Raw-Stupidity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

116

lifetime

Volume

$2.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-15 02:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 100% +$0

Other

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 70k on june 14 2026	1	$39	39	0	+39	open	—	06-14 00:27
bitcoin above 68k on june 13 2026	1	$39	39	0	+39	open	—	06-13 01:34
bitcoin above 56k on june 11 2026	1	$39	39	0	+39	open	—	06-11 02:26
bitcoin above 72k on june 15 2026	1	$39	39	0	+39	open	—	06-15 02:35
bitcoin above 66k on june 10 2026	1	$39	39	0	+39	open	—	06-10 02:42
bitcoin above 74k on march 4	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	03-04 14:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	05-19 02:23
bitcoin above 70k on june 8 2026	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	06-08 01:44
bitcoin above 68k on june 7 2026	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	06-07 01:56
bitcoin above 70k on june 4 2026	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	06-04 02:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 30?	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	05-30 02:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	05-28 02:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	05-20 02:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	05-29 02:33
bitcoin above 68k on june 9 2026	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	06-09 02:21
bitcoin above 70k on june 5 2026	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	06-05 01:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3?	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	06-03 03:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	05-18 03:14
bitcoin above 66k on june 6 2026	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	06-06 03:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	05-21 04:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	05-16 02:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	05-14 02:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	05-15 02:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	1	$29	29	0	+29	Yes	+$0	05-07 03:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	1	$29	29	0	+29	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	1	$29	29	0	+29	Yes	+$0	05-13 02:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	1	$29	29	0	+29	Yes	+$0	05-11 02:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 2?	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	05-02 01:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	05-17 03:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 1?	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	05-01 01:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 02:35:57	bitcoin above 72k on june 15 2026	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xab0919…
06-14 00:27:58	bitcoin above 70k on june 14 2026	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xa5986f…
06-13 01:34:37	bitcoin above 68k on june 13 2026	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xaca224…
06-11 02:26:52	bitcoin above 56k on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x8e8c22…
06-10 02:42:15	bitcoin above 66k on june 10 2026	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x4925dc…
06-09 02:21:15	bitcoin above 68k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xc4adf9…
06-08 01:44:19	bitcoin above 70k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x041af5…
06-07 01:56:03	bitcoin above 68k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x33eacc…
06-06 03:01:31	bitcoin above 66k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x216578…
06-05 01:52:39	bitcoin above 70k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xe55532…
06-04 02:04:22	bitcoin above 70k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x1c9dca…
06-03 03:27:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xc1c9ec…
05-30 02:53:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xc3cadf…
05-29 02:33:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x4ee507…
05-28 02:20:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xa2afa3…
05-21 04:20:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xa0d059…
05-20 02:39:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x83140b…
05-19 02:23:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x73eb6a…
05-18 03:14:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x8e1bfb…
05-17 03:36:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x35ff1e…
05-16 02:53:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x792577…
05-15 02:27:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x56e474…
05-14 02:29:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x5c3369…
05-13 02:06:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x8d8034…
05-12 03:49:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x49ba4d…
05-11 02:16:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xd6f208…
05-07 03:14:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x43a93b…
05-02 01:11:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x41af84…
05-01 01:06:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x1678a7…
04-28 02:48:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	28	88¢	$24	0xace783…
04-26 02:07:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x980648…
04-25 02:38:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or higher on April 25?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x73d2a1…
04-24 03:54:00	highest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 22c	No	BUY	24	94¢	$23	0xeeb5ed…
04-23 02:37:12	highest temperature in shanghai on april 23 2026 17c	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x7c2981…
04-22 03:40:28	highest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 19c	No	BUY	20	93¢	$18	0x648c2c…
04-21 04:33:20	bitcoin above 70k on april 21	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x4be538…
04-20 03:46:02	bitcoin above 80k on april 20	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd4829c…
04-17 04:03:00	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x110b15…
04-16 04:24:46	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4470ef…
04-15 02:49:56	bitcoin above 80k on april 15	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x0b0874…
04-14 02:56:21	bitcoin above 68k on april 14	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x567f33…
04-13 02:52:09	bitcoin above 76k on april 13	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x38278f…
04-12 02:16:37	bitcoin above 78k on april 12	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x1bd948…
04-11 02:32:35	bitcoin above 68k on april 11	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x00edab…
04-08 02:44:09	bitcoin above 64k on april 8	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x0fe6f2…
04-07 04:40:21	bitcoin above 74k on april 7	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x6575e3…
04-05 23:37:19	bitcoin above 60k on april 6	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xd46389…
04-01 03:22:11	bitcoin above 74k on april 1	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x090412…
03-31 02:22:41	bitcoin above 62k on march 31	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x2a6510…
03-30 06:01:40	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x74ab13…
03-27 03:46:47	bitcoin above 74k on march 27	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x4a6665…
03-27 03:46:27	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x57e605…
03-26 04:08:07	bitcoin above 76k on march 26	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x2faa73…
03-26 04:07:57	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc76252…
03-25 04:07:33	bitcoin above 64k on march 25	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xcc2706…
03-24 02:51:17	bitcoin above 76k on march 24	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x18ef2b…
03-21 03:28:41	bitcoin above 66k on march 21	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x93e90c…
03-20 03:53:43	bitcoin above 64k on march 20	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x6ce936…
03-19 03:16:43	bitcoin above 76k on march 19	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x4cd1a5…
03-17 04:26:31	bitcoin above 82k on march 17	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xe0e9c3…
03-14 02:49:11	bitcoin above 76k on march 14	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x3d9c8e…
03-13 02:09:31	bitcoin above 60k on march 13	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x2752d5…
03-11 03:56:55	bitcoin above 76k on march 11	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x0af1e2…
03-10 04:12:55	bitcoin above 62k on march 10	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x96a454…
03-09 04:01:01	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x9bc846…
03-08 05:08:41	bitcoin above 72k on march 8	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf92590…
03-07 03:56:19	bitcoin above 74k on march 7	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x765672…
03-05 02:56:51	bitcoin above 64k on march 5	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x1c382a…
03-04 14:43:33	bitcoin above 78k on march 4	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x272cc7…
03-04 14:39:29	bitcoin above 74k on march 4	No	SELL	20	92¢	$19	0xbf6935…
03-04 05:04:37	bitcoin above 74k on march 4	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfa5d19…
03-02 04:34:35	bitcoin above 54k on march 3	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc9896b…
02-27 04:55:16	bitcoin above 74k on february 27	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5ec3d3…
02-26 14:23:16	bitcoin above 62k on february 26	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc0b52c…
02-25 13:12:42	bitcoin above 60k on february 25	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x64e53c…
02-23 13:40:18	bitcoin above 60k on february 23	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x08e3bf…
02-21 00:41:42	bitcoin above 60k on february 21	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xeee07b…
02-16 13:15:35	bitcoin above 64k on february 16	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb33b60…
02-15 04:36:27	bitcoin above 62k on february 15	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x4cbb38…
02-14 04:05:57	bitcoin above 62k on february 14	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x2c93f0…
02-13 04:19:57	bitcoin above 72k on february 13	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x539143…
02-12 13:08:11	bitcoin above 76k on february 12	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc765b9…
02-12 04:40:07	meta above 610 on february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x486f96…
02-11 07:43:01	bitcoin above 74k on february 11	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x15ff03…
02-11 04:36:29	will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 500k	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcb44a1…
02-09 03:56:37	bitcoin above 78k on february 9	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x16a613…
02-09 03:49:13	bitcoin above 78k on february 9	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9fbae0…
02-04 04:53:14	bitcoin above 84k on february 4	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x525466…
02-03 05:16:00	bitcoin above 86k on february 3	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x46b2a0…
02-02 04:48:54	bitcoin above 86k on february 2	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe09352…
02-01 04:38:16	bitcoin above 86k on february 1	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x593ef6…
01-31 04:27:28	bitcoin above 90k on january 31	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x179cc8…
01-28 05:03:13	bitcoin above 94k on january 28	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x803c48…
01-27 04:33:55	bitcoin above 84k on january 27	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7eadae…
01-26 04:49:48	bitcoin above 94k on january 26	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd869c0…
01-23 04:43:44	bitcoin above 96k on january 23	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x00010c…
01-22 04:18:24	bitcoin above 94k on january 22	No	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0x425b42…
01-21 03:46:18	bitcoin above 94k on january 21	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x7bbffb…
01-20 03:39:16	bitcoin above 96k on january 20	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xbb2f95…
01-19 03:41:46	bitcoin above 98k on january 19	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xe69b5b…