Tinted-Millisecond — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$57

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

57.9%

Resolved

193

Trades

233

lifetime

Volume

$1.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 11-06 14:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 58% -$21

Other

35% 67% +$90

Sports

11% 58% -$19

Politics

8% 58% +$7

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+5	$4	80¢	$4	+$0	10-27 19:24
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 November 2-8?	Yes		+6	$4	47¢	$3	-$2	11-06 14:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$25	57	0	+57	Up	-$25	10-12 14:57
LoL: Maryville University vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner	1	$23	57	0	+57	Disguised	-$23	10-12 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$23	51	0	+51	Down	+$10	10-12 14:31
China Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Mirra Andreeva	1	$21	82	0	+82	Mirra Andreeva	-$21	10-07 15:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	1	$21	211	0	+211	Down	-$21	10-07 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	1	$21	90	0	+90	Down	-$21	10-07 19:12
LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	1	$18	27	0	+27	KT Rolster	+$9	10-12 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	2	$18	52	52	+0	Down	-$1	10-09 23:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$18	43	0	+43	Down	+$2	10-12 23:41
Saints vs. Giants	1	$15	29	0	+29	Saints	+$14	10-12 04:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	1	$15	26	0	+26	Up	-$15	10-12 00:11
Suns vs. Bulls	1	$14	25	0	+25	Bulls	-$14	10-07 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$14	129	0	+129	Down	-$14	10-10 03:13
dota2 ch1 bbl 2026 10 07 game2	1	$14	35	0	+35	CyberHero	+$21	10-07 19:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	1	$14	37	0	+37	Up	-$14	10-08 03:26
Seahawks vs. Broncos	1	$12	20	0	+20	Broncos	-$12	10-12 02:20
Lions vs. Cardinals	1	$12	38	0	+38	Lions	-$12	10-11 20:24
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner	1	$12	21	0	+21	LEGION	+$9	10-07 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	1	$12	34	0	+34	Up	+$22	10-07 15:04
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)	1	$12	21	0	+21	PARIVISION	+$9	10-07 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	1	$11	18	0	+18	Down	+$7	10-12 00:32
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-10-12?	1	$11	25	0	+25	Yes	+$14	10-12 01:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9PM ET	1	$11	12	0	+12	Down	+$1	10-12 01:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$11	33	0	+33	Up	-$11	10-12 23:51
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner	1	$11	19	0	+19	Team Yandex	+$8	10-11 18:47
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs MOUZ (+2.5)	2	$11	22	0	+22	Vitality	+$11	10-11 16:17
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs DENDELE CS (BO5) - FRAG University Playoffs	1	$11	20	0	+20	Wildcard	+$9	10-11 22:52
cs2 fal2 ts7 2026 10 09 game2	1	$11	22	0	+22	Spirit	-$11	10-09 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4PM ET	1	$10	25	0	+25	Up	-$10	10-11 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$10	42	0	+42	Down	-$10	10-10 03:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 14:15:30	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 November 2-8?	Yes	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x39a5f2…
11-06 08:12:24	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0xba5709…
11-05 22:10:15	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x343cd0…
10-29 02:05:34	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x2e91d2…
10-29 01:05:37	Queretaro: Selena Janicijevic vs Elizabeth Mandlik	Elizabeth Mandlik	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x789d7b…
10-28 11:09:08	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x81a65a…
10-28 10:15:16	Arsenal WFC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x03634a…
10-28 10:10:20	Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Janice Tjen	Janice Tjen	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x557b25…
10-28 08:40:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	No	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x173673…
10-28 08:25:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xb1005e…
10-28 07:59:34	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xd3fdbb…
10-28 06:31:29	Guangzhou Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Lanlana Tararudee	Katerina Siniakova	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xbe21cd…
10-28 04:08:11	Pan Pacific Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Ekaterina Alexandrova	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x1e222c…
10-27 19:24:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xfe5283…
10-27 16:14:32	Courmayeur: Anna Blinkova vs Dalma Galfi	Anna Blinkova	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x9702cd…
10-27 15:44:18	Courmayeur: Mia Ristic vs Martyna Kubka	Martyna Kubka	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xf71b3e…
10-27 14:37:48	Curitiba: Julia Riera vs Rebeka Masarova	Rebeka Masarova	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x32fcdb…
10-27 13:32:20	Courmayeur: Adrienn Nagy vs Oksana Selekhmeteva	Oksana Selekhmeteva	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x372662…
10-27 11:14:15	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergs	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xb605ae…
10-27 11:01:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x90abc3…
10-27 10:59:06	Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x44dec5…
10-27 07:41:03	Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu	Claire Liu	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xb4d5de…
10-27 07:36:03	Guangzhou Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Katie Volynets	Dayana Yastremska	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0f9ec9…
10-27 07:15:23	Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x2954a0…
10-27 07:05:15	Pan Pacific Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Nikola Bartunkova	Nikola Bartunkova	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xb7488c…
10-27 06:07:26	Spread: Knicks (-3.5)	Knicks	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xe47060…
10-27 03:56:08	Guangzhou Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Magda Linette	Magda Linette	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xc7bf8f…
10-27 03:45:57	Guangzhou Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Sofia Kenin	Sofia Kenin	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x54b5da…
10-27 03:15:32	Guangzhou Open: Simona Waltert vs Jil Teichmann	Simona Waltert	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1d14b1…
10-26 22:56:14	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xe218c0…
10-26 19:03:09	Courmayeur: Rositsa Dencheva vs Gabriela Knutson	Gabriela Knutson	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xb2476f…
10-26 14:21:44	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x0edccc…
10-26 10:56:21	Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs TYLOO (+3.5)	TYLOO	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x53450c…
10-26 09:19:32	Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Tatiana Prozorova	Tatiana Prozorova	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xb504a2…
10-26 08:38:53	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x15fbaa…
10-26 08:33:35	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x0adc84…
10-26 08:33:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x76e6b8…
10-26 07:18:56	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xa39251…
10-26 04:46:23	Pan Pacific Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Talia Gibson	Talia Gibson	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xd798c0…
10-26 04:00:41	Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Teodora Kostovic	Maria Timofeeva	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x6fe52d…
10-26 02:14:15	Pan Pacific Open: Xinyu Wang vs Alycia Parks	Alycia Parks	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x1b68eb…
10-26 02:12:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x963136…
10-26 02:05:41	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x783903…
10-25 23:29:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x752643…
10-25 20:15:06	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xf990e3…
10-25 17:21:41	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x57a15d…
10-25 17:05:24	Pistons vs. 76ers	Pistons	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9b8a0e…
10-24 23:12:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x77fa23…
10-24 23:12:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xf017c6…
10-21 23:02:00	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa5caed…
10-21 23:01:59	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x98e5f5…
10-21 22:29:27	UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Jacob Malkoun	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb2a432…
10-21 21:49:35	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x532a7d…
10-20 06:10:17	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0xf2d5f8…
10-19 16:10:21	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xdd0725…
10-18 21:02:41	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x025670…
10-13 00:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x379bf5…
10-12 23:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	33	33¢	$11	0x73561a…
10-12 23:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	34¢	$8	0x034895…
10-12 23:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x063b04…
10-12 23:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	18	46¢	$8	0x40a44c…
10-12 23:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xd32ef8…
10-12 23:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x5b4aff…
10-12 23:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	23	36¢	$8	0x39c138…
10-12 22:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	27	35¢	$9	0x0dc514…
10-12 15:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0xffa783…
10-12 14:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	31	43¢	$13	0x31c141…
10-12 14:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	27	44¢	$12	0x2f079d…
10-12 14:42:26	LoL: Maryville University vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner	Maryville University	BUY	57	41¢	$23	0x8776a0…
10-12 14:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	33	35¢	$11	0x3d4932…
10-12 14:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	18	64¢	$12	0x2d45a8…
10-12 14:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	24	37¢	$9	0xeeb3e3…
10-12 08:01:37	Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sangal (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group A	Inner Circle Esports	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x2c928f…
10-12 07:00:56	LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	KT Rolster	BUY	27	68¢	$18	0xc6d447…
10-12 04:49:03	Saints vs. Giants	Saints	BUY	29	53¢	$15	0x0d2415…
10-12 02:20:11	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Seahawks	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xfa96c4…
10-12 01:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xa875b7…
10-12 01:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0x446cd5…
10-12 01:08:20	Will CA Lanús win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0x62fa71…
10-12 00:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	63¢	$11	0x00aefc…
10-12 00:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0xdab448…
10-12 00:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	59¢	$15	0x1ffb07…
10-12 00:04:05	Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 44.5	Over	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0xc99280…
10-12 00:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	23	40¢	$9	0x02257e…
10-11 22:52:48	Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs DENDELE CS (BO5) - FRAG University Playoffs	Wildcard	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xc3d1be…
10-11 22:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0xd27b4c…
10-11 22:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0x5f4a53…
10-11 21:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x7a5ee3…
10-11 20:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	25	42¢	$10	0xf286ff…
10-11 20:24:16	Lions vs. Cardinals	Cardinals	BUY	38	31¢	$12	0xeab75c…
10-11 18:47:49	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0xa55aa5…
10-11 16:17:07	Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs MOUZ (+2.5)	Vitality	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x4b1039…
10-11 16:15:58	Colts vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5	Under	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x73d71b…
10-11 08:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	62¢	$8	0x9fd0e4…
10-11 07:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x37c511…
10-11 03:00:11	Broncos vs. Chargers: O/U 42.5	Under	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x0957e8…
10-11 02:43:20	Ethereum Up or Down on October 11?	Up	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x03fe13…
10-10 22:45:43	Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)	Inter Miami CF	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0xc24906…
10-10 22:43:09	UFC Fight Night: Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan (Welterweight, Prelims)	Leon Shahbazyan	BUY	16	59¢	$9	0xfa4bf8…
10-10 20:49:12	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Timberwolves	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x938fe6…