Substantial-Pricing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.75K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

41.2%

Resolved

Trades

305

lifetime

Volume

$50.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$164

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-05 13:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

49% 14% -$3,161

Crypto

32% 92% +$337

Politics

18% 20% +$80

Tech

1% 0% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-05).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes		-20	-$1	1¢	$-0	+$1	06-05 13:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	31	$3.9K	3,974	3,974	+0	Yes	-$74	05-02 22:57
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	2	$3.8K	2,004	2,004	+0	Yes	+$176	05-24 07:13
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	41	$3.7K	6,911	6,911	+0	Yes	-$431	05-23 11:49
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?	6	$2.8K	2,309	2,309	+0	No	-$162	05-21 12:39
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	6	$2.4K	1,411	1,411	+0	No	-$14	04-30 20:44
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	4	$2.2K	1,870	1,870	+0	BetBoom Team	-$86	05-16 16:37
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	4	$2.1K	2,260	0	+2,260	Team WE	-$2,063	05-30 12:31
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	2	$1.9K	1,022	1,022	+0	Yes	+$5	04-30 20:00
Moonbirds FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$1.8K	938	938	+0	No	+$49	01-29 18:27
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$1.6K	955	955	+0	No	+$241	04-30 08:00
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $705 Week of April 27 2026?	5	$1.6K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	-$66	04-30 13:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 20:05 UTC	2	$1.5K	810	802	+9	Up	+$112	04-23 20:11
Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Fils	2	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	Arthur Fils	-$10	04-19 13:34
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	11	$1.2K	2,700	2,700	+0	open	—	04-28 18:49
Over $20M committed to the Trove public sale?	2	$1.0K	953	953	+0	No	-$580	01-11 17:26
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	5	$914	955	955	+0	No	-$19	05-02 19:09
over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	1	$885	1,463	0	+1,463	Yes	+$578	01-04 11:01
will arvell reese be drafted 5th overall in the 2026 pro football draft	3	$832	462	462	+0	Yes	-$83	04-23 22:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 21:15 UTC	1	$832	857	0	+857	Down	+$26	04-23 21:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 23:20 UTC	1	$822	830	0	+830	Up	+$8	04-23 23:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 23:05 UTC	1	$814	823	0	+823	Down	+$8	04-23 23:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 21:00 UTC	1	$808	834	0	+834	Down	+$25	04-23 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 20:50 UTC	1	$801	809	0	+809	Down	+$8	04-23 20:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 23:00 UTC	1	$799	816	0	+816	Down	+$16	04-23 23:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 20:30 UTC	1	$793	801	0	+801	Up	+$8	04-23 20:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 22:55 UTC	1	$771	801	0	+801	Down	+$31	04-23 22:58
Madrid Open, Qualification: Yibing Wu vs Titouan Droguet	3	$745	730	730	+0	Titouan Droguet	+$0	04-21 09:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 19:50 UTC	1	$640	694	0	+694	Down	+$54	04-23 19:54
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of April 20 2026?	2	$591	750	750	+0	Yes	-$267	04-22 13:27
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	26	$551	1,001	1,001	+0	open	—	05-21 08:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 13:00:48	Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xd02936…
05-30 12:31:34	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	425	91¢	$388	0xbaa633…
05-30 12:31:34	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	1,294	91¢	$1,181	0x63cdcb…
05-30 12:31:34	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	295	91¢	$269	0x61507b…
05-30 12:25:06	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	246	91¢	$225	0xcb37ef…
05-24 07:13:41	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	SELL	2,004	100¢	$2,000	0xa6e30f…
05-23 12:07:11	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	2,004	91¢	$1,824	0xb40e9d…
05-23 12:05:48	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	SELL	33	24¢	$8	0xa2981e…
05-23 12:05:43	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	SELL	8	27¢	$2	0x12d786…
05-23 12:05:34	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x39a17a…
05-23 11:49:23	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	440	22¢	$97	0xb54c3f…
05-23 11:49:20	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	32	22¢	$7	0x19f8e8…
05-23 11:49:18	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	32	22¢	$7	0xb32c94…
05-23 11:49:14	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	32	22¢	$7	0x84067e…
05-23 11:49:13	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	32	22¢	$7	0x8d6470…
05-23 11:49:09	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	32	22¢	$7	0x34d952…
05-23 11:49:06	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x8cfa28…
05-23 11:49:06	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	32	22¢	$7	0x640369…
05-23 11:49:04	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	40	22¢	$9	0xfffd97…
05-23 11:49:04	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0xff6aef…
05-23 11:49:04	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$5	0xf74b9c…
05-23 11:49:04	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0xe5025c…
05-23 11:49:04	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0xe00226…
05-23 11:49:04	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	32	22¢	$7	0xbaf603…
05-23 11:49:04	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	14	22¢	$3	0xb31227…
05-23 11:49:04	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	32	22¢	$7	0x7d8ea6…
05-23 11:49:04	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	16	22¢	$4	0x6ab008…
05-23 11:49:04	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0x6804bf…
05-23 11:49:04	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	7	22¢	$1	0x429826…
05-23 11:49:04	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x3e8c5e…
05-23 11:49:04	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0x25e6a5…
05-23 11:49:04	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x19e1bf…
05-23 11:49:04	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	15	22¢	$3	0x0fd3a1…
05-23 11:49:02	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	6,065	24¢	$1,456	0x7e1c32…
05-23 11:32:07	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4,448	30¢	$1,334	0x19b5d6…
05-23 11:32:02	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xcf80b7…
05-23 11:32:02	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x45ca34…
05-23 11:32:00	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	29	30¢	$9	0xe3b7d6…
05-23 11:32:00	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xe391cc…
05-23 11:32:00	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	71	30¢	$21	0xcfe3c4…
05-23 11:32:00	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x5426e3…
05-23 11:32:00	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x4adfe0…
05-23 11:32:00	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0x4395c7…
05-23 11:32:00	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	29	30¢	$9	0x3bd90e…
05-23 11:32:00	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	60	30¢	$18	0x0f0624…
05-23 11:32:00	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	36	30¢	$11	0x0ee8df…
05-23 11:31:58	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2,179	30¢	$654	0xf3f200…
05-23 11:31:58	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4f910b…
05-23 11:11:04	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	33	24¢	$8	0x482f2a…
05-23 07:09:04	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x56cabc…
05-22 10:37:16	Will FURIA make a roster change before July?	Yes	SELL	127	13¢	$16	0x488941…
05-22 10:31:33	Will FURIA make a roster change before July?	Yes	BUY	127	13¢	$16	0x5fbede…
05-21 13:37:58	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	11	38¢	$4	0x9348ee…
05-21 13:32:47	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x77f5f8…
05-21 12:39:01	Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	2,005	57¢	$1,143	0xe95852…
05-21 12:35:16	Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	304	57¢	$173	0xbab3f9…
05-21 11:06:29	Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	930	64¢	$595	0xeea8bf…
05-21 11:06:20	Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	250	64¢	$160	0x1194c9…
05-21 11:06:13	Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	1,099	64¢	$703	0x717a9d…
05-21 11:06:04	Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xca3321…
05-21 08:16:19	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,001	27¢	$270	0x5a8b9f…
05-21 07:25:17	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	38	28¢	$11	0xbe2d41…
05-21 07:23:53	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	59	28¢	$17	0xefbf3c…
05-21 07:22:58	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	49	28¢	$14	0x7a481c…
05-21 07:21:34	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x714a7b…
05-21 07:21:27	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0x7e9708…
05-21 07:21:20	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	31	28¢	$9	0x305ea3…
05-21 07:20:42	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	26	28¢	$7	0xa182c3…
05-21 07:20:40	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	46	28¢	$13	0x638582…
05-21 07:20:35	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	39	28¢	$11	0xea4f9f…
05-21 07:19:39	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0x6386c2…
05-21 07:18:50	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	43	28¢	$12	0x250b6d…
05-21 07:18:31	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	51	28¢	$14	0xb9a247…
05-21 07:17:56	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	39	28¢	$11	0xf57c98…
05-21 07:17:50	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	46	28¢	$13	0x3ee714…
05-21 07:16:46	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	29	28¢	$8	0xcfb37f…
05-21 07:16:07	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	55	28¢	$15	0x2462d9…
05-21 07:15:16	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	37	28¢	$10	0x0f4f57…
05-21 07:14:52	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	56	28¢	$16	0x3bdd18…
05-21 07:14:17	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	26	28¢	$7	0x24bd72…
05-21 07:13:35	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0x022742…
05-21 07:13:24	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0x06aefe…
05-21 07:13:23	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	51	28¢	$14	0x7b65e6…
05-21 07:13:10	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	22	28¢	$6	0x6a7aa1…
05-21 07:12:32	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	37	28¢	$10	0x80ac94…
05-21 07:12:06	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	22	28¢	$6	0xbd1886…
05-21 07:08:18	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	322	17¢	$55	0xf01b7c…
05-21 07:07:50	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	322	18¢	$58	0x264c26…
05-21 07:07:48	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	327	18¢	$59	0x0a1628…
05-21 07:06:02	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	26	18¢	$5	0xabe53c…
05-21 07:05:44	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	49	18¢	$9	0x0f6179…
05-21 07:05:37	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	24	18¢	$4	0x7950f4…
05-21 07:04:04	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0xe997a9…
05-21 07:03:45	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	21	18¢	$4	0x14e1f3…
05-21 07:03:42	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	23	18¢	$4	0x7e0b92…
05-21 07:01:23	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	38	18¢	$7	0x78d2b0…
05-21 07:01:08	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	24	18¢	$4	0x82f31b…
05-21 07:00:38	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	48	18¢	$9	0x648f73…
05-21 06:59:33	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x384408…
05-21 06:59:02	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	14	18¢	$2	0x038f7d…