Realized P&L
-$1.17K
Unrealized P&L
-$41
Hit rate
61.7%
Resolved
1,584
Trades
4,047
lifetime
Volume
$250.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$62
Open exposure
$1.88K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 12:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 266 days
Categories
Other
48% 54% +$1,017
Politics
26% 48% -$555
Tech
15% 66% -$2,126
Sports
7% 51% +$97
Crypto
4% 54% +$82
Pop-Culture
1% 37% +$316
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +308 $215 97¢ $299 +$84 10-12 18:03
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes -300 -$313 100¢ $-299 +$14 09-28 00:30
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +276 $231 94¢ $261 +$30 09-28 01:09
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +235 $200 96¢ $226 +$26 10-22 04:06
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +235 $203 86¢ $201 -$2 10-23 23:51
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +176 $130 86¢ $152 +$22 10-01 06:23
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +137 $100 70¢ $97 -$3 10-16 13:19
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +143 $101 62¢ $89 -$12 08-13 05:03
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +113 $50 44¢ $50 +$0 06-29 10:34
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +278 $50 18¢ $49 -$1 10-28 12:44
Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -99 -$18 36¢ $-35 -$18 07-24 09:51
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +126 $45 22¢ $27 -$18 07-02 18:02
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -130 -$96 20¢ $-25 +$71 04-28 23:28
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +52 $25 43¢ $22 -$3 10-18 09:05
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 Yes +109 $50 12¢ $13 -$37 07-05 15:09
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +31 $20 42¢ $13 -$7 07-22 20:38
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes +251 $210 4¢ $10 -$200 06-28 21:42
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes -133 -$5 6¢ $-8 -$3 09-28 00:40
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 31 2026 Yes +14 $7 16¢ $2 -$5 10-21 18:48
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -100 -$21 0¢ $-0 +$21 05-29 19:05