Sardonic-Professor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-02 13:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 100% +$1

Other

45% 100% +$1

Politics

6% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?	1	$83	83	+83	No	+$0	06-01 08:21
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	1	$83	83	+83	No	+$0	06-06 03:02
bitcoin above 66k on june 10 2026	1	$83	83	+83	No	+$0	06-10 01:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 9?	1	$82	82	+82	Yes	+$0	05-07 02:38
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 360 379	1	$82	82	+82	No	+$0	04-02 06:21
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 500 519	1	$81	81	+81	No	+$0	02-13 06:29
bitcoin above 64k on april 6	1	$81	81	+81	Yes	+$0	04-06 08:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 12?	1	$81	81	+81	No	+$0	05-10 09:27
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 240plus	1	$81	81	+81	No	+$0	02-27 09:37
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 460 479	1	$81	81	+81	No	+$0	02-04 11:02
bitcoin above 72k on march 29	1	$81	81	+81	No	+$0	03-29 02:42
bitcoin above 96k on january 23	1	$81	81	+81	No	+$0	01-23 01:32
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 740plus	1	$81	81	+81	No	+$0	01-19 03:49
will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 9	1	$81	81	+81	No	+$0	03-09 08:12
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 380 399	1	$80	81	+81	No	+$0	03-19 02:10
bitcoin above 80k on march 25	1	$80	80	+80	No	+$0	03-24 08:28
bitcoin above 66k on april 12	1	$80	80	+80	Yes	+$0	04-11 07:57
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 420 439	1	$80	80	+80	No	+$0	04-16 02:28
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 540 559	1	$80	80	+80	No	+$0	03-14 09:22
bitcoin above 86k on january 10	1	$80	80	+80	Yes	+$0	01-10 03:03
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	1	$79	79	+79	No	+$0	04-25 10:55
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$79	79	+79	No	+$0	05-20 02:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$79	79	+79	No	+$0	04-30 01:38
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	1	$79	79	+79	No	+$0	05-15 07:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	1	$79	79	+79	No	+$0	05-26 09:20
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 280 299	1	$79	79	+79	No	+$0	01-06 03:18
bitcoin above 60k on march 4	1	$78	78	+78	Yes	+$0	03-04 03:25
bitcoin above 90k on january 15	1	$78	78	+78	Yes	+$0	01-15 06:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	1	$78	78	+78	Yes	+$0	05-13 06:15
bitcoin above 70k on april 21	1	$78	78	+78	Yes	+$0	04-21 02:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 13:08:10	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa24c15…
10-27 04:11:29	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xfab504…
09-27 10:46:41	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x0a3a6e…
08-21 11:13:40	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x357952…
06-10 01:26:39	bitcoin above 66k on june 10 2026	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x2b382c…
06-06 03:02:30	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x381f28…
06-01 08:21:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x65566b…
05-26 09:20:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xfc2fee…
05-20 02:37:46	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x7fab7b…
05-15 07:38:58	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x28fd55…
05-13 06:15:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x28ae0b…
05-13 06:11:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 13?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x282329…
05-13 06:11:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7487d0…
05-13 06:11:12	Will Amazon have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x262cd8…
05-10 09:27:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x090251…
05-10 09:27:43	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf3677d…
05-07 02:38:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x159ecd…
04-30 01:38:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x3f491b…
04-25 10:55:12	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xed23ae…
04-21 02:50:58	bitcoin above 70k on april 21	Yes	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x9fc24b…
04-21 02:50:50	will freecash get paid real money be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 21	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x572d96…
04-21 02:50:32	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x49cb19…
04-16 02:28:10	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 420 439	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x1a3148…
04-11 07:57:15	bitcoin above 66k on april 12	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xd48cef…
04-11 07:57:05	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb9464c…
04-11 07:56:55	Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x170d8e…
04-06 08:39:33	bitcoin above 64k on april 6	Yes	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x2877cd…
04-06 08:39:15	cz binance of tweets march 31 april 7 2026 80 99	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x77287d…
04-02 06:21:19	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 360 379	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xaa3e74…
03-29 02:42:26	bitcoin above 72k on march 29	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x86b55b…
03-24 08:28:29	bitcoin above 80k on march 25	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x3ae88b…
03-19 02:10:05	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 380 399	No	BUY	81	100¢	$80	0x3c8bb4…
03-14 09:22:23	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 540 559	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x06e7ae…
03-09 08:12:25	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 9	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x1efeee…
03-04 03:25:21	bitcoin above 60k on march 4	Yes	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xe3f2ac…
03-04 03:25:13	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7ff54c…
03-04 03:25:01	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 80 99	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x08e0d2…
03-04 03:24:47	elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 90 114	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa0a174…
02-27 09:37:25	elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 240plus	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x399545…
02-13 06:29:15	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 500 519	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xc93d29…
02-04 11:02:16	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 460 479	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xd02393…
01-31 10:44:16	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	78	100¢	$77	0x558c00…
01-31 10:44:06	will trump meet with friedrich merz in january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1488f5…
01-31 10:44:02	will trump meet with kaja kallas in january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc521b5…
01-27 06:21:55	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 640 659	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xd50f06…
01-27 06:21:43	highest temperature in london on january 27 7c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdc3746…
01-27 06:21:25	will moonshot have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xde7bdc…
01-27 06:21:17	will the us next strike iran on january 26 2026 et 241	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x152fd2…
01-23 01:32:08	bitcoin above 96k on january 23	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x9c18b1…
01-19 03:49:40	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 740plus	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xc32415…
01-15 06:15:34	bitcoin above 90k on january 15	Yes	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x576e27…
01-15 06:14:46	will threads be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 16	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcd4d0d…
01-15 06:14:38	will the us next strike iran on january 13 2026 et 111	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0b60e0…
01-10 03:03:58	bitcoin above 86k on january 10	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x79fbb5…
01-06 03:18:57	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 280 299	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x8cf17d…