Physical-Espadrille — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$292

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.7%

Resolved

Trades

731

lifetime

Volume

$79.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$109

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 06-10 01:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

50% — —

Politics

28% 50% +$32

Sports

20% 40% $-324

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	22	$6.2K	5,000	4,400	+600	No	+$34	05-10 22:29
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	5	$3.5K	2,000	1,992	+8	open	—	04-08 20:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	17	$3.2K	3,300	3,300	+0	open	—	05-26 00:19
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	2	$2.2K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	04-27 20:02
epl bur mac 2026 04 22 mac	6	$2.1K	1,110	1,110	+0	open	—	04-22 21:15
Pistons vs. Magic	6	$2.0K	2,041	2,041	+0	open	—	04-25 19:42
Pistons vs. Magic	8	$2.0K	2,100	2,000	+100	open	—	05-02 00:23
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-04-24?	6	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-25 00:01
nba tor cle 2026 04 20	3	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-21 00:52
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	22	$1.9K	2,003	2,003	+0	open	—	05-21 08:21
Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?	16	$1.8K	773	1,239	-466	open	—	05-17 11:34
mls col mia 2026 04 18 mia	2	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-18 22:46
Magic vs. Pistons	4	$1.8K	2,000	1,500	+500	open	—	04-30 01:27
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	11	$1.7K	1,395	1,395	+0	open	—	05-07 20:56
nba hou lal 2026 04 18	2	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-19 02:49
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	11	$1.6K	2,000	1,500	+500	Timberwolves	+$90	05-11 01:30
arg cat tig 2026 04 12 draw	25	$1.5K	1,582	1,575	+8	open	—	04-12 23:11
trump announces tariff for iran military cooperation by april 17	20	$1.5K	6,500	6,500	+0	open	—	04-10 08:31
nba orl det 2026 04 22	3	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-23 00:36
Cavaliers vs. Raptors	6	$1.3K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	04-26 19:05
epl not ast 2026 04 12 not	3	$1.3K	1,000	990	+10	open	—	04-11 15:51
bun moe mai 2026 04 19 moe	4	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-19 18:36
arg cac pla 2026 04 20 cac	8	$1.3K	1,074	1,073	+1	open	—	04-20 23:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	4	$1.2K	850	850	+0	open	—	04-19 03:39
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	4	$1.2K	2,030	2,030	+0	open	—	04-06 22:18
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	14	$1.1K	655	655	+0	open	—	04-14 07:41
Will CD Riestra win on 2026-04-24?	2	$994	500	500	+0	open	—	04-24 21:54
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	4	$891	700	700	+0	open	—	05-23 00:17
epl bou lee 2026 04 22 draw	7	$863	1,000	260	+740	open	—	04-22 20:19
Will San Diego FC vs. Portland Timbers end in a draw?	2	$833	1,000	2,000	-1,000	open	—	04-26 02:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 01:42:46	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	No	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0xeb1012…
06-10 01:36:12	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	No	BUY	41	18¢	$7	0xd4792f…
06-10 01:33:19	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0x0c37b5…
06-10 00:18:34	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xe855b8…
06-09 22:53:21	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	No	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0x4a740d…
06-09 21:46:34	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	No	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x52d119…
06-09 21:05:31	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	26¢	$52	0xd5b589…
06-09 21:05:22	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	200	71¢	$142	0xe020f1…
06-09 20:24:21	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0xfc520d…
06-09 20:06:57	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0xf68a43…
06-08 22:18:16	will a claude mythos model be released by june 12 2026	No	SELL	150	48¢	$73	0xac818b…
06-08 21:34:55	will a claude mythos model be released by june 12 2026	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x100efd…
06-08 21:33:12	will a claude mythos model be released by june 12 2026	No	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x3c7fac…
06-08 07:44:01	spy up or down on june 8 2026	Down	SELL	100	33¢	$33	0xcec2c5…
06-08 01:42:48	spy up or down on june 8 2026	Up	SELL	95	58¢	$55	0x348914…
06-08 01:42:34	spy up or down on june 8 2026	Up	SELL	3	58¢	$1	0x355869…
06-08 01:42:33	spy up or down on june 8 2026	Up	SELL	3	58¢	$1	0x86cb1c…
06-08 01:42:30	spy up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x5e3994…
06-08 01:15:25	spy up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	52	61¢	$32	0x2fc057…
06-08 01:15:24	spy up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	48	61¢	$29	0xb2769d…
06-08 01:15:06	spy up or down on june 8 2026	Down	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x196d1b…
06-08 01:14:36	spy up or down on june 8 2026	Down	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0xb3106a…
06-08 01:14:27	spy up or down on june 8 2026	Down	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0xc472eb…
06-08 01:12:45	spy up or down on june 8 2026	Down	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0xc2075a…
06-08 01:12:45	spy up or down on june 8 2026	Down	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x68e5e3…
06-08 01:12:30	spy up or down on june 8 2026	Down	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xdad068…
06-08 01:12:30	spy up or down on june 8 2026	Down	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x80ceda…
06-08 01:12:18	spy up or down on june 8 2026	Down	SELL	78	37¢	$29	0xa3fc36…
06-08 00:15:04	spy up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xfd9e91…
06-08 00:15:04	spy up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x27e3e0…
06-08 00:15:03	spy up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	95	47¢	$45	0x2e4918…
06-08 00:06:45	will xagusd dip to 64 in june 2026	No	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0x22dd55…
06-08 00:06:33	will xagusd dip to 64 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	38	45¢	$17	0x68e419…
06-07 23:56:04	will xagusd dip to 64 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0xdf0fcb…
06-07 23:11:49	will xagusd dip to 64 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	38	45¢	$17	0x121418…
06-07 22:52:06	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	200	99¢	$199	0x1850b4…
06-07 22:51:00	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xc1cf42…
06-07 22:28:28	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0x7e14e2…
06-07 22:27:18	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x635cb3…
06-07 22:27:07	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	200	98¢	$195	0x4c9d51…
06-07 22:25:18	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x65d727…
06-07 21:58:42	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x1cd4d3…
06-07 21:44:07	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	39¢	$78	0xd9513c…
06-07 21:43:58	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	200	60¢	$119	0xe91160…
06-07 19:52:04	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0x6c766a…
06-07 18:32:12	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0xe5d5a3…
06-06 17:05:31	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0xf44620…
06-06 15:53:13	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0x83d65d…
06-06 15:53:13	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x83d65d…
06-06 14:18:45	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0xd84165…
06-05 23:26:25	will xagusd dip to 64 in june 2026	No	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x3be755…
06-05 22:32:01	will xagusd dip to 64 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xb62dae…
06-05 01:50:12	spy up or down on june 5 2026	Up	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0xc81402…
06-05 01:50:03	wti closes above 93 on june 5 2026	No	SELL	100	48¢	$48	0x564dbc…
06-05 01:25:58	wti closes above 93 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x9816fa…
06-05 01:24:34	spy up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	42	25¢	$10	0x7d80e9…
06-05 01:10:42	spy up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	29	25¢	$7	0x595ec8…
06-05 01:01:18	spy up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	29	25¢	$7	0xfb725c…
06-04 08:34:21	wti closes above 95 on june 4 2026	Yes	SELL	100	51¢	$51	0x035feb…
06-04 02:39:12	wti closes above 95 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x4f52e4…
06-03 01:43:53	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	SELL	200	55¢	$110	0xba5b12…
06-03 01:15:16	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0xff9b8d…
06-03 01:15:16	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	72	57¢	$41	0xd10832…
06-03 01:10:10	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x7c4417…
06-03 01:06:47	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0x977350…
06-03 01:05:24	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0x96beeb…
06-03 01:05:24	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	SELL	83	42¢	$35	0x0ce5ff…
06-03 01:05:14	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0xc461a2…
06-03 01:05:12	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0x201a8f…
06-03 01:04:21	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x9c80de…
06-02 23:57:55	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	SELL	200	48¢	$96	0xdae903…
06-02 23:12:39	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xa1f286…
06-02 23:12:28	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xd7af73…
06-02 22:59:16	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	SELL	100	46¢	$46	0xbcc10b…
06-02 22:31:30	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x5ef32a…
06-02 22:31:14	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0xa18d02…
06-02 22:30:41	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0x368db2…
06-02 22:29:29	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0x3658c0…
06-02 22:29:17	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf6abcc…
06-02 07:40:27	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?	Yes	SELL	50	59¢	$30	0x9da57b…
06-02 07:40:17	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	SELL	200	18¢	$36	0xa4fea1…
06-02 07:40:10	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 2?	Yes	SELL	300	37¢	$111	0x9dcd84…
06-02 04:21:46	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xf0116c…
06-02 01:31:12	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?	Yes	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0xe99259…
06-02 01:31:12	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?	No	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0xe99259…
06-02 00:41:53	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x3aba7c…
06-02 00:38:46	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x7f563f…
06-01 23:44:36	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?	No	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xb26cf5…
05-31 21:07:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	27¢	$54	0x351299…
05-31 20:10:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	29¢	$58	0x2b6050…
05-31 19:50:50	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	SELL	100	59¢	$59	0x8ce8b7…
05-31 19:47:50	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x5eb983…
05-30 21:28:27	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	5¢	$11	0xf95592…
05-30 21:23:13	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0x8c85ae…
05-30 21:23:13	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x8c85ae…
05-30 21:07:13	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x40c748…
05-30 16:38:09	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x534049…
05-30 16:38:02	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0xb7aedc…
05-30 16:07:54	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x629dfe…
05-30 15:38:13	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$191	0x5be944…