Realized P&L
-$1.27K
Unrealized P&L
+$21
Hit rate
61.6%
Resolved
1,583
Trades
4,047
lifetime
Volume
$250.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$62
Open exposure
$2.64K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 12:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 265 days
Categories
Other
48% 54% +$915
Politics
26% 48% -$555
Tech
15% 66% -$2,126
Sports
7% 51% +$97
Crypto
4% 54% +$82
Pop-Culture
1% 37% +$316
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +802 $700 95¢ $762 +$62 10-22 04:07
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes -300 -$313 100¢ $-299 +$15 09-28 00:30
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +308 $215 96¢ $297 +$82 10-12 18:03
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +276 $231 95¢ $263 +$31 09-28 01:09
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +235 $200 94¢ $222 +$22 10-22 04:06
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +235 $203 86¢ $201 -$2 10-23 23:51
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +176 $130 86¢ $151 +$21 10-01 06:23
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +137 $100 72¢ $98 -$2 10-16 13:19
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +143 $101 62¢ $89 -$12 08-13 05:03
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +113 $50 44¢ $50 +$0 06-29 10:34
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +278 $50 18¢ $49 -$1 10-28 12:44
Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -99 -$18 36¢ $-35 -$18 07-24 09:51
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +126 $45 22¢ $28 -$17 07-02 18:02
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -130 -$96 18¢ $-24 +$72 04-28 23:28
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +52 $25 43¢ $22 -$3 10-18 09:05
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +31 $20 56¢ $17 -$3 07-22 20:38
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 Yes +109 $50 11¢ $11 -$39 07-05 15:09
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes +251 $210 4¢ $10 -$200 06-28 21:42
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes -133 -$5 7¢ $-9 -$4 09-28 00:40
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +14 $7 12¢ $2 -$5 10-21 18:48
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -100 -$21 0¢ $-0 +$21 05-29 19:05