Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30.4K

Unrealized P&L

+$528

Hit rate

31.1%

Resolved

2,434

Trades

6,976

lifetime

Volume

$262.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

$21.8K

30 positions

First seen

2026-08-10

last 10-28 20:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

89% 27% -$29,088

Politics

6% 33% -$497

Sports

4% 53% -$732

Crypto

1% 0% -$117

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 479 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	+8,908	$8,233	94¢	$8.3K	+$96	10-26 17:00
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	+5,414	$3,815	91¢	$4.9K	+$1,104	10-26 23:40
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+3,106	$1,235	38¢	$1.2K	-$70	10-27 13:09
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	+1,519	$1,169	74¢	$1.1K	-$53	10-23 08:16
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	+977	$664	66¢	$640	-$24	10-25 23:52
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	+676	$467	78¢	$531	+$64	10-15 06:06
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	+3,392	$683	15¢	$505	-$178	10-28 14:50
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	+600	$395	80¢	$477	+$82	10-22 01:19
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	+460	$414	94¢	$432	+$18	10-04 09:40
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	+580	$395	68¢	$398	+$3	10-22 16:44
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	+2,862	$350	14¢	$386	+$37	10-22 15:37
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	No	+442	$340	68¢	$303	-$38	10-22 15:28
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	+357	$219	74¢	$263	+$43	10-23 18:59
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	+254	$245	97¢	$247	+$2	10-17 08:03
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+660	$224	34¢	$221	-$3	10-28 06:30
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	+1,805	$470	9¢	$165	-$305	10-26 20:55
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	+466	$163	34¢	$161	-$2	10-28 02:02
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	+839	$281	19¢	$159	-$121	10-21 11:06
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+1,840	$317	8¢	$156	-$160	10-09 22:53
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+188	$147	78¢	$147	+$0	10-28 15:57
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	No	+155	$145	91¢	$141	-$4	10-27 01:50
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	+193	$124	70¢	$135	+$12	10-22 15:37
LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	+131	$109	98¢	$129	+$20	10-27 03:00
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	+1,564	$68	6¢	$98	+$30	10-27 09:09
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	+164	$112	58¢	$95	-$16	10-22 05:26
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	+109	$94	83¢	$90	-$4	10-24 18:06
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	+297	$89	30¢	$89	+$0	10-12 06:32
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	+99	$80	89¢	$88	+$8	10-24 01:41
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	+425	$106	20¢	$87	-$19	10-24 11:49
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	+101	$74	80¢	$80	+$7	10-27 06:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	238	$66.2K	135,823	0	+135,823	No	-$26,160	09-16 15:58
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	114	$47.1K	69,210	0	+69,210	Yes	-$6,789	09-16 15:29
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	21	$8.2K	8,908	0	+8,908	open	—	10-26 17:00
Argentina vs. Benin: Both Teams to Score	206	$7.6K	9,873	0	+9,873	No	+$2,286	10-06 13:22
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	82	$6.4K	9,173	0	+9,173	Yes	+$2,742	10-26 17:35
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	41	$5.6K	74,357	0	+74,357	No	-$119	09-16 14:44
Will Brazil win on 2026-10-03?	36	$4.0K	4,135	0	+4,135	Yes	+$110	10-03 13:43
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	39	$3.8K	5,954	0	+5,954	open	—	10-27 13:38
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	20	$3.8K	5,865	0	+5,865	No	+$1,003	10-25 07:14
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	53	$3.8K	43,672	0	+43,672	No	-$311	09-16 15:50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	29	$2.7K	4,094	0	+4,094	Yes	+$164	10-27 12:48
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	11	$2.6K	2,991	0	+2,991	Spirit	+$263	10-25 07:05
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	93	$2.5K	8,422	0	+8,422	No	-$448	10-26 22:21
Argentina leading at halftime?	46	$2.2K	2,510	0	+2,510	No	-$2,167	10-05 15:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	10	$2.1K	3,000	2,830	+170	No	-$138	08-25 19:59
cs2 fal2 nip 2026 10 14	5	$2.0K	2,708	0	+2,708	Team Falcons	+$704	10-14 11:37
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	32	$2.0K	5,094	0	+5,094	No	+$119	10-26 22:14
atp zverev norrie 2026 09 29	6	$1.8K	2,067	0	+2,067	Alexander Zverev	+$233	10-01 07:58
Exact Score: Ipswich Town FC 0 - 3 Nottingham Forest FC?	3	$1.7K	1,790	0	+1,790	No	+$56	10-23 17:15
Wuhan Tennis Open: Ann Li vs Qinwen Zheng	17	$1.6K	3,139	0	+3,139	cancelled	-$8	10-12 04:15
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16?	24	$1.5K	2,533	0	+2,533	No	+$1,048	10-20 18:09
Will Argentina win on 2026-10-06?	4	$1.3K	1,322	0	+1,322	Yes	+$47	10-04 13:29
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)	3	$1.2K	1,514	0	+1,514	United States	+$274	10-04 00:41
Will Sri Lanka win on 2026-10-02?	13	$1.2K	1,373	0	+1,373	No	-$1,239	10-02 10:58
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	13	$1.2K	3,106	0	+3,106	open	—	10-27 13:09
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-21?	3	$1.2K	1,302	0	+1,302	No	+$117	10-18 15:58
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	6	$1.2K	1,519	0	+1,519	open	—	10-23 08:16
LoL: GAM Esports vs Team WE (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	1	$1.1K	1,462	0	+1,462	Team WE	+$322	10-03 11:21
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul	9	$990	1,456	0	+1,456	Daniil Medvedev	+$466	10-16 09:25
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	3	$827	1,443	0	+1,443	open	—	10-28 02:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 21:30:59	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0xcfa902…
10-28 21:01:01	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	4¢	$2	0x75160c…
10-28 20:58:35	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	146	4¢	$6	0x848e52…
10-28 20:19:38	Nottingham Forest FC to score first vs. Brentford FC?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x84a986…
10-28 20:11:23	Spread: Lakers (-3.5)	Clippers	BUY	64	62¢	$40	0xa70b28…
10-28 19:57:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	90	19¢	$17	0xdeca94…
10-28 19:54:31	Spread: 76ers (-1.5)	76ers	BUY	368	69¢	$254	0x19870a…
10-28 19:44:58	Spread: 76ers (-1.5)	76ers	BUY	391	69¢	$270	0xb1e4d8…
10-28 18:33:55	Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0xc9340f…
10-28 18:24:02	Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xe11840…
10-28 18:13:47	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	205	18¢	$37	0x7928c2…
10-28 18:13:34	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	18¢	$30	0x751a09…
10-28 17:39:53	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xfd3cf9…
10-28 17:37:13	Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	21¢	$9	0x3080d1…
10-28 17:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 30?	No	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x4a791a…
10-28 16:20:52	Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	285	0¢	$1	0x89a9c4…
10-28 15:57:11	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	188	78¢	$147	0x6deab2…
10-28 14:50:10	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	BUY	107	25¢	$27	0x1ce920…
10-28 14:20:08	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	86	3¢	$3	0x061986…
10-28 14:18:28	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x9d7917…
10-28 14:03:25	Dota 2: angry birds vs Roshan Hunters (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group B	Roshan Hunters	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x8d7ab6…
10-28 13:57:58	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x60491a…
10-28 13:48:10	Will the Indiana Pacers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x913d00…
10-28 13:38:52	Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Under	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x76da77…
10-28 13:05:04	Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)	Wizards	BUY	12	71¢	$9	0xa85a47…
10-28 12:04:47	Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	2¢	$1	0xc4c03e…
10-28 11:31:38	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	85¢	$44	0x60e55c…
10-28 11:17:05	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x61f13d…
10-28 11:01:40	Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	BUY	86	6¢	$5	0xc64610…
10-28 10:06:50	Exact Score: AC Milan 2 - 0 Bologna FC 1909?	Yes	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0xea03a6…
10-28 09:43:52	Exact Score: Genoa CFC 2 - 1 Juventus FC?	Yes	BUY	108	4¢	$5	0x4ea6f6…
10-28 09:34:37	Exact Score: Venezia FC 1 - 0 FC Internazionale Milano?	Yes	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0x7ddd1b…
10-28 08:44:32	APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	60	68¢	$41	0xf6d5c0…
10-28 08:39:31	Exact Score: AC Monza 4 - 2 SSC Napoli?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$1	0xa38278…
10-28 08:37:10	Exact Score: Parma Calcio 1913 2 - 4 Udinese Calcio?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x3a6f87…
10-28 08:35:04	Exact Score: AC Monza 2 - 1 SSC Napoli?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x1efe4b…
10-28 08:31:01	nba was cle 2026 10 28 total 250pt5	Under	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0x57d78d…
10-28 08:20:20	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	232	83¢	$193	0x8148f3…
10-28 08:06:32	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	No	BUY	55	8¢	$5	0x0a9b5e…
10-28 07:55:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	81	29¢	$23	0x754b5e…
10-28 07:30:41	Exact Score: Venezia FC 2 - 1 FC Internazionale Milano?	Yes	BUY	64	3¢	$2	0xec24d2…
10-28 07:30:01	Counter-Strike: SINQU vs Fortress (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage	Fortress	BUY	155	49¢	$76	0xc9f9d4…
10-28 07:29:53	Counter-Strike: SINQU vs Fortress (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage	Fortress	BUY	95	49¢	$47	0x670f78…
10-28 07:29:44	Counter-Strike: SINQU vs Fortress (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage	Fortress	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0xe11c9a…
10-28 07:29:37	Counter-Strike: SINQU vs Fortress (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage	Fortress	BUY	45	47¢	$21	0x0bea56…
10-28 07:17:43	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x7ddaac…
10-28 07:13:29	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	31	82¢	$25	0x635424…
10-28 07:13:08	Counter-Strike: SINQU vs Fortress (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage	SINQU	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xcdd6f4…
10-28 07:07:32	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x3d5722…
10-28 06:39:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0xb3b0e7…
10-28 06:30:37	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	413	34¢	$140	0xe81cac…
10-28 06:28:17	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	45	34¢	$15	0x063956…
10-28 04:42:05	Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	230	54¢	$124	0x3e19e6…
10-28 03:57:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	32	15¢	$5	0x4a1898…
10-28 03:33:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	42	16¢	$7	0x0d06df…
10-28 03:33:03	Lakers vs. Warriors	Lakers	BUY	88	56¢	$49	0x31da40…
10-28 03:32:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 29?	No	BUY	47	63¢	$30	0x36f9f3…
10-28 03:19:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0x5a50be…
10-28 03:19:01	Nuggets vs. Suns	Nuggets	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x90d524…
10-28 03:13:59	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xbdc13c…
10-28 03:13:12	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x5dcba7…
10-28 03:06:32	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x4fa31f…
10-28 02:52:59	Exact Score: Venezia FC 0 - 2 FC Internazionale Milano?	Yes	BUY	102	9¢	$9	0xda2f7d…
10-28 02:50:03	Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xa22533…
10-28 02:40:35	Exact Score: Venezia FC 0 - 2 FC Internazionale Milano?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xe78900…
10-28 02:35:35	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	16	11¢	$2	0x2d3b46…
10-28 02:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	173	67¢	$116	0x2300b8…
10-28 02:02:03	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	466	35¢	$163	0x8fd530…
10-28 01:46:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4344ba…
10-28 01:11:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xedfd94…
10-28 00:09:02	Crystal Palace FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	19	17¢	$3	0xcdd2be…
10-27 22:32:17	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x9a9f7f…
10-27 22:00:47	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x7c2dd7…
10-27 20:49:57	Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf1b2f2…
10-27 20:19:57	Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	45	5¢	$2	0x20f015…
10-27 19:51:33	cs2 ast10 mgc 2026 10 28	Astralis	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x7564ca…
10-27 19:16:47	Exact Score: AS Roma 2 - 0 Cagliari Calcio?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x9eb549…
10-27 19:11:39	Torino FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	68	42¢	$29	0x170745…
10-27 19:10:33	Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	18	25¢	$5	0xfd0a04…
10-27 18:36:24	Exact Score: Torino FC 2 - 0 Como 1907?	Yes	BUY	42	3¢	$1	0x7ed60e…
10-27 18:36:21	Exact Score: Torino FC 2 - 0 Como 1907?	Yes	BUY	52	3¢	$1	0x54e0fe…
10-27 18:14:05	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0xcd532f…
10-27 18:01:24	Exact Score: AS Roma 2 - 0 Cagliari Calcio?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x548638…
10-27 18:01:11	Exact Score: AS Roma 2 - 0 Cagliari Calcio?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x62d908…
10-27 17:57:12	Exact Score: AS Roma 2 - 0 Cagliari Calcio?	Yes	BUY	31	15¢	$5	0xfc0d27…
10-27 17:55:50	Exact Score: AS Roma 2 - 0 Cagliari Calcio?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd8c10e…
10-27 17:53:36	Exact Score: Torino FC 3 - 1 Como 1907?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x8d042c…
10-27 17:08:56	Exact Score: Torino FC 2 - 1 Como 1907?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xfbf010…
10-27 17:07:00	Exact Score: Torino FC 2 - 1 Como 1907?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x8070cf…
10-27 17:04:48	Exact Score: US Sassuolo Calcio 0 - 3 SS Lazio?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xab6054…
10-27 17:01:33	Exact Score: US Sassuolo Calcio 2 - 3 SS Lazio?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xb95fe7…
10-27 17:00:39	Exact Score: US Sassuolo Calcio 0 - 3 SS Lazio?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x68deaf…
10-27 16:58:24	Erste Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Grigor Dimitrov	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0x3714ad…
10-27 16:55:23	Exact Score: US Sassuolo Calcio 0 - 3 SS Lazio?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x5b0771…
10-27 16:36:05	Exact Score: US Sassuolo Calcio 2 - 0 SS Lazio?	Yes	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0xae3bb5…
10-27 16:32:30	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc44d1e…
10-27 16:24:59	Exact Score: US Sassuolo Calcio 2 - 3 SS Lazio?	Yes	BUY	41	4¢	$1	0x241d85…
10-27 16:23:39	Exact Score: AS Roma 2 - 2 Cagliari Calcio?	Yes	BUY	90	3¢	$3	0x480805…
10-27 16:16:02	Exact Score: US Sassuolo Calcio 1 - 1 SS Lazio?	Yes	BUY	58	13¢	$8	0x9a8ad4…
10-27 15:54:14	Exact Score: US Sassuolo Calcio 1 - 0 SS Lazio?	Yes	BUY	47	6¢	$3	0x119fa4…