Realized P&L
+$25
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
67.4%
Resolved
33
Trades
1,644
lifetime
Volume
$27.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$11
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-24 17:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
52% 0% $-18
Politics
40% 20% +$63
Sports
8% 21% $-20
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -76 $-5 $-4 +$1 06-15 18:40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -26 $-2 $-2 +$0 06-15 18:40
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? Yes -33 $-2 $-2 +$0 06-19 16:17
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? Yes -11 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-19 20:46
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -4 $-1 16¢ $-1 +$0 06-15 18:41
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? Yes -8 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-19 20:48
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -12 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-19 20:48
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes -3 $-0 11¢ $-0 +$0 06-19 20:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +29 $2 $0 $-2 06-20 23:04
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes +5 $1 $0 $-1 06-09 15:36
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30? Yes -12 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-19 20:47
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +9 $1 $0 $-1 06-09 13:40
Megaquake by June 30? Yes +13 $1 $0 $-1 06-08 17:44