Selfish-Relation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$682

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.4%

Resolved (90d)

3,543

Trades (90d)

4,915

11,847 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$118.5K

$248.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 11-04 21:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 203 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 81% +$2,167

Other

0% 78% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 426 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	47	$1.6K	906	906	+0	Up	+$192	05-14 14:18
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 16:15 UTC	6	$544	550	0	+550	Up	+$6	07-06 16:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 19:00 UTC	19	$531	538	0	+538	Down	+$7	08-21 19:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 15:25 UTC	5	$439	446	0	+446	Down	+$7	07-28 15:30
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 14:45 UTC	4	$436	440	0	+440	Down	+$4	07-08 14:49
Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	4	$436	440	0	+440	Up	+$4	06-30 14:04
Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	4	$436	440	0	+440	Up	+$4	07-03 20:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 14:40 UTC	4	$436	440	0	+440	Down	+$4	07-01 14:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 14:00 UTC	7	$362	368	0	+368	Down	+$6	07-29 14:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 19:10 UTC	6	$349	378	0	+378	Up	+$29	06-04 19:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 21:45 UTC	3	$330	336	0	+336	Up	+$6	07-26 21:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 13:25 UTC	6	$330	336	0	+336	Down	+$6	07-28 13:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 12:55 UTC	8	$329	333	0	+333	Up	+$4	07-14 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	3	$329	333	0	+333	Down	+$4	07-16 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	4	$327	330	0	+330	Down	+$3	07-14 17:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 13:30 UTC	3	$327	330	0	+330	Up	+$3	07-06 13:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-07 13:45 UTC	3	$327	330	0	+330	Down	+$3	07-07 13:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 13:30 UTC	3	$327	330	0	+330	Up	+$3	08-21 13:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 11:45 UTC	3	$327	330	0	+330	Down	+$3	08-21 11:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 15:00 UTC	3	$327	330	0	+330	Down	+$3	07-07 15:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 15:45 UTC	7	$327	330	0	+330	Down	+$3	08-19 15:59
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$327	330	0	+330	Down	+$3	07-06 21:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 13:35 UTC	8	$308	312	0	+312	Down	+$4	08-14 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	8	$306	168	168	+0	Down	-$23	09-04 13:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 18:30 UTC	4	$302	226	226	+0	Down	-$141	07-21 18:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 14:30 UTC	5	$288	226	226	+0	Down	-$155	07-29 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 14:30 UTC	17	$270	462	113	+349	Up	-$151	08-25 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:10 UTC	6	$269	272	0	+272	Down	+$3	06-12 17:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 16:40 UTC	4	$269	272	0	+272	Down	+$3	06-12 16:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:05 UTC	4	$269	272	0	+272	Up	+$3	06-12 15:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 21:58:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x32c228…
11-04 20:29:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0x4bcf3c…
11-04 19:59:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	67	89¢	$60	0xbc3696…
11-04 17:44:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0x66a3f0…
11-04 16:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	82	97¢	$80	0xb0ca9d…
11-04 16:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0x61cddf…
11-04 16:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0x9e6f21…
11-04 15:29:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0xab55ab…
11-04 15:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0xeb1b35…
11-04 14:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	98¢	$10	0x6027d7…
11-04 14:54:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	26	85¢	$22	0xf84aea…
11-04 13:29:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xec8cad…
11-04 13:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	81	98¢	$79	0xb67599…
11-04 13:09:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x7c705f…
11-04 12:34:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x460855…
11-04 11:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	47	95¢	$44	0xcb9c3c…
11-04 08:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	85	93¢	$80	0x8b0d6b…
11-04 08:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xce0ec6…
11-04 06:53:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x960a7e…
11-04 06:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	82	97¢	$79	0x8d4ae2…
11-04 06:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	82	97¢	$79	0xc5538d…
11-04 06:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	74	98¢	$73	0x9e3e72…
11-04 05:24:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x66ecf2…
11-04 05:09:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1719c3…
11-04 05:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	82	97¢	$80	0x7b393d…
11-04 03:53:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x7d73ce…
11-04 03:44:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0xd1602c…
11-04 03:44:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xad03fd…
11-04 03:33:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xede130…
11-04 03:33:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x340080…
11-04 03:29:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	65	91¢	$60	0x6621de…
11-04 03:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0x0c8b95…
11-04 02:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	81	98¢	$79	0x4f9fac…
11-04 02:28:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x14ee3e…
11-04 01:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	81	98¢	$79	0x4b10e7…
11-04 01:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0x083e47…
11-04 01:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	83	96¢	$80	0xe44726…
11-04 01:44:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0xa62c58…
11-03 21:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0xcc566a…
11-03 21:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x6f051c…
11-03 20:29:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x662873…
11-03 20:24:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	62	95¢	$59	0x3d31d3…
11-03 16:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	81	98¢	$79	0xc20e6b…
11-03 16:59:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x5e1a9e…
11-03 16:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	84	95¢	$80	0xc1b151…
11-03 15:59:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0x44e944…
11-03 15:39:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x6cf4d0…
11-03 15:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	80	95¢	$76	0x86cbe5…
11-03 15:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	71	97¢	$69	0x3a9cb2…
11-03 15:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0xfdf76e…
11-03 14:59:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0xdcc87a…
11-03 14:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xd7c255…
11-03 14:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	81	98¢	$79	0x481430…
11-03 13:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	82	97¢	$80	0xa790af…
11-03 12:59:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	90¢	$29	0x87355f…
11-03 12:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	82	97¢	$80	0xfa4678…
11-03 12:44:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x750ce4…
11-03 12:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	82	97¢	$80	0xd51881…
11-03 10:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	83	96¢	$80	0x657aea…
11-03 06:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xfc36cd…
11-03 03:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	81	98¢	$79	0x233978…
11-03 02:54:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xa51f48…
11-03 02:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	84	95¢	$80	0x475b52…
11-03 01:34:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	62	95¢	$60	0xc48f1b…
11-03 01:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	80	95¢	$76	0x585781…
11-03 01:09:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf29748…
11-03 01:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	81	98¢	$79	0x8ad2e4…
11-02 21:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	81	98¢	$79	0xa26bda…
11-02 20:29:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xb69e7b…
11-02 20:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x40c60d…
11-02 19:49:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xdea3fc…
11-02 19:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	82	97¢	$80	0xea3391…
11-02 19:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	81	98¢	$79	0xdab2bf…
11-02 18:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	82	97¢	$80	0x5fdc47…
11-02 18:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	83	96¢	$80	0x0184ef…
11-02 17:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	81	98¢	$79	0xfa3b86…
11-02 16:59:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x019bcb…
11-02 16:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0x96850e…
11-02 16:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	84	95¢	$80	0x8f9d7a…
11-02 16:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	83	96¢	$80	0x847ca3…
11-02 16:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xf4e391…
11-02 15:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	58	96¢	$56	0x347352…
11-02 15:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	86	93¢	$80	0xeb6e8a…
11-02 15:14:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x835f97…
11-02 14:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	81	98¢	$79	0x958c37…
11-02 14:24:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x118b1d…
11-02 14:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	81	98¢	$79	0xf69f14…
11-02 14:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0a665f…
11-02 14:04:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0x80dc5b…
11-02 14:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	84	95¢	$80	0x370496…
11-02 13:59:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0xd40c5d…
11-02 13:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x1dc0ca…
11-02 10:59:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x70b932…
11-02 10:29:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x0823a4…
11-02 09:59:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa2cd02…
11-02 09:44:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0x9148c1…
11-02 08:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	82	97¢	$80	0xf3fb29…
11-02 06:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0xf14bc2…
11-02 06:59:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0xf16feb…
11-02 06:34:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x0801ab…