Selfish-Relation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$788

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.5%

Resolved (90d)

3,647

Trades (90d)

5,018

11,966 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$122.2K

$252.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 11-06 17:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 205 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 81% +$2,240

Other

0% 78% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 426 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	47	$1.6K	906	906	+0	Up	+$192	05-14 14:18
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 16:15 UTC	6	$544	550	0	+550	Up	+$6	07-06 16:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 19:00 UTC	19	$531	538	0	+538	Down	+$7	08-21 19:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 15:25 UTC	5	$439	446	0	+446	Down	+$7	07-28 15:30
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 14:45 UTC	4	$436	440	0	+440	Down	+$4	07-08 14:49
Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	4	$436	440	0	+440	Up	+$4	06-30 14:04
Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	4	$436	440	0	+440	Up	+$4	07-03 20:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 14:40 UTC	4	$436	440	0	+440	Down	+$4	07-01 14:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 14:00 UTC	7	$362	368	0	+368	Down	+$6	07-29 14:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 19:10 UTC	6	$349	378	0	+378	Up	+$29	06-04 19:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 21:45 UTC	3	$330	336	0	+336	Up	+$6	07-26 21:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 13:25 UTC	6	$330	336	0	+336	Down	+$6	07-28 13:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 12:55 UTC	8	$329	333	0	+333	Up	+$4	07-14 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	3	$329	333	0	+333	Down	+$4	07-16 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	4	$327	330	0	+330	Down	+$3	07-14 17:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 13:30 UTC	3	$327	330	0	+330	Up	+$3	07-06 13:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-07 13:45 UTC	3	$327	330	0	+330	Down	+$3	07-07 13:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 13:30 UTC	3	$327	330	0	+330	Up	+$3	08-21 13:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 11:45 UTC	3	$327	330	0	+330	Down	+$3	08-21 11:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 15:00 UTC	3	$327	330	0	+330	Down	+$3	07-07 15:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 15:45 UTC	7	$327	330	0	+330	Down	+$3	08-19 15:59
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$327	330	0	+330	Down	+$3	07-06 21:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 13:35 UTC	8	$308	312	0	+312	Down	+$4	08-14 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	8	$306	168	168	+0	Down	-$23	09-04 13:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 18:30 UTC	4	$302	226	226	+0	Down	-$141	07-21 18:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 14:30 UTC	5	$288	226	226	+0	Down	-$155	07-29 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 14:30 UTC	17	$270	462	113	+349	Up	-$151	08-25 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:10 UTC	6	$269	272	0	+272	Down	+$3	06-12 17:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 16:40 UTC	4	$269	272	0	+272	Down	+$3	06-12 16:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:05 UTC	4	$269	272	0	+272	Up	+$3	06-12 15:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 17:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5646c4…
11-06 17:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	82	97¢	$80	0x954552…
11-06 16:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	84	95¢	$80	0x8a9cec…
11-06 16:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6b3556…
11-06 16:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	84	95¢	$80	0x14a01b…
11-06 16:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x117deb…
11-06 16:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdcd81e…
11-06 16:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	82	97¢	$80	0x5fae05…
11-06 16:19:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	34	93¢	$31	0x1de91b…
11-06 16:04:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x6046a9…
11-06 15:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	84	95¢	$80	0x36cf1e…
11-06 15:54:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0xbd0086…
11-06 15:49:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x884e31…
11-06 15:29:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0x9c7bdb…
11-06 15:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	84	95¢	$80	0xb2bb34…
11-06 15:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x51d92b…
11-06 14:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	82	97¢	$80	0xa0ce28…
11-06 14:24:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0x5ea77c…
11-06 14:09:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$11	0x709fd7…
11-06 13:54:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x4159fd…
11-06 13:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	82	97¢	$80	0x8f2f32…
11-06 13:33:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x962661…
11-06 13:13:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x5a28fc…
11-06 13:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe4e196…
11-06 12:38:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xd0046c…
11-06 09:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	62	96¢	$59	0x6f439c…
11-06 09:14:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x31c29e…
11-06 09:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	83	96¢	$80	0x5faded…
11-06 09:13:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x44422b…
11-06 08:24:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	40	96¢	$39	0x25df23…
11-06 08:18:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x962d81…
11-06 08:14:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	44	95¢	$42	0x5e223e…
11-06 08:04:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xbbb44e…
11-06 07:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	84	95¢	$80	0xe5f866…
11-06 07:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	84	95¢	$80	0xd5e3c6…
11-06 07:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	83	96¢	$80	0x9ee9d3…
11-06 05:34:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x9463ef…
11-06 05:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	80	94¢	$76	0xd4e1b5…
11-06 04:44:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x5531e0…
11-06 03:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	80	96¢	$77	0xfb9011…
11-06 03:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	81	98¢	$79	0xe046de…
11-06 03:24:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x881ed8…
11-06 02:53:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xf3bebb…
11-06 02:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf087fc…
11-06 02:19:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0x3a562d…
11-06 02:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	81	98¢	$79	0x3790f7…
11-06 01:59:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7df311…
11-06 01:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x1bf0a3…
11-06 01:54:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x0cc18d…
11-06 01:44:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xd1e350…
11-06 01:14:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x0aae19…
11-06 01:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x541fe5…
11-06 01:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	62	96¢	$59	0xc59b32…
11-06 00:54:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0xc11302…
11-06 00:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	84	95¢	$80	0x160d61…
11-06 00:09:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xd5dd63…
11-05 23:59:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xc657f3…
11-05 23:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x8ddc7b…
11-05 23:29:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x81255e…
11-05 23:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0xf13a35…
11-05 22:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	84	95¢	$80	0x073121…
11-05 21:59:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8f01b0…
11-05 21:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0xf7a9e6…
11-05 21:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	84	95¢	$80	0xf71396…
11-05 21:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xded7f5…
11-05 21:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x093c23…
11-05 20:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0x0628b1…
11-05 20:44:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5234ef…
11-05 20:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	83	96¢	$80	0x4f5c25…
11-05 20:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0xcbc71e…
11-05 20:23:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x9a6927…
11-05 19:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	81	98¢	$79	0x5a75f1…
11-05 19:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x81858e…
11-05 19:59:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x634b9a…
11-05 19:39:41	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xce06f7…
11-05 19:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x65c121…
11-05 19:13:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x95f640…
11-05 18:58:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xf054d6…
11-05 18:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	81	98¢	$79	0x70d20e…
11-05 18:43:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x241be2…
11-05 17:59:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	35	94¢	$33	0x396092…
11-05 17:48:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe81ebe…
11-05 17:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	84	95¢	$80	0xf2f567…
11-05 17:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x6fa37a…
11-05 17:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x1b30ce…
11-05 17:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x0ae9e3…
11-05 17:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	85	94¢	$80	0xe0c939…
11-05 17:09:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0x3fcfec…
11-05 16:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x8dd0a7…
11-05 16:54:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x401ab8…
11-05 16:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x3d5064…
11-05 16:19:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	61	96¢	$59	0x270873…
11-05 16:04:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x757b7a…
11-05 16:03:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe54bf1…
11-05 15:49:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0xf94db6…
11-05 15:44:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0x4b20a5…
11-05 15:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0xf01288…
11-05 15:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x7042dc…
11-05 14:49:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xdb1154…
11-05 14:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	84	95¢	$80	0x7b5dd3…