Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on May 10?
open
Total volume
$219
$483 in 24h
Trades
29
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$104
Latest YES mid
96¢
Latest NO mid
4¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-10 10:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $195 | $3 | +$192 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $32 | — | +$32 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $16 | $1 | +$15 |
| Median | 6 | $102 | — | +$102 |
| Below median | 6 | $20 | — | +$20 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| unranked | 2 | $20 | — | +$20 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unaware-Engine 0x6297…517e | No | +64 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-10 06:02 |
| Severe-Hospitality 0xe5d2…ef4d | Yes | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 05-10 07:58 |
| Grandiose-Beard 0xe620…cc08 | Yes | +26 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-10 10:59 |
| Valid-Deputy 0x2349…1646 | Yes | +25 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 05-08 09:55 |
| Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | Yes | +23 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-10 07:01 |
| Worn-Storytelling 0xfe88…e756 | Yes | +17 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-08 04:55 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +16 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 05-09 20:34 |
| Idle-Fourths 0x2acf…f9bb | Yes | +13 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-08 07:50 |
| Well-Off-Evaluation 0x536a…801b | Yes | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 04:54 |
| Tinted-Bellows 0x30fe…74bc | Yes | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 04:58 |
| Kooky-Mint 0xae28…8883 | Yes | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 07:24 |
| Stark-Lieutenant 0x6de9…a8e5 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 07:01 |
| Double-Exaggeration 0x8328…feb3 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 12:28 |
| Criminal-Uncertainty 0x87a2…2250 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 07:01 |
| Known-Commotion 0xd43e…3604 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 08:23 |
| Anxious-Preparation 0xd4a9…75f9 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-08 05:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | Yes | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 07:01 |
| Female-Teepee 0x28da…a414 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 07:04 |
| Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 07:01 |
| Flashy-Pentagon 0x6db5…ac62 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 09:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf61…21ab | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 07:01 |
| Damp-Ligula 0x26d2…ed55 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 10:33 |
| Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 07:01 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 10:59:28 | Grandiose-Beard 0xe620…cc08 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 97¢ | $25 | 0x5924e5… |
| 05-10 10:33:17 | Damp-Ligula 0x26d2…ed55 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x1fe4cb… |
| 05-10 08:23:47 | Known-Commotion 0xd43e…3604 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x3ba32a… |
| 05-10 07:58:14 | Severe-Hospitality 0xe5d2…ef4d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x8e3cae… |
| 05-10 07:01:40 | (anonymous) 0xbf61…21ab | Yes | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xa98812… |
| 05-10 07:01:35 | Criminal-Uncertainty 0x87a2…2250 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x2872d7… |
| 05-10 07:01:35 | Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | Yes | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xa2a6f6… |
| 05-10 07:01:35 | Stark-Lieutenant 0x6de9…a8e5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x009488… |
| 05-10 07:01:35 | (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xb89311… |
| 05-10 07:01:35 | Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x388f2a… |
| 05-10 07:01:32 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | Yes | BUY | 23 | 92¢ | $21 | 0x50bb1b… |
| 05-10 06:02:38 | Unaware-Engine 0x6297…517e | No | BUY | 14 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xb634b2… |
| 05-10 06:02:26 | Unaware-Engine 0x6297…517e | No | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x2c9dbd… |
| 05-09 20:34:07 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd2420b… |
| 05-09 20:28:26 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xcad0b5… |
| 05-09 19:23:20 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 96¢ | $15 | 0x7fdcfa… |
| 05-09 19:23:04 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8a2d9f… |
| 05-09 12:28:23 | Double-Exaggeration 0x8328…feb3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x0c558c… |
| 05-09 07:24:51 | Kooky-Mint 0xae28…8883 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xf77fbe… |
| 05-08 15:57:30 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0x3b64bc… |
| 05-08 09:55:55 | Valid-Deputy 0x2349…1646 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x9ca94e… |
| 05-08 09:55:41 | Valid-Deputy 0x2349…1646 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 87¢ | $17 | 0xb938d1… |
| 05-08 09:04:56 | Flashy-Pentagon 0x6db5…ac62 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x8bba0b… |
| 05-08 07:50:08 | Idle-Fourths 0x2acf…f9bb | Yes | BUY | 13 | 87¢ | $11 | 0xd53c2c… |
| 05-08 07:04:15 | Female-Teepee 0x28da…a414 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 83¢ | $1 | 0xe7ea18… |
| 05-08 05:20:16 | Anxious-Preparation 0xd4a9…75f9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xe53fa3… |
| 05-08 04:58:53 | Tinted-Bellows 0x30fe…74bc | Yes | BUY | 10 | 52¢ | $5 | 0x2290a6… |
| 05-08 04:55:04 | Worn-Storytelling 0xfe88…e756 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 80¢ | $14 | 0x6fda81… |
| 05-08 04:54:20 | Well-Off-Evaluation 0x536a…801b | Yes | BUY | 12 | 80¢ | $10 | 0x4d7837… |