Outstanding-Knock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.96K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.0%

Resolved

5,692

Trades

14,057

lifetime

Volume

$78.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-02

last 10-07 15:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 74% -$1,771

Politics

1% 0% -$117

Other

0% 50% -$67

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	3	$883	1,726	413	+1,312	Yes	-$117	10-04 20:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 02:25 UTC	24	$638	716	449	+268	Up	+$30	07-30 02:27
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 19:05 UTC	5	$584	307	307	+0	Up	+$13	07-21 19:10
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 12:40 UTC	6	$450	289	289	+0	Up	+$10	06-17 12:43
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 05:10 UTC	9	$429	380	380	+0	Up	-$9	07-30 05:12
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 05:25 UTC	13	$417	583	341	+242	Up	-$113	07-30 05:27
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 13:10 UTC	4	$400	409	0	+409	Down	+$9	07-12 13:14
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 05:50 UTC	13	$356	371	361	+10	Down	-$34	07-30 05:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 03:40 UTC	14	$346	308	308	+0	Up	+$11	07-30 03:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 20:45 UTC	5	$320	320	11	+310	Up	+$10	06-24 20:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:25 UTC	6	$309	444	444	+0	Up	-$71	07-30 06:27
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 22:15 UTC	3	$302	213	112	+101	Down	+$3	07-21 22:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 13:15 UTC	3	$300	329	0	+329	Up	-$300	07-12 13:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 21:05 UTC	3	$300	361	0	+361	Down	+$61	06-24 21:09
Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	8	$297	245	245	+0	Up	+$65	07-30 06:25
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 05:20 UTC	12	$290	257	257	+0	Down	+$25	07-30 05:21
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 02:50 UTC	16	$278	242	235	+8	Down	-$7	07-30 02:54
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 04:50 UTC	9	$271	280	280	+0	Down	+$29	07-30 04:51
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 04:30 UTC	10	$255	402	402	+0	Up	-$42	07-30 04:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 02:50 UTC	16	$245	230	211	+18	Down	+$13	07-30 02:54
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 12:40 UTC	4	$234	127	127	+0	Down	+$14	06-30 12:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 05:45 UTC	9	$231	221	221	+0	Down	-$21	07-30 05:47
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 08:40 UTC	2	$220	127	127	+0	Down	+$20	07-02 08:43
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	4	$218	199	199	+0	Up	+$16	06-15 19:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 01:25 UTC	21	$218	142	142	+0	Up	+$2	07-30 01:29
Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	4	$211	114	114	+0	Down	+$9	07-09 09:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 18:45 UTC	4	$210	478	478	+0	Down	-$90	06-17 18:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 10:40 UTC	4	$208	116	116	+0	Up	+$6	07-22 10:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 11:25 UTC	2	$206	110	110	+0	Down	+$6	07-02 11:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 08:15 UTC	2	$206	122	122	+0	Up	+$6	06-16 08:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-07 15:43:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x5015a8…
10-04 20:53:22	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	BUY	1,312	8¢	$100	0x455280…
10-04 20:52:53	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	413	93¢	$383	0xed116b…
10-04 16:16:07	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	413	97¢	$400	0x9796e5…
10-04 00:54:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7960ab…
10-04 00:53:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe9792c…
09-29 14:41:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x99dfad…
09-29 11:24:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xa731e6…
09-29 11:24:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xc1747d…
09-29 11:24:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x9ee562…
09-29 11:24:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x74cd34…
09-29 11:24:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xecced4…
09-29 11:24:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x7f174c…
09-29 00:04:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xe1f8f6…
09-29 00:03:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xc2d962…
09-29 00:03:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x604ea9…
09-29 00:03:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x25b9af…
09-28 23:49:27	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x3053ce…
09-28 23:49:15	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x500ba9…
09-28 23:49:11	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3611a6…
09-27 20:26:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:25 UTC	Down	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0xdf58eb…
09-27 20:25:20	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xdc9376…
09-14 10:34:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	254	10¢	$25	0x06bc90…
09-14 10:34:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	70	36¢	$25	0xdecd58…
09-11 07:13:57	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	87¢	$8	0x5bcc26…
09-11 07:12:09	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x8431f7…
09-10 15:12:52	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xe8ee71…
09-10 15:08:46	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	39	90¢	$35	0x4dd557…
09-10 15:08:21	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x463b63…
09-08 13:07:31	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x536cbc…
09-08 13:03:42	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xc2a068…
09-08 13:03:22	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x998a56…
09-08 13:03:01	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0x57985f…
09-08 13:01:48	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x29c3d9…
09-08 07:02:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-08 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x6d2b79…
09-08 06:44:16	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xa73277…
07-31 15:34:20	Ethereum Up or Down - July 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	109	58¢	$63	0xde35af…
07-31 15:34:17	Ethereum Up or Down - July 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	29	63¢	$18	0x7f5895…
07-31 15:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	44	45¢	$20	0x1e3dea…
07-31 15:34:15	Ethereum Up or Down - July 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xa3f418…
07-31 15:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x9d3a60…
07-31 15:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x0689bb…
07-31 15:34:09	Ethereum Up or Down - July 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	46	43¢	$20	0x4a56f4…
07-30 07:06:08	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 07:05 UTC	Down	SELL	58	40¢	$23	0x29733d…
07-30 07:05:30	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	58	45¢	$26	0x1c57f8…
07-30 07:05:29	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 07:05 UTC	Down	SELL	21	42¢	$9	0x9bf06d…
07-30 07:05:12	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0xab9ebf…
07-30 06:47:42	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:45 UTC	Down	SELL	21	67¢	$14	0x36e057…
07-30 06:47:41	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	23	72¢	$16	0xf7f89f…
07-30 06:35:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xb74fe1…
07-30 06:35:32	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	24	40¢	$10	0xe253b0…
07-30 06:35:29	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	24	40¢	$10	0x5fab78…
07-30 06:31:56	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	35	27¢	$9	0x102a41…
07-30 06:31:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:30 UTC	Up	SELL	93	22¢	$20	0x7956c4…
07-30 06:31:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	93	32¢	$30	0x855fa9…
07-30 06:30:47	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:30 UTC	Down	SELL	25	63¢	$16	0xe7a324…
07-30 06:30:20	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0x022652…
07-30 06:27:41	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:25 UTC	Down	SELL	191	23¢	$43	0x593c13…
07-30 06:27:38	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	191	31¢	$60	0x235d83…
07-30 06:27:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:25 UTC	Down	SELL	253	30¢	$76	0xb4232b…
07-30 06:27:23	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	64	56¢	$36	0x8f5783…
07-30 06:27:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	89	54¢	$48	0xd5b560…
07-30 06:27:17	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x9adbc4…
07-30 06:25:05	Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	112	99¢	$110	0x16e323…
07-30 06:21:38	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	53	55¢	$30	0xfb14b7…
07-30 06:21:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	58	55¢	$32	0xca71c3…
07-30 06:21:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:20 UTC	Up	SELL	133	53¢	$70	0x7e1c3e…
07-30 06:21:23	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0xc47efe…
07-30 06:21:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	26	42¢	$11	0x68b64f…
07-30 06:21:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	38	42¢	$16	0x5169a1…
07-30 06:21:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	43	37¢	$16	0x67b326…
07-30 06:17:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:15 UTC	Up	SELL	192	27¢	$52	0x017493…
07-30 06:16:56	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	42	31¢	$13	0x6dd7a9…
07-30 06:16:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	39	31¢	$12	0x07cd41…
07-30 06:16:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	51	31¢	$16	0x1b69d9…
07-30 06:16:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	61	26¢	$16	0x46bd0e…
07-30 06:16:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:15 UTC	Down	SELL	39	58¢	$23	0xbe6d5a…
07-30 06:15:14	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0xc9d9ae…
07-30 06:15:11	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	61¢	$9	0x26f88b…
07-30 06:10:56	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:10 UTC	Down	SELL	65	43¢	$28	0xa87dc2…
07-30 06:10:50	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:10 UTC	Up	SELL	14	43¢	$6	0x17b74a…
07-30 06:10:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:10 UTC	Down	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0xe2f6eb…
07-30 06:10:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0x0c56a6…
07-30 06:10:32	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	14	41¢	$6	0xa663ab…
07-30 06:10:23	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x4c6c60…
07-30 06:06:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:05 UTC	Up	SELL	89	29¢	$26	0x725cf4…
07-30 06:06:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:05 UTC	Down	SELL	35	49¢	$17	0x9fb098…
07-30 06:06:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	58	51¢	$30	0x487a73…
07-30 06:06:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0x195cd5…
07-30 06:05:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	25	62¢	$15	0xbf3415…
07-30 06:05:38	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x5d3001…
07-30 06:05:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:05 UTC	Up	SELL	26	47¢	$12	0xd8a7d9…
07-30 06:05:17	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	26	56¢	$14	0xdf56dc…
07-30 06:01:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:00 UTC	Up	SELL	30	25¢	$7	0xa6e372…
07-30 06:01:14	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0xf8ee59…
07-30 06:01:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:00 UTC	Up	SELL	96	27¢	$26	0xcd6993…
07-30 06:01:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	24	40¢	$10	0xf63e8e…
07-30 06:00:56	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0xa01357…
07-30 06:00:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:00 UTC	Up	SELL	25	39¢	$10	0x97983f…
07-30 06:00:38	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0x3d273a…