Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$103

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

63.6%

Resolved

671

Trades

1,383

lifetime

Volume

$6.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-09-07

last 09-27 04:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 95% -$82

Other

16% 82% -$20

Politics

3% 0% -$1

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 232 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+5	$1	7¢	$0	-$1	09-24 16:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 24?	81	$512	607	571	+36	Yes	-$37	09-24 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 24?	82	$305	330	326	+4	Up	-$3	09-24 14:48
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	43	$198	213	213	+0	No	-$2	09-24 17:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?	39	$184	199	199	+0	No	-$3	09-24 16:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?	43	$173	182	182	+0	No	-$1	09-25 04:51
Ethereum Up or Down on September 24?	37	$142	178	178	+0	Up	-$6	09-24 14:53
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	29	$134	154	154	+0	Yes	-$8	09-25 04:50
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September?	28	$124	127	127	+0	No	-$3	09-24 18:03
will bitcoin reach 90k in september 2026	34	$111	218	218	+0	No	-$3	09-24 07:57
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	24	$110	170	170	+0	No	-$2	09-24 17:32
will bitcoin dip to 83k on september 23 2026	39	$94	199	0	+199	No	+$6	09-23 16:01
bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	27	$80	132	46	+87	Yes	+$8	09-23 15:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 26?	15	$60	64	64	+0	Yes	+$0	09-25 04:51
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	18	$57	77	77	+0	open	—	09-24 17:22
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	14	$51	59	59	-0	open	—	09-24 17:49
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	9	$49	46	46	-0	open	—	09-24 15:00
us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918	13	$48	57	57	+0	open	—	09-25 10:29
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 21-27?	14	$46	60	60	-0	No	-$3	09-24 06:37
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	9	$43	30	30	+0	open	—	09-25 10:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 25?	10	$34	42	42	+0	Yes	+$1	09-24 13:15
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	13	$34	63	63	-0	Yes	-$1	09-24 13:27
will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	12	$32	35	35	+0	No	-$1	09-24 05:27
Will Germany win on 2026-09-24?	9	$28	36	25	+11	No	-$4	09-24 18:16
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	7	$21	22	22	+0	open	—	09-25 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	09-15 18:52
BNB Up or Down - September 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	09-16 04:27
Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	09-15 20:24
XRP Up or Down - September 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	09-16 03:12
Dogecoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	09-15 20:08
Solana Up or Down - September 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	09-16 01:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-27 04:11:42	Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0x76b2d1…
09-27 04:11:42	Will Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Colorado Rapids SC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0x64480d…
09-27 02:28:32	Will Austin FC vs. San Diego FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x91e34e…
09-27 01:52:45	Will Austin FC vs. San Diego FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x45286c…
09-27 01:52:45	Will Austin FC win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0x100d6d…
09-26 20:23:39	Will Czechia win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0xcb6b64…
09-26 18:21:42	Will Celta Fortuna win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0x93d4d7…
09-26 18:02:59	Will CD Tenerife vs. Cádiz CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x468d44…
09-26 17:10:08	Will Celta Fortuna vs. CE Sabadell FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$3	0x21cf3e…
09-26 16:56:39	Will CD Tenerife vs. Cádiz CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xa3eee3…
09-26 16:53:03	Will Celta Fortuna vs. CE Sabadell FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x389683…
09-26 16:53:02	Will Celta Fortuna win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x2045d2…
09-26 08:48:24	Will Albirex Niigata win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xd90c60…
09-25 20:23:23	Will Poland win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	SELL	11	17¢	$2	0x7f4945…
09-25 20:23:15	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	BUY	11	41¢	$4	0xedc4f8…
09-25 20:23:11	Will Poland win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0x134ab3…
09-25 20:03:32	Will France win on 2026-09-25?	No	SELL	18	20¢	$4	0x231361…
09-25 20:00:27	Will France win on 2026-09-25?	No	BUY	18	18¢	$3	0x15b760…
09-25 19:27:18	Will Sweden win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	SELL	13	72¢	$9	0xaedb46…
09-25 19:13:30	Will Sweden win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	BUY	13	59¢	$8	0x526999…
09-25 10:29:59	us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918	Yes	SELL	31	41¢	$13	0x9e7a9a…
09-25 10:29:59	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	No	SELL	21	75¢	$16	0x98dc57…
09-25 10:29:59	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	22	47¢	$10	0x216924…
09-25 04:51:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?	Yes	SELL	26	62¢	$16	0x166f6a…
09-25 04:51:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 26?	No	SELL	32	43¢	$14	0xc181ab…
09-25 04:50:57	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	53¢	$10	0xbb8a8f…
09-25 03:25:54	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	3	47¢	$2	0xa0d6b1…
09-25 02:04:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xb1d81e…
09-25 02:03:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x875ff8…
09-25 01:28:48	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x3324fc…
09-24 21:40:47	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5f1450…
09-24 21:29:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0c8d33…
09-24 20:21:26	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0xf11839…
09-24 20:16:44	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xd415c0…
09-24 19:13:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 26?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x0aaf2c…
09-24 19:07:56	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xe359a2…
09-24 18:16:57	Will Germany win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xfc8f94…
09-24 18:04:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?	No	SELL	30	30¢	$9	0x6d81d7…
09-24 18:03:42	Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September?	No	SELL	18	27¢	$5	0x75f427…
09-24 18:03:33	Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September?	No	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xc2d2c3…
09-24 18:02:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?	No	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x4ab3d3…
09-24 17:58:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 26?	Yes	SELL	32	52¢	$17	0x294ae8…
09-24 17:57:35	Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September?	No	SELL	35	30¢	$11	0xef5581…
09-24 17:55:12	Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September?	No	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xf30e1b…
09-24 17:54:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 26?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xf26ef1…
09-24 17:54:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 26?	Yes	BUY	1	56¢	$0	0x74d5ac…
09-24 17:49:36	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	37	43¢	$16	0x2b4dd1…
09-24 17:49:27	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x523c40…
09-24 17:43:29	Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September?	No	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xd32c23…
09-24 17:41:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?	No	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x89a830…
09-24 17:40:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?	No	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0xdabb3c…
09-24 17:38:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?	No	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xe8410f…
09-24 17:35:30	Will Germany win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	SELL	16	39¢	$6	0xc7db00…
09-24 17:35:23	Will Germany win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4c169b…
09-24 17:32:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0x7eff9c…
09-24 17:31:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xfe2f81…
09-24 17:23:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?	No	SELL	21	36¢	$8	0x261d42…
09-24 17:23:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?	No	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0xbec7f8…
09-24 17:23:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x9f5fc8…
09-24 17:22:57	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	58	36¢	$21	0x56d7dd…
09-24 17:21:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?	No	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xbd8a74…
09-24 17:20:54	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xfcf036…
09-24 17:20:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x1eb625…
09-24 17:20:48	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xeb5b39…
09-24 17:16:45	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xc6958d…
09-24 17:16:39	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x7ffb39…
09-24 17:16:38	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$2	0xc3ff7b…
09-24 17:14:30	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	22	44¢	$9	0x324ccc…
09-24 17:12:54	Will Germany win on 2026-09-24?	No	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xc42124…
09-24 17:12:48	Will Germany win on 2026-09-24?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x92328f…
09-24 17:12:48	Will Germany win on 2026-09-24?	No	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x578e84…
09-24 17:10:18	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0x6c5c21…
09-24 17:09:06	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x1acb3a…
09-24 17:04:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?	Yes	SELL	61	60¢	$36	0xf8feab…
09-24 16:49:26	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9ed2e9…
09-24 16:41:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x72a70d…
09-24 16:18:53	Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September?	Yes	SELL	74	61¢	$45	0xe5f364…
09-24 16:18:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	91	23¢	$20	0x553e24…
09-24 16:17:12	Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September?	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xd57033…
09-24 16:17:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x778194…
09-24 16:16:54	Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x2c0823…
09-24 16:16:53	Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September?	Yes	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0xd653cc…
09-24 16:16:47	Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xbfd9fb…
09-24 16:16:45	Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September?	Yes	BUY	1	64¢	$0	0xd7a5ad…
09-24 16:16:44	Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xa0c1a9…
09-24 16:16:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd0cc14…
09-24 16:16:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x4ed3a8…
09-24 16:16:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x372cd3…
09-24 16:16:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	1	63¢	$0	0xc1a7d2…
09-24 16:15:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0x714b01…
09-24 16:15:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0x3cfbed…
09-24 16:15:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	26	42¢	$11	0x17926d…
09-24 16:15:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x66865a…
09-24 15:00:24	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	46	54¢	$25	0x493b85…
09-24 14:58:44	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	15	18¢	$3	0xf4d858…
09-24 14:58:33	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3da528…
09-24 14:53:54	Ethereum Up or Down on September 24?	Up	SELL	45	53¢	$24	0x49a09a…
09-24 14:53:03	Ethereum Up or Down on September 24?	Up	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0xba4b81…
09-24 14:53:00	Ethereum Up or Down on September 24?	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$4	0xa521cb…
09-24 14:52:57	Ethereum Up or Down on September 24?	Up	BUY	1	57¢	$0	0x8ac5c6…