Fearful-Vaccine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.32K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

68.8%

Resolved

8,639

Trades

22,350

lifetime

Volume

$168.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-28

last 10-27 03:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 84 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 74% +$1,416

Politics

0% 0% -$85

Other

0% 33% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 2428 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up		-0	$0	98¢	$-0	$0	10-27 04:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 01:20 UTC	4	$692	975	0	+975	Down	-$92	04-08 01:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 12:25 UTC	4	$600	975	0	+975	Up	+$0	04-07 12:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 10:10 UTC	13	$518	0	1,300	-1,300	Up	-$82	02-28 10:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 06:20 UTC	3	$487	675	0	+675	Up	-$112	04-08 06:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 01:50 UTC	3	$487	675	0	+675	Up	-$112	04-08 01:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 00:05 UTC	3	$471	675	0	+675	Down	-$96	04-08 00:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 07:15 UTC	3	$444	675	0	+675	Down	-$69	04-07 07:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:00 UTC	3	$429	675	0	+675	Up	-$54	04-08 05:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 10:30 UTC	3	$423	675	0	+675	Up	-$48	04-07 10:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 09:05 UTC	9	$409	0	900	-900	Down	+$9	02-28 09:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 09:40 UTC	9	$400	0	900	-900	Down	$0	02-28 09:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 08:55 UTC	9	$394	0	900	-900	Down	-$6	02-28 08:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:10 UTC	9	$378	0	900	-900	Up	-$22	02-28 12:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 02:00 UTC	3	$369	675	0	+675	Up	-$69	04-07 02:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 18:45 UTC	2	$368	375	0	+375	Up	-$68	04-06 18:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 04:55 UTC	2	$350	375	0	+375	Down	-$275	04-08 05:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 10:35 UTC	8	$349	0	800	-800	Down	-$51	02-28 10:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 04:20 UTC	2	$343	350	0	+350	Up	-$63	03-25 04:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:15 UTC	2	$343	375	0	+375	Up	-$43	04-08 05:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 02:40 UTC	2	$342	375	0	+375	Up	-$42	04-08 02:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 00:25 UTC	2	$339	375	0	+375	Down	-$39	04-07 00:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 04:10 UTC	2	$337	375	0	+375	Up	-$37	04-08 04:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 17:30 UTC	4	$333	650	0	+650	Up	-$83	04-06 17:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 03:15 UTC	2	$333	375	0	+375	Down	-$33	04-08 03:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 07:45 UTC	3	$332	675	0	+675	Down	-$32	04-07 07:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 02:00 UTC	2	$329	375	0	+375	Up	-$29	04-08 02:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 00:40 UTC	2	$328	375	0	+375	Up	-$28	04-07 00:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 18:45 UTC	4	$324	650	0	+650	Down	-$74	04-04 18:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 04:40 UTC	2	$323	375	0	+375	Up	-$23	04-07 04:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 19:35 UTC	2	$322	375	0	+375	Down	-$22	04-06 19:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 04:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	34¢	$0	0xdff5b3…
10-27 04:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	51¢	$0	0xca6daa…
10-27 04:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	51¢	$0	0x93a109…
10-27 04:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	57¢	$0	0x33351a…
10-27 03:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	14¢	$0	0x53edbd…
10-27 03:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	14¢	$0	0x8add79…
10-27 03:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	16¢	$0	0x68ec6b…
10-27 03:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	18¢	$0	0x08a2a0…
10-27 03:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	71¢	$0	0x129cf1…
10-27 03:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	72¢	$0	0xd4f10f…
10-27 03:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	72¢	$0	0x9624f7…
10-27 03:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	20¢	$0	0x4b462d…
10-27 03:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	75¢	$0	0x436533…
10-27 03:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	74¢	$0	0x7f58c9…
10-27 03:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	77¢	$0	0xc6628a…
10-27 03:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	17¢	$0	0x702803…
10-27 03:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	18¢	$0	0xbee0c7…
10-27 03:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	17¢	$0	0xbaeac4…
10-27 03:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	17¢	$0	0x346a1e…
10-27 03:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	21¢	$0	0x5a3789…
10-27 03:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	21¢	$0	0x3e3056…
10-27 03:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	27¢	$0	0x0f5ce1…
10-27 03:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	37¢	$0	0x9be85e…
10-27 03:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	37¢	$0	0x9b3bcf…
10-27 03:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	13¢	$0	0xd1f180…
10-27 03:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	13¢	$0	0xabe744…
10-27 03:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	13¢	$0	0x8e9ca6…
10-27 03:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	13¢	$0	0x8149dc…
10-27 03:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	14¢	$0	0x9774c2…
10-27 03:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	15¢	$0	0x5250b5…
10-27 03:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	78¢	$0	0x53fac4…
10-27 03:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	19¢	$0	0xf534a4…
10-27 03:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	16¢	$0	0x3bddab…
10-27 03:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	16¢	$0	0xe13835…
10-27 03:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	20¢	$0	0x5ff42f…
10-27 03:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	25¢	$0	0x42608c…
10-27 03:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	25¢	$0	0x2c34bb…
10-27 03:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	25¢	$0	0x738118…
10-27 03:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	25¢	$0	0x381d61…
10-27 03:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	26¢	$0	0x7da804…
10-27 03:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	31¢	$0	0x08247e…
10-27 03:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	34¢	$0	0x383701…
10-27 03:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	55¢	$0	0x0f29c3…
10-27 03:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	35¢	$0	0xbb6b24…
10-27 03:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	35¢	$0	0x88184e…
10-27 03:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	39¢	$0	0x38e14c…
10-27 03:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	52¢	$0	0xf8c0aa…
10-27 03:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	56¢	$0	0x5b7030…
10-27 03:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	33¢	$0	0x7374bd…
10-27 03:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	44¢	$0	0x36c417…
10-27 03:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	47¢	$0	0x2ecc0a…
10-27 03:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	44¢	$0	0x2ce840…
10-27 03:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	57¢	$0	0x4a1147…
10-27 03:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	67¢	$0	0xc1e60b…
10-27 03:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	26¢	$0	0xeab7df…
10-27 03:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	26¢	$0	0x2e77d9…
10-27 03:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	30¢	$0	0x986216…
10-27 03:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	38¢	$0	0x5bdd55…
10-27 03:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	38¢	$0	0xbcec9c…
10-27 03:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	38¢	$0	0x6ea642…
10-27 03:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	38¢	$0	0x58a1c1…
10-27 03:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	35¢	$0	0xa34342…
10-27 03:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	38¢	$0	0x331cce…
10-27 03:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	54¢	$0	0x90340b…
10-27 03:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	56¢	$0	0xa3e889…
10-27 02:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	49¢	$0	0xab0003…
10-27 02:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	51¢	$0	0x8b25dc…
10-27 02:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	54¢	$0	0xe0b694…
10-27 02:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	37¢	$0	0xc6ef0f…
10-27 02:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	53¢	$0	0xa6183e…
10-27 02:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	40¢	$0	0xd34a9b…
10-27 02:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	47¢	$0	0x790ac0…
10-27 02:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	53¢	$0	0x89cfa5…
10-27 02:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	36¢	$0	0x6d3d34…
10-27 02:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	36¢	$0	0x8ddf0a…
10-27 02:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	58¢	$0	0x370c4b…
10-27 02:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	50¢	$0	0x651818…
10-27 01:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	41¢	$0	0x8a4535…
10-27 01:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	55¢	$0	0xb4e69c…
10-27 01:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	60¢	$0	0xc01ac9…
10-27 01:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	36¢	$0	0x4f7330…
10-27 01:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	12¢	$0	0x069be1…
10-27 01:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	17¢	$0	0x769c39…
10-27 01:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	16¢	$0	0x62abeb…
10-27 01:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	16¢	$0	0x029ec9…
10-27 01:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	24¢	$0	0x3af580…
10-27 01:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	67¢	$0	0x1087d2…
10-27 01:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	35¢	$0	0xad6bf9…
10-27 01:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	35¢	$0	0x10cde4…
10-27 01:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	38¢	$0	0x00d1ab…
10-27 01:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	40¢	$0	0x1b0b5c…
10-27 00:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	59¢	$0	0x92140e…
10-27 00:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	43¢	$0	0x395a21…
10-27 00:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	36¢	$0	0xcc3673…
10-27 00:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	39¢	$0	0xcd782c…
10-27 00:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	60¢	$0	0x3f92e1…
10-27 00:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	28¢	$0	0x2cfe69…
10-27 00:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	31¢	$0	0xeb5e90…
10-27 00:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	33¢	$0	0x188b4b…
10-27 00:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	70¢	$0	0x7465a2…