Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$30

Unrealized P&L

-$148

Hit rate

97.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,230

lifetime

Volume

$52.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

$374

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-10 03:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

50% 75% +$28

Politics

43% 100% +$2

Crypto

5% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	+200	$128	88¢	$176	+$48	05-31 18:46
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+200	$180	38¢	$76	$-104	05-29 17:57
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June?	No	+62	$51	84¢	$53	+$1	06-09 21:22
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	+300	$102	12¢	$36	$-66	05-31 18:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+200	$60	16¢	$33	$-27	05-31 17:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	38	$2.0K	2,411	548	+1,864	Down	+$31	05-04 19:24
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	39	$1.5K	3,033	217	+2,817	Down	+$3	05-04 18:51
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	8	$1.5K	800	800	+0	open	—	03-12 20:14
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	13	$1.4K	2,800	0	+2,800	open	—	04-22 22:01
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	33	$1.3K	1,150	1,150	+0	open	—	03-30 12:13
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	10	$1.3K	700	700	+0	open	—	05-01 08:47
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	20	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	01-30 16:34
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	31	$1.2K	700	700	+0	open	—	03-31 20:12
will our homeland movement mi haznk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	35	$1.2K	650	650	+0	open	—	04-12 19:13
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	31	$1.2K	2,304	0	+2,304	open	—	01-15 23:53
spx up or down on february 4 2026	27	$1.1K	2,250	1,050	+1,200	open	—	02-04 21:01
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	8	$1.0K	1,000	400	+600	open	—	05-03 15:31
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	19	$931	600	600	+0	open	—	04-14 13:55
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	13	$866	514	514	+0	open	—	05-01 11:34
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	23	$820	1,800	1,600	+200	open	—	01-31 18:00
will our homeland movement mi haznk win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	14	$811	450	450	+0	open	—	04-15 04:18
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	11	$782	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	01-26 08:40
will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	9	$775	1,000	200	+800	open	—	02-12 17:50
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	3	$748	400	400	+0	open	—	01-22 17:27
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	12	$745	1,000	800	+200	open	—	02-12 09:12
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	5	$729	750	250	+500	open	—	01-23 11:14
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	10	$708	952	205	+747	open	—	01-15 20:09
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	20	$659	657	407	+250	open	—	03-30 20:26
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	7	$637	400	400	+0	open	—	03-25 21:49
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	17	$585	1,113	0	+1,113	Up	+$15	05-04 19:00
will tim walz drop out by	14	$561	600	200	+400	open	—	01-05 12:35
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	6	$546	600	200	+400	open	—	01-21 09:57
us strikes iran by february 5 2026	6	$538	300	300	+0	open	—	02-03 01:12
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	11	$512	400	400	+0	open	—	01-16 15:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$485	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-24 11:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 03:54:27	will spy dip to 680 in june 2026	No	BUY	53	83¢	$44	0xc91dbe…
06-09 23:43:43	will spy dip to 680 in june 2026	No	BUY	47	83¢	$39	0x698858…
06-09 21:22:31	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	62	82¢	$51	0x75dc17…
06-09 20:08:57	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0xa2355f…
06-09 19:50:00	spy closes above 735 on june 9 2026	No	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x4d6a58…
06-09 19:49:33	spy closes above 735 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x5dbc22…
06-09 19:48:39	spy closes above 735 on june 9 2026	No	SELL	41	87¢	$36	0x7f383b…
06-09 19:48:31	spy closes above 735 on june 9 2026	No	SELL	59	87¢	$51	0xba4a71…
06-09 19:44:33	spy closes above 735 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x490588…
06-09 19:40:09	spy up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdd4be7…
06-09 19:30:31	spy up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0xc174c7…
06-09 19:30:28	spy up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	86	96¢	$83	0x4e5e1d…
06-09 19:27:22	spy up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x3851b1…
06-09 19:22:22	spy up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xfb5c49…
06-09 19:21:31	spy up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x068ff2…
06-09 19:18:34	spy up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xba22db…
06-09 19:17:21	spy up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	51	1¢	$1	0xa44a18…
06-09 19:15:58	spy up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	96	3¢	$3	0x3554ed…
06-09 19:15:48	spy up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x90f2e1…
06-09 16:03:25	will spy dip to 690 in june 2026	No	BUY	19	77¢	$14	0xf046c9…
06-08 17:30:28	spx up or down on june 8 2026	Up	SELL	24	94¢	$22	0x54a334…
06-08 17:29:01	spx up or down on june 8 2026	Up	SELL	26	94¢	$25	0x973fec…
06-08 12:14:37	will spy dip to 690 in june 2026	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xdc4c2f…
06-08 08:37:19	will spy dip to 690 in june 2026	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x7f13d3…
06-07 22:07:37	spx up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xecb4ed…
06-07 22:02:21	spx up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xf16a0e…
06-07 22:00:13	spx up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x7079f5…
06-07 22:00:10	spx up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x78e284…
06-07 20:26:42	will spy dip to 690 in june 2026	No	BUY	72	77¢	$55	0x34dd21…
06-07 19:33:52	will spy dip to 680 in june 2026	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x202336…
06-07 18:59:07	will spy dip to 680 in june 2026	No	BUY	88	85¢	$75	0x67c7a0…
06-07 08:38:00	will spy dip to 680 in june 2026	No	BUY	109	88¢	$96	0x4e1abc…
06-07 05:13:16	will spy dip to 680 in june 2026	No	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0x25f278…
06-07 05:00:06	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	BUY	90	48¢	$43	0x34e22e…
06-06 10:06:58	will spy dip to 680 in june 2026	No	BUY	51	88¢	$45	0xa568c0…
06-05 19:45:46	will spy dip to 690 in june 2026	No	BUY	96	86¢	$82	0x395d64…
06-05 16:51:36	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x8b69b0…
06-02 23:05:53	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x9401f9…
06-02 20:27:29	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x5fdbe1…
06-02 15:40:08	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in June?	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x144bfe…
06-02 08:25:59	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xe1bbdf…
06-02 00:58:22	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0x76374a…
06-02 00:56:30	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	81¢	$32	0xcd92d6…
06-01 22:23:15	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x3a22e9…
06-01 22:19:47	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x5f7d1a…
06-01 22:15:00	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xc18ebe…
06-01 18:25:12	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in June?	No	BUY	4	86¢	$4	0x04fb04…
05-31 19:51:36	The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddy	Cheddy	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x72e188…
05-31 19:46:54	The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddy	Cheddy	BUY	77	0¢	$0	0xf694e3…
05-31 19:45:41	The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddy	Cheddy	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xc0b0fa…
05-31 19:33:27	The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddy	John	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x91159c…
05-31 19:31:06	The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddy	John	BUY	150	99¢	$149	0xaea264…
05-31 19:27:34	The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddy	Cheddy	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x369120…
05-31 19:20:18	The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddy	John	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x331ca2…
05-31 19:14:42	The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddy	Cheddy	BUY	42	8¢	$3	0x5b7593…
05-31 19:02:01	The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddy	Cheddy	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x4e4168…
05-31 18:55:27	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x2bf2a1…
05-31 18:47:59	The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddy	John	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x717901…
05-31 18:46:23	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0xa1ee98…
05-31 18:46:00	The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddy	Cheddy	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x56bc72…
05-31 18:43:52	The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddy	John	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x27e759…
05-31 18:42:32	The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddy	John	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x636c26…
05-31 18:25:07	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x09af15…
05-31 18:25:05	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xf34a4e…
05-31 18:24:58	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x6afc25…
05-31 18:20:43	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	86	65¢	$56	0x435c45…
05-31 18:13:03	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x234c7b…
05-31 18:11:33	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xd5a0b9…
05-31 17:35:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0x281bef…
05-30 09:43:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x1240d7…
05-29 17:57:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	90¢	$39	0xca1163…
05-29 17:52:43	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x8a1e4b…
05-29 17:50:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	90¢	$51	0x145147…
05-24 22:09:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0x26738b…
05-23 23:08:51	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	33¢	$33	0x43b6b3…
05-23 22:59:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0x78489e…
05-21 00:40:11	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	50	61¢	$31	0xf8d337…
05-19 14:23:54	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0xf7c315…
05-19 14:19:12	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xcb5aa2…
05-19 13:48:12	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x7ec088…
05-19 13:44:04	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xd8ed7c…
05-19 13:41:59	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xa4dc3e…
05-19 13:39:59	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xc54514…
05-19 13:37:53	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x3f00fc…
05-19 13:35:47	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x0c4078…
05-19 13:33:42	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xc0aa63…
05-19 13:31:38	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x3d75d3…
05-19 13:29:36	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x554802…
05-19 13:27:31	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xd2f997…
05-19 13:25:32	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x17bb90…
05-19 13:23:26	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xb68133…
05-19 13:21:20	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x77664a…
05-19 13:19:20	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xb0940c…
05-19 13:17:15	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xae43bf…
05-19 13:15:11	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xe46f05…
05-19 13:13:09	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xeee547…
05-19 13:11:06	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x5afd50…
05-19 13:08:58	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x4a729f…
05-19 13:05:37	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xcc6b64…
05-19 13:03:35	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xb24778…