Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Down won
Total volume
$40,257
Trades
4,280
Unique wallets
886
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
49¢
Latest NO mid
51¢
End date
2026-10-15
First seen
2026-10-15
last 10-15 08:05
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+6.5¢
(top1%: 45% YES on $18.8K
vs crowd: 38% YES on $35.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 195 | $9.6K | $12.9K | $3.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 253 | $2.7K | $5.8K | $3.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 277 | $962 | $2.7K | $1.7K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 161 | $358 | $702 | $344 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 182 | $8.4K | $10.4K | $2.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 111 | $728 | $1.9K | $1.2K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 43 | $50 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| Median | 52 | $68 | $267 | $199 |
| Below median | 176 | $503 | $1.1K | $603 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 105 | $307 | $981 | $675 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 139 | $1.6K | $3.3K | $1.6K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 78 | $1.9K | $3.1K | $1.1K |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | +1,757 | $616 | $616 | 75 | 10-15 08:03 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Up | +1,223 | $677 | $677 | 45 | 10-15 08:02 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Down | +1,086 | $511 | $511 | 51 | 10-15 08:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Down | +1,057 | $480 | $480 | 59 | 10-15 08:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Up | +1,027 | $544 | $544 | 54 | 10-15 08:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x9417…6e5e | Up | +1,011 | $625 | $625 | 23 | 10-15 08:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xc5d5…50bc | Up | +1,000 | $10 | $10 | 13 | 10-15 08:03 |
| Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Down | +965 | $955 | $955 | 14 | 10-15 08:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x9417…6e5e | Down | +919 | $491 | $491 | 34 | 10-15 08:02 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | +887 | $384 | $384 | 31 | 10-15 08:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Up | +763 | $473 | $473 | 14 | 10-15 08:01 |
| Joyous-Internet 0x8759…d94f | Down | +740 | $256 | $256 | 14 | 10-15 08:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x3708…daf9 | Down | +609 | $263 | $263 | 12 | 10-15 08:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | +580 | $223 | $223 | 41 | 10-15 08:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xf332…b1c0 | Up | +542 | $277 | $277 | 9 | 10-15 08:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x631f…694d | Down | +542 | $500 | $500 | 8 | 10-15 08:03 |
| Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | Up | +514 | $249 | $249 | 22 | 10-15 07:58 |
| Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd | Down | +507 | $358 | $358 | 15 | 10-15 08:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Down | +500 | $495 | $495 | 8 | 10-15 08:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Down | +496 | $327 | $327 | 37 | 10-15 08:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Up | +494 | $271 | $271 | 36 | 10-15 08:03 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +492 | $193 | $193 | 31 | 10-15 08:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x322d…61f5 | Down | +490 | $250 | $250 | 1 | 10-15 07:56 |
| Rectangular-Gaffer 0xe70d…dd35 | Down | +485 | $460 | $460 | 1 | 10-15 08:03 |
| Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd | Up | +477 | $141 | $141 | 17 | 10-15 08:03 |
| Personal-Microwave 0xa0c0…5adc | Down | +455 | $229 | $229 | 1 | 10-15 08:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b | Down | +455 | $282 | $282 | 30 | 10-15 08:03 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +434 | $252 | $252 | 30 | 10-15 08:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c | Up | +428 | $234 | $234 | 22 | 10-15 08:03 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Up | +414 | $145 | $145 | 2 | 10-15 08:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x54b1…3e83 | Up | +412 | $73 | $73 | 32 | 10-15 08:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | +409 | $404 | $404 | 4 | 10-15 08:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | +401 | $4 | $4 | 21 | 10-15 08:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | +400 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-15 08:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x855e…5189 | Up | +400 | $228 | $228 | 8 | 10-15 08:00 |
| Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88 | Up | +380 | $75 | $75 | 16 | 10-15 08:02 |
| Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed | Up | +378 | $119 | $119 | 16 | 10-15 08:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04 | Down | +368 | $154 | $154 | 3 | 10-15 08:00 |
| Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183 | Up | +366 | $201 | $201 | 26 | 10-15 08:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Up | +357 | $213 | $213 | 15 | 10-15 08:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c | Down | +355 | $225 | $225 | 26 | 10-15 08:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3 | Up | +342 | $68 | $68 | 5 | 10-15 08:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xf332…b1c0 | Down | +341 | $154 | $154 | 20 | 10-15 08:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Down | +340 | $158 | $158 | 21 | 10-15 08:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x4b77…eeda | Down | +338 | $138 | $138 | 42 | 10-15 08:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xc6e3…8b84 | Up | +338 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 10-15 08:00 |
| Elastic-Flour 0xec10…6eb9 | Up | +328 | $181 | $181 | 78 | 10-15 08:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x22b3…a018 | Up | +327 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 10-15 08:03 |
| Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Up | +322 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 10-15 08:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Down | +317 | $183 | $183 | 17 | 10-15 08:03 |
| Elastic-Flour 0xec10…6eb9 | Down | +313 | $143 | $143 | 82 | 10-15 08:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x29e6…25b5 | Down | +303 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 10-15 08:03 |
| True-Jailhouse 0x6d5c…f7e9 | Down | +303 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 10-15 08:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xebb2…63ed | Down | +300 | $291 | $291 | 14 | 10-15 08:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x3708…daf9 | Up | +291 | $143 | $143 | 1 | 10-15 07:56 |
| Lawful-Nightlife-Sleet 0x6c6a…4fd2 | Up | +283 | $7 | $7 | 5 | 10-15 08:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Down | +278 | $121 | $121 | 19 | 10-15 08:02 |
| Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183 | Down | +269 | $131 | $131 | 24 | 10-15 08:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Up | +266 | $172 | $172 | 14 | 10-15 08:02 |
| Peppery-Digging 0x2ed9…f271 | Down | +264 | $105 | $105 | 27 | 10-15 08:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 08:05:53 | Meaty-Borrowing 0x7cb2…e655 | Down | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x2c0a28… |
| 10-15 08:05:53 | (anonymous) 0xd0b7…39cb | Down | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x2c0a28… |
| 10-15 08:05:44 | Meaty-Borrowing 0x7cb2…e655 | Down | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x84d266… |
| 10-15 08:05:44 | (anonymous) 0x9840…be8f | Down | SELL | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x84d266… |
| 10-15 08:05:43 | (anonymous) 0x6b66…a460 | Up | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xffb0b7… |
| 10-15 08:05:43 | Meaty-Borrowing 0x7cb2…e655 | Down | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xffb0b7… |
| 10-15 08:05:29 | (anonymous) 0x836c…d0ba | Down | SELL | 48 | 99¢ | $47 | 0x3daac6… |
| 10-15 08:05:29 | (anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e | Down | BUY | 48 | 99¢ | $47 | 0x3daac6… |
| 10-15 08:05:19 | (anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xd92ba4… |
| 10-15 08:05:19 | (anonymous) 0x6b66…a460 | Up | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd92ba4… |
| 10-15 08:05:17 | (anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xfd2b9a… |
| 10-15 08:05:17 | (anonymous) 0x6b66…a460 | Up | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfd2b9a… |
| 10-15 08:05:16 | (anonymous) 0x6b66…a460 | Up | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0d8791… |
| 10-15 08:05:16 | (anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x0d8791… |
| 10-15 08:05:08 | (anonymous) 0x6b66…a460 | Up | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcb5b0e… |
| 10-15 08:05:08 | (anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xcb5b0e… |
| 10-15 08:05:04 | (anonymous) 0xa5e1…c1e1 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x693650… |
| 10-15 08:05:04 | (anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e | Down | BUY | 26 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x693650… |
| 10-15 08:05:04 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 74 | 99¢ | $74 | 0x693650… |
| 10-15 08:04:31 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $19 | 0x91d4f8… |
| 10-15 08:04:31 | (anonymous) 0x9dbe…739e | Down | SELL | 21 | 99¢ | $21 | 0x91d4f8… |
| 10-15 08:04:31 | (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x91d4f8… |
| 10-15 08:04:26 | (anonymous) 0x1dfb…0e45 | Up | BUY | 198 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xca718a… |
| 10-15 08:04:26 | (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Down | BUY | 198 | 99¢ | $196 | 0xca718a… |
| 10-15 08:04:13 | Defensive-Mussel 0x8bb0…c328 | Down | SELL | 61 | 99¢ | $61 | 0x77cce2… |
| 10-15 08:04:13 | (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Down | BUY | 61 | 99¢ | $61 | 0x77cce2… |
| 10-15 08:04:01 | (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Down | BUY | 120 | 99¢ | $119 | 0xa5a80e… |
| 10-15 08:04:01 | Creamy-Brace 0xe0e1…4995 | Up | BUY | 120 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa5a80e… |
| 10-15 08:03:49 | (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Down | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x4d3850… |
| 10-15 08:03:49 | (anonymous) 0x1a0a…f528 | Down | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x4d3850… |
| 10-15 08:03:47 | (anonymous) 0x59a6…4f4f | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x6e5e78… |
| 10-15 08:03:47 | (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x6e5e78… |
| 10-15 08:03:44 | (anonymous) 0x5df7…3c34 | Down | SELL | 19 | 99¢ | $18 | 0xb48036… |
| 10-15 08:03:44 | (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Down | BUY | 19 | 99¢ | $18 | 0xb48036… |
| 10-15 08:03:43 | (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Down | BUY | 92 | 99¢ | $91 | 0x323f95… |
| 10-15 08:03:43 | (anonymous) 0x32c4…b175 | Up | SELL | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x323f95… |
| 10-15 08:03:43 | (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Down | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x323f95… |
| 10-15 08:03:43 | Flawless-Battalion 0x6ec5…465a | Down | SELL | 403 | 99¢ | $399 | 0x323f95… |
| 10-15 08:03:43 | (anonymous) 0x809f…2ef0 | Up | SELL | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x323f95… |
| 10-15 08:03:43 | Lively-Sand 0xe41b…9397 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x323f95… |
| 10-15 08:03:43 | (anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad | Down | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x323f95… |
| 10-15 08:03:43 | (anonymous) 0x373b…c855 | Up | SELL | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x323f95… |
| 10-15 08:03:43 | (anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b | Down | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x323f95… |
| 10-15 08:03:43 | (anonymous) 0x1dd2…51c2 | Up | SELL | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x323f95… |
| 10-15 08:03:43 | (anonymous) 0x56a0…71af | Down | BUY | 27 | 99¢ | $26 | 0x323f95… |
| 10-15 08:03:43 | (anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7 | Down | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x323f95… |
| 10-15 08:03:43 | Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd | Down | BUY | 54 | 99¢ | $53 | 0x323f95… |
| 10-15 08:03:43 | (anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c | Down | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x323f95… |
| 10-15 08:03:41 | Proud-Expression 0xcff1…d043 | Down | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x8cd585… |
| 10-15 08:03:41 | (anonymous) 0x0862…4431 | Up | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8cd585… |
| 10-15 08:03:41 | (anonymous) 0xc862…26f0 | Down | SELL | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x8cd585… |
| 10-15 08:03:40 | Basic-Refuse 0x120f…f70f | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x91edb7… |
| 10-15 08:03:40 | Gleeful-Dumbwaiter 0x8a01…01ce | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x0586e5… |
| 10-15 08:03:40 | (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1a7538… |
| 10-15 08:03:40 | (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5e3713… |
| 10-15 08:03:40 | Welcome-Troop 0x6403…9768 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x91edb7… |
| 10-15 08:03:40 | (anonymous) 0xdd71…f6e8 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x1a7538… |
| 10-15 08:03:40 | (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0586e5… |
| 10-15 08:03:40 | Regal-Overhead 0x8f98…bb24 | Down | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x953319… |
| 10-15 08:03:40 | Lighthearted-Brood 0xcb7c…b03f | Down | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x953319… |
| 10-15 08:03:40 | Gleeful-Dumbwaiter 0x8a01…01ce | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xbc57ff… |
| 10-15 08:03:40 | Welcome-Troop 0x6403…9768 | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbc57ff… |
| 10-15 08:03:40 | Gleeful-Dumbwaiter 0x8a01…01ce | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x95400a… |
| 10-15 08:03:40 | (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x95400a… |
| 10-15 08:03:40 | Reckless-Chaise 0xced6…79ab | Down | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x5e3713… |
| 10-15 08:03:38 | (anonymous) 0x54b1…3e83 | Up | BUY | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x17c6cb… |
| 10-15 08:03:38 | Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd | Up | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x4d3007… |
| 10-15 08:03:38 | Aggravating-Medication-Octopus 0x7b2b…b09b | Down | BUY | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x087972… |
| 10-15 08:03:38 | Elastic-Flour 0xec10…6eb9 | Up | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x17c6cb… |
| 10-15 08:03:38 | (anonymous) 0x435b…a9ff | Up | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x087972… |
| 10-15 08:03:38 | (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2fbb0f… |
| 10-15 08:03:38 | Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd | Up | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xbd7e2f… |
| 10-15 08:03:38 | Lawful-Nightlife-Sleet 0x6c6a…4fd2 | Up | BUY | 44 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xddc17d… |
| 10-15 08:03:38 | Forceful-Minimalism 0xc358…c52e | Down | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xbcd701… |
| 10-15 08:03:38 | (anonymous) 0x809f…2ef0 | Down | SELL | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0x17c6cb… |
| 10-15 08:03:38 | (anonymous) 0xcc4b…c968 | Down | BUY | 31 | 97¢ | $30 | 0x17c6cb… |
| 10-15 08:03:38 | Regular-Settlement 0xea41…14e5 | Down | BUY | 18 | 97¢ | $18 | 0xab694b… |
| 10-15 08:03:38 | Stained-Meaning 0x6972…ebcc | Down | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xbcd701… |
| 10-15 08:03:38 | (anonymous) 0x7565…ed27 | Down | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xbd7e2f… |
| 10-15 08:03:38 | (anonymous) 0x32c4…b175 | Down | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x087972… |
| 10-15 08:03:38 | (anonymous) 0x4803…256c | Up | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x087972… |
| 10-15 08:03:38 | (anonymous) 0xdac6…ade0 | Down | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xddc17d… |
| 10-15 08:03:38 | (anonymous) 0x582a…5cb7 | Down | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xbcd701… |
| 10-15 08:03:38 | (anonymous) 0x54b1…3e83 | Up | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xab694b… |
| 10-15 08:03:38 | Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd | Up | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3d8a09… |
| 10-15 08:03:38 | (anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c | Up | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x087972… |
| 10-15 08:03:38 | (anonymous) 0xe761…0522 | Down | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xbcd701… |
| 10-15 08:03:38 | (anonymous) 0x54b1…3e83 | Up | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb6117e… |
| 10-15 08:03:38 | (anonymous) 0x22b3…a018 | Up | BUY | 79 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xbcd701… |
| 10-15 08:03:38 | (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Down | BUY | 33 | 97¢ | $32 | 0xddc17d… |
| 10-15 08:03:38 | (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Up | BUY | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x087972… |
| 10-15 08:03:38 | (anonymous) 0xe14e…9a3f | Down | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xb6117e… |
| 10-15 08:03:38 | (anonymous) 0x56a0…71af | Up | BUY | 22 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x087972… |
| 10-15 08:03:38 | Best-Million 0x81c9…94cd | Down | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xbcd701… |
| 10-15 08:03:38 | Rundown-Pressroom 0x513b…ade9 | Down | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xbcd701… |
| 10-15 08:03:38 | (anonymous) 0x373b…c855 | Down | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x087972… |
| 10-15 08:03:38 | Rural-Reality 0x09fd…c70f | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x2fbb0f… |
| 10-15 08:03:38 | Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd | Up | BUY | 18 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x72a8b3… |
| 10-15 08:03:38 | (anonymous) 0xcf5f…9a7f | Down | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0x4d3007… |
| 10-15 08:03:38 | (anonymous) 0x1e87…8efc | Up | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x087972… |