(anonymous) 0x84639a…2b9de2 Create alert
2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$265
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
83.4%
Resolved
48
Trades
105
lifetime
Volume
$4.93K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$47
Open exposure
$1.25K
9 positions
First seen
2026-03-20
last 11-06 01:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
40% 57% +$21
Politics
36% 50% +$105
Crypto
20% 78% +$139
Tech
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,027 $360 37¢ $375 +$15 11-05 17:13
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +287 $274 95¢ $273 -$1 11-06 01:36
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No -250 -$225 92¢ $-229 -$4 10-21 17:38
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +214 $150 64¢ $138 -$12 11-06 01:35
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Yes +135 $100 64¢ $87 -$13 11-05 17:19
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027? Yes +123 $69 57¢ $70 +$1 11-05 17:18
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -266 -$51 19¢ $-50 +$1 10-10 17:46
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -305 -$27 7¢ $-21 +$7 10-11 13:15
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-11-07? Yes +40 $10 24¢ $10 $0 11-07 16:45