Uncommon-Matchmaker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$230

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.1%

Resolved

243

Trades

294

lifetime

Volume

$1.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 07-12 16:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

80% 17% -$230

Crypto

14% — —

Tech

6% — —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	3	$140	106	106	+0	open	—	07-12 16:19
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	3	$91	71	71	+0	open	—	07-12 16:19
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?	4	$76	219	219	+0	open	—	07-12 16:19
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?	16	$58	136	0	+136	Yes	+$26	06-04 02:10
geronimo rulli 20260609174518095	1	$47	51	0	+51	No	+$4	06-13 15:29
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	3	$29	57	57	+0	open	—	07-12 16:20
Will Juan Musso be in Argentina's Starting 11?	1	$27	51	0	+51	No	+$24	06-13 15:29
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	7	$20	157	157	+0	open	—	07-12 16:20
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$11	14	14	+0	open	—	07-12 16:20
highest temperature in moscow on april 11 2026 7corhigher	3	$8	32	0	+32	No	+$23	04-08 14:30
highest temperature in mexico city on april 11 2026 23corhigher	2	$8	26	0	+26	Yes	-$8	04-08 14:26
highest temperature in seattle on april 12 2026 58 59f	1	$7	22	0	+22	No	+$15	04-12 20:59
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C or higher on May 6?	1	$7	21	0	+21	Yes	-$7	05-05 02:04
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on April 28?	1	$7	21	0	+21	Yes	-$7	04-26 06:11
highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 21corhigher	1	$7	22	0	+22	Yes	-$7	04-23 00:59
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 12 2026 22c	1	$7	21	0	+21	No	+$14	04-12 09:40
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 4?	1	$7	22	0	+22	Yes	-$7	05-03 20:25
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 60°F or higher on May 5?	1	$7	22	0	+22	Yes	-$7	05-04 16:05
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C or higher on April 25?	1	$7	21	0	+21	No	+$14	04-23 06:04
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on May 10?	1	$7	22	0	+22	Yes	-$7	05-08 05:11
highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 27c	1	$7	21	0	+21	No	+$14	04-22 14:32
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or higher on April 26?	1	$7	21	0	+21	Yes	-$7	04-25 09:03
highest temperature in panama city on april 13 2026 33corhigher	1	$7	25	0	+25	Yes	-$7	04-10 16:44
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 58°F or higher on May 1?	1	$7	21	0	+21	Yes	-$7	04-30 10:11
highest temperature in dallas on april 13 2026 82forhigher	1	$7	21	0	+21	Yes	-$7	04-09 21:36
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 1?	1	$7	22	0	+22	Yes	-$7	04-30 16:27
highest temperature in denver on april 13 2026 64forhigher	1	$7	28	0	+28	Yes	-$7	04-09 11:20
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C or higher on May 3?	1	$7	21	0	+21	Yes	-$7	05-02 00:32
highest temperature in mexico city on april 13 2026 25corhigher	1	$7	21	0	+21	Yes	-$7	04-10 01:12
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or below on May 2?	1	$7	21	0	+21	Yes	-$7	05-01 14:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 16:21:01	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0x64928b…
07-12 16:20:50	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	14	44¢	$6	0xa479c5…
07-12 16:20:40	9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	Yes	SELL	157	6¢	$9	0x5b7ca7…
07-12 16:20:10	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	57	22¢	$12	0xbe9084…
07-12 16:19:58	StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	219	18¢	$39	0x959486…
07-12 16:19:49	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	71	79¢	$56	0x01c393…
07-12 16:19:37	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	106	75¢	$80	0x3c7257…
06-24 16:07:01	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0xf61159…
06-23 22:52:02	9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xd416d3…
06-23 22:51:44	9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	Yes	BUY	42	7¢	$3	0xeaaa78…
06-23 12:17:02	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	60	47¢	$28	0x71ebfb…
06-22 22:24:22	9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	Yes	BUY	34	7¢	$2	0xa75901…
06-22 10:11:02	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	77	57¢	$44	0x26e661…
06-21 14:06:41	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0xc5dd77…
06-21 11:11:37	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x81227f…
06-18 17:04:02	StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	173	16¢	$28	0x32ff0d…
06-17 16:21:46	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	44	31¢	$14	0x197b8a…
06-17 13:44:11	StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0x04b488…
06-17 08:50:29	9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	Yes	BUY	34	6¢	$2	0x462dd2…
06-13 15:29:37	Will Juan Musso be in Argentina's Starting 11?	No	BUY	51	53¢	$27	0x6a0fd3…
06-13 15:29:21	geronimo rulli 20260609174518095	No	BUY	51	92¢	$47	0xd7486d…
06-13 15:28:48	emiliano martinez 20260609174518106	No	BUY	51	12¢	$6	0xde9fed…
06-12 09:06:10	StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3db779…
06-11 15:58:27	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xf2fdb8…
06-10 01:18:00	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x989739…
06-04 02:10:52	Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xf611a4…
06-04 02:10:36	Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x362702…
06-04 02:09:06	Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0xd7f95c…
06-04 02:08:01	Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x891dbb…
06-03 23:28:58	Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xf49ce8…
06-03 23:28:12	Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0xd4e7ea…
06-03 17:44:03	Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x750870…
06-03 17:35:55	Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0xe85c6d…
06-03 17:30:39	Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0x4ceb0d…
06-03 17:28:33	Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x365298…
06-03 17:10:28	Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x2251a3…
06-03 17:05:58	Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x54d679…
06-03 15:57:49	Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x0ebe18…
06-01 17:37:53	Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x851880…
06-01 15:42:13	Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xca52a3…
06-01 05:17:21	Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x579ab4…
05-31 13:33:17	9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	8¢	$2	0x74d351…
05-31 08:52:38	9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x07fc26…
05-08 13:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0x59a004…
05-08 09:40:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C or higher on May 9?	No	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0xdacd0f…
05-08 06:57:55	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 68°F or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	23	18¢	$4	0xc8a94f…
05-08 06:36:20	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 86°F or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	22	28¢	$6	0xf7a6fd…
05-08 06:05:01	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 76°F or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	24	24¢	$6	0xd8c7b1…
05-08 05:57:06	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	21	26¢	$5	0xda6fbd…
05-08 05:11:35	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on May 10?	No	BUY	22	34¢	$7	0x157a89…
05-08 00:39:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 8?	No	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0x8f6506…
05-07 23:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 8?	No	BUY	22	29¢	$6	0xac60af…
05-07 16:08:10	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C or higher on May 8?	No	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0xdd8d42…
05-07 11:44:07	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 8?	No	BUY	23	28¢	$6	0x868494…
05-07 08:20:11	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 8?	No	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0x784e99…
05-07 06:08:14	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 66°F or higher on May 9?	No	BUY	24	13¢	$3	0xfe8349…
05-07 05:49:01	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 9?	No	BUY	23	24¢	$5	0x9f150c…
05-07 05:23:26	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on May 9?	No	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x374cb7…
05-07 05:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on May 9?	No	BUY	21	11¢	$2	0x198b02…
05-06 23:35:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 7?	No	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0xeac740…
05-06 21:05:42	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 7?	No	BUY	22	28¢	$6	0x727342…
05-06 19:54:34	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 7?	No	BUY	22	33¢	$7	0x1f7c13…
05-06 16:16:08	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 7?	No	BUY	21	8¢	$2	0x4f5b05…
05-06 11:49:36	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	21	27¢	$6	0xa2450c…
05-06 08:14:14	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C or higher on May 8?	No	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x889ac3…
05-06 06:16:20	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on May 8?	No	BUY	21	11¢	$2	0x72d3eb…
05-06 06:06:18	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on May 8?	No	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0xb09c4f…
05-05 19:03:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0x18f102…
05-05 18:47:48	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 6?	No	BUY	22	30¢	$7	0x429a77…
05-05 18:43:04	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on May 6?	No	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0x4eb190…
05-05 16:55:52	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 6?	No	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0xe4eec9…
05-05 07:41:14	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on May 6?	No	BUY	22	29¢	$6	0x897c44…
05-05 06:43:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on May 7?	No	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x5ae7b3…
05-05 06:33:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	21	30¢	$6	0x48dd64…
05-05 06:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x411778…
05-05 05:25:10	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 62°F or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x2c634b…
05-05 02:04:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C or higher on May 6?	No	BUY	21	35¢	$7	0x8d5fe2…
05-04 22:40:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on May 5?	No	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0xe0e73f…
05-04 22:27:22	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on May 5?	No	BUY	22	19¢	$4	0x2230d0…
05-04 21:04:38	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on May 5?	No	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0x3c205d…
05-04 20:24:12	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 5?	No	BUY	24	27¢	$7	0x0ef8dd…
05-04 18:51:38	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on May 5?	No	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xba84eb…
05-04 18:17:54	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on May 6?	No	BUY	22	31¢	$7	0x65833b…
05-04 16:05:12	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 60°F or higher on May 5?	No	BUY	22	34¢	$7	0x9bd99b…
05-04 06:35:16	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C or higher on May 5?	No	BUY	22	28¢	$6	0x06038d…
05-04 00:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or higher on May 5?	No	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0xdcfdbb…
05-03 20:25:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 4?	No	BUY	22	34¢	$7	0xdbdf6f…
05-03 16:12:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on May 4?	No	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x9d59e7…
05-03 10:08:16	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on May 4?	No	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0xbc3b6c…
05-03 06:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on May 5?	No	BUY	25	23¢	$6	0x36fb37…
05-03 05:55:14	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 78°F or higher on May 5?	No	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0x948acd…
05-03 05:41:36	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on May 5?	No	BUY	27	9¢	$2	0x5a80dc…
05-03 05:41:28	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C or higher on May 5?	No	BUY	21	27¢	$6	0x7ca79a…
05-02 20:23:14	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 3?	No	BUY	21	13¢	$3	0xac28b9…
05-02 13:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or higher on May 4?	No	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0x70a4fc…
05-02 12:48:26	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 41°C or higher on May 4?	No	BUY	21	27¢	$6	0xda9e0f…
05-02 11:00:50	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on May 4?	No	BUY	22	26¢	$6	0xd1b8dc…
05-02 08:38:28	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on May 4?	No	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0x37f8d3…
05-02 05:53:28	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 60°F or higher on May 4?	No	BUY	23	14¢	$3	0x455d67…
05-02 05:36:56	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 74°F or higher on May 4?	No	BUY	21	26¢	$5	0x541d05…