Fancy-Sandpaper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

+$54

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

103

lifetime

Volume

$44.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$429

Open exposure

$1.10K

1 position

First seen

2026-02-21

last 06-26 02:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 100% +$7

Politics

12% — —

Other

3% 100% +$1

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		+1,100	$1,042	100¢	$1.1K	+$54	06-26 02:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	5	$2.3K	1,236	1,236	+0	open	—	03-15 08:59
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 3?	4	$1.5K	790	790	+0	open	—	05-04 02:25
bitcoin above 66k on april 1	1	$1.2K	1,192	0	+1,192	open	—	04-01 12:27
bitcoin above 66k on march 31	1	$1.2K	1,181	0	+1,181	open	—	03-31 14:28
bitcoin above 64k on march 28	1	$1.2K	1,170	0	+1,170	open	—	03-28 08:46
bitcoin above 68k on march 25	1	$1.2K	1,155	0	+1,155	open	—	03-25 12:44
bitcoin above 68k on march 12	1	$1.1K	1,125	0	+1,125	open	—	03-12 11:43
bitcoin above 66k on march 10	1	$1.1K	1,095	0	+1,095	open	—	03-10 06:58
bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	8	$1.1K	1,080	0	+1,080	open	—	06-22 22:33
bitcoin above 58k on june 12 2026	7	$1.1K	1,080	0	+1,080	open	—	06-11 16:35
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 8	1	$1.1K	1,060	0	+1,060	open	—	03-08 12:12
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	1	$1.0K	1,057	0	+1,057	open	—	05-27 16:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	3	$1.0K	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	06-26 02:51
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 5	1	$1.0K	1,045	0	+1,045	open	—	03-05 05:58
bitcoin above 68k on march 4	1	$1.0K	1,029	0	+1,029	open	—	03-04 13:29
will the price of bitcoin be between 56000 58000 on march 2	1	$1.0K	1,006	0	+1,006	open	—	03-02 06:04
Hyperlend FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$971	979	0	+979	open	—	02-26 15:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$970	1,054	0	+1,054	open	—	05-26 01:59
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 9	2	$960	984	0	+984	open	—	03-09 12:44
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	1	$960	971	0	+971	open	—	05-24 23:20
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on february 21	1	$950	951	0	+951	open	—	02-21 06:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	4	$946	950	0	+950	open	—	05-24 01:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 17?	1	$919	920	0	+920	open	—	05-16 18:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?	1	$918	920	0	+920	open	—	05-18 15:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	1	$917	919	0	+919	open	—	05-12 21:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$915	920	0	+920	open	—	05-14 18:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$904	928	0	+928	open	—	05-20 00:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 2?	1	$832	833	0	+833	open	—	05-02 00:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 3?	1	$829	830	0	+830	open	—	05-03 00:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	1	$785	790	0	+790	No	+$5	05-06 16:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 02:51:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	685	95¢	$648	0xc208a5…
06-26 02:50:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa2786b…
06-26 02:50:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	410	95¢	$388	0xcae654…
06-22 22:33:11	bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x15da00…
06-22 22:28:40	bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xaa26e9…
06-22 20:31:28	bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf38b4f…
06-22 20:23:05	bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xdfe004…
06-22 20:22:31	bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xe45aae…
06-22 20:15:17	bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd3beb4…
06-22 18:01:43	bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x3900b6…
06-22 17:36:31	bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7b2df0…
06-11 16:35:54	bitcoin above 58k on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	470	99¢	$467	0xc1f508…
06-11 16:33:13	bitcoin above 58k on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xed1f94…
06-11 16:33:10	bitcoin above 58k on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	228	99¢	$226	0x793dcc…
06-11 16:32:03	bitcoin above 58k on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5c9157…
06-11 16:31:12	bitcoin above 58k on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0x04dec9…
06-11 16:31:09	bitcoin above 58k on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x43329e…
06-11 16:30:30	bitcoin above 58k on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0x53d1ca…
05-30 21:05:03	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x69b299…
05-27 16:34:25	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,057	99¢	$1,050	0x6f419a…
05-26 01:59:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1,054	92¢	$970	0xd0c900…
05-24 23:20:08	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	971	99¢	$960	0xa50106…
05-24 01:34:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xe4c69a…
05-24 00:03:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa4e40a…
05-23 23:48:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	378	100¢	$376	0xc0a483…
05-23 23:29:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x419be8…
05-23 23:29:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	462	100¢	$460	0xb2dbeb…
05-20 00:17:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	928	97¢	$904	0x900569…
05-19 14:08:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	83	99¢	$83	0xd0c20b…
05-19 14:06:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x7af7f7…
05-19 13:53:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x123dbf…
05-19 13:50:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	400	99¢	$397	0x2b1a3e…
05-18 15:05:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	920	100¢	$918	0x0bac9e…
05-16 18:48:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	920	100¢	$919	0xbcae41…
05-14 18:12:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5b4d03…
05-14 18:11:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	920	100¢	$915	0xa41178…
05-12 21:07:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	919	100¢	$917	0xb2e252…
05-08 00:00:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	786	100¢	$785	0xee9aae…
05-06 16:43:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	790	99¢	$785	0x688910…
05-04 23:55:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	466	100¢	$465	0xf20c30…
05-04 22:46:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0xa48a13…
05-04 22:41:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0xf4ae61…
05-04 14:27:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	780	100¢	$779	0x05ad8d…
05-04 02:25:08	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 3?	No	SELL	656	94¢	$614	0x1eacaa…
05-04 02:23:36	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 3?	No	SELL	131	94¢	$122	0xe596cb…
05-04 02:22:44	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 3?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x641977…
05-04 01:12:20	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	790	100¢	$789	0xe96928…
05-04 01:11:58	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x09faa2…
05-03 00:13:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	830	100¢	$829	0xec8540…
05-02 00:49:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	833	100¢	$832	0xf12936…
04-17 00:33:08	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	507	99¢	$503	0x4e63a4…
04-15 16:04:30	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 16	No	BUY	503	100¢	$502	0x28f212…
04-08 04:32:53	USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	300	97¢	$291	0x0fa70f…
04-07 18:12:31	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	203	99¢	$200	0x487b94…
04-07 18:12:05	Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x84af8d…
04-07 18:09:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x78fd3e…
04-01 12:27:51	bitcoin above 66k on april 1	Yes	BUY	1,192	99¢	$1,184	0xabaacb…
03-31 14:28:25	bitcoin above 66k on march 31	Yes	BUY	1,181	99¢	$1,175	0x8f1a67…
03-28 08:46:09	bitcoin above 64k on march 28	Yes	BUY	1,170	99¢	$1,161	0x98b4b5…
03-27 20:29:39	will bitcoin dip to 62k on march 27	No	BUY	13	99¢	$12	0xf2980b…
03-27 10:38:55	bitcoin above 64k on march 27	Yes	BUY	729	99¢	$718	0xa7ba44…
03-25 12:44:01	bitcoin above 68k on march 25	Yes	BUY	1,155	100¢	$1,152	0x95624c…
03-24 11:16:11	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	546	100¢	$545	0x03d72f…
03-22 18:26:25	will bitcoin dip to 64k march 16 22	No	BUY	376	99¢	$373	0xbdec6e…
03-22 18:08:19	will bitcoin dip to 64k march 16 22	No	BUY	154	99¢	$153	0x7e46d6…
03-20 14:02:13	bitcoin above 72k on march 20	No	BUY	500	99¢	$497	0x8451f6…
03-18 19:09:53	bitcoin above 78k on march 19	No	BUY	531	99¢	$528	0x39aa3c…
03-17 10:39:23	bitcoin above 70k on march 17	Yes	BUY	360	99¢	$358	0x27df81…
03-17 10:33:01	bitcoin above 70k on march 17	Yes	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0xa47f8a…
03-16 05:19:27	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf7084f…
03-16 05:19:19	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	605	99¢	$600	0xaa445b…
03-16 05:18:49	Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x0fd9a3…
03-16 05:17:43	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x384c85…
03-16 05:17:15	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x778fce…
03-16 05:16:53	bitcoin above 68k on march 16	Yes	BUY	502	100¢	$500	0xf02ad2…
03-15 08:59:21	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	602	92¢	$554	0x160b48…
03-15 08:59:19	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	56	92¢	$52	0xe1b970…
03-15 08:53:17	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	123	92¢	$113	0xde85cf…
03-15 08:42:27	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	456	92¢	$419	0x819e85…
03-13 08:31:19	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	1,236	91¢	$1,125	0x47fe87…
03-12 11:43:51	bitcoin above 68k on march 12	Yes	BUY	1,125	98¢	$1,104	0x849b66…
03-11 13:50:23	bitcoin above 66k on march 11	Yes	BUY	704	100¢	$703	0x912dfb…
03-11 06:45:37	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 11	No	BUY	400	98¢	$392	0xb92a71…
03-10 06:58:41	bitcoin above 66k on march 10	Yes	BUY	1,095	99¢	$1,084	0x665e15…
03-09 12:44:23	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 9	No	BUY	574	98¢	$560	0xf2e395…
03-09 12:44:07	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 9	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc33c8e…
03-09 12:43:25	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 9	No	BUY	410	97¢	$400	0x4e7409…
03-08 12:12:51	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 8	No	BUY	1,060	99¢	$1,054	0x3110d8…
03-06 06:52:11	bitcoin above 66k on march 6	Yes	BUY	551	99¢	$545	0x2d90d7…
03-06 06:51:45	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 6	No	BUY	302	99¢	$300	0x98c2a4…
03-06 06:51:25	bitcoin above 76k on march 6	No	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0x4e01c1…
03-05 05:58:15	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 5	No	BUY	1,045	98¢	$1,029	0x242f71…
03-04 13:29:11	bitcoin above 68k on march 4	Yes	BUY	1,029	98¢	$1,008	0x446201…
03-03 05:49:25	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 3	No	BUY	407	100¢	$406	0xd05108…
03-03 05:49:17	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 3	No	BUY	601	100¢	$600	0xb5409d…
03-02 06:04:59	will the price of bitcoin be between 56000 58000 on march 2	No	BUY	1,006	100¢	$1,004	0x82e9a6…
02-26 15:01:32	Hyperlend FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	979	99¢	$971	0x82d056…
02-21 06:47:06	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on february 21	No	BUY	951	100¢	$950	0xabd706…
02-21 06:46:54	will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x83afdf…
02-21 06:45:54	USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2da390…