Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 8?
open
Total volume
$356
$664 in 24h
Trades
43
Unique wallets
39
Liquidity
$388
Latest YES mid
84¢
Latest NO mid
16¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-07 15:46
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 39 | $300 | $42 | +$257 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $201 | — | +$201 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $20 | $2 | +$18 |
| Median | 16 | $36 | $16 | +$20 |
| Below median | 8 | $30 | $12 | +$18 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| unranked | 9 | $9 | $12 | $3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bare-Whey 0x8bdc…a0ba | Yes | +246 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-07 15:11 |
| Rare-Bootie 0xb8dc…2222 | No | +22 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-07 06:03 |
| Uncommon-Matchmaker 0x06a2…c714 | No | +21 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-07 08:20 |
| Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | +18 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 05-07 12:30 |
| Valid-Deputy 0x2349…1646 | Yes | +13 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-06 06:39 |
| Silky-Cabbage 0x5f05…a70f | Yes | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-07 10:31 |
| Heavy-Academics 0x3066…1e7b | Yes | +12 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-07 09:35 |
| Agile-Anybody 0xbd01…d8cd | Yes | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-07 14:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xadd9…8df9 | Yes | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-07 07:33 |
| Fat-Impediment 0x8d80…a898 | No | +9 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 06:48 |
| Substantial-Mammoth 0x6f1c…dc61 | No | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-06 18:07 |
| Dependable-Agriculture 0x6c34…dedd | No | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-07 08:08 |
| Slight-Vintner 0x7cab…7ff6 | No | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-06 16:33 |
| Stylish-Recorder 0xd39e…d1f3 | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 10:13 |
| Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | Yes | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 08:20 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | Yes | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 05:13 |
| Oily-Bench 0x977b…0e58 | Yes | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 11:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x8f07…6293 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 11:38 |
| Humming-Owner 0xe0d2…7222 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-06 18:47 |
| Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-07 07:29 |
| Concrete-Incubation 0x9988…b28e | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-06 07:39 |
| Forceful-Buckwheat 0xd6fa…c61b | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 00:18 |
| Droopy-Ferry 0xa922…0de2 | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 08:29 |
| Buoyant-Cellar 0xce5b…7dc6 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 01:58 |
| High-Level-Sturgeon 0xbf84…cd79 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 06:03 |
| Private-Tower 0xb305…3b41 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-07 00:08 |
| Frightening-Clinic 0x8940…ba3c | No | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 09:31 |
| Dramatic-Prayer 0xa2b7…d316 | Yes | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-07 10:45 |
| Dishonest-Crowd 0x1631…e954 | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 03:03 |
| Willing-Cricket 0x3120…d24e | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 08:44 |
| Accurate-Semester 0x174f…3941 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 15:36 |
| Massive-Salmon 0xe3a6…9e63 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 04:53 |
| Brisk-Ingredient 0x232a…df29 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 13:41 |
| Complicated-Fox 0xa498…9dcf | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 10:40 |
| Neglected-Cloakroom 0xbe9b…156c | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 11:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 15:46:21 | Embellished-Doorbell 0xf16d…b7f9 | No | SELL | 50 | 18¢ | $9 | 0xe73265… |
| 05-07 15:36:20 | Accurate-Semester 0x174f…3941 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 82¢ | $2 | 0x45d2d7… |
| 05-07 15:11:43 | Bare-Whey 0x8bdc…a0ba | Yes | BUY | 246 | 81¢ | $200 | 0x15d6d6… |
| 05-07 14:26:12 | Agile-Anybody 0xbd01…d8cd | Yes | BUY | 10 | 75¢ | $8 | 0x7e0a72… |
| 05-07 13:41:20 | Brisk-Ingredient 0x232a…df29 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 75¢ | $1 | 0x1d4fc0… |
| 05-07 12:30:50 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 77¢ | $7 | 0x5f229a… |
| 05-07 11:46:20 | Oily-Bench 0x977b…0e58 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x41155f… |
| 05-07 11:38:38 | (anonymous) 0x8f07…6293 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xcea827… |
| 05-07 11:00:34 | Neglected-Cloakroom 0xbe9b…156c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xa821eb… |
| 05-07 10:54:30 | Uncommon-Manicure 0x954a…636d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0xc48552… |
| 05-07 10:45:45 | Dramatic-Prayer 0xa2b7…d316 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 79¢ | $3 | 0xd99014… |
| 05-07 10:40:06 | Complicated-Fox 0xa498…9dcf | Yes | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0x3532dc… |
| 05-07 10:31:03 | Silky-Cabbage 0x5f05…a70f | Yes | BUY | 13 | 79¢ | $10 | 0xa888e8… |
| 05-07 10:13:54 | Stylish-Recorder 0xd39e…d1f3 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0x15f61d… |
| 05-07 10:06:07 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 79¢ | $7 | 0xc6bb9f… |
| 05-07 09:35:05 | Heavy-Academics 0x3066…1e7b | Yes | BUY | 12 | 77¢ | $9 | 0xd542d2… |
| 05-07 09:31:16 | Frightening-Clinic 0x8940…ba3c | No | BUY | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x1d449d… |
| 05-07 09:13:25 | Metallic-Destination 0xc2d2…abf2 | No | SELL | 4 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x18b5d9… |
| 05-07 08:44:06 | Willing-Cricket 0x3120…d24e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 75¢ | $2 | 0x0a0344… |
| 05-07 08:29:47 | Droopy-Ferry 0xa922…0de2 | No | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x249754… |
| 05-07 08:20:11 | Uncommon-Matchmaker 0x06a2…c714 | No | BUY | 21 | 34¢ | $7 | 0x784e99… |
| 05-07 08:20:11 | Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 67¢ | $4 | 0x36aa14… |
| 05-07 08:08:24 | Dependable-Agriculture 0x6c34…dedd | No | BUY | 8 | 34¢ | $3 | 0xbba971… |
| 05-07 07:33:43 | (anonymous) 0xadd9…8df9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 66¢ | $7 | 0x55ee74… |
| 05-07 07:29:43 | Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 63¢ | $3 | 0x54c0bc… |
| 05-07 06:48:50 | Fat-Impediment 0x8d80…a898 | No | BUY | 9 | 44¢ | $4 | 0xe61013… |
| 05-07 06:03:55 | Rare-Bootie 0xb8dc…2222 | No | BUY | 22 | 44¢ | $10 | 0x1033e0… |
| 05-07 06:03:25 | High-Level-Sturgeon 0xbf84…cd79 | No | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xdaaa4c… |
| 05-07 05:13:20 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | Yes | BUY | 6 | 60¢ | $4 | 0xac376a… |
| 05-07 03:03:42 | Dishonest-Crowd 0x1631…e954 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 63¢ | $2 | 0xa76d76… |
| 05-07 01:58:18 | Buoyant-Cellar 0xce5b…7dc6 | No | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xa53be3… |
| 05-07 00:18:14 | Forceful-Buckwheat 0xd6fa…c61b | No | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xada272… |
| 05-07 00:08:38 | Private-Tower 0xb305…3b41 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 64¢ | $1 | 0x6fc893… |
| 05-07 00:02:03 | Private-Tower 0xb305…3b41 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 65¢ | $1 | 0xd438a7… |
| 05-07 00:02:03 | Private-Tower 0xb305…3b41 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 65¢ | $1 | 0xff3517… |
| 05-06 18:47:59 | Humming-Owner 0xe0d2…7222 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0x99b35d… |
| 05-06 18:07:33 | Kindhearted-Nuke 0x40c8…da0f | No | SELL | 10 | 36¢ | $3 | 0x92d0e1… |
| 05-06 18:07:24 | Substantial-Mammoth 0x6f1c…dc61 | No | BUY | 8 | 36¢ | $3 | 0xbd4d71… |
| 05-06 17:38:42 | Kindhearted-Nuke 0x40c8…da0f | No | BUY | 10 | 34¢ | $3 | 0x28208f… |
| 05-06 16:33:05 | Slight-Vintner 0x7cab…7ff6 | No | BUY | 7 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xdd38d0… |
| 05-06 07:39:40 | Concrete-Incubation 0x9988…b28e | No | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x9386e3… |
| 05-06 06:39:38 | Valid-Deputy 0x2349…1646 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 70¢ | $9 | 0xed5faf… |
| 05-06 04:53:18 | Massive-Salmon 0xe3a6…9e63 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 36¢ | $1 | 0x72aaac… |