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whale
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Realized P&L (7d)
+$613
Unrealized P&L
+$1.96K
Hit rate
83.6%
Resolved (7d)
477
Trades (7d)
1,376
8,473 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$52.4K
$317.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$9.48K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-10
last 11-08 00:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 41 days
Categories
Other
83% 27% -$30,198
Politics
12% 58% +$225
Sports
4% 57% +$856
Crypto
1% 0% -$319
Tech
0% 33% -$64
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 479 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +864 $174 99¢ $855 +$682 11-04 02:11
StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +771 $709 98¢ $755 +$46 10-14 13:43
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +630 $156 96¢ $607 +$450 11-05 17:30
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +676 $467 80¢ $538 +$71 10-15 06:06
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +546 $282 96¢ $523 +$241 11-07 07:55
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +460 $414 94¢ $435 +$21 10-04 09:40
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +553 $374 78¢ $434 +$61 11-06 13:34
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +578 $372 72¢ $414 +$41 11-04 13:01
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +442 $340 88¢ $391 +$51 10-22 15:28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +460 $359 76¢ $352 -$7 11-05 02:55
Le Havre AC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 6.5 Under +353 $348 99¢ $348 $0 11-07 22:43
Spread: Al Khaleej Saudi Club (-1.5) Al Kholood Saudi Club +686 $370 50¢ $346 -$24 11-05 00:48
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +320 $243 99¢ $315 +$72 11-03 19:23
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2 - 0 Athletic Club? Yes +692 $42 45¢ $313 +$272 10-10 00:42
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No +267 $254 98¢ $260 +$6 11-07 17:44
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +839 $281 30¢ $248 -$33 10-21 11:06
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? Yes +1,444 $302 16¢ $238 -$64 11-04 12:47
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +308 $243 76¢ $232 -$10 11-05 10:21
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +2,925 $358 8¢ $219 -$139 11-07 01:41
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? Yes +242 $192 80¢ $193 +$1 11-07 09:26
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 4 Athletic Club? Yes +515 $5 38¢ $193 +$188 10-10 10:56
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +222 $162 78¢ $173 +$11 10-31 14:11
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +188 $147 91¢ $172 +$25 10-28 15:57
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +193 $124 78¢ $151 +$27 10-22 15:37
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes +726 $134 20¢ $143 +$9 11-08 01:07
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,612 $189 9¢ $138 -$51 11-07 18:57
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +560 $140 24¢ $132 -$9 11-04 03:39
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +128 $112 98¢ $125 +$13 11-04 01:36
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? No +511 $121 24¢ $120 -$1 11-07 14:04
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on November 7? No +115 $105 100¢ $115 +$10 11-06 06:18