Relieved-Hubris — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$285

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.1%

Resolved

Trades

152

lifetime

Volume

$1.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-11 08:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 57% +$285

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 00:45 UTC	5	$102	92	51	+41	Down	+$16	01-20 00:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 05:45 UTC	2	$98	80	79	+1	Down	+$59	01-13 06:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 08:45 UTC	3	$90	80	72	+9	Up	+$9	01-19 08:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 09:15 UTC	2	$85	200	200	+0	Down	+$45	01-20 09:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 07:45 UTC	4	$83	99	98	+1	Down	+$34	01-20 07:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 08:00 UTC	3	$69	86	85	+1	Down	+$9	01-20 08:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 00:00 UTC	2	$67	74	0	+74	Up	+$7	01-20 00:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 02:45 UTC	3	$65	210	0	+210	Down	+$145	01-20 02:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 09:00 UTC	3	$65	58	33	+25	Down	+$10	01-19 09:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 14:30 UTC	2	$60	110	109	+1	Up	+$17	01-20 14:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 03:30 UTC	2	$59	50	50	+1	Up	+$9	01-19 03:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 01:30 UTC	2	$54	451	450	+1	Down	-$45	01-14 01:43
bitcoin up or down january 11 10pm et	2	$52	45	45	+0	Down	+$38	01-12 05:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 08:45 UTC	2	$51	48	47	+1	Up	+$12	01-12 08:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 06:30 UTC	3	$49	81	37	+44	Up	+$15	01-19 06:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 07:15 UTC	2	$48	47	46	+1	Up	+$9	01-20 07:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 01:00 UTC	2	$48	57	56	+1	Down	+$8	01-13 01:11
will the price of bitcoin be between 90000 92000 on january 11	2	$42	25	25	+0	Yes	+$8	01-11 17:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 07:30 UTC	4	$41	45	37	+8	Up	+$9	01-19 07:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 00:30 UTC	3	$40	265	0	+265	Up	-$40	01-21 00:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 00:00 UTC	3	$39	89	52	+36	Down	+$35	01-21 00:12
will the price of bitcoin be between 90000 92000 on january 10	2	$34	19	19	+0	Yes	+$0	01-10 03:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 02:45 UTC	2	$33	43	43	+0	Down	+$8	01-19 02:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 06:45 UTC	3	$31	225	0	+225	Up	-$31	01-13 06:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 09:15 UTC	2	$30	128	0	+128	Up	-$30	01-13 09:26
will the price of bitcoin be between 90000 92000 on january 9	3	$30	27	27	+0	Yes	+$4	01-09 13:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 07:45 UTC	2	$28	29	29	+0	Up	+$8	01-13 07:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	4	$25	25	21	+4	Down	+$1	05-26 19:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 01:00 UTC	2	$22	40	40	+0	Up	+$2	01-22 01:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 06:30 UTC	2	$22	14	14	+0	Down	+$2	01-12 06:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-11 08:24:18	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x1b1038…
10-11 08:15:42	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xfbea77…
10-11 08:13:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x6b6a64…
10-07 09:08:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0xdbb59d…
10-07 09:07:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xeb8a0a…
05-29 08:31:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xbc1c8d…
05-29 08:30:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe388b7…
05-29 08:30:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x95fd36…
05-29 06:12:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	12	61¢	$8	0xede671…
05-29 06:11:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x640bc8…
05-29 05:36:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0xe9b3b4…
05-29 05:33:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x04cc97…
05-29 05:28:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x305afd…
05-29 05:25:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x580be9…
05-29 03:15:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa42155…
05-29 03:03:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xd35adf…
05-29 02:55:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xfebe5d…
05-29 02:52:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x46c312…
05-29 02:46:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xcb3fe5…
05-29 02:46:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x3d9c2b…
05-26 19:11:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xa72320…
05-26 19:09:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	21	63¢	$13	0x2d39fa…
05-26 19:06:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xb1a539…
05-26 19:05:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x2c6ac5…
05-12 19:31:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xdc3bc8…
05-12 19:18:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0x739608…
05-12 19:16:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xdbd0e2…
05-12 18:40:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	113	4¢	$5	0x68bdf8…
01-22 01:49:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xb2e845…
01-22 01:32:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xdeebf2…
01-22 01:08:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 01:00 UTC	Down	SELL	40	31¢	$12	0xf9d395…
01-22 01:06:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xb80bb8…
01-21 05:58:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xc04d4b…
01-21 05:34:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x829696…
01-21 02:25:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x03a0ba…
01-21 02:24:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x976a46…
01-21 01:29:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x0b8d47…
01-21 00:35:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	121	8¢	$10	0xac7861…
01-21 00:35:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0xb83dfd…
01-21 00:35:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xfd85f6…
01-21 00:27:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x99032c…
01-21 00:12:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x7951d2…
01-21 00:11:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	52	36¢	$19	0xb0ee0e…
01-21 00:10:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x4b3a22…
01-20 14:37:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 14:30 UTC	Up	SELL	109	35¢	$38	0xa13f29…
01-20 14:33:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	110	20¢	$22	0xb0e3ee…
01-20 14:21:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xdc26c9…
01-20 09:28:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 09:15 UTC	Up	SELL	200	33¢	$65	0x5427b7…
01-20 09:27:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x06cb68…
01-20 08:04:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	85	46¢	$39	0x185f60…
01-20 08:03:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x10fda6…
01-20 08:01:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xfd5962…
01-20 07:57:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 07:45 UTC	Down	SELL	48	67¢	$32	0xfd766f…
01-20 07:53:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x18de94…
01-20 07:51:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 07:45 UTC	Down	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0xbc60e1…
01-20 07:49:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x36d02e…
01-20 07:27:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 07:15 UTC	Up	SELL	46	61¢	$28	0x593298…
01-20 07:25:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xb64f1f…
01-20 06:00:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 05:45 UTC	Down	SELL	18	67¢	$12	0x8c8f21…
01-20 05:59:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 05:45 UTC	Down	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0x1daa34…
01-20 05:46:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	24	29¢	$7	0xb13a88…
01-20 02:57:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	136	29¢	$39	0x724562…
01-20 02:56:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0x478ca8…
01-20 02:50:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x9b8690…
01-20 02:27:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x9d21ad…
01-20 01:19:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x735c31…
01-20 01:06:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xb3d79b…
01-20 00:59:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x7d86ab…
01-20 00:58:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x1c3cc2…
01-20 00:58:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 00:45 UTC	Down	SELL	51	75¢	$39	0x883806…
01-20 00:47:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x67f92c…
01-20 00:45:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x4be645…
01-20 00:12:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	52	91¢	$47	0x584f98…
01-20 00:11:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x8bd3f5…
01-19 09:28:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 09:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0xa3e068…
01-19 09:19:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x5627eb…
01-19 09:08:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x443271…
01-19 09:02:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 09:00 UTC	Down	SELL	33	76¢	$25	0x829415…
01-19 09:01:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x8d9168…
01-19 08:51:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x3d8c4d…
01-19 08:47:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 08:45 UTC	Up	SELL	72	63¢	$45	0x774b61…
01-19 08:46:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	73	55¢	$40	0x12d397…
01-19 08:05:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x7ce540…
01-19 07:41:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x2620b8…
01-19 07:37:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 07:30 UTC	Up	SELL	37	57¢	$21	0x384e91…
01-19 07:35:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x85ac01…
01-19 07:31:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x0244c6…
01-19 06:58:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0xca412a…
01-19 06:36:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	44	66¢	$29	0x73247c…
01-19 06:35:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 06:30 UTC	Down	SELL	37	29¢	$11	0x6cf78c…
01-19 06:33:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xbf2c4a…
01-19 03:53:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x14b21f…
01-19 03:40:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 03:30 UTC	Up	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0x7ab524…
01-19 03:39:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xd0c461…
01-19 03:06:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	26	79¢	$20	0x9c7016…
01-19 02:54:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 02:45 UTC	Down	SELL	43	48¢	$20	0x6e1546…
01-19 02:52:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	43	29¢	$12	0x5099d0…
01-19 02:38:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x299adc…
01-19 02:38:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xef99a2…
01-19 02:10:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xb849f2…