Live-Volunteer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$245

Unrealized P&L

+$14

Hit rate

98.3%

Resolved

160

Trades

243

lifetime

Volume

$34.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$141

Open exposure

$974

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-28 07:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

91% 99% +$210

Crypto

7% 93% +$13

Politics

2% 100% +$19

Sports

0% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+700	$666	97¢	$681	+$15	07-22 07:38
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	+200	$198	100¢	$200	+$1	10-08 02:50
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	+100	$95	94¢	$94	-$2	10-08 02:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on May 27?	5	$2.1K	1,066	1,066	+0	No	+$22	05-27 11:03
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	2	$2.0K	985	985	+0	Yes	+$2	06-13 02:55
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 31?	1	$1.1K	1,104	0	+1,104	No	+$3	05-31 03:07
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 30?	2	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	Yes	+$2	05-30 12:57
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 25?	4	$1.0K	1,015	0	+1,015	Yes	+$4	05-25 06:38
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 45°F or below on May 10?	1	$942	944	0	+944	No	+$2	05-09 03:25
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on June 10?	3	$798	802	0	+802	No	+$4	06-10 01:53
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or higher on May 2?	5	$683	685	0	+685	No	+$2	05-02 00:54
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	2	$666	700	0	+700	open	—	07-22 07:38
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on May 16?	1	$664	665	0	+665	No	+$1	05-15 13:51
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 24?	1	$653	655	0	+655	No	+$2	05-22 10:59
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 13?	2	$577	579	0	+579	No	+$2	06-13 03:13
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 22°C on May 4?	3	$548	549	0	+549	No	+$2	05-03 16:22
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C or below on May 8?	1	$500	500	0	+500	No	+$0	05-07 03:10
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 2?	8	$484	411	100	+311	Yes	+$11	05-02 02:11
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or higher on May 7?	3	$477	480	0	+480	No	+$3	05-07 04:09
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 12?	2	$471	478	0	+478	No	+$7	06-12 02:41
Will the lowest temperature in London be 3°C on May 16?	2	$457	457	0	+457	No	+$1	05-16 03:48
prince andrew mugshot released by february 28	3	$435	459	0	+459	No	+$24	02-20 08:38
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 28?	1	$389	390	0	+390	No	+$1	05-27 12:35
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on May 7?	1	$383	384	0	+384	No	+$1	05-06 08:11
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$381	382	0	+382	No	+$1	03-17 12:10
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 27?	1	$375	379	0	+379	No	+$4	05-27 11:05
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	2	$339	170	170	+0	No	+$0	02-19 21:50
will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 22	2	$327	283	47	+237	No	+$3	02-19 21:50
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on May 7?	4	$311	313	0	+313	No	+$2	05-06 08:15
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 8?	3	$308	309	0	+309	No	+$1	05-08 01:54
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 22?	1	$299	300	0	+300	No	+$1	06-22 01:53
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 9?	1	$299	300	0	+300	No	+$1	06-09 13:39
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 17?	1	$299	300	0	+300	No	+$1	06-16 08:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 07:29:05	Will Iran target Oman by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xcf61a8…
10-28 07:29:05	Will Iran target Oman by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x9a7bbb…
10-28 07:27:53	Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc3c24f…
10-10 23:38:54	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xa9cbe6…
10-09 12:21:42	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0x4ecbab…
10-08 09:59:14	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0xfef61e…
10-08 02:54:31	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $270 in October?	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x5c52d2…
10-08 02:54:02	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 in October?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xff2e97…
10-08 02:53:07	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in October?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0xd284a6…
10-08 02:51:53	Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	48	99¢	$47	0x62f911…
10-08 02:50:08	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xd7a778…
10-08 02:49:49	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xcd80ef…
09-21 09:37:38	Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xfe14ec…
09-21 09:37:03	Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0x66f3d2…
09-21 09:35:12	Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0xe391f2…
09-10 02:40:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x5a2b3c…
09-10 02:38:36	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1e0b95…
09-10 02:38:27	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x225444…
09-10 02:36:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xafe573…
09-10 02:21:31	Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x0adc25…
08-27 08:47:21	Will XRP reach $2.80 in August?	No	BUY	129	99¢	$128	0x49c59f…
08-06 03:48:18	will trump meet with kim jong un in august 2026 20260731154202608	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x78ff5b…
07-22 14:51:04	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	64	98¢	$63	0x29df55…
07-22 07:44:58	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x09470a…
07-22 07:39:12	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	150	96¢	$145	0x96b3e5…
07-22 07:38:03	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xf5fdb0…
07-16 16:37:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on July 17?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x58f24d…
07-16 10:56:10	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xcb56e2…
07-16 09:56:49	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x4ea309…
07-16 08:24:49	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	500	95¢	$476	0xb5a7c4…
07-16 08:18:34	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	BUY	46	97¢	$44	0xa960dc…
07-16 08:15:19	world cup fastest goal in a final record broken 20260609182956386	No	BUY	173	98¢	$170	0xf53076…
07-16 08:08:47	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x7aee5a…
06-22 03:19:17	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C or below on June 23?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x3fbb49…
06-22 03:15:02	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 30°C or higher on June 23?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc4255c…
06-22 03:10:34	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 22?	No	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xd81905…
06-22 02:38:25	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on June 23?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x8b342e…
06-22 02:29:32	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 22?	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xc4a9aa…
06-22 01:53:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 22?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x17c40a…
06-22 01:52:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on June 22?	No	BUY	277	100¢	$276	0xe87b9f…
06-22 01:44:28	Will there be 14 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xc95773…
06-22 01:26:58	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or below on June 22?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x121eed…
06-16 17:10:01	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	BUY	44	97¢	$43	0x034902…
06-16 09:03:01	will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0x744d5c…
06-16 08:57:48	will ethereum dip to 1000 in june 2026	No	BUY	146	99¢	$145	0x6b98ec…
06-16 08:56:52	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x79d99f…
06-16 08:52:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 16?	No	BUY	135	99¢	$133	0xb469cb…
06-16 08:42:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on June 17?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0x10a420…
06-16 08:41:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 17?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0x12fc09…
06-16 08:36:51	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on June 17?	No	BUY	108	99¢	$107	0x21fd5c…
06-16 08:17:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 17?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0xe8b2c5…
06-13 11:40:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 14?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$118	0xf8b049…
06-13 03:13:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 13?	No	BUY	513	100¢	$511	0x7365c7…
06-13 03:09:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 13?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x67d85e…
06-13 03:06:37	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 13?	No	BUY	273	99¢	$270	0xa57476…
06-13 03:01:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C or higher on June 13?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x5336d6…
06-13 02:59:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on June 13?	No	BUY	59	99¢	$59	0x40cc74…
06-13 02:55:03	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	SELL	985	100¢	$983	0x62158d…
06-13 02:53:31	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	985	100¢	$981	0x472728…
06-13 02:45:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 13?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xf450e5…
06-12 02:55:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 12?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$111	0x641a0f…
06-12 02:41:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 12?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x6cbd03…
06-12 02:04:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 12?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd7ad13…
06-12 02:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 12?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xd2ca97…
06-12 01:59:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 12?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x3e070c…
06-12 01:58:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 12?	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x46e4da…
06-12 01:57:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 12?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x474b75…
06-12 01:52:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on June 12?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0x34c2ce…
06-12 01:48:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 12?	No	BUY	178	98¢	$174	0x0697e1…
06-10 01:54:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 10?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x1ed36a…
06-10 01:54:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 10?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x11b191…
06-10 01:53:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on June 10?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x8297fe…
06-10 01:52:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on June 10?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x30d49c…
06-10 01:52:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on June 10?	No	BUY	412	99¢	$409	0x9ac0a5…
06-10 01:50:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 10?	No	BUY	167	99¢	$165	0x0d8343…
06-09 13:39:55	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 9?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x95e454…
05-31 03:07:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 31?	No	BUY	1,104	100¢	$1,101	0x70778c…
05-30 12:57:20	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	600	100¢	$599	0x65a722…
05-30 12:57:02	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x1ef1db…
05-28 10:15:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on May 29?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0xe8bc1f…
05-28 10:11:17	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on May 28?	No	BUY	134	97¢	$130	0x527cbb…
05-28 00:32:33	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on May 29?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x535c37…
05-28 00:32:12	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 29?	No	BUY	63	97¢	$61	0xeb8178…
05-28 00:31:07	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 29?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x05fcf1…
05-27 12:38:00	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 28?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x4a4d43…
05-27 12:35:35	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 28?	No	BUY	390	100¢	$389	0x15ba9b…
05-27 11:05:41	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 27?	No	BUY	379	99¢	$375	0x1bc054…
05-27 11:03:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on May 27?	No	SELL	1,066	100¢	$1,065	0x2e0c63…
05-27 03:18:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on May 27?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x323f6c…
05-27 03:17:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on May 27?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xf3d89c…
05-27 03:17:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on May 27?	No	BUY	940	98¢	$921	0x1481ee…
05-27 03:12:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on May 27?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xf307a4…
05-27 03:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x46ad6d…
05-25 06:38:55	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 25?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x3a11a5…
05-25 06:38:28	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	833	100¢	$831	0x4bf9c2…
05-25 02:54:42	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	58	99¢	$58	0x756127…
05-25 02:54:28	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	73	99¢	$73	0xf8fb3b…
05-25 02:54:06	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xb78554…
05-22 10:59:17	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 24?	No	BUY	655	100¢	$653	0xbabf09…
05-22 10:34:58	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 24?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xe70993…