Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.8%

Resolved

168

Trades

432

lifetime

Volume

$2.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-10-14

last 10-29 05:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 43% +$21

Other

19% 75% -$4

Politics

1% 89% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 172 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 25?	5	$102	52	52	+0	Yes	+$2	10-25 15:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	12	$71	96	69	+28	Up	-$9	10-19 07:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:00 UTC	5	$67	64	48	+16	Down	+$27	10-15 08:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 12:45 UTC	4	$65	50	50	+0	Down	+$35	10-14 13:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 00:45 UTC	6	$62	60	37	+23	Up	+$12	10-15 01:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:45 UTC	6	$61	5,096	36	+5,060	Up	+$56	10-15 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	9	$59	52	40	+12	Up	+$9	10-18 23:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	6	$58	64	34	+30	Down	+$9	10-15 02:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:15 UTC	3	$54	45	45	+0	Down	+$35	10-15 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	8	$53	132	61	+71	Down	+$3	10-19 08:57
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 26?	4	$50	51	0	+51	Yes	+$1	10-26 08:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	7	$49	60	32	+27	Up	+$9	10-18 23:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 01:15 UTC	6	$47	74	24	+49	Down	-$3	10-15 01:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	8	$47	71	52	+19	Up	+$7	10-19 07:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:55 UTC	4	$43	81	28	+54	Up	+$13	10-15 09:00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	2	$42	42	0	+42	Yes	+$0	10-27 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	5	$41	49	21	+27	Down	+$1	10-16 05:25
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 25?	3	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	10-25 11:05
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 27?	2	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	10-27 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	7	$39	37	29	+8	Down	+$9	10-18 23:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 09:00 UTC	4	$37	536	22	+515	Down	+$7	10-15 09:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	5	$36	97	29	+69	Down	+$6	10-16 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	4	$35	25	25	+0	Up	+$15	10-15 09:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	4	$33	33	23	+11	Up	+$19	10-19 06:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:40 UTC	3	$33	523	23	+500	Down	+$13	10-15 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	5	$30	69	10	+59	Down	-$10	10-19 08:00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 26?	3	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	10-26 08:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:50 UTC	4	$29	23	14	+9	Up	-$1	10-15 07:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:45 UTC	3	$29	35	19	+16	Down	+$9	10-15 02:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	3	$26	38	17	+22	Up	+$7	10-19 11:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 05:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x828114…
10-29 05:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xf7cd4a…
10-29 05:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x2a1230…
10-29 05:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x3a1aeb…
10-29 05:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xe099eb…
10-29 05:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x0fddb3…
10-29 05:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xbaced1…
10-29 05:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x5ad217…
10-29 05:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x490cb6…
10-27 08:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x308d9b…
10-27 08:08:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x306fec…
10-27 08:05:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2513f7…
10-27 08:00:29	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x7b9ef2…
10-27 07:58:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xbe7dbb…
10-27 07:56:57	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x148ddd…
10-27 07:56:35	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x10f87b…
10-27 07:56:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2180b5…
10-27 07:55:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdb3c20…
10-27 07:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xcf0572…
10-26 08:22:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x8fbf0b…
10-26 08:18:53	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x46de35…
10-26 08:17:35	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0e6c38…
10-26 08:10:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe6b81e…
10-26 08:08:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x672432…
10-26 08:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x87dc93…
10-26 08:05:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x813b0b…
10-26 08:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 26?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa3ae7a…
10-26 08:04:32	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf44883…
10-25 15:26:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xfd3ee2…
10-25 11:06:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 25?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0a9600…
10-25 11:05:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x87098f…
10-25 08:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x06c74f…
10-25 08:04:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x451990…
10-25 08:03:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x936ec2…
10-25 08:02:56	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x90e87d…
10-25 08:02:26	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9f8972…
10-25 08:02:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 25?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x21c39d…
10-25 07:55:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xe37b1e…
10-25 07:54:56	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd6d910…
10-25 07:54:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5e0bd0…
10-25 07:44:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 24?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbe0285…
10-25 07:43:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x871df7…
10-25 02:35:39	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0xccb4e8…
10-25 02:35:32	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x619bc0…
10-25 02:35:21	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xfe82bc…
10-25 02:35:15	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x590eb6…
10-25 02:35:03	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xbc55c3…
10-25 02:34:50	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xfcf02c…
10-25 02:34:08	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xb4b649…
10-25 02:33:50	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x833ae2…
10-25 02:33:27	Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xdbf26e…
10-25 02:33:05	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6c3169…
10-25 02:32:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xabfa8e…
10-25 02:32:48	Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xa5da02…
10-25 02:32:33	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x857fdf…
10-25 02:32:08	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x7ef1dd…
10-25 02:31:44	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xe5ca08…
10-24 08:05:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 24?	No	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x111fe8…
10-24 08:04:50	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 24?	No	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x77da7b…
10-24 08:02:38	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xa669db…
10-24 07:54:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 24?	No	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xee1f1e…
10-24 07:52:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x07f9c0…
10-24 07:48:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6e1201…
10-24 07:46:05	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 24?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xeae64f…
10-24 07:44:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 24?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0d2fae…
10-24 07:10:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xcd3a0c…
10-24 07:08:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 24?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x3e0ae7…
10-24 07:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 24?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x3f949b…
10-24 07:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 24?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf8d1ed…
10-24 07:02:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xad913a…
10-24 07:01:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 24?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xcab9ba…
10-24 04:24:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd7c517…
10-22 07:09:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x875056…
10-22 07:07:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 22?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4e3468…
10-22 07:06:14	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x181bbe…
10-22 07:04:47	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 22?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5c7da5…
10-22 07:01:17	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x4133ca…
10-22 07:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x241f86…
10-21 14:33:05	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xff692e…
10-21 14:32:05	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x993dd6…
10-21 14:30:30	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xdee8e4…
10-21 14:23:53	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xcd0a35…
10-20 02:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	61	8¢	$5	0x6aed97…
10-20 02:01:53	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x720a27…
10-20 01:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x5b16d7…
10-20 01:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xb52807…
10-20 01:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x12c75d…
10-20 01:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x427764…
10-20 01:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x433763…
10-20 01:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xf861d9…
10-19 11:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe930f3…
10-19 11:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x54f0fa…
10-19 11:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x37f01e…
10-19 11:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0x181d25…
10-19 11:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x86f294…
10-19 11:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0x1dab3c…
10-19 11:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x8bda47…
10-19 11:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x5bd369…
10-19 09:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xb3152c…
10-19 09:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x86d2c9…