Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$213,230

Trades

21,011

Unique wallets

1,546

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-01-20

First seen

2026-01-20

last 01-20 07:31

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

(anon) +13,160 (anon) +8,214 (anon) +6,240 (anon) +4,864 (anon) +4,563 (anon) +3,722 Portly-Authority +2,148 (anon) +2,114

NO holders

(anon) +8,508 (anon) +6,225 (anon) +5,929 (anon) +4,948 (anon) +4,789 Fitting-Entree +2,604 (anon) +2,264 (anon) +2,124

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -5.1¢ (top1%: 56% YES on $76.4K vs crowd: 61% YES on $168.5K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	106	$47.8K	$35.7K	+$12.1K
🐬 Dolphin	331	$25.7K	$15.5K	+$10.2K
🐟 Fish	554	$25.3K	$10.2K	+$15.0K
🦐 Shrimp	555	$4.8K	$3.5K	+$1.3K

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	117	$43.0K	$33.3K	+$9.7K
🏆 Top 5%	154	$6.8K	$4.4K	+$2.3K
✅ Top 10%	90	$1.4K	$639	+$768
Median	178	$1.7K	$742	+$927
Below median	472	$4.4K	$4.1K	+$210
⚠️ Bottom 10%	233	$4.8K	$3.2K	+$1.5K
🔻 Bottom 5%	209	$27.8K	$9.7K	+$18.0K
💀 Bottom 1%	93	$13.8K	$8.7K	+$5.1K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
(anonymous) 0xf039…cb4a	Up	+13,160	$13,029	$13,029	74	01-20 07:31
(anonymous) 0x93c2…c072	Down	+8,508	$3,758	$3,758	90	01-20 07:29
(anonymous) 0x93c2…c072	Up	+8,214	$5,438	$5,438	110	01-20 07:29
(anonymous) 0x6837…9ca9	Up	+6,240	$3,266	$3,266	163	01-20 07:29
(anonymous) 0x6837…9ca9	Down	+6,225	$2,722	$2,722	161	01-20 07:30
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	Down	+5,929	$2,491	$3,690	189	01-20 07:29
(anonymous) 0x3368…21cd	Down	+4,948	$2,311	$2,311	178	01-20 07:29
(anonymous) 0x3368…21cd	Up	+4,864	$2,612	$2,612	192	01-20 07:29
(anonymous) 0x6031…f96d	Down	+4,789	$2,434	$2,434	508	01-20 07:29
(anonymous) 0x6031…f96d	Up	+4,563	$2,157	$2,157	427	01-20 07:29
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	Up	+3,722	$2,062	$4,250	289	01-20 07:29
Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87	Down	+2,604	$338	$338	58	01-20 07:30
(anonymous) 0x63ce…ba9a	Down	+2,264	$992	$1,202	88	01-20 07:29
Portly-Authority 0xbfa0…1a65	Up	+2,148	$2,105	$2,105	1	01-20 07:30
(anonymous) 0x7164…9db6	Down	+2,124	$927	$927	133	01-20 07:29
(anonymous) 0x7164…9db6	Up	+2,114	$1,168	$1,168	150	01-20 07:29
Rewarding-Chrysalis 0x38ea…7ef1	Down	+2,079	$1,082	$1,082	6	01-20 07:17
(anonymous) 0x4543…72d1	Up	+2,072	$1,170	$1,170	161	01-20 07:29
(anonymous) 0x4543…72d1	Down	+2,037	$904	$904	141	01-20 07:30
Selfish-Flock 0xbd95…e333	Up	+2,000	$1,980	$1,980	1	01-20 07:30
(anonymous) 0xebca…170e	Down	+1,981	$799	$799	103	01-20 07:29
Equatorial-Tweet 0x5be3…a082	Up	+1,935	$1,596	$1,596	2	01-20 07:29
(anonymous) 0x8591…86d0	Up	+1,778	$1,470	$1,470	4	01-20 07:29
(anonymous) 0x36b2…ced6	Up	+1,753	$957	$957	26	01-20 07:21
(anonymous) 0x36b2…ced6	Down	+1,751	$1,028	$1,028	30	01-20 07:21
(anonymous) 0xebca…170e	Up	+1,601	$909	$909	87	01-20 07:29
(anonymous) 0x9c1e…2fd2	Down	+1,598	$758	$758	53	01-20 07:29
(anonymous) 0x2220…4471	Up	+1,592	$767	$767	84	01-20 07:29
(anonymous) 0x2220…4471	Down	+1,584	$837	$837	88	01-20 07:30
(anonymous) 0x9c1e…2fd2	Up	+1,571	$882	$882	51	01-20 07:29
(anonymous) 0xf49a…f9ba	Down	+1,400	$18	$18	7	01-20 07:30
(anonymous) 0x03c3…3a1d	Up	+1,282	$701	$701	85	01-20 07:29
(anonymous) 0x854d…681a	Down	+1,276	$162	$191	41	01-20 07:30
Required-State 0x3927…cbf4	Up	+1,200	$642	$642	6	01-20 07:08
(anonymous) 0x63ce…ba9a	Up	+1,108	$585	$1,167	112	01-20 07:28
Playful-Sanction 0x35f2…c035	Down	+1,073	$566	$566	1	01-20 07:15
(anonymous) 0xb46c…dfd4	Down	+1,069	$301	$301	3	01-20 07:28
(anonymous) 0xbf0e…1f6c	Up	+1,067	$544	$544	6	01-20 07:22
(anonymous) 0xb034…f0dc	Up	+1,059	$581	$581	54	01-20 07:29
(anonymous) 0xce37…b17b	Up	+1,003	$521	$521	30	01-20 07:29
(anonymous) 0xd64b…d37c	Down	+1,000	$10	$10	1	01-20 07:30
Organic-Whelp 0x9e56…ee9e	Down	+1,000	$10	$10	1	01-20 07:30
Sturdy-Chinchilla 0xd1dc…cc46	Up	+999	$989	$989	1	01-20 07:30
(anonymous) 0x818f…58cb	Down	+943	$467	$467	91	01-20 07:28
(anonymous) 0xce37…b17b	Down	+938	$614	$614	10	01-20 07:24
Total-Subcomponent 0x5923…a3f7	Down	+933	$457	$457	69	01-20 07:28
Total-Subcomponent 0x5923…a3f7	Up	+931	$479	$479	77	01-20 07:29
(anonymous) 0xc2d3…c7d7	Up	+924	$473	$473	57	01-20 07:29
(anonymous) 0x03c3…3a1d	Down	+902	$391	$391	53	01-20 07:30
Complete-Hash 0x649e…02c9	Down	+900	$151	$151	9	01-20 07:30
(anonymous) 0x9ef1…a807	Down	+900	$412	$412	6	01-20 07:09
(anonymous) 0xc2d3…c7d7	Down	+890	$487	$487	62	01-20 07:28
(anonymous) 0xe041…f2e5	Up	+885	$395	$2,590	48	01-20 07:29
(anonymous) 0x68a8…26e8	Up	+866	$440	$440	121	01-20 07:29
(anonymous) 0x68a8…26e8	Down	+852	$409	$409	112	01-20 07:29
(anonymous) 0x19b3…0b9b	Up	+840	$508	$662	23	01-20 07:29
(anonymous) 0xb034…f0dc	Down	+820	$288	$288	56	01-20 07:29
(anonymous) 0x6cbb…bc64	Down	+820	$423	$423	1	01-20 07:23
(anonymous) 0x968e…10ac	Up	+790	$425	$425	1	01-20 07:18
(anonymous) 0xfd7a…b7c9	Up	+764	$348	$348	14	01-20 07:26