Complete-Hash — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,497

lifetime

Volume

$25.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 08-04 11:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

63% — —

Politics

19% — —

Other

17% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	55	$1.9K	1,195	1,188	+7	open	—	06-21 20:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$1.5K	882	882	+0	open	—	04-25 02:02
btc updown 15m 1769179500	49	$1.0K	1,181	1,109	+72	open	—	01-23 14:52
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	40	$980	5,887	786	+5,101	open	—	06-17 03:25
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	28	$873	540	420	+120	open	—	08-02 02:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	16	$829	609	448	+161	open	—	05-29 01:25
btc updown 15m 1769178600	17	$776	556	549	+7	open	—	01-23 14:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	5	$679	455	403	+53	open	—	04-25 02:03
btc updown 15m 1769182200	56	$560	1,206	0	+1,206	open	—	01-23 15:41
btc updown 15m 1769180400	58	$478	1,019	0	+1,019	open	—	01-23 15:11
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	4	$447	317	317	+0	open	—	04-22 00:23
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	10	$394	258	172	+86	open	—	06-05 14:05
btc updown 15m 1769226300	34	$387	856	0	+856	open	—	01-24 03:59
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	21	$380	306	193	+114	open	—	07-30 22:45
btc updown 15m 1768894200	3	$265	200	197	+3	open	—	01-20 07:41
btc updown 15m 1768893300	10	$198	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	01-20 07:30
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	7	$173	580	580	+0	open	—	05-20 00:12
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	6	$153	190	39	+151	open	—	06-14 14:12
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	4	$151	939	939	+0	open	—	04-22 00:24
btc updown 15m 1768895100	19	$131	180	178	+2	open	—	01-20 07:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	5	$109	124	94	+29	open	—	08-04 11:58
iran successfully targets shipping by july 31 20260629202434613	5	$103	135	135	+0	open	—	07-06 23:22
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	2	$102	52	52	+0	Thunder	+$2	05-10 12:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	05-14 13:21
btc updown 15m 1769432400	1	$100	132	0	+132	open	—	01-26 13:13
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$100	59	57	+2	open	—	05-29 08:52
btc updown 15m 1771898400	2	$94	77	76	+1	open	—	02-24 02:14
Fed rate hike in 2026?	2	$94	69	69	+0	open	—	07-29 20:10
msft above 375 on june 30 2026	2	$90	62	61	+1	open	—	06-29 16:05
btc updown 15m 1768896000	29	$88	270	268	+2	open	—	01-20 08:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 11:59:00	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x3a2ab3…
08-04 11:58:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	56¢	$14	0xd0c349…
08-02 02:10:41	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x781dca…
07-30 22:45:14	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$15	0x5073bd…
07-30 20:10:45	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	72¢	$22	0xd70d06…
07-30 14:16:03	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x5ab981…
07-29 20:10:35	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	69	63¢	$44	0x74ab57…
07-29 14:15:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	54¢	$13	0x26a238…
07-28 20:12:49	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xe881a4…
07-27 20:12:54	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0x08edd4…
07-27 14:11:31	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x9fbafb…
07-25 14:12:25	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	75¢	$10	0xb3b335…
07-24 20:14:12	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	25	55¢	$14	0x858bab…
07-23 20:13:39	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x92c3bf…
07-23 20:12:54	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	25	69¢	$17	0x0830a6…
07-22 14:10:49	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	81¢	$18	0x370b09…
07-22 12:10:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	44¢	$19	0xc1fe36…
07-21 02:11:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0xdeac15…
07-20 20:13:51	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	49	91¢	$45	0x3e3452…
07-20 14:12:10	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	91¢	$13	0x665164…
07-20 02:12:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0xb221f6…
07-19 16:26:57	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x332f8d…
07-19 05:18:51	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	76¢	$12	0x903980…
07-19 05:18:28	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	47	76¢	$36	0xb38ed2…
07-19 00:16:15	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xfba2ba…
07-19 00:14:09	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x9cfe0d…
07-18 20:14:09	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0x5d8a58…
07-17 20:13:39	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0xb9b2a3…
07-17 20:12:30	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	91¢	$17	0x9e736e…
07-17 14:10:13	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x5cb511…
07-17 02:13:13	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	55	90¢	$50	0xce7de4…
07-17 02:12:12	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x8118c6…
07-16 20:14:59	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0xc956f0…
07-16 20:14:13	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x6b81dd…
07-16 02:09:58	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0x21c556…
07-16 02:09:08	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	32	90¢	$29	0xd10512…
07-15 20:12:25	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	75¢	$30	0xfc1b51…
07-15 20:11:41	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	56	90¢	$50	0x72c4cb…
07-15 14:11:49	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x01203f…
07-15 02:13:29	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	34	90¢	$30	0x855078…
07-14 20:11:13	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	34	91¢	$31	0xe561f0…
07-14 06:40:05	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	34	90¢	$31	0xc509fa…
07-13 20:11:08	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x80f128…
07-12 14:10:38	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	77¢	$27	0xc7d778…
07-11 20:12:47	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x5fb579…
07-11 14:11:52	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	39	78¢	$31	0x73c1c8…
07-11 14:11:04	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	45	91¢	$41	0x27c2df…
07-11 10:37:07	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x8461ae…
07-11 10:17:53	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x287bce…
07-10 14:11:10	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x1b7364…
07-09 20:15:19	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	46	91¢	$41	0x16f2b1…
07-09 14:10:17	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x88b8d5…
07-09 02:11:34	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$10	0x98cbf5…
07-08 20:10:05	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	55	91¢	$50	0x62c0e7…
07-06 23:22:13	iran successfully targets shipping by july 31 20260629202434613	Yes	SELL	39	42¢	$17	0xddc4d5…
07-06 23:21:13	iran successfully targets shipping by july 31 20260629202434613	Yes	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0x8bd0c3…
07-06 20:09:44	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x473b80…
07-06 03:20:41	iran successfully targets shipping by july 31 20260629202434613	Yes	SELL	19	42¢	$8	0xa4d85e…
07-06 02:10:59	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0xfb600b…
07-05 20:15:26	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0x78e542…
07-05 10:16:08	iran successfully targets shipping by july 31 20260629202434613	Yes	SELL	68	37¢	$25	0x43b629…
07-04 20:17:37	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x04eda0…
07-04 14:13:34	iran successfully targets shipping by july 31 20260629202434613	Yes	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0xbf560b…
07-04 12:08:59	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x6ad537…
06-29 16:05:52	msft above 375 on june 30 2026	No	SELL	61	66¢	$40	0x26f61f…
06-27 17:18:56	msft above 375 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x3a417b…
06-21 20:08:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	49	94¢	$46	0xb5214e…
06-21 19:41:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	40	94¢	$38	0xea8e29…
06-21 02:08:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x7ffca0…
06-20 14:07:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	54	92¢	$50	0xbeac56…
06-20 02:06:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xa8b103…
06-19 02:09:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	58	86¢	$50	0xb5fedc…
06-18 02:07:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	16	78¢	$13	0xb3a939…
06-17 20:08:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x371c8b…
06-17 14:09:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x267518…
06-17 03:25:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xea31b3…
06-15 14:09:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	361	6¢	$23	0x89d1ea…
06-15 12:18:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0xda27a7…
06-15 12:18:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	174	12¢	$21	0xb2e851…
06-14 23:09:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	97	15¢	$15	0x2a67ef…
06-14 23:09:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0xc60017…
06-14 20:08:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x8916de…
06-14 14:13:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0x101953…
06-14 14:12:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x0fef0c…
06-14 14:11:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0x65ac00…
06-14 04:32:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x9b2776…
06-14 04:29:57	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xa09daf…
06-14 02:10:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	75¢	$43	0x1034ec…
06-14 02:09:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	63	79¢	$50	0x431a49…
06-14 02:09:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	26	73¢	$19	0xd686d1…
06-13 20:10:27	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	77¢	$30	0x27cc89…
06-13 14:10:39	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0x8afd71…
06-13 14:10:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	62	80¢	$49	0x59308b…
06-13 03:24:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	40	82¢	$33	0xe1febf…
06-13 03:23:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	60	83¢	$50	0xe79394…
06-12 14:15:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	14	89¢	$13	0xe56dc1…
06-12 14:15:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x4e8668…
06-12 14:15:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xa59fed…
06-12 14:15:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x3219f8…
06-12 14:15:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xd98d08…