Realized P&L
-$62
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
52.9%
Resolved
735
Trades
9,746
lifetime
Volume
$20.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$49
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-30
last 10-21 20:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 42 days
Categories
Crypto
83% 48% -$276
Other
13% 62% +$100
Politics
2% 45% -$111
Sports
2% 62% +$227
Tech
0% 50% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +35 $12 70¢ $24 +$13 10-05 09:00
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +23 $10 26¢ $6 -$4 09-29 11:27
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $3 74¢ $4 +$0 09-29 10:39
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +4 $2 64¢ $3 +$1 10-05 06:27
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +4 $2 62¢ $2 +$0 10-05 11:40
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +13 $5 18¢ $2 -$3 09-29 12:11
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +8 $1 28¢ $2 +$1 09-29 11:32
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 10-21 18:37
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 10-21 20:46
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? Yes +7 $1 13¢ $1 $0 10-05 05:54
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +1 $1 65¢ $1 $0 09-29 11:29
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +3 $1 26¢ $1 $0 10-21 18:37
russia ukraine peace talks by october 31 2026 Yes +5 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 09-29 11:08