Realized P&L
-$579
Unrealized P&L
+$42
Hit rate
65.3%
Resolved
1,258
Trades
2,819
lifetime
Volume
$36.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$287
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 10-29 10:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 76 days
Categories
Crypto
44% 55% -$650
Other
28% 37% +$50
Politics
19% 65% +$95
Sports
8% 27% -$73
Tech
1% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +69 $62 98¢ $67 +$5 10-28 07:09
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +56 $50 97¢ $55 +$5 10-29 10:29
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +57 $50 94¢ $54 +$4 10-29 10:26
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? No +55 $50 94¢ $51 +$1 10-26 23:53
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +65 $50 78¢ $50 +$0 10-29 10:27
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No +9 -$6 95¢ $8 +$15 09-23 20:23
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +46 $10 1¢ $0 -$9 06-14 04:31
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +0 $0 98¢ $0 $0 08-09 02:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +0 -$22 90¢ $0 +$22 08-31 02:12
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$3 97¢ $0 +$3 09-18 14:18
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +0 -$10 32¢ $0 +$10 08-19 02:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +0 $6 12¢ $0 -$6 05-22 08:08
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +0 $10 3¢ $0 -$10 05-24 04:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 -$2 6¢ $0 +$2 08-16 20:11