Selfish-Flock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24.3K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.8%

Resolved

951

Trades

7,006

lifetime

Volume

$1.02M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$146

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 09-15 13:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 67 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 83% -$25,151

Other

9% 88% -$1,647

Politics

2% 100% +$2,471

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	20	$17.0K	9,634	9,634	+0	No	+$1,606	03-21 03:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 00:45 UTC	3	$10.2K	12,000	0	+12,000	Down	+$1,756	01-20 00:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 15:00 UTC	10	$5.9K	6,000	0	+6,000	Down	+$60	01-20 15:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 11:00 UTC	64	$5.9K	6,000	0	+6,000	Down	+$61	01-19 11:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 16:15 UTC	4	$5.4K	5,500	0	+5,500	Up	+$55	01-31 16:24
will bitcoin reach 72k february 23 march 1	21	$5.2K	5,499	0	+5,499	No	+$341	03-01 03:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 12:45 UTC	45	$4.9K	5,000	0	+5,000	Down	+$70	01-18 12:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 15:15 UTC	31	$4.9K	5,000	0	+5,000	Down	+$70	01-15 15:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 00:30 UTC	2	$4.9K	5,000	0	+5,000	Up	+$71	01-20 00:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 13:30 UTC	11	$4.3K	4,373	0	+4,373	Down	+$51	01-31 13:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 03:15 UTC	26	$4.3K	4,339	0	+4,339	Up	+$43	01-21 03:30
highest temperature in chicago on march 26 2026 74 75f	37	$4.3K	4,376	0	+4,376	No	+$100	03-26 15:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 04:15 UTC	3	$4.0K	4,000	991	+3,009	Down	-$458	02-01 04:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 07:30 UTC	5	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	Up	+$40	01-19 07:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 13:45 UTC	2	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	Down	+$40	01-19 13:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 07:00 UTC	16	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	Up	+$40	01-19 07:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 14:15 UTC	2	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	Down	+$40	01-20 14:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 09:45 UTC	21	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	Down	+$41	01-24 10:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 03:00 UTC	2	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	Down	+$50	01-17 03:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 02:45 UTC	13	$3.9K	4,000	0	+4,000	Down	+$55	01-21 03:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 05:15 UTC	10	$3.9K	4,000	0	+4,000	Down	+$60	01-25 05:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 12:15 UTC	2	$3.9K	4,000	0	+4,000	Up	+$69	01-18 12:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 12:45 UTC	31	$3.9K	4,000	0	+4,000	Down	+$140	01-16 12:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 11:30 UTC	2	$3.8K	4,000	0	+4,000	Up	+$222	01-23 11:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 23:30 UTC	36	$3.6K	3,657	198	+3,459	Down	-$36	01-31 23:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 08:00 UTC	5	$3.4K	3,400	497	+2,903	Up	-$36	01-16 08:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 12:30 UTC	8	$3.3K	3,500	0	+3,500	Down	+$181	01-31 12:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 14:30 UTC	11	$3.2K	3,261	0	+3,261	Down	+$33	01-19 14:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 07:00 UTC	3	$3.2K	3,500	0	+3,500	Down	+$321	02-01 07:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 11:30 UTC	2	$3.2K	3,200	0	+3,200	Down	+$39	01-31 11:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 13:41:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,846	13¢	$500	0x50fb02…
05-09 11:01:17	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 9?	No	BUY	29	23¢	$7	0xa52fad…
05-09 10:35:39	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 9?	No	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x1dce0b…
05-09 09:45:45	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 9?	No	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xaaea7d…
05-09 08:53:36	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 9?	No	BUY	60	73¢	$44	0xe0f568…
05-09 08:37:44	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 9?	No	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x6378b1…
05-09 08:26:55	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 9?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x5c3ace…
05-09 08:23:11	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 9?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x08c595…
05-09 08:19:48	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 9?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x37d5c5…
05-09 08:13:31	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 9?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x4ea11c…
05-09 08:13:30	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 9?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x5f3b6a…
05-09 08:13:26	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 9?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xd1828b…
05-09 08:13:24	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 9?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x4c3d35…
05-09 08:02:58	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 9?	No	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x224064…
05-09 08:02:56	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 9?	No	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x9cac4e…
05-09 08:02:53	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 9?	No	BUY	36	23¢	$8	0x36fe4b…
05-09 08:00:13	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 9?	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x3a45e2…
05-09 07:34:37	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 9?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xd706ae…
05-09 07:13:56	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 9?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x45dd9f…
05-06 07:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xbcd832…
05-06 07:40:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xce48ba…
05-06 07:38:02	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 6?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xe600f7…
05-05 08:32:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xa5ddbc…
05-05 08:32:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or higher on May 5?	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x199bfa…
05-05 07:15:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 5?	No	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0xf0fe91…
05-05 06:14:38	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 5?	No	BUY	65	80¢	$52	0xc35f37…
05-05 05:31:26	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on May 5?	No	BUY	63	69¢	$43	0x12c524…
05-05 05:28:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 5?	No	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x320807…
05-05 05:26:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 5?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x550b1e…
05-05 05:26:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 5?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd47d21…
05-05 05:26:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 5?	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x2f840c…
05-05 05:26:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 5?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xecb810…
05-05 05:26:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 5?	No	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0xeca8ab…
05-05 05:26:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 5?	No	BUY	27	48¢	$13	0x6fce30…
05-05 05:26:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 5?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xca851b…
05-05 05:26:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 5?	No	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0xa40afe…
05-05 05:26:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 5?	No	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x4b1556…
05-05 05:26:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 5?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x10e10b…
05-05 05:26:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 5?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6ab1d6…
05-05 05:26:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 5?	No	BUY	29	40¢	$12	0x8efc28…
05-05 05:26:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 5?	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x65a4a0…
05-05 05:25:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 5?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe31266…
05-05 05:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 5?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xd774ce…
05-05 05:25:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 5?	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x0d08be…
05-05 05:25:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 5?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xdcea48…
05-05 04:35:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 5?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$9	0xf8f987…
05-05 04:12:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 5?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x7a5c66…
05-05 03:43:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 5?	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0xdbfaf5…
05-05 03:34:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 5?	No	BUY	62	82¢	$51	0x33046b…
05-05 03:31:38	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 5?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xeb2ab2…
05-05 03:11:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 5?	No	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xaed815…
05-05 03:10:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 5?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x251143…
05-05 03:04:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 5?	No	BUY	89	60¢	$53	0x3a0d38…
05-05 02:58:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 5?	No	BUY	88	85¢	$75	0xa05746…
05-05 02:57:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 5?	No	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x1a7b39…
05-05 02:55:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 5?	No	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x46fd1d…
05-05 02:54:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 5?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xb661da…
05-05 02:54:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 5?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2a1b3b…
05-05 02:53:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 5?	No	BUY	33	81¢	$26	0xf81489…
05-05 02:50:08	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 5?	No	BUY	56	94¢	$52	0x1a45bc…
05-05 02:49:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 5?	No	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0xe5521a…
05-05 02:46:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 5?	No	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x9ea2f6…
05-04 02:25:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 4?	No	BUY	56	77¢	$44	0x642d97…
05-04 02:24:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 4?	No	BUY	18	77¢	$14	0x7f76f0…
05-04 02:24:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 4?	No	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0xf98e07…
05-04 02:24:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 4?	No	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x38f90a…
05-04 01:13:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 4?	No	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x42383f…
05-04 01:11:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on May 4?	No	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0x3aef81…
05-04 01:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on May 4?	No	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x11e8ae…
05-04 01:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on May 4?	No	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x45c894…
05-04 01:11:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on May 4?	No	BUY	56	20¢	$11	0x81a7dd…
05-03 15:13:54	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on May 3?	Yes	BUY	56	93¢	$52	0x961b73…
05-03 15:00:46	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	41	89¢	$36	0x72e32a…
05-03 14:55:18	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on May 3?	Yes	BUY	44	92¢	$40	0x2399d0…
05-03 14:53:04	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	59	88¢	$52	0x23169b…
05-03 09:38:50	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 3?	No	BUY	84	55¢	$46	0xf11c53…
05-03 09:38:46	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 3?	No	BUY	16	52¢	$8	0xd7a8d1…
05-03 09:38:14	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 3?	No	BUY	93	60¢	$56	0x34dfcd…
05-03 09:38:04	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 3?	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xcce5d9…
05-03 04:33:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 3?	No	SELL	21	30¢	$6	0x95371c…
05-03 04:33:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 3?	No	SELL	13	30¢	$4	0x28c5fc…
05-03 04:31:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 3?	No	SELL	54	31¢	$17	0xcc905a…
05-03 04:31:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 3?	No	SELL	15	34¢	$5	0x1d21c3…
05-03 04:31:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 3?	No	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x657210…
05-03 04:31:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 3?	No	SELL	75	35¢	$27	0x50fdbc…
05-03 04:31:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 3?	No	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x9fd870…
05-03 04:30:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 3?	No	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0xc79fb2…
05-03 03:14:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 3?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x2639e2…
05-03 03:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 3?	No	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x979e8b…
05-03 03:08:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 3?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x64abc7…
05-03 03:06:02	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 3?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x935379…
05-03 03:02:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 3?	No	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0xcaeecf…
05-03 03:00:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 3?	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xc9d72e…
05-03 03:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 3?	No	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x677971…
05-03 02:59:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 3?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd383c2…
05-03 02:59:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 3?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xb3d315…
05-03 02:59:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 3?	No	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x3f0eb1…
05-03 02:58:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 3?	No	BUY	32	92¢	$29	0x35be1b…
05-03 02:58:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 3?	No	BUY	39	56¢	$22	0xea7f6a…
05-03 02:57:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 3?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x0837cc…