Agreeable-Tinderbox — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$736

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

77.9%

Resolved

Trades

134

lifetime

Volume

$47.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$351

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 10-13 03:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Other

61% 63% +$626

Sports

39% 54% +$110

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes		+1	$1	94¢	$1	+$0	05-07 14:02
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+7	$1	8¢	$1	$0	05-07 14:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$6.5K	3,504	3,504	+0	No	+$503	04-12 23:05
Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	2	$2.1K	1,496	1,496	+0	Yes	+$120	05-07 14:01
nba mia hou 2026 03 21	2	$2.1K	1,085	1,085	+0	Rockets	+$84	03-22 03:18
cbb uk iowast 2026 03 22	4	$1.6K	1,056	1,053	+3	Iowa State Cyclones	+$200	03-22 20:52
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	4	$1.5K	845	845	+0	Milwaukee Brewers	+$164	10-13 00:32
lal rea mad 2026 03 22 rea	4	$1.5K	1,012	1,012	+0	Yes	-$138	03-22 21:51
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	3	$1.3K	1,042	1,042	+0	Spurs	+$338	06-09 02:53
Spurs vs. Thunder	2	$1.2K	740	740	+0	Thunder	+$246	05-21 03:22
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	2	$1.2K	668	668	+0	Yes	+$164	06-13 01:58
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	2	$1.1K	807	807	+0	No	+$121	05-24 21:45
cbb utahst arz 2026 03 22	2	$1.1K	581	580	+1	Arizona Wildcats	+$81	03-23 02:34
cbb mia pur 2026 03 22	2	$1.1K	556	555	+1	Purdue Boilermakers	+$55	03-22 20:52
Bills vs. Rams	2	$1.0K	543	543	+0	Bills	+$43	10-13 03:50
cbb hofst ala 2026 03 20	2	$1.0K	575	574	+1	Alabama Crimson Tide	+$29	03-20 20:36
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)	2	$1.0K	598	598	+0	Côte d'Ivoire	+$33	06-14 23:45
cbb siena duke 2026 03 19	1	$999	1,278	0	+1,278	Duke Blue Devils	+$279	03-19 20:01
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)	2	$925	575	575	+0	Thunder	+$132	05-23 01:52
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$882	835	835	+0	No	-$103	05-19 02:53
nba nyk bkn 2026 03 20	2	$875	494	494	+0	Knicks	+$75	03-21 01:36
US Open WTA: Coco Gauff vs Elena Rybakina	3	$781	725	556	+170	Elena Rybakina	+$329	09-11 03:29
cbb hpnt ark 2026 03 21	3	$729	708	326	+381	Arkansas Razorbacks	+$110	03-22 03:35
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$722	686	686	+0	Yes	+$137	06-03 13:45
Boise State vs. Oregon	2	$673	368	368	+0	Oregon	+$62	09-05 23:19
cbb txtech ala 2026 03 22	2	$667	375	374	+1	Alabama Crimson Tide	+$68	03-23 03:02
wbc ita ven 2026 03 16	4	$658	538	538	+0	Venezuela	+$8	03-17 03:02
Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame	2	$650	353	353	+0	Notre Dame	+$56	09-07 03:22
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?	2	$607	357	357	+0	Yes	+$107	06-14 00:19
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	2	$603	357	357	+0	Yes	+$110	06-11 22:46
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$593	652	652	+0	No	-$7	05-30 17:26
Spurs vs. Thunder	3	$582	554	554	+0	Spurs	+$82	05-31 01:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 03:50:29	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	SELL	543	100¢	$543	0x93518e…
10-13 03:43:59	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	BUY	543	92¢	$500	0xd529c6…
10-13 02:29:44	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	617	12¢	$74	0x0ab13d…
10-13 00:33:11	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	617	81¢	$500	0x7e6ec0…
10-13 00:32:51	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	845	100¢	$844	0x1ee9db…
10-13 00:19:36	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	98	97¢	$96	0x7120e7…
10-12 23:43:26	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	494	81¢	$400	0xd8a760…
10-12 23:38:21	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	253	73¢	$184	0xfbf2c4…
10-12 23:30:24	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	576	25¢	$144	0xe6b973…
10-12 21:15:14	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	576	43¢	$245	0x99d7ed…
09-26 22:29:30	Spread: Florida (-11.5)	Ole Miss	SELL	475	48¢	$230	0x15d6ed…
09-26 21:17:29	Spread: Florida (-11.5)	Ole Miss	BUY	475	53¢	$250	0x06cf0d…
09-11 03:29:03	US Open WTA: Coco Gauff vs Elena Rybakina	Elena Rybakina	SELL	556	100¢	$555	0x8967a6…
09-11 02:25:27	US Open WTA: Coco Gauff vs Elena Rybakina	Coco Gauff	BUY	170	45¢	$76	0x92a87d…
09-11 01:40:07	US Open WTA: Coco Gauff vs Elena Rybakina	Elena Rybakina	BUY	556	27¢	$150	0x7cf150…
09-09 17:34:24	US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina	Elena Rybakina	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0xcd6ce8…
09-09 16:32:37	US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina	Elena Rybakina	BUY	532	47¢	$250	0x8ab015…
09-09 04:19:36	US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz	Ben Shelton	SELL	333	16¢	$53	0x794c21…
09-09 04:08:58	US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz	Ben Shelton	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0x392f47…
09-08 02:56:15	SMU vs. Florida State	Florida State	BUY	273	22¢	$60	0xd314cb…
09-07 21:04:00	wta osaka rybakin 2026 09 07	Naomi Osaka	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0x91e18a…
09-07 03:22:16	Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame	Notre Dame	SELL	353	100¢	$353	0x56573c…
09-07 01:36:01	Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame	Notre Dame	BUY	353	84¢	$297	0x1feda2…
09-06 14:37:37	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	206	50¢	$103	0xf14a9f…
09-06 14:28:46	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	206	73¢	$150	0x1795ad…
09-06 14:18:13	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	248	41¢	$102	0x64f31c…
09-06 14:17:03	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	40	45¢	$18	0x0da257…
09-06 11:57:15	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	288	52¢	$150	0x75b6bb…
09-06 00:17:36	Clemson vs. LSU	LSU	BUY	466	78¢	$363	0x3a14aa…
09-05 23:19:30	Boise State vs. Oregon	Oregon	SELL	368	100¢	$368	0xfd75b9…
09-05 21:23:54	Boise State vs. Oregon	Oregon	BUY	368	83¢	$305	0xbd7a34…
09-01 18:24:19	US Open ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Flavio Cobolli	Flavio Cobolli	SELL	397	75¢	$298	0x28890a…
09-01 17:35:46	US Open ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Flavio Cobolli	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	397	49¢	$194	0x1159ae…
06-16 02:26:10	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	922	58¢	$535	0x44777e…
06-15 23:47:36	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x784ddb…
06-15 23:47:12	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	SELL	736	6¢	$44	0xa79b4a…
06-15 22:48:57	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	736	40¢	$295	0x911ffa…
06-15 18:30:24	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	749	66¢	$494	0xc7067f…
06-15 16:23:55	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	584	85¢	$496	0xc6e867…
06-14 23:45:18	Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)	Côte d'Ivoire	SELL	598	89¢	$529	0xa105c4…
06-14 23:01:19	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 spread away 1pt5	Côte d'Ivoire	BUY	598	83¢	$496	0x181339…
06-14 14:44:01	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0x38c267…
06-14 14:03:36	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	52	79¢	$41	0xea1873…
06-14 13:58:09	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	317	14¢	$43	0xc014f9…
06-14 13:27:03	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	317	15¢	$47	0x22ca4c…
06-14 03:18:42	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Spurs	SELL	391	6¢	$23	0x3e6fce…
06-14 00:35:57	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Spurs	BUY	391	64¢	$250	0x019128…
06-14 00:19:07	Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	357	100¢	$357	0x7a8600…
06-13 23:51:52	Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	357	70¢	$250	0xb57a31…
06-13 01:58:22	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	SELL	668	99¢	$659	0x75fe9a…
06-13 01:15:45	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	668	74¢	$494	0xcdf399…
06-12 21:00:51	Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x1fea05…
06-12 20:40:57	Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	45	61¢	$27	0xa122cf…
06-12 20:40:22	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	SELL	341	11¢	$37	0x80da40…
06-12 19:50:19	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	341	44¢	$150	0x77da4f…
06-12 19:48:24	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	SELL	377	24¢	$91	0x7b4ab2…
06-12 19:20:04	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	377	53¢	$200	0xccaaed…
06-11 22:46:51	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	SELL	357	100¢	$357	0xba321a…
06-11 18:27:51	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	357	69¢	$246	0x2c734c…
06-11 03:23:00	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	SELL	761	30¢	$228	0xa66781…
06-10 23:51:30	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	761	46¢	$350	0x61d706…
06-09 02:53:45	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	SELL	173	80¢	$138	0xb74c64…
06-09 02:53:33	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	SELL	869	79¢	$689	0x1a5f7c…
06-08 22:08:33	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	1,042	47¢	$490	0xa7e17d…
06-06 03:04:27	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	SELL	726	10¢	$73	0x21ef08…
06-05 23:09:21	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	726	68¢	$493	0xb9f71e…
06-03 13:45:12	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	686	63¢	$429	0x344d4c…
06-01 15:03:18	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	686	43¢	$293	0xeb24e0…
05-31 01:16:25	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	554	60¢	$332	0x5c8c98…
05-31 00:32:38	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x174681…
05-31 00:21:28	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	426	47¢	$200	0xf395b1…
05-30 18:29:32	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	260	100¢	$259	0x98ef68…
05-30 17:52:54	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	260	77¢	$200	0x38e745…
05-30 17:52:23	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	526	52¢	$274	0x094b48…
05-30 17:34:30	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	526	57¢	$300	0x4e2148…
05-30 17:26:46	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	652	45¢	$293	0x7fa81d…
05-30 16:06:37	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	652	46¢	$300	0x974f8d…
05-24 21:45:17	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	SELL	807	76¢	$613	0x9f6769…
05-23 01:52:50	Spread: Spurs (-11.5)	Thunder	SELL	575	92¢	$528	0x689a3b…
05-23 00:42:54	Spread: Spurs (-11.5)	Thunder	BUY	575	69¢	$397	0xda65e8…
05-22 23:14:40	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	807	61¢	$492	0x85d3de…
05-21 03:22:28	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	740	100¢	$740	0xdb9b55…
05-21 02:06:31	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	740	67¢	$493	0x2e8bce…
05-19 02:53:11	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	835	47¢	$390	0x100ec5…
05-18 23:25:10	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	835	59¢	$493	0xd99f88…
05-07 14:04:35	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xaf80d5…
05-07 14:03:30	Over $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe58bb8…
05-07 14:02:48	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xd2d8f2…
05-07 14:02:11	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0dcd28…
05-07 14:01:12	Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	1,496	74¢	$1,107	0x5835cc…
05-06 22:01:35	Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	1,496	66¢	$987	0xfb2076…
04-12 23:05:19	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	3,504	100¢	$3,500	0x1d97b6…
04-12 20:50:19	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	1,194	84¢	$999	0xd49adb…
04-12 20:18:49	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	2,310	86¢	$1,998	0x69759c…
03-23 03:02:05	cbb txtech ala 2026 03 22	Alabama Crimson Tide	SELL	374	98¢	$367	0x7a5a7f…
03-23 02:34:31	cbb utahst arz 2026 03 22	Arizona Wildcats	SELL	580	100¢	$580	0x9b13c1…
03-23 02:30:11	cbb txtech ala 2026 03 22	Alabama Crimson Tide	BUY	375	80¢	$300	0x8a4ddf…
03-23 01:13:57	cbb iowa fl 2026 03 22	Florida Gators	SELL	404	61¢	$246	0x484467…
03-22 23:50:29	cbb iowa fl 2026 03 22	Florida Gators	BUY	405	74¢	$300	0xc9340c…
03-22 21:51:59	lal rea mad 2026 03 22 rea	Yes	SELL	617	84¢	$520	0x5bf22f…