Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$449

Unrealized P&L

-$116

Hit rate

85.5%

Resolved

Trades

326

lifetime

Volume

$41.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$128

Open exposure

$1.19K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 10-05 09:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

77% 81% +$1,389

Politics

20% 83% -$30

Crypto

3% 67% -$577

Sports

1% 0% -$333

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	-594	-$314	81¢	$-481	-$167	10-05 09:24
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	+500	$440	91¢	$454	+$14	08-22 22:57
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+300	$216	84¢	$254	+$38	09-20 19:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	5	$2.4K	1,350	1,350	+0	Yes	+$196	03-07 14:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	4	$2.4K	2,385	2,331	+53	Yes	+$256	04-14 17:58
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	8	$1.8K	1,500	1,200	+300	No	+$72	03-07 13:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	3	$1.6K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	-$1,609	04-08 00:17
Will FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw?	9	$1.5K	1,743	300	+1,443	Yes	+$16	07-31 11:02
epstein blackmail evidence released by march 31	2	$1.4K	1,542	0	+1,542	Yes	+$103	01-31 12:27
Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-07-30?	7	$1.4K	1,447	0	+1,447	Yes	+$27	07-29 08:15
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	5	$1.2K	1,345	0	+1,345	No	+$155	05-27 14:07
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	6	$1.1K	647	1,241	-594	open	—	10-05 09:24
will any eu country strike iran by march 31	2	$934	1,100	0	+1,100	No	+$166	03-10 00:14
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	7	$932	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$68	03-06 12:40
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?	1	$930	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$70	03-31 15:01
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	2	$904	500	500	+0	Yes	+$94	03-06 04:25
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?	14	$855	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	-$15	06-21 22:20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	6	$855	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$145	03-20 13:41
will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	6	$810	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$190	08-01 02:00
will turkey strike iran by march 31	6	$805	900	0	+900	No	+$95	03-10 00:14
Spain snap election called in 2026?	9	$803	1,040	0	+1,040	Yes	-$803	10-01 01:13
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	2	$703	781	0	+781	No	+$78	04-07 13:05
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	3	$684	1,200	1,200	+0	No	-$60	03-07 12:57
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	3	$660	1,000	500	+500	No	+$91	03-04 21:37
will bitcoin dip to 65k in february 2026 372 697	7	$644	800	0	+800	Yes	-$644	02-01 22:31
will partido socialista obrero espaol psoe win the 2026 castilla y len regional election 415	2	$644	680	0	+680	No	+$37	02-01 23:35
will france strike iran by march 31	3	$638	722	0	+722	No	+$84	03-10 00:15
will tony blair be named in newly released epstein files by march 31	4	$624	664	0	+664	Yes	+$40	01-31 12:46
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-09-12?	3	$594	625	0	+625	Yes	+$31	09-12 13:17
will partido popular pp win the 2026 castilla y len regional election 258	7	$554	599	0	+599	Yes	+$46	02-04 22:12
will tom hanks be named in newly released epstein files by march 31	2	$516	555	0	+555	Yes	+$39	01-31 02:34
will nyc have less than 2 inches of precipitation in march	7	$497	507	0	+507	No	+$10	03-09 09:33
will jimmy kimmel be named in newly released epstein files by march 31	1	$487	521	0	+521	Yes	+$33	01-31 02:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 09:24:07	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,241	58¢	$721	0x8cce68…
10-01 01:13:02	Spain snap election called in 2026?	No	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0xac6300…
10-01 01:12:45	Spain snap election called in 2026?	No	BUY	340	75¢	$255	0xf2f05f…
09-21 19:33:37	Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	303	9¢	$27	0xf5217c…
09-21 19:32:49	Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	303	47¢	$141	0x4e016c…
09-20 19:34:59	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	72¢	$216	0x3768df…
09-12 13:17:45	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	375	95¢	$356	0xbfca1a…
09-12 13:16:39	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	125	95¢	$119	0x16388d…
09-12 13:16:24	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	125	95¢	$119	0x5e5fad…
09-11 13:02:24	Spain snap election called in 2026?	No	BUY	44	75¢	$33	0x3bb79a…
09-10 13:05:10	Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	618	50¢	$310	0x9bd563…
09-08 00:38:49	Spain snap election called in 2026?	No	BUY	80	75¢	$60	0xfc67c9…
09-08 00:36:39	Spain snap election called in 2026?	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xec8dab…
09-07 17:00:27	Spain snap election called in 2026?	No	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0x38da5d…
09-07 17:00:03	Spain snap election called in 2026?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x3a94d3…
09-06 19:51:42	Spain snap election called in 2026?	No	BUY	299	80¢	$239	0xc57d04…
09-05 14:04:07	Spain snap election called in 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf4e41b…
08-22 22:57:22	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	205	88¢	$180	0x32c6ce…
08-20 12:40:39	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	168	88¢	$148	0x4a7d94…
08-19 17:18:10	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	36	88¢	$32	0xf244cf…
08-19 08:46:15	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	83	88¢	$73	0x1ac029…
08-18 20:55:19	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	No	BUY	546	81¢	$442	0x503332…
08-18 20:50:28	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xb26f4f…
08-08 09:03:30	clf svw pad 2026 08 08 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	40	67¢	$27	0x8e204b…
08-08 08:44:03	clf svw pad 2026 08 08 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x784669…
08-08 08:44:01	clf svw pad 2026 08 08 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	87	44¢	$38	0x996a14…
08-08 08:36:33	clf svw pad 2026 08 08 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x1889db…
08-02 10:22:27	no confidence vote against spain pm sanchez by december 31 20260630194337738	Yes	BUY	125	56¢	$70	0x963204…
08-01 22:36:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 22:35 UTC	Up	SELL	18	37¢	$7	0x3a9854…
08-01 22:36:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xed7255…
08-01 20:57:20	no confidence vote against spain pm sanchez by december 31 20260630194337738	No	BUY	181	43¢	$77	0xe44992…
08-01 07:24:54	clf tsg ksc 2026 08 01 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x492063…
08-01 06:17:50	clf cot svw 2026 08 01 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x1abdd0…
08-01 04:02:00	clf ang man 2026 08 01 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x4d44fe…
08-01 04:01:38	clf ang man 2026 08 01 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x2a98a1…
08-01 04:01:36	clf ang man 2026 08 01 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe7875e…
08-01 02:00:44	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	902	81¢	$731	0x14e0a0…
08-01 01:20:24	clf cot svw 2026 08 01 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0x06edd7…
08-01 01:04:18	clf cot svw 2026 08 01 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x033855…
08-01 01:04:08	clf cot svw 2026 08 01 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xe6f9d8…
08-01 01:03:48	clf cot svw 2026 08 01 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x756cd7…
08-01 01:03:26	clf cot svw 2026 08 01 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x0e756e…
08-01 01:02:45	clf cot svw 2026 08 01 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xa3dcfa…
08-01 01:02:36	clf cot svw 2026 08 01 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xf8629a…
08-01 01:02:33	clf cot svw 2026 08 01 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x7bb169…
07-31 22:18:17	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xd3ce01…
07-31 22:08:36	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xb3280c…
07-31 22:00:11	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xc67606…
07-31 21:43:57	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	26	81¢	$21	0x8e864c…
07-31 21:43:51	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	26	81¢	$21	0xb13262…
07-31 21:32:53	clf tsg ksc 2026 08 01 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x5fced6…
07-31 21:19:03	clf ang man 2026 08 01 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0xcd252c…
07-31 19:56:50	clf cot svw 2026 08 01 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	42	66¢	$28	0xfe3d0b…
07-31 19:56:42	clf cot svw 2026 08 01 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	77	66¢	$51	0x43fe72…
07-31 11:02:03	Will FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	516	97¢	$500	0x776e75…
07-31 08:05:54	clf koe bsc 2026 07 31 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	22	72¢	$16	0x2b9867…
07-31 08:05:53	clf koe bsc 2026 07 31 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0xfbcc40…
07-31 08:05:51	clf koe bsc 2026 07 31 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	87	72¢	$63	0x017d38…
07-31 00:52:09	Will FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	306	98¢	$300	0x09dd5f…
07-31 00:51:56	Will FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x494b56…
07-31 00:51:23	Will FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	205	98¢	$200	0x865845…
07-31 00:50:08	Will FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x0c1c91…
07-31 00:49:56	Will FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x4cda9c…
07-31 00:45:05	FC Carl Zeiss Jena to score first vs. Bayer Leverkusen?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x74ad63…
07-31 00:44:53	Bayer Leverkusen to score first vs. FC Carl Zeiss Jena?	No	BUY	102	99¢	$100	0x7fda80…
07-31 00:44:41	FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs. Bayer Leverkusen: Neither team to score first?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x23668e…
07-31 00:43:11	Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2026-08-01?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xf232c1…
07-31 00:42:53	Will FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	104	97¢	$100	0x8432a2…
07-31 00:42:35	Will FC Carl Zeiss Jena win on 2026-08-01?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xc5fa52…
07-31 00:40:11	Will FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw?	No	SELL	300	7¢	$20	0x5501a7…
07-31 00:38:45	Will FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw?	No	BUY	300	16¢	$47	0x311851…
07-29 08:15:48	Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-07-30?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x46bdfd…
07-29 04:23:48	FC Rottach-Egern to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x8d11ea…
07-29 04:23:15	Bayern Munich leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x145685…
07-29 04:16:33	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	186	95¢	$177	0x02e0f9…
07-29 04:14:42	Exact Score: FC Rottach-Egern 1 - 1 Bayern Munich?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x936956…
07-29 04:14:11	Exact Score: FC Rottach-Egern 0 - 2 Bayern Munich?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0xf7016a…
07-29 04:13:29	Exact Score: FC Rottach-Egern 0 - 1 Bayern Munich?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x51cd0d…
07-29 04:11:45	Spread: Bayern Munich (-2.5)	Bayern Munich	BUY	167	97¢	$162	0xc147e5…
07-29 04:11:18	Spread: Bayern Munich (-2.5)	Bayern Munich	BUY	133	96¢	$128	0x9b5238…
07-29 04:10:44	Spread: Bayern Munich (-2.5)	Bayern Munich	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x19ef89…
07-29 04:09:50	Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-07-30?	Yes	BUY	350	98¢	$343	0xf8ade8…
07-29 04:09:50	Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-07-30?	Yes	BUY	149	98¢	$146	0x5b288a…
07-29 04:08:33	FC Rottach-Egern vs. Bayern Munich: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	22	97¢	$22	0xa99d88…
07-29 04:07:03	FC Rottach-Egern vs. Bayern Munich: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x5150ff…
07-29 04:06:18	FC Rottach-Egern vs. Bayern Munich: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	173	97¢	$167	0xa2b40a…
07-29 04:06:05	FC Rottach-Egern vs. Bayern Munich: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0x6ff454…
07-29 04:03:59	FC Rottach-Egern vs. Bayern Munich: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	54	82¢	$44	0x5ddd7c…
07-29 04:01:24	Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-07-30?	Yes	BUY	280	98¢	$275	0xdcf145…
07-29 04:01:24	Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-07-30?	Yes	BUY	140	98¢	$137	0x9a8be9…
07-29 04:01:24	Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-07-30?	Yes	BUY	280	98¢	$275	0x6922f4…
07-29 04:01:24	Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-07-30?	Yes	BUY	148	98¢	$145	0x6800c4…
07-20 02:56:15	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	74¢	$44	0xcc6e33…
07-19 23:54:48	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	93	74¢	$69	0x98d03f…
06-25 04:48:47	Exact Score: Japan 0 - 0 Sweden?	Yes	SELL	43	7¢	$3	0x8fe749…
06-25 04:36:26	Exact Score: Japan 0 - 0 Sweden?	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0xc75cae…
06-25 04:13:08	Exact Score: Japan 0 - 0 Sweden?	Yes	SELL	43	7¢	$3	0xe03ad5…
06-25 03:45:26	Exact Score: Japan 0 - 0 Sweden?	Yes	SELL	139	7¢	$10	0x82f4fe…
06-25 03:32:01	Exact Score: Japan 0 - 0 Sweden?	Yes	SELL	143	7¢	$10	0x882ec9…
06-25 03:25:08	Exact Score: Japan 0 - 0 Sweden?	Yes	SELL	21	7¢	$1	0x07bd82…