Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C or higher on May 8?
open
Total volume
$183
$984 in 24h
Trades
45
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$614
Latest YES mid
65¢
Latest NO mid
35¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-07 14:34
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $99 | $65 | +$33 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 5 | $7 | $17 | $10 |
| Below median | 5 | $33 | — | +$33 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $16 | $2 | +$14 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| unranked | 10 | $39 | $43 | $5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yellow-Pumpernickel 0x34be…7c96 | Yes | +42 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-07 01:53 |
| Menacing-Disagreement 0x5de8…3edd | No | +40 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-07 13:06 |
| Flamboyant-Pen 0xe116…96c2 | Yes | +37 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 05-06 10:17 |
| Mindless-Triumph 0x2dc6…31bd | No | +31 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-07 01:53 |
| Grizzled-Tabby 0x94b7…feff | No | +29 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-07 12:55 |
| Nifty-Nightlight 0x0662…7b7e | Yes | +25 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-07 14:31 |
| Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | Yes | +20 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-07 08:33 |
| Lustrous-Attraction 0x3742…b912 | No | +19 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-07 12:00 |
| Minor-Permafrost 0x85a6…bb90 | No | +16 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-07 00:17 |
| Sweltering-Front 0x2810…d40f | Yes | +12 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-07 11:34 |
| Motherly-Stand 0x85e8…9301 | Yes | +12 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-07 07:03 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | +10 | $-1 | $6 | 16 | 05-07 14:34 |
| Honest-Zoology 0x1796…c490 | Yes | +10 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-07 04:23 |
| Belated-Ethics 0x823a…61ab | No | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 06:48 |
| Extra-Large-Complicity 0x2488…6b2d | Yes | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 11:26 |
| Trustworthy-Mutt 0xc017…c979 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 12:16 |
| Melodic-Arrow 0xc441…4ff6 | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-06 05:55 |
| Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-06 04:54 |
| Female-Youngster 0xf880…c6ac | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 10:20 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-06 04:54 |
| Complicated-Fox 0xa498…9dcf | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 10:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xc0b3…2d31 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 12:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 14:34:32 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 65¢ | $1 | 0x002aa3… |
| 05-07 14:34:20 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 65¢ | $2 | 0x98746c… |
| 05-07 14:31:30 | Nifty-Nightlight 0x0662…7b7e | Yes | BUY | 25 | 66¢ | $16 | 0xcee3c0… |
| 05-07 13:06:22 | Menacing-Disagreement 0x5de8…3edd | No | BUY | 40 | 35¢ | $14 | 0x6a7c5e… |
| 05-07 12:55:41 | Grizzled-Tabby 0x94b7…feff | No | BUY | 29 | 35¢ | $10 | 0xfa1500… |
| 05-07 12:21:20 | (anonymous) 0xc0b3…2d31 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0xbfcb23… |
| 05-07 12:16:22 | Trustworthy-Mutt 0xc017…c979 | No | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x1882e4… |
| 05-07 12:00:55 | Lustrous-Attraction 0x3742…b912 | No | BUY | 19 | 36¢ | $7 | 0x1070e7… |
| 05-07 11:34:15 | Sweltering-Front 0x2810…d40f | Yes | BUY | 12 | 66¢ | $8 | 0xc46c08… |
| 05-07 11:26:23 | Extra-Large-Complicity 0x2488…6b2d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 66¢ | $5 | 0x37a307… |
| 05-07 10:37:51 | Complicated-Fox 0xa498…9dcf | Yes | BUY | 2 | 64¢ | $1 | 0xfbf4de… |
| 05-07 10:20:09 | Female-Youngster 0xf880…c6ac | No | BUY | 3 | 39¢ | $1 | 0x5660fc… |
| 05-07 08:33:25 | Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 66¢ | $13 | 0x42debd… |
| 05-07 07:58:25 | Polished-Oleo 0xd8ed…3242 | No | SELL | 7 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x073302… |
| 05-07 07:03:55 | Motherly-Stand 0x85e8…9301 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 59¢ | $7 | 0x14c8a9… |
| 05-07 06:48:10 | Belated-Ethics 0x823a…61ab | No | BUY | 10 | 43¢ | $4 | 0x7e9906… |
| 05-07 04:23:52 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0x9eb550… |
| 05-07 04:23:33 | Honest-Zoology 0x1796…c490 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 61¢ | $6 | 0x3d08f9… |
| 05-07 01:53:40 | Mindless-Triumph 0x2dc6…31bd | No | BUY | 31 | 48¢ | $15 | 0xa89e04… |
| 05-07 01:53:40 | Yellow-Pumpernickel 0x34be…7c96 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 52¢ | $22 | 0x9a4229… |
| 05-07 00:17:49 | Minor-Permafrost 0x85a6…bb90 | No | BUY | 16 | 45¢ | $7 | 0xcaa1a5… |
| 05-06 10:17:04 | Flamboyant-Pen 0xe116…96c2 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 49¢ | $15 | 0x2496fa… |
| 05-06 09:04:50 | Flamboyant-Pen 0xe116…96c2 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x480917… |
| 05-06 08:26:00 | Rundown-Thyme 0xde8a…a3fc | Yes | SELL | 16 | 28¢ | $5 | 0x915281… |
| 05-06 08:24:38 | Rundown-Thyme 0xde8a…a3fc | Yes | SELL | 13 | 28¢ | $4 | 0xa08120… |
| 05-06 05:55:18 | Melodic-Arrow 0xc441…4ff6 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x9743e4… |
| 05-06 04:55:10 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x371d99… |
| 05-06 04:55:04 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x203126… |
| 05-06 04:54:54 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0xa55a2e… |
| 05-06 04:54:48 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0xa6e243… |
| 05-06 04:54:40 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0xd1f502… |
| 05-06 04:54:22 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xc0e428… |
| 05-06 04:54:22 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x8145f6… |
| 05-06 04:54:14 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xc2595d… |
| 05-06 04:54:14 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0xc78988… |
| 05-06 04:54:06 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x0a7a15… |
| 05-06 04:54:06 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x878d6f… |
| 05-06 04:54:00 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x8e1f9f… |
| 05-06 04:53:58 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0xea647a… |
| 05-06 04:49:54 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x236bc2… |
| 05-06 04:49:46 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x9aad84… |
| 05-06 04:49:38 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0xeeed4f… |
| 05-06 04:49:30 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x906b19… |
| 05-06 04:49:30 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x21e5a5… |
| 05-06 04:49:22 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0xb7ab48… |