Colorless-Payment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.78K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

10.0%

Resolved

Trades

18,079

lifetime

Volume

$485.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 04-27 23:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

51% 38% $-2,896

Sports

16% 50% +$39

Politics

15% 100% +$73

Crypto

13% — —

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 594 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cs2 vit fal2 2026 04 15	132	$35.0K	47,077	35,502	+11,575	open	—	04-15 20:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	528	$27.7K	39,783	196	+39,587	open	—	04-15 16:37
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	203	$14.1K	21,302	10,300	+11,002	open	—	03-02 16:35
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	145	$13.0K	13,926	0	+13,926	open	—	03-23 15:47
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	23	$11.4K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	04-15 15:54
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	193	$11.1K	16,537	85	+16,452	open	—	03-20 08:10
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	273	$10.9K	22,721	6,010	+16,711	open	—	03-31 18:38
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	338	$10.7K	23,878	1,428	+22,450	open	—	03-29 22:45
will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	113	$10.0K	10,258	300	+9,958	open	—	03-28 04:12
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	162	$9.4K	13,277	100	+13,177	open	—	02-21 08:41
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	310	$8.0K	14,272	446	+13,826	Yes	$-2,677	04-25 10:36
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	148	$7.3K	12,785	12	+12,773	open	—	03-16 18:11
will trump attend ufc 327	273	$7.1K	10,280	188	+10,092	open	—	04-09 14:22
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	147	$6.4K	9,520	129	+9,391	open	—	04-24 16:45
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	10	$6.3K	6,000	6,000	+0	open	—	04-15 15:54
Kash Patel out by April 30?	413	$5.9K	15,519	478	+15,041	open	—	04-25 10:00
Markwayne Mullin confirmed as DHS Secretary by March 31, 2026?	84	$5.9K	6,549	100	+6,449	open	—	03-19 14:14
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	156	$5.8K	13,756	300	+13,456	open	—	03-30 00:19
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	209	$5.5K	10,893	526	+10,367	open	—	04-25 10:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	139	$4.9K	10,021	21	+10,000	open	—	04-11 16:21
will peaky blinders the immortal man be the top us netflix movie this week	152	$4.7K	5,834	189	+5,645	open	—	03-24 02:35
highest temperature in london on april 7 2026 22c	4	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	04-07 10:27
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	56	$3.9K	4,483	0	+4,483	open	—	03-22 21:19
will trump say the state of the union is strong during the 2026 state of the union address 924	84	$3.8K	4,680	4,680	+0	open	—	02-23 05:19
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	84	$3.8K	4,607	0	+4,607	open	—	03-13 09:24
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	161	$3.7K	8,008	307	+7,701	open	—	02-21 05:17
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	76	$3.6K	7,493	0	+7,493	open	—	02-11 02:58
will david bailey be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	190	$3.2K	7,333	126	+7,207	open	—	04-22 13:06
fisa section 702 reauthorized before it expires	98	$3.1K	5,084	37	+5,047	open	—	04-18 14:43
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	216	$2.9K	9,624	206	+9,418	open	—	04-21 19:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-27 23:28:42	will metas q1 headcount be above 79000	Yes	SELL	88	1¢	$1	0xaff2c0…
04-27 21:27:44	Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?	Yes	SELL	30	34¢	$10	0xa71eef…
04-27 21:27:16	Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?	Yes	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0xf29ca9…
04-27 21:27:16	Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?	Yes	SELL	14	34¢	$5	0x9e3d64…
04-27 21:27:02	will metas q1 headcount be above 79000	Yes	BUY	88	2¢	$2	0x0a9c9d…
04-27 21:26:50	Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?	Yes	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0xd12232…
04-27 21:26:36	Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?	Yes	SELL	44	34¢	$15	0x423bcc…
04-27 21:26:12	Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?	Yes	BUY	44	44¢	$20	0x8421a4…
04-27 21:18:50	will metas q1 headcount be above 78000	Yes	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0xbfb1a2…
04-27 21:07:36	Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?	Yes	SELL	35	26¢	$9	0x38899a…
04-27 21:07:10	Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?	Yes	BUY	35	32¢	$11	0xb659c2…
04-27 20:58:06	will metas q1 headcount be above 78000	Yes	SELL	62	6¢	$4	0x96ed24…
04-27 20:57:42	will metas q1 headcount be above 78000	Yes	BUY	62	11¢	$7	0xe1503e…
04-27 20:57:30	Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?	Yes	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0xf5bb8a…
04-27 20:55:40	Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?	Yes	SELL	24	24¢	$6	0xb35633…
04-27 20:55:14	Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?	Yes	BUY	24	29¢	$7	0x0cd810…
04-27 18:48:34	Will XRP reach $1.60 in April?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x17df77…
04-27 18:48:08	Will XRP reach $1.60 in April?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xf867f3…
04-27 18:48:08	Will XRP reach $1.60 in April?	Yes	SELL	55	2¢	$1	0x02330a…
04-27 18:47:42	Will XRP reach $1.60 in April?	Yes	BUY	55	4¢	$2	0xbcaae0…
04-27 18:47:40	Will XRP reach $1.60 in April?	Yes	SELL	55	2¢	$1	0x746deb…
04-27 18:47:16	Will XRP reach $1.60 in April?	Yes	BUY	55	4¢	$2	0xed521f…
04-27 16:59:28	will metas q1 headcount be above 78000	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x5ca801…
04-27 16:44:18	will metas q1 headcount be above 78000	Yes	SELL	19	8¢	$2	0xefb24a…
04-27 16:43:52	will metas q1 headcount be above 78000	Yes	BUY	29	13¢	$4	0x43778c…
04-27 09:21:46	Uber # of trips above 3.8B in Q1?	Yes	SELL	28	3¢	$1	0xafaa78…
04-27 09:21:20	Uber # of trips above 3.8B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x4deda8…
04-26 20:40:42	Will Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 255m?	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0xa75388…
04-26 17:06:40	will metas q1 headcount be above 78000	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x57c17c…
04-26 04:57:06	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	88	4¢	$3	0xe4eece…
04-26 04:56:42	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	88	4¢	$3	0x23ebcd…
04-26 04:56:40	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	88	4¢	$3	0x86c56b…
04-26 04:56:14	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	71	4¢	$3	0x7de7be…
04-26 04:56:14	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	88	4¢	$3	0x3e171e…
04-26 04:55:48	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	71	4¢	$3	0xb55c90…
04-26 04:31:32	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	42	3¢	$1	0x58686d…
04-26 04:31:04	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	42	4¢	$2	0x153e2c…
04-26 04:30:58	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x16efce…
04-26 04:30:06	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	42	4¢	$2	0xe5c75f…
04-25 23:28:50	Will Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 250m?	No	BUY	45	73¢	$33	0xb55228…
04-25 15:36:46	will metas q1 headcount be above 78000	Yes	BUY	18	13¢	$2	0x3b6751…
04-25 12:29:54	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	No	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x027c44…
04-25 11:20:18	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x9d3129…
04-25 10:36:24	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	SELL	9	82¢	$7	0x6f1c98…
04-25 10:36:24	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	SELL	40	82¢	$32	0x036dbf…
04-25 10:36:20	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	SELL	47	84¢	$39	0x6fb4a6…
04-25 10:36:20	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x6a66cd…
04-25 10:35:54	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xac6141…
04-25 10:35:54	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0x6802b2…
04-25 10:35:28	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x14f53e…
04-25 10:35:26	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	SELL	14	86¢	$12	0x661180…
04-25 10:35:08	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0x56fc98…
04-25 10:33:36	Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x8d5f9b…
04-25 10:33:10	Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x221cb4…
04-25 10:32:02	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	55	87¢	$48	0xf21fa5…
04-25 10:31:56	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	51	87¢	$44	0xca2def…
04-25 10:14:28	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	57	84¢	$48	0x47c46e…
04-25 10:12:16	Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	82	66¢	$54	0xd653ac…
04-25 10:11:50	Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	83	73¢	$60	0x897dd5…
04-25 10:11:44	Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0x0f72fc…
04-25 10:11:16	Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0xec06a1…
04-25 10:00:52	Kash Patel out by April 30?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x1a4714…
04-25 10:00:28	Kash Patel out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x78852f…
04-25 10:00:20	Kash Patel out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0x98a462…
04-25 10:00:10	Kash Patel out by April 30?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x3fc082…
04-25 09:59:44	Kash Patel out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xa8d92c…
04-25 09:46:34	Kash Patel out by April 30?	Yes	SELL	36	10¢	$4	0x7c3955…
04-25 09:46:08	Kash Patel out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	36	10¢	$4	0x3d736a…
04-25 09:46:02	Kash Patel out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xf35e4a…
04-25 09:04:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xc303bb…
04-25 08:57:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	81	2¢	$2	0x2e0288…
04-25 08:57:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x621db0…
04-25 08:53:34	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x3dc041…
04-25 08:53:08	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0x5bad0c…
04-25 08:53:00	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x853f3f…
04-25 08:38:16	will metas q1 headcount be above 78000	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x48c025…
04-25 07:31:32	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x22a2e0…
04-25 07:31:08	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	56	4¢	$2	0x5cabc4…
04-25 06:49:24	Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x602ddb…
04-25 06:49:24	Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	26	70¢	$18	0x5d7812…
04-25 06:49:24	Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	19	72¢	$13	0x571b80…
04-25 06:48:58	Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	45	79¢	$36	0x3b73c1…
04-25 06:48:30	Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x6cab4d…
04-25 06:16:48	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xee847d…
04-25 06:07:00	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	BUY	70	10¢	$7	0xc0e4be…
04-25 06:06:50	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x50b1c2…
04-25 06:06:40	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xaf0d70…
04-25 05:31:36	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	BUY	70	10¢	$7	0x39e237…
04-25 05:27:16	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	SELL	93	9¢	$8	0xdc9b57…
04-25 05:27:10	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	BUY	93	10¢	$9	0xad1f95…
04-25 05:27:00	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x09073f…
04-25 05:26:50	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x61327f…
04-25 05:26:40	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xb82414…
04-25 05:21:36	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	BUY	70	9¢	$6	0xb69f9c…
04-25 05:18:24	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	BUY	61	9¢	$5	0xb8b298…
04-25 05:18:02	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xd92472…
04-25 05:17:52	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xcb465d…
04-25 05:17:40	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x91fde1…
04-25 05:17:30	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0xc6b807…
04-25 05:17:20	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xbefc21…