Royal-Bidder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$108

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

9.6%

Resolved

Trades

187

lifetime

Volume

$4.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 05-24 07:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

66% 25% $-93

Politics

33% 0% $-15

Crypto

0% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 130 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	58	$1.6K	3,058	234	+2,824	Down	$-18	05-07 17:00
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	32	$650	1,282	48	+1,234	No	$-15	05-07 17:00
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	38	$559	1,007	116	+890	Down	$-77	05-07 16:59
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	14	$532	814	300	+514	open	—	05-23 20:12
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?	7	$292	375	375	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 17:22
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	9	$215	412	12	+400	open	—	05-19 17:55
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	8	$184	318	62	+257	open	—	05-10 08:20
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	2	$171	100	100	+0	open	—	05-19 17:36
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	3	$154	100	100	+0	open	—	05-23 18:10
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	4	$117	210	10	+200	open	—	05-24 07:05
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	3	$64	200	0	+200	open	—	05-23 22:45
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$17	58	58	+0	open	—	05-09 14:38
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants	2	$10	5	5	+0	San Diego Padres	+$0	05-06 21:33
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	05-24 07:05
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	2	$1	5	5	+0	Down	$-0	05-08 18:01
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	01-10 15:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 07:05:28	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0x7f7bae…
05-24 07:05:23	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0x5d8e67…
05-23 23:02:21	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x0f4166…
05-23 23:01:48	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xaa18f3…
05-23 23:00:52	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x4b7c89…
05-23 22:45:45	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x630800…
05-23 22:45:43	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	Yes	BUY	91	32¢	$29	0x32690e…
05-23 22:45:38	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	Yes	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x6062ab…
05-23 22:45:38	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	Yes	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x0ef99d…
05-23 20:12:43	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x0fabf5…
05-23 19:32:49	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	32¢	$5	0xc453aa…
05-23 19:28:11	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	32¢	$32	0x37a219…
05-23 19:27:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0xfa8f7e…
05-23 18:10:16	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	SELL	100	84¢	$84	0x0a58b9…
05-23 12:06:50	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	57	70¢	$40	0x10bbef…
05-23 11:45:36	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x057997…
05-19 17:55:22	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0x66a5f7…
05-19 17:53:24	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0xa42281…
05-19 17:41:58	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x3620db…
05-19 17:40:22	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xd62040…
05-19 17:36:57	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	SELL	100	81¢	$81	0xf2cde4…
05-19 17:23:32	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	26	36¢	$9	0xe55e40…
05-19 17:23:32	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xd6a5a4…
05-19 17:23:32	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x9b4239…
05-19 17:23:32	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	26	36¢	$9	0x78e086…
05-19 17:16:29	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x2fec7c…
05-19 17:13:01	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0xcb0874…
05-13 17:22:01	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	200	36¢	$72	0x165cf0…
05-13 17:16:02	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xb29d99…
05-13 17:15:46	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x01b657…
05-13 16:56:17	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	175	43¢	$75	0x80306a…
05-13 16:19:08	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	75	36¢	$27	0x08ad70…
05-13 16:19:04	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0x81c9d0…
05-13 16:15:25	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0xd84b7f…
05-10 08:20:43	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	62	44¢	$27	0xec1bb1…
05-10 08:20:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	43¢	$43	0x2f2c68…
05-10 06:57:02	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x53e5f2…
05-10 04:23:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xf477b8…
05-09 23:12:19	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa59937…
05-09 23:12:19	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	98	52¢	$51	0x12cd7e…
05-09 21:07:49	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0xe80fd9…
05-09 16:44:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x884b39…
05-09 16:40:07	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	28	55¢	$16	0xa40eed…
05-09 16:37:00	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x8ae151…
05-09 16:35:53	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0x3f0d78…
05-09 16:33:21	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0x666aa4…
05-09 15:58:32	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x8d0db6…
05-09 14:38:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	58	13¢	$8	0x1b210e…
05-08 22:33:08	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0x83758a…
05-08 19:41:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0xccaf49…
05-08 19:41:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	48¢	$44	0xb5a4f4…
05-08 19:41:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x5281c7…
05-08 18:01:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xa07674…
05-08 17:26:46	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x687c48…
05-07 17:00:08	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	SELL	23	18¢	$4	0x10a93f…
05-07 17:00:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	34	83¢	$28	0xae8ac9…
05-07 16:59:59	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	116	16¢	$19	0x2e66c1…
05-07 16:59:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0xb353d4…
05-07 16:59:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	200	15¢	$30	0x004172…
05-07 16:46:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	79	30¢	$24	0x7702a7…
05-07 16:46:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	21	30¢	$6	0x42ce27…
05-07 16:41:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x9174b0…
05-07 16:41:23	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x3aadd6…
05-07 16:41:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x783ff5…
05-07 16:40:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	90	72¢	$65	0xd4e2b1…
05-07 16:35:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	53	43¢	$23	0x8284ec…
05-07 16:35:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	53	44¢	$23	0x210f60…
05-07 16:34:53	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	53	45¢	$24	0x4e03e0…
05-07 16:32:43	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x3b4b03…
05-07 16:32:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x522613…
05-07 16:31:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	47	36¢	$17	0x55c8b1…
05-07 16:29:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xef69f3…
05-07 16:29:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	11	60¢	$6	0xeba4c1…
05-07 16:29:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	45	60¢	$27	0x261899…
05-07 16:21:31	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x834a47…
05-07 16:21:17	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0xa7d8c0…
05-07 16:21:05	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	23	23¢	$5	0x991d34…
05-07 16:19:23	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xd43e40…
05-07 16:11:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	16	33¢	$5	0xa817af…
05-07 16:11:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0x45bba9…
05-07 16:11:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	17	33¢	$6	0x2219b3…
05-07 16:11:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0xa894b8…
05-07 16:11:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	17	33¢	$6	0x6d1124…
05-07 16:11:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x8bfef0…
05-07 16:11:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	17	33¢	$6	0x6e117c…
05-07 16:09:41	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xb2c3c5…
05-07 16:09:11	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	72	66¢	$48	0x448d55…
05-07 16:09:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	72	66¢	$48	0xe42ab5…
05-07 16:08:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	72	64¢	$46	0xed9ba8…
05-07 16:08:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	28	64¢	$18	0xce1af1…
05-07 16:08:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	97	34¢	$33	0x51ef35…
05-07 16:04:13	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	69	26¢	$18	0xb6d1d3…
05-07 16:03:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	84	52¢	$43	0xfb9b61…
05-07 16:03:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	16	52¢	$9	0xb910a0…
05-07 16:01:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0xc845d2…
05-07 16:01:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xe6ee50…
05-07 15:59:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x590ee6…
05-07 15:59:07	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xfdde87…
05-07 15:58:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x6fe77d…
05-07 15:58:18	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xb84edf…