Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

+$16

Hit rate

72.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$445

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$45

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 10-26 20:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

70% 67% -$2

Politics

30% 80% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857	No		+50	$14	62¢	$31	+$16	08-23 16:39
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		+90	$14	15¢	$14	-$1	08-16 08:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
No one announced as next James Bond?	6	$71	45	45	-0	open	—	08-14 14:56
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	4	$63	45	45	+0	No	+$5	08-29 22:43
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	4	$48	38	19	+19	No	+$7	08-17 20:57
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	4	$42	30	30	+0	Yes	-$1	08-12 15:27
Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	5	$36	30	30	+0	open	—	10-15 06:45
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	2	$32	35	35	+0	open	—	09-10 20:38
Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government?	6	$25	35	35	+0	open	—	09-23 18:13
Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government?	4	$22	30	6	+24	open	—	10-26 20:52
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857	1	$14	50	0	+50	open	—	08-23 16:39
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$14	90	0	+90	open	—	08-16 08:57
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$12	200	200	+0	open	—	10-08 21:55
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$1	08-26 10:49
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$1	08-10 18:49
russia elections united russia wins every region	4	$8	20	24	-4	Yes	-$6	09-25 07:08
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	1	$8	10	0	+10	No	+$2	10-03 15:00
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?	2	$7	20	20	+0	No	+$1	08-16 01:43
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	2	$6	15	15	+0	No	-$6	08-30 13:38
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	1	$5	7	0	+7	Yes	+$2	04-29 20:43
Will Trump say "Six Seven" at The Villages on May 1?	2	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	+$1	05-01 21:35
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$1	04-27 22:33
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	1	$3	5	0	+5	Yes	-$3	04-27 22:31
Will Mariana Carvalho win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?	7	$3	90	90	+0	No	+$1	10-02 14:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 20:52:24	Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x311793…
10-15 06:45:44	Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0xdd29be…
10-09 09:03:42	Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xe5e951…
10-08 21:55:09	Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0x1463c7…
10-03 15:00:18	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x0628d1…
10-03 00:08:18	Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x6dad5f…
10-02 14:36:14	Will Mariana Carvalho win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?	Yes	SELL	90	2¢	$2	0x8d6cc1…
09-25 07:08:54	Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xfe47cb…
09-23 18:13:13	Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0xdd5583…
09-23 16:06:19	Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0xdce027…
09-20 20:52:02	Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x959f66…
09-17 11:58:04	Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x859d57…
09-16 13:14:43	Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	SELL	9	36¢	$3	0x81ba42…
09-14 16:07:16	Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	SELL	18	40¢	$7	0x80d5d0…
09-10 20:38:09	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	SELL	35	60¢	$21	0x46fc3d…
09-10 08:32:30	Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xb3e9b5…
09-09 21:13:13	Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	No	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x7f8bfb…
09-09 18:07:04	Will Mariana Carvalho win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x35c3dc…
09-09 12:14:01	Will Mariana Carvalho win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x765212…
09-09 08:00:57	Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xffb02a…
09-08 00:01:36	Will Mariana Carvalho win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x191574…
09-07 07:31:13	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	35	32¢	$11	0x00affd…
09-04 14:37:42	Will Mariana Carvalho win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc4a80e…
09-04 14:37:42	Will Mariana Carvalho win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x08fbee…
09-03 23:54:54	Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x5eb72c…
09-03 21:34:19	Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xfaa4ed…
08-31 22:42:58	Will Mariana Carvalho win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xe6c092…
08-30 13:38:03	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0xc98d05…
08-29 22:43:57	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x936fde…
08-29 17:56:45	Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x7576b9…
08-29 17:29:27	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0xff6bad…
08-26 10:49:36	US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xd6ae53…
08-23 16:39:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857	No	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x207b5b…
08-17 20:57:18	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x3d2d8b…
08-17 20:52:24	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0xd82795…
08-17 11:16:19	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	18	80¢	$14	0x978b71…
08-16 08:57:46	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	90	16¢	$14	0x5a231a…
08-16 01:43:00	Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x3f4250…
08-15 06:48:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x42cf2f…
08-14 14:56:43	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xab48f7…
08-14 14:56:42	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	40	80¢	$32	0x252e34…
08-14 01:53:15	Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xf460c9…
08-13 10:01:52	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x38b8bd…
08-13 09:36:28	Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xb335fd…
08-13 09:36:25	Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x2ba26e…
08-12 15:27:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xf309ff…
08-11 10:24:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0x6782d4…
08-10 20:28:07	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0x03120e…
08-10 19:45:09	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xc3dbcc…
08-10 19:42:18	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x6a043f…
08-10 19:02:55	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0x6147e2…
08-10 18:49:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x2da3eb…
08-10 17:03:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xda7b63…
08-10 16:01:01	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xb04088…
08-10 10:20:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xac243f…
08-08 23:13:21	russia elections united russia wins every region	Yes	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xf34916…
08-04 23:16:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xf4e23f…
05-01 21:35:12	Will Trump say "Six Seven" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xc6a331…
05-01 21:30:44	Will Trump say "Six Seven" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x122d10…
04-29 20:43:22	Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xa6f2a2…
04-27 22:33:10	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x43a700…
04-27 22:31:32	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x1fadd3…