Complete-Hash — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

+$31

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,374

lifetime

Volume

$22.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$134

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 06-09 20:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

71% — —

Politics

14% — —

Other

14% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		+103	$72	90¢	$93	+$21	06-10 03:04
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-625	$-50	6¢	$-41	+$9	05-28 19:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$1.5K	882	882	+0	open	—	04-25 02:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	36	$1.2K	844	741	+103	open	—	06-10 03:04
btc updown 15m 1769179500	49	$1.0K	1,181	1,109	+72	open	—	01-23 14:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	16	$829	609	448	+161	open	—	05-29 01:25
btc updown 15m 1769178600	17	$776	556	549	+7	open	—	01-23 14:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	5	$679	455	403	+53	open	—	04-25 02:03
btc updown 15m 1769182200	56	$560	1,206	0	+1,206	open	—	01-23 15:41
btc updown 15m 1769180400	58	$478	1,019	0	+1,019	open	—	01-23 15:11
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	14	$459	308	203	+104	open	—	06-10 03:04
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	4	$447	317	317	+0	open	—	04-22 00:23
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	10	$394	258	172	+86	open	—	06-05 14:05
btc updown 15m 1769226300	34	$387	856	0	+856	open	—	01-24 03:59
btc updown 15m 1768894200	3	$265	200	197	+3	open	—	01-20 07:41
btc updown 15m 1768893300	10	$198	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	01-20 07:30
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	7	$173	580	580	+0	open	—	05-20 00:12
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	4	$151	939	939	+0	open	—	04-22 00:24
btc updown 15m 1768895100	19	$131	180	178	+2	open	—	01-20 07:51
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	2	$102	52	52	+0	Thunder	+$2	05-10 12:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	05-14 13:21
btc updown 15m 1769432400	1	$100	132	0	+132	open	—	01-26 13:13
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$100	59	57	+2	open	—	05-29 08:52
btc updown 15m 1771898400	2	$94	77	76	+1	open	—	02-24 02:14
btc updown 15m 1768896000	29	$88	270	268	+2	open	—	01-20 08:11
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	3	$77	192	191	+0	open	—	05-31 00:11
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	1	$50	0	625	-625	open	—	05-28 19:31
btc updown 15m 1769247000	5	$45	91	0	+91	open	—	01-24 09:33
btc updown 15m 1769245200	7	$45	91	0	+91	open	—	01-24 09:02
btc updown 15m 1769252400	2	$44	89	0	+89	open	—	01-24 11:04
btc updown 15m 1769347800	4	$44	90	0	+90	open	—	01-25 13:31
btc updown 15m 1769228100	4	$44	94	0	+94	open	—	01-24 04:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 03:04:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x224f14…
06-10 03:04:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x88c11e…
06-10 02:11:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	14	90¢	$12	0x7b22f3…
06-10 02:11:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	51	95¢	$49	0x71583c…
06-09 20:08:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	56	90¢	$50	0xeef333…
06-09 14:06:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xcb57a8…
06-09 02:09:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	39	91¢	$36	0x4ba55b…
06-08 20:05:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	56	90¢	$50	0x43306f…
06-08 14:06:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	21	94¢	$19	0x82ea05…
06-08 14:06:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	15	89¢	$13	0xe48546…
06-08 02:05:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	35	91¢	$32	0x238413…
06-07 20:07:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x187f74…
06-07 14:06:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	28	94¢	$26	0xf4d956…
06-07 14:05:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x11884c…
06-06 20:06:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	59	85¢	$50	0xcba1c5…
06-06 02:06:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0xa1dbb3…
06-06 02:05:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0xa1ec26…
06-05 20:05:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	21	82¢	$17	0x0cf900…
06-05 20:04:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	16	88¢	$14	0xfe9c1a…
06-05 14:06:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	37	82¢	$30	0xb06d26…
06-05 14:05:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x297473…
06-05 06:06:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xa069b5…
06-05 06:05:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	37	98¢	$36	0x150da6…
06-05 00:10:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xff0603…
06-04 18:09:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	25	83¢	$21	0x7c580c…
06-04 12:09:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	35	84¢	$29	0xee951f…
06-04 00:09:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	56	87¢	$49	0xb9be89…
06-04 00:08:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	54	85¢	$46	0x7a5a6b…
06-03 18:08:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xe997f1…
06-03 12:09:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x21fec1…
06-03 06:08:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	57	80¢	$46	0x84f96c…
06-03 00:10:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0xe27c7f…
06-03 00:09:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	58	86¢	$50	0x1ba4d3…
06-03 00:08:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	53	95¢	$50	0xc3dee0…
06-02 18:09:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x1eb6a6…
06-02 18:08:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x145b70…
06-02 12:11:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	46	87¢	$40	0x1d7ce2…
06-02 06:10:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0xa7d963…
06-02 06:09:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	64	78¢	$50	0xf0c6aa…
06-01 18:09:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	41	93¢	$38	0x6bdf64…
06-01 12:16:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	25	75¢	$19	0x638e31…
06-01 12:11:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	42	93¢	$39	0x1fe478…
06-01 06:10:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	68	73¢	$50	0x647f69…
06-01 06:09:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xd42720…
05-31 18:14:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	40	89¢	$36	0x7541f3…
05-31 18:12:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x886d43…
05-31 12:07:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	21	71¢	$15	0x26579b…
05-31 06:08:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0x72d148…
05-31 03:05:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	70	71¢	$50	0xc86d65…
05-31 00:11:40	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	191	7¢	$13	0x13f4d7…
05-30 18:10:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	17	68¢	$11	0x604edd…
05-30 06:13:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	17	65¢	$11	0x5d3727…
05-30 06:11:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0xeaf920…
05-30 00:18:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	77	64¢	$49	0x20633a…
05-30 00:17:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x47b176…
05-29 18:11:00	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	80	44¢	$35	0x731133…
05-29 08:54:05	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	111	25¢	$28	0x664134…
05-29 08:53:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xac48ea…
05-29 08:52:33	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	57	88¢	$50	0xcee0f2…
05-29 02:15:12	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0xcfcd13…
05-29 01:25:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0x85c831…
05-29 01:24:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	78	64¢	$50	0x78eda5…
05-29 00:12:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x00d0d6…
05-28 19:31:29	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	625	8¢	$50	0x4b5866…
05-28 19:30:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x303f9e…
05-28 12:12:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	55	91¢	$50	0x644f59…
05-28 12:12:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	69	67¢	$46	0xc9fc70…
05-28 06:12:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xa9e177…
05-28 01:17:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x94e031…
05-27 03:55:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	68	74¢	$50	0xd341e1…
05-27 01:03:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	41	76¢	$32	0x55bc4b…
05-27 01:02:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	66	76¢	$50	0x22ade4…
05-27 01:00:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	66	76¢	$50	0x2c96a2…
05-25 12:06:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	72	67¢	$49	0xcb4e0d…
05-25 06:06:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x82e0a5…
05-25 03:09:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x8ba7b0…
05-24 11:23:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0xb9ac4b…
05-24 04:07:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x85804d…
05-22 09:58:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	59	82¢	$48	0x10355c…
05-20 00:12:03	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0x978a11…
05-19 12:59:09	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	SELL	248	12¢	$30	0x1337ec…
05-19 12:58:35	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	SELL	248	12¢	$30	0xc7c5db…
05-18 14:29:26	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	SELL	15	16¢	$2	0x2e5221…
05-18 14:28:44	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x9a0a33…
05-18 14:26:52	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	SELL	18	16¢	$3	0x25e6dd…
05-18 10:56:03	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	BUY	580	17¢	$100	0x61e77b…
05-17 06:47:07	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	250	5¢	$12	0xc3caa4…
05-17 01:00:28	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	250	6¢	$15	0xd1c88b…
05-15 11:52:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	153	89¢	$136	0x07cf58…
05-14 13:25:43	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	SELL	1,250	0¢	$5	0xc04315…
05-14 13:25:36	Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?	Yes	SELL	108	11¢	$12	0x706688…
05-14 13:23:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x5dc6dd…
05-14 13:21:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0x2055e5…
05-14 00:02:49	Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	108	14¢	$15	0xb503c2…
05-13 23:35:33	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	1,250	1¢	$10	0x1a7d39…
05-11 23:50:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	96	83¢	$80	0xab0b0e…
05-11 23:50:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x75ee3d…
05-10 13:00:17	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0x51685e…
05-10 12:53:50	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0xac5f6d…
05-06 07:14:24	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x759be3…