Fearful-Vaccine — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.8%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

23 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$87

$87 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 09:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 64% $-4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	3	$11	15	+15	Up	$-1	05-05 02:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$7	10	+10	Down	+$3	05-05 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 00:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	05-05 09:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Up	+$1	05-05 01:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Up	$-4	05-04 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Up	$-4	05-05 03:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Down	+$1	05-05 05:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	05-05 06:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Down	$-4	05-05 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	05-05 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Down	+$2	05-05 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Down	$-3	05-05 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Down	+$2	05-05 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Down	+$2	05-04 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-05 08:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Up	+$2	05-04 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-05 07:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 09:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x74af95…
05-05 08:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xb0270e…
05-05 07:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x281286…
05-05 07:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe0cc6f…
05-05 06:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x32736b…
05-05 06:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x007b41…
05-05 06:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x419723…
05-05 05:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xf9be26…
05-05 05:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x41f809…
05-05 04:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xf77dcc…
05-05 04:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x32ab81…
05-05 03:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x05bd07…
05-05 02:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x053deb…
05-05 02:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x06536e…
05-05 02:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x7ce007…
05-05 01:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x8c059f…
05-05 01:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xe14cb0…
05-05 01:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x13abeb…
05-05 00:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2ab50f…
05-05 00:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5ecbf9…
05-04 22:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x1e2da4…
05-04 20:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x4abcb9…
05-04 20:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xe349d0…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	20	$11.0K	154	05-05 09:10
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	19	$533	102	05-05 09:01
Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04	18	$694	100	05-05 09:01
Lucky-Incidence 0x5bea…9f47	16	$788	46	05-05 09:00
Youthful-Movement 0x8da4…f3d1	14	$995	102	05-05 09:01
Barren-Strand 0x4d4e…1867	13	$693	50	05-05 08:40
Constant-Relation 0x01b7…2eca	13	$674	32	05-05 09:00
Hard-Yogurt 0x5187…d7ec	12	$531	59	05-05 09:00