	32¢	$93	+$4	10-12 06:32
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	+109	$94	82¢	$90	-$5	10-24 18:06
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	+1,538	$66	6¢	$85	+$18	10-27 03:01
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	+99	$80	85¢	$84	+$4	10-24 01:41
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+116	$76	67¢	$77	+$1	10-27 05:38
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	+101	$74	72¢	$73	-$1	10-27 06:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	238	$66.2K	135,823	0	+135,823	No	-$26,160	09-16 15:58
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	114	$47.1K	69,210	0	+69,210	Yes	-$6,789	09-16 15:29
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	21	$8.2K	8,908	0	+8,908	open	—	10-26 17:00
Argentina vs. Benin: Both Teams to Score	206	$7.6K	9,873	0	+9,873	No	+$2,286	10-06 13:22
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	82	$6.4K	9,173	0	+9,173	Yes	+$2,742	10-26 17:35
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	41	$5.6K	74,357	0	+74,357	No	-$119	09-16 14:44
Will Brazil win on 2026-10-03?	36	$4.0K	4,135	0	+4,135	Yes	+$110	10-03 13:43
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	20	$3.8K	5,865	0	+5,865	open	—	10-25 07:14
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	35	$3.8K	5,414	0	+5,414	open	—	10-26 23:40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	53	$3.8K	43,672	0	+43,672	No	-$311	09-16 15:50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	28	$2.7K	4,034	0	+4,034	open	—	10-26 17:45
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	11	$2.6K	2,991	0	+2,991	Spirit	+$263	10-25 07:05
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	93	$2.5K	8,422	0	+8,422	No	-$448	10-26 22:21
Argentina leading at halftime?	46	$2.2K	2,510	0	+2,510	No	-$2,167	10-05 15:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	10	$2.1K	3,000	2,830	+170	No	-$138	08-25 19:59
cs2 fal2 nip 2026 10 14	5	$2.0K	2,708	0	+2,708	Team Falcons	+$704	10-14 11:37
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	32	$2.0K	5,094	0	+5,094	No	+$119	10-26 22:14
atp zverev norrie 2026 09 29	6	$1.8K	2,067	0	+2,067	Alexander Zverev	+$233	10-01 07:58
Exact Score: Ipswich Town FC 0 - 3 Nottingham Forest FC?	3	$1.7K	1,790	0	+1,790	No	+$56	10-23 17:15
Wuhan Tennis Open: Ann Li vs Qinwen Zheng	17	$1.6K	3,139	0	+3,139	cancelled	-$8	10-12 04:15
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16?	24	$1.5K	2,533	0	+2,533	No	+$1,048	10-20 18:09
Will Argentina win on 2026-10-06?	4	$1.3K	1,322	0	+1,322	Yes	+$47	10-04 13:29
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)	3	$1.2K	1,514	0	+1,514	United States	+$274	10-04 00:41
Will Sri Lanka win on 2026-10-02?	13	$1.2K	1,373	0	+1,373	No	-$1,239	10-02 10:58
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-21?	3	$1.2K	1,302	0	+1,302	No	+$117	10-18 15:58
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	6	$1.2K	1,519	0	+1,519	open	—	10-23 08:16
LoL: GAM Esports vs Team WE (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	1	$1.1K	1,462	0	+1,462	Team WE	+$322	10-03 11:21
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul	9	$990	1,456	0	+1,456	Daniil Medvedev	+$466	10-16 09:25
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	11	$893	2,228	0	+2,228	open	—	10-27 07:30
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	5	$770	979	0	+979	Team Yandex	+$209	10-24 09:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 07:30:05	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	394	39¢	$154	0x382133…
10-27 07:24:03	Exact Score: Torino FC 3 - 1 Como 1907?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xd7005d…
10-27 07:23:06	Exact Score: Torino FC 3 - 1 Como 1907?	Yes	BUY	306	2¢	$6	0xdfc5a4…
10-27 07:20:57	Exact Score: US Sassuolo Calcio 3 - 2 SS Lazio?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x3a2e85…
10-27 07:20:54	Exact Score: US Sassuolo Calcio 3 - 2 SS Lazio?	Yes	BUY	180	3¢	$5	0xb416dd…
10-27 06:56:35	KBO Playoff: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions	Kia Tigers	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x6f6342…
10-27 06:47:00	Exact Score: Torino FC 1 - 3 Como 1907?	Yes	BUY	184	7¢	$13	0x11f7af…
10-27 06:29:47	Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	101	73¢	$74	0xb00f85…
10-27 06:29:00	Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?	No	BUY	19	8¢	$1	0x89febf…
10-27 06:13:32	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x96e527…
10-27 06:13:29	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	90	21¢	$19	0x69c3e5…
10-27 06:06:15	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	91	21¢	$19	0x838870…
10-27 05:39:23	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	Yes	BUY	237	24¢	$57	0x606129…
10-27 05:38:11	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	67¢	$50	0xf86a3f…
10-27 05:35:48	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	40	21¢	$8	0x1c7089…
10-27 05:35:24	LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	CTBC Flying Oyster	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0xe67ff7…
10-27 05:27:47	nba por lal 2026 10 27 spread away 1pt5	Lakers	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x62112d…
10-27 05:27:45	nba por lal 2026 10 27 spread away 1pt5	Lakers	BUY	410	60¢	$246	0x3c7a4d…
10-27 05:26:17	LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	CTBC Flying Oyster	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9af2d9…
10-27 05:24:09	LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	CTBC Flying Oyster	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe9761f…
10-27 05:20:23	LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	CTBC Flying Oyster	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x83c891…
10-27 05:16:21	Exact Score: Torino FC 4 - 2 Como 1907?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$1	0x673eb4…
10-27 05:12:14	Exact Score: US Sassuolo Calcio 1 - 2 SS Lazio?	Yes	BUY	48	10¢	$5	0xdf2cbe…
10-27 05:09:06	Exact Score: AS Roma 2 - 2 Cagliari Calcio?	Yes	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0xbd9bb0…
10-27 04:46:11	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Warriors	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0x1e9df3…
10-27 04:07:47	KBO Playoff: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions	Samsung Lions	BUY	511	38¢	$195	0xf6a851…
10-27 04:04:51	Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	94	34¢	$32	0xa654c1…
10-27 04:03:41	Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x0941c9…
10-27 04:03:29	Exact Score: US Sassuolo Calcio 2 - 3 SS Lazio?	Yes	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0x0afdc5…
10-27 04:03:26	Exact Score: US Sassuolo Calcio 2 - 3 SS Lazio?	Yes	BUY	154	4¢	$6	0x1a4de8…
10-27 04:02:23	Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x99f814…
10-27 04:02:05	Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x21d41f…
10-27 04:00:33	Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x64cb75…
10-27 03:56:42	Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xa444f8…
10-27 03:48:03	Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x6bbfa6…
10-27 03:47:51	Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xcd3e3f…
10-27 03:47:08	Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xb554f7…
10-27 03:46:59	Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x906771…
10-27 03:43:26	Exact Score: Torino FC 1 - 5 Como 1907?	Yes	BUY	307	1¢	$4	0x09612a…
10-27 03:22:56	Exact Score: AS Roma 4 - 0 Cagliari Calcio?	Yes	BUY	320	6¢	$20	0x2791b9…
10-27 03:20:26	Heat vs. Hawks	Heat	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x591e17…
10-27 03:02:20	Will Shanghai Port FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x7e728e…
10-27 03:01:00	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	22	7¢	$2	0xe4b96f…
10-27 03:00:27	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xc378f2…
10-27 02:55:57	Exact Score: Torino FC 1 - 1 Como 1907?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x8e8054…
10-27 02:47:05	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	119	83¢	$99	0xd68f58…
10-27 02:25:09	KBO Playoff: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions	Samsung Lions	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0x93d7b6…
10-27 02:07:59	Will Port FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	330	8¢	$26	0xf96262…
10-27 02:07:27	Exact Score: Torino FC 0 - 2 Como 1907?	Yes	BUY	316	9¢	$28	0x8db563…
10-27 02:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	83	14¢	$12	0x132652…
10-27 01:50:45	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x541844…
10-27 01:47:39	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xfb95ff…
10-27 01:47:32	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	90	96¢	$86	0x9eea57…
10-27 01:46:09	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xa956ce…
10-27 01:46:08	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x7fcac3…
10-27 01:45:54	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x6b3fc3…
10-27 01:43:29	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x8b9695…
10-27 01:42:50	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xceafea…
10-27 01:42:48	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x2d6c88…
10-27 01:30:15	Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)	Nuggets	BUY	330	67¢	$221	0x54b2ad…
10-27 01:15:59	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	326	71¢	$231	0x187ecd…
10-27 01:15:27	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	46	14¢	$6	0x0df440…
10-27 01:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x9d4f31…
10-27 01:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x680095…
10-27 01:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x695d07…
10-27 01:03:39	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xb27fdb…
10-27 00:51:09	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xe36e86…
10-27 00:51:06	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xe049a3…
10-27 00:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x7fa805…
10-27 00:11:45	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x982147…
10-26 23:40:45	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	48	85¢	$40	0x962f0c…
10-26 22:49:03	Exact Score: AS Roma 3 - 0 Cagliari Calcio?	Yes	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0x17e309…
10-26 22:21:44	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	71	5¢	$4	0x203e30…
10-26 22:20:05	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	99	5¢	$5	0x7e6c72…
10-26 22:14:15	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	69	18¢	$12	0xcddd20…
10-26 22:01:45	KBO Playoff: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions	Kia Tigers	BUY	27	63¢	$17	0x9b3037…
10-26 22:01:35	Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)	Nuggets	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x144933…
10-26 21:49:45	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	16	84¢	$13	0xe343d0…
10-26 21:49:26	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	73	84¢	$62	0xb21b8f…
10-26 21:45:00	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x941a2a…
10-26 21:22:48	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	28	6¢	$2	0x715684…
10-26 20:55:38	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0xca39b0…
10-26 19:52:42	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	26	7¢	$2	0xceb9f5…
10-26 19:51:09	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	333	7¢	$22	0xdadabe…
10-26 19:50:39	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0x77d148…
10-26 19:50:30	RC Celta de Vigo to score first vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xe114f6…
10-26 19:48:50	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	47	6¢	$3	0x2e1324…
10-26 19:48:02	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	147	6¢	$9	0xfb8c15…
10-26 19:47:29	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	27	6¢	$2	0x636a21…
10-26 19:47:12	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xb3269b…
10-26 19:43:02	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	243	6¢	$14	0xd84f18…
10-26 19:42:48	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	68	6¢	$4	0x674a9e…
10-26 19:41:57	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0xfb66c7…
10-26 19:41:14	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0xea990d…
10-26 19:41:11	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0xf64172…
10-26 19:40:06	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	84	6¢	$5	0xdc3124…
10-26 19:37:53	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	157	6¢	$9	0x6eaa59…
10-26 19:37:50	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	24	6¢	$1	0x8337ab…
10-26 19:37:27	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	131	6¢	$8	0x1e70c5…
10-26 19:30:02	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0xdcf2c0…