Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$2.63K

Unrealized P&L

+$5.38K

Hit rate

91.4%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

1,070 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$109.6K

$327.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

$306

Open exposure

$25.6K

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 10-24 18:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Politics

50% 79% +$5,270

Other

47% 67% -$3,396

Tech

3% 67% +$413

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	+23,411	$17,058	96¢	$22.5K	+$5,440	10-24 18:22
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+3,850	$2,888	74¢	$2.8K	-$58	10-24 18:22
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	+329	$260	80¢	$261	+$2	10-21 02:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	37	$67.8K	50,355	26,944	+23,411	open	—	10-24 18:22
netanyahu out by march 31 854	922	$42.9K	7,504,933	947,212	+6,557,721	No	-$4,933	04-01 19:56
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	14	$35.3K	18,240	18,240	+0	Yes	+$361	08-04 00:06
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	6	$31.1K	10,777	20,777	-10,000	Yes	+$386	03-03 20:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	6	$18.6K	18,714	1,232	+17,482	No	+$1,278	06-29 02:27
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	8	$16.9K	17,404	0	+17,404	Yes	+$511	06-17 10:35
iran closes its airspace by june 8	1	$16.8K	16,892	0	+16,892	Yes	+$84	06-07 23:00
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	2	$15.7K	15,731	0	+15,731	Yes	+$47	04-27 22:38
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	4	$14.6K	14,656	0	+14,656	Yes	+$44	04-16 20:17
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$14.0K	10	14,043	-14,033	Yes	-$70	04-06 22:52
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	12	$7.1K	8,014	0	+8,014	Yes	+$943	04-09 00:15
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?	2	$6.9K	7,646	0	+7,646	Yes	+$700	09-01 01:10
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	1	$6.1K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$3,900	08-13 19:14
gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	5	$5.8K	6,866	0	+6,866	Yes	+$1,027	04-23 16:27
over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	2	$4.9K	5,400	0	+5,400	Yes	+$540	07-16 20:49
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?	3	$3.4K	4,109	0	+4,109	Yes	+$742	09-03 02:13
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	2	$2.9K	3,850	0	+3,850	open	—	10-24 18:22
Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	3	$2.6K	3,049	191	+2,858	No	-$2,513	09-09 01:00
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	4	$2.5K	2,388	2,388	+0	No	+$154	04-07 18:52
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	6	$2.4K	4,592	1,432	+3,160	No	-$1,040	08-18 23:48
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	1	$2.2K	2,641	0	+2,641	No	+$423	08-01 02:30
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	6	$1.6K	2,552	2,552	+0	No	-$768	04-09 22:49
will clavicular be the top ranked chad by march 31	5	$1.4K	875	875	+0	Yes	+$319	03-17 19:40
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?	1	$1.0K	1,090	0	+1,090	Yes	+$88	08-27 14:39
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 25, 2026?	2	$769	830	0	+830	Yes	+$62	09-02 04:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$693	700	0	+700	Yes	+$7	05-09 12:49
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	1	$519	660	0	+660	Yes	+$141	08-27 14:38
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?	2	$369	465	0	+465	Yes	+$97	04-08 20:48
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	1	$260	329	0	+329	open	—	10-21 02:25
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	3	$234	464	0	+464	No	-$234	08-27 14:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 18:22:41	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	950	75¢	$712	0xb1daad…
10-24 18:22:21	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,900	75¢	$2,175	0x8d792a…
10-24 18:22:11	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	2,526	97¢	$2,440	0xfd88fa…
10-21 02:25:48	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	BUY	329	79¢	$260	0x6bb579…
09-17 18:51:52	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	9,900	92¢	$9,128	0xd44cea…
09-17 18:50:43	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	9,945	92¢	$9,160	0xac262e…
09-17 16:50:00	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	6,091	92¢	$5,604	0x22ed25…
09-15 19:39:00	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	36	94¢	$34	0x8573ed…
09-15 19:37:25	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	294	94¢	$276	0xc51803…
09-15 19:36:33	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	124	94¢	$117	0x9459dd…
09-15 19:36:09	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	2,606	94¢	$2,450	0x9e8889…
09-15 19:35:45	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	26	94¢	$25	0xe91dcd…
09-15 19:33:36	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	324	94¢	$304	0x23f286…
09-15 19:33:27	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	94¢	$940	0x376912…
09-15 19:33:01	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	1,400	94¢	$1,316	0xcb3c41…
09-15 19:32:30	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	3,757	94¢	$3,531	0x28b5ee…
09-15 19:29:39	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	14	94¢	$13	0xf87d17…
09-15 19:28:54	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0x645e1f…
09-15 19:28:51	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	94¢	$940	0x9f8b7c…
09-15 19:28:48	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	143	94¢	$134	0x945773…
09-15 19:28:09	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x3eb123…
09-15 19:27:45	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x2b9db5…
09-15 19:27:42	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xf6b99f…
09-15 19:26:58	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	1,024	94¢	$962	0xb113aa…
09-15 19:26:21	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x428d8a…
09-15 19:25:55	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	500	94¢	$470	0x6ad005…
09-15 19:24:28	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	82	94¢	$77	0xc3c5ab…
09-15 19:22:39	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x587dab…
09-15 19:22:27	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	354	94¢	$333	0x19f3a9…
09-15 19:22:22	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	230	94¢	$216	0xd38e11…
09-15 19:22:18	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0x20bd41…
09-15 19:21:58	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x4a85fc…
09-15 19:21:54	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x5ae209…
09-15 19:21:49	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	1,251	94¢	$1,176	0xbdced8…
09-15 19:21:01	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	111	94¢	$104	0x4d5b76…
09-15 19:20:10	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	6,051	94¢	$5,688	0xbfd4f5…
09-15 19:19:16	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x32ed48…
09-15 19:19:10	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	3,913	94¢	$3,678	0x24ff41…
09-14 20:47:09	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	18,433	77¢	$14,190	0x253bef…
09-14 19:51:10	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	5,986	73¢	$4,370	0xab84f9…
09-09 01:00:57	Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x4d422d…
09-09 01:00:52	Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	Yes	SELL	141	25¢	$35	0x2a962a…
09-08 02:25:16	Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	3,049	84¢	$2,561	0x497553…
09-03 02:13:55	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaf30de…
09-02 04:58:46	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	93¢	$107	0xa44e0d…
09-02 04:58:42	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	260	94¢	$244	0x78c737…
09-02 00:17:48	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	570	92¢	$525	0xb17488…
09-01 01:10:37	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,002	92¢	$5,522	0xc7898f…
08-28 16:18:15	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,989	82¢	$3,255	0xbdc08e…
08-27 14:43:18	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	128	51¢	$65	0xbdc6af…
08-27 14:39:28	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x19ff2b…
08-27 14:39:07	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,090	92¢	$1,002	0xa41951…
08-27 14:39:01	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,644	87¢	$1,425	0x93f2dc…
08-27 14:38:54	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	660	79¢	$519	0x06c2a9…
08-27 14:37:54	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	317	50¢	$160	0x6ca6f3…
08-18 23:48:49	Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	BUY	1,377	5¢	$69	0xd1cf67…
08-18 23:04:39	Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	BUY	1,783	53¢	$945	0xcbca3c…
08-18 23:00:46	Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	SELL	1,432	48¢	$688	0x272a6a…
08-18 22:42:21	Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0x01cc98…
08-18 22:19:04	Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	BUY	340	50¢	$170	0x731c93…
08-18 22:17:46	Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	BUY	92	48¢	$44	0xf26cef…
08-13 19:14:54	Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	BUY	10,000	61¢	$6,100	0x87835b…
08-04 00:06:39	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	SELL	12,636	99¢	$12,458	0x6818d7…
08-01 02:30:30	Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	No	BUY	2,641	84¢	$2,218	0x3b5037…
07-25 17:23:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x94bddf…
07-25 17:23:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4dc224…
07-17 22:49:10	Will Piers Corbyn get second place in the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0xefc6d5…
07-16 20:49:07	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	5,000	90¢	$4,500	0xd77f85…
07-16 20:31:55	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	SELL	5,033	95¢	$4,800	0xc3993b…
07-16 19:11:17	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xdd9967…
07-16 17:31:25	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4cd62b…
07-16 17:25:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	145	96¢	$139	0xf0fd4a…
07-16 16:32:49	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	SELL	7	96¢	$6	0xde7b2e…
07-16 16:11:14	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0xeed8da…
07-16 16:10:56	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x4d28b8…
07-16 15:52:28	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	SELL	82	96¢	$79	0xaa47bd…
07-16 09:49:32	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	SELL	134	96¢	$128	0x7eb5f3…
07-16 09:48:26	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	SELL	178	96¢	$171	0xfb80c6…
07-16 02:30:35	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	SELL	104	96¢	$100	0xc6dd30…
07-16 00:06:28	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	SELL	41	96¢	$39	0x1cd331…
07-08 05:40:08	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	240	96¢	$230	0xb27950…
07-08 05:39:31	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	18,000	96¢	$17,215	0xc19453…
06-29 02:27:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	504	99¢	$499	0xa9f3d9…
06-25 07:57:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	212	95¢	$201	0xeb639a…
06-24 05:38:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	201	98¢	$196	0x37d48e…
06-24 05:14:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	205	98¢	$200	0x2cc552…
06-23 08:11:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	110	94¢	$103	0xf45695…
06-19 16:29:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	18,714	93¢	$17,404	0xa4e3c7…
06-17 10:35:29	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	404	100¢	$403	0x0d7414…
06-16 05:44:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	8,785	97¢	$8,521	0x5d605b…
06-16 05:44:06	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	6,667	97¢	$6,467	0x15ea82…
06-16 05:43:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,268	97¢	$1,230	0x09af4c…
06-16 05:42:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9aa4bb…
06-16 05:42:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xddae01…
06-16 05:42:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xd13e15…
06-16 05:41:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	237	97¢	$230	0x763b15…
06-07 23:00:00	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	16,892	100¢	$16,808	0xe93246…
06-05 23:43:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11,800	0¢	$12	0x3a2cdf…
05-09 12:49:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	700	99¢	$693	0x23bc80…
04-27 22:38:52	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x2c80b4…