Wry-Beating — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$59

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.5%

Resolved

Trades

243

lifetime

Volume

$3.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 05-05 21:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 38% $-49

Other

1% 0% $-10

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 131 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	11	$234	1,098	271	+828	open	—	05-04 12:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	6	$203	165	165	+0	Up	+$103	05-05 20:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	4	$160	241	241	+0	Up	+$40	05-05 20:59
eth updown 5m 1775073000	2	$155	131	124	+7	open	—	04-01 19:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	3	$154	138	138	+0	Down	+$74	05-05 20:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	4	$127	99	99	+0	Up	+$67	05-05 20:24
eth updown 5m 1775072400	2	$118	105	99	+6	open	—	04-01 19:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	3	$102	95	95	+0	Up	+$62	05-05 17:49
eth updown 5m 1775074200	1	$100	556	0	+556	open	—	04-01 20:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$100	312	0	+312	Down	$-100	05-05 21:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$91	357	0	+357	Up	$-91	05-05 21:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	8	$82	206	187	+19	open	—	05-04 19:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	4	$79	732	128	+604	open	—	05-04 12:04
eth updown 5m 1775071200	2	$76	71	67	+4	open	—	04-01 19:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	4	$66	235	0	+235	Down	$-66	05-05 20:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	4	$66	250	125	+125	Up	+$6	05-05 18:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	4	$60	83	83	+0	open	—	05-04 19:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	3	$60	267	0	+267	Down	$-60	05-05 21:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	6	$60	193	0	+193	Down	$-60	05-05 20:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	4	$58	92	92	+0	open	—	05-04 12:29
eth updown 5m 1775073600	1	$50	573	0	+573	open	—	04-01 20:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	4	$50	116	22	+93	Down	$-10	05-05 20:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	6	$50	75	49	+26	open	—	05-04 14:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	3	$49	46	46	+0	open	—	05-04 11:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	4	$42	64	64	+0	open	—	05-04 19:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	4	$42	38	38	+0	open	—	05-04 14:18
eth updown 5m 1775073900	1	$40	415	0	+415	open	—	04-01 20:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	4	$40	125	0	+125	Up	+$85	05-05 20:17
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	3	$38	68	40	+28	Down	+$8	05-05 18:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	8	$36	212	34	+178	open	—	05-04 13:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 21:22:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	357	25¢	$91	0xe2d379…
05-05 21:11:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x512a92…
05-05 21:08:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	116	17¢	$20	0x376c45…
05-05 21:07:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0xe82a0f…
05-05 21:07:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x26cde3…
05-05 21:03:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0f16d7…
05-05 20:59:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	241	42¢	$100	0x1f26ff…
05-05 20:58:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0xd19f17…
05-05 20:58:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	75	27¢	$20	0x7e8a23…
05-05 20:58:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0xab1fab…
05-05 20:54:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	138	83¢	$114	0x8e12e6…
05-05 20:52:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0xa3263c…
05-05 20:52:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0xa42712…
05-05 20:47:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	29	19¢	$6	0x51d4ee…
05-05 20:47:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	79	25¢	$20	0xa1bb25…
05-05 20:46:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xfdf3d5…
05-05 20:46:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x5657d6…
05-05 20:40:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xc464d9…
05-05 20:40:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	27	35¢	$9	0x8056ab…
05-05 20:40:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xdd14a5…
05-05 20:37:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	32	4¢	$1	0x468915…
05-05 20:35:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xadaf27…
05-05 20:33:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	165	93¢	$153	0x1186e5…
05-05 20:32:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xd3a189…
05-05 20:32:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x7c809a…
05-05 20:32:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xc7a6df…
05-05 20:31:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x9bf715…
05-05 20:31:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x18ad1d…
05-05 20:29:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x4884dc…
05-05 20:28:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xf68e78…
05-05 20:28:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	32	32¢	$10	0x276018…
05-05 20:28:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0x6f076d…
05-05 20:28:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x0580f7…
05-05 20:28:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x50d0f7…
05-05 20:24:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	99	98¢	$97	0xf84986…
05-05 20:22:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x041cbd…
05-05 20:22:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xafe899…
05-05 20:22:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x566cef…
05-05 20:17:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xe64b07…
05-05 20:16:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xa4e3ae…
05-05 20:16:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xc982da…
05-05 20:16:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x80ed53…
05-05 20:11:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0x180be5…
05-05 20:11:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x93f44c…
05-05 20:09:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x1c53cb…
05-05 20:08:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x7c99df…
05-05 20:08:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0x683e79…
05-05 20:06:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xab7140…
05-05 20:01:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x8b29e7…
05-05 20:01:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xa07b87…
05-05 20:01:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x61615d…
05-05 19:57:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	26	94¢	$24	0x154bee…
05-05 19:56:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xd6c785…
05-05 19:50:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x3b8c59…
05-05 19:50:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x620724…
05-05 19:50:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xe92998…
05-05 19:49:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd1f0e2…
05-05 18:28:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x96b25c…
05-05 18:28:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	16	27¢	$4	0x0d98ad…
05-05 18:28:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	109	29¢	$31	0x93c120…
05-05 18:26:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x812ea3…
05-05 18:24:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xfe6ff1…
05-05 18:23:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	40	59¢	$23	0x47ae05…
05-05 18:21:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xb7f833…
05-05 18:21:08	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x2de125…
05-05 18:20:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	280	4¢	$10	0x1f59ff…
05-05 18:20:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x78e62d…
05-05 18:19:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	122	4¢	$5	0x1dd1a2…
05-05 18:18:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	967	1¢	$5	0x751cc8…
05-05 18:05:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xd96356…
05-05 18:05:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x5c4567…
05-05 18:05:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x3a80ce…
05-05 18:01:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xff24c5…
05-05 17:53:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x268c73…
05-05 17:52:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	29	45¢	$13	0x008f9e…
05-05 17:52:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xf37c88…
05-05 17:49:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	95	86¢	$82	0xda9772…
05-05 17:46:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0x489146…
05-05 17:46:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x1fe79a…
05-05 17:40:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xa2a250…
05-05 17:39:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0959cb…
05-05 17:30:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x9f8019…
05-05 17:28:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x128b9b…
05-05 17:27:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	45	19¢	$9	0x678160…
05-05 17:27:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x11298c…
05-05 17:21:20	Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)	Club Atlético de Madrid	BUY	383	1¢	$5	0x2f93de…
05-05 17:20:06	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x2ac21f…
05-04 19:48:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	28	24¢	$7	0xdbd6b1…
05-04 19:47:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xfef6e3…
05-04 19:46:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	36	58¢	$21	0xf35fb8…
05-04 19:45:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x26bd85…
05-04 19:43:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	18	76¢	$14	0xe4adfb…
05-04 19:40:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x684ebb…
05-04 19:39:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	39	79¢	$31	0x9b615b…
05-04 19:38:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0x1d731b…
05-04 19:37:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	44	21¢	$9	0x7e0578…
05-04 19:37:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0x0cdd61…
05-04 19:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	19	80¢	$15	0x992b7a…
05-04 19:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x35ee38…
05-04 19:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xbb804d…