Annual-Ectodermal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$372

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

91.5%

Resolved

150

Trades

293

lifetime

Volume

$14.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

$38

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 10-14 19:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Other

74% 73% +$327

Sports

13% 70% +$43

Tech

7% — —

Crypto

5% 53% -$7

Politics

2% 60% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	+17	$10	66¢	$11	+$1	10-06 22:07
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+77	$10	12¢	$10	$0	09-02 17:15
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+67	$10	14¢	$9	-$1	09-02 17:28
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+62	$10	14¢	$8	-$2	09-02 17:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Türkiye win on 2026-10-02?	2	$1.1K	595	595	+0	No	+$95	10-02 20:30
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	5	$824	460	460	+0	open	—	09-18 21:36
ucl atm1 tot 2026 03 10 atm1	3	$724	732	18	+714	Yes	+$18	03-10 20:35
Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28?	7	$685	370	370	+0	No	+$54	09-28 21:29
ucl rma1 mnc1 2026 03 11 rma1	4	$635	330	330	+0	Yes	+$25	03-11 21:56
ucl gal liv1 2026 03 10 total 3pt5	2	$603	303	303	+0	Under	+$3	03-10 20:12
Will Argentina win on 2026-10-06?	2	$559	294	294	+0	Yes	+$29	10-07 01:05
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	2	$554	550	60	+490	No	+$44	10-12 11:28
atp alcaraz michels 2026 09 29	9	$465	256	256	+0	Carlos Alcaraz	+$36	10-01 10:09
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	3	$429	231	231	+0	England	+$29	07-18 22:56
LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?	1	$350	372	0	+372	Yes	+$22	09-09 23:07
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$288	189	189	+0	Yes	+$88	05-30 20:56
Argentina vs. Benin: O/U 8.5	1	$250	282	0	+282	Under	+$32	10-06 21:24
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by march 15	2	$220	135	135	+0	Yes	+$20	03-06 17:20
ucl bog1 spo1 2026 03 11 total 4pt5	2	$212	112	112	+0	Under	+$12	03-11 21:56
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$211	111	111	+0	Yes	+$11	01-29 21:57
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-04?	2	$206	106	106	+0	Yes	+$6	09-04 20:51
Belgium vs. France: Both Teams to Score	2	$205	105	105	+0	No	+$5	09-28 21:35
Noche UFC: Jean Silva vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Main Card)	3	$203	258	0	+258	Jean Silva	+$55	09-12 22:57
Will France win on 2026-09-28?	2	$203	103	103	+0	Yes	+$3	09-28 21:35
ucl bog1 spo1 2026 03 11 bog1	2	$201	101	101	+0	Yes	+$1	03-11 21:56
Will a team from Germany be the 2026 Champions League winner?	2	$199	114	114	+0	No	+$28	05-06 22:20
mlb mil phi 2026 09 23	3	$197	230	0	+230	Milwaukee Brewers	+$33	09-23 23:58
will mrbeast say feastables during his next video	8	$194	160	160	+0	No	+$14	03-20 00:20
atp medvede royer 2026 09 25	3	$150	192	0	+192	Daniil Medvedev	+$42	09-25 22:44
Argentina leading at halftime?	2	$150	165	0	+165	No	-$150	10-06 21:42
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians	2	$147	177	0	+177	Chicago White Sox	-$147	10-05 21:57
atp zverev norrie 2026 09 29	3	$145	80	80	+0	Alexander Zverev	+$5	10-01 09:08
wta stearns jovic 2026 09 19	6	$144	187	0	+187	Iva Jovic	+$43	09-19 22:58
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	2	$142	97	97	+0	open	—	09-05 09:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 19:44:55	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	67	18¢	$12	0xfda6c0…
10-12 11:29:06	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fils vs Botic van de Zandschulp	Arthur Fils	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xeb098e…
10-12 11:28:38	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	SELL	60	90¢	$54	0xa75d4b…
10-09 12:15:37	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	550	91¢	$500	0x1e3d2a…
10-09 12:12:04	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti	Lorenzo Musetti	BUY	36	78¢	$28	0xba61a9…
10-07 01:13:05	Utah vs. Devils	Utah	BUY	32	90¢	$29	0xb73074…
10-07 01:05:06	Will Argentina win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	SELL	294	100¢	$294	0x584c72…
10-07 00:37:17	Will Argentina win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	294	90¢	$265	0x3f1719…
10-06 22:07:29	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x718f40…
10-06 21:42:05	Argentina leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x2d9697…
10-06 21:39:06	Argentina leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xcb695c…
10-06 21:24:29	Argentina vs. Benin: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	282	89¢	$250	0x2cce9d…
10-05 21:57:44	Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	90	83¢	$75	0xf710ff…
10-05 21:57:07	Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	87	83¢	$72	0x7edb07…
10-04 12:21:37	wta muchova samsono 2026 10 03	Karolina Muchova	BUY	35	78¢	$27	0xadaea2…
10-04 12:20:40	wta muchova samsono 2026 10 03	Karolina Muchova	BUY	67	78¢	$52	0x5c7d79…
10-02 20:57:53	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xfb296e…
10-02 20:57:42	Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xd89138…
10-02 20:34:05	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0xa3d351…
10-02 20:32:30	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x7f95e0…
10-02 20:30:21	Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0xf5a70c…
10-02 20:30:09	Will Türkiye win on 2026-10-02?	No	SELL	595	100¢	$595	0x8cec58…
10-02 20:29:48	Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	48	97¢	$47	0x2c51b9…
10-02 20:28:12	Will Faroe Islands vs. Slovakia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x6c6de2…
10-02 16:45:20	Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0xe571b3…
10-02 16:43:51	Will Türkiye win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	595	84¢	$500	0x72317c…
10-02 16:16:53	Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0xa9b071…
10-01 10:09:21	atp alcaraz michels 2026 09 29	Carlos Alcaraz	SELL	131	99¢	$129	0xe66bfd…
10-01 09:42:26	Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex Michelsen	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x1af11b…
10-01 09:42:00	Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex Michelsen	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0xe101dd…
10-01 09:38:41	Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex Michelsen	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x75d49f…
10-01 09:37:54	Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex Michelsen	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x35bd8c…
10-01 09:37:20	Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex Michelsen	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x25a367…
10-01 09:26:51	Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex Michelsen	Carlos Alcaraz	SELL	125	96¢	$121	0x5938c3…
10-01 09:08:05	atp zverev norrie 2026 09 29	Alexander Zverev	SELL	80	94¢	$75	0xe106cc…
09-30 23:36:21	Will Serbia win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x525b69…
09-30 23:31:38	Will Argentina win on 2026-09-30?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x600b62…
09-30 23:31:24	mlb cws hou 2026 09 30	Chicago White Sox	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xf3cfea…
09-30 23:28:33	atp zverev norrie 2026 09 29	Alexander Zverev	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0xacc944…
09-30 23:28:24	atp alcaraz michels 2026 09 29	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xf37277…
09-30 23:19:50	atp zverev norrie 2026 09 29	Alexander Zverev	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xc27fb1…
09-30 23:19:35	atp lehecka bergs 2026 09 29	Jiri Lehecka	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xe6e0d1…
09-30 23:18:56	atp biryuko sweeny 2026 09 30	Dane Sweeny	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x50245a…
09-30 23:18:41	atp harri pavlovi 2026 09 30	Lloyd Harris	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x330864…
09-30 23:18:05	atp nishiko tiafoe 2026 09 29	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x8b22c4…
09-30 23:17:02	atp fritz munar 2026 09 30	Taylor Fritz	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xf2faca…
09-30 23:01:57	atp alcaraz michels 2026 09 29	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	65	83¢	$54	0x48b05e…
09-30 12:44:56	atp gueymar onclin 2026 10 01	Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x6bb95c…
09-30 12:44:39	atp borges djokovi 2026 09 29	Novak Djokovic	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x44340e…
09-30 12:37:47	Will Paris FC win on 2026-09-30?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x2c5593…
09-28 22:08:06	atp tabur martin 2026 09 28	Clement Tabur	SELL	30	44¢	$13	0x8be762…
09-28 21:36:02	Will Belgium vs. France end in a draw?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x74976f…
09-28 21:35:47	Will France win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0xcf8e9a…
09-28 21:35:35	Belgium vs. France: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0xb0763f…
09-28 21:29:35	Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28?	No	SELL	370	100¢	$370	0xe36967…
09-28 20:49:26	atp tabur martin 2026 09 28	Clement Tabur	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x7968d6…
09-28 20:41:15	Will France win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x215e2d…
09-28 20:38:42	Belgium vs. France: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xabb38a…
09-28 20:36:51	Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x8f5048…
09-28 20:20:33	Will Belgium vs. France end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x7059cf…
09-28 20:20:18	Belgium vs. France: Neither team to score first?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x8c2bc4…
09-28 20:16:17	Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28?	No	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0x6b06bb…
09-28 20:13:09	Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28?	No	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0xe89a5e…
09-28 20:12:29	Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28?	No	BUY	43	82¢	$35	0xaa863c…
09-28 20:10:44	Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28?	No	BUY	52	84¢	$44	0x7d50d9…
09-28 20:09:38	Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28?	No	BUY	80	83¢	$67	0xb99f26…
09-26 21:41:53	Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	46	70¢	$32	0xf6f8d3…
09-25 22:44:26	atp medvede royer 2026 09 25	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x604e79…
09-25 22:35:44	atp medvede royer 2026 09 25	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x67116a…
09-25 22:32:12	atp medvede royer 2026 09 25	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0xb837e0…
09-23 23:58:16	mlb mil phi 2026 09 23	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0x478b98…
09-23 23:56:14	mlb mil phi 2026 09 23	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	25	87¢	$22	0xa32b8b…
09-23 23:53:53	mlb mil phi 2026 09 23	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	165	85¢	$140	0x28a156…
09-21 22:47:10	Giants vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	26	73¢	$19	0x70c2ba…
09-21 22:46:43	Giants vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	26	73¢	$19	0x276b44…
09-19 22:58:46	wta stearns jovic 2026 09 19	Iva Jovic	BUY	31	77¢	$24	0x6cdb66…
09-19 22:58:34	wta stearns jovic 2026 09 19	Iva Jovic	BUY	31	77¢	$24	0xec450b…
09-19 22:57:31	wta stearns jovic 2026 09 19	Iva Jovic	BUY	31	77¢	$24	0x632609…
09-19 22:57:21	wta stearns jovic 2026 09 19	Iva Jovic	BUY	31	77¢	$24	0xb18582…
09-19 22:55:55	wta stearns jovic 2026 09 19	Iva Jovic	BUY	31	77¢	$24	0x972cec…
09-19 22:55:31	wta stearns jovic 2026 09 19	Iva Jovic	BUY	31	77¢	$24	0x1c81e7…
09-18 21:36:33	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	460	92¢	$424	0xff0581…
09-18 21:26:51	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x2e2c33…
09-18 21:26:40	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x1155ab…
09-18 21:26:31	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xe2d88e…
09-18 21:26:21	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	117	86¢	$100	0x5eb2d4…
09-18 21:24:25	Guadalajara Open Akron: Cristina Bucsa vs Iva Jovic	Iva Jovic	BUY	33	78¢	$26	0xe167c2…
09-17 21:47:19	wta kostyuk samsono 2026 09 17	Marta Kostyuk	BUY	33	78¢	$26	0x7cc992…
09-17 21:46:12	wta kostyuk samsono 2026 09 17	Marta Kostyuk	BUY	33	78¢	$26	0x2da9e4…
09-17 21:45:31	wta kostyuk samsono 2026 09 17	Marta Kostyuk	BUY	33	78¢	$26	0xedddd3…
09-16 16:05:21	Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Gabriela Ce	Eva Lys	BUY	28	75¢	$21	0xacd014…
09-14 22:10:46	Guadalajara Open Akron: Elsa Jacquemot vs Liudmila Samsonova	Liudmila Samsonova	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x92eb40…
09-14 22:08:28	Guadalajara Open Akron: Elsa Jacquemot vs Liudmila Samsonova	Liudmila Samsonova	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x544a24…
09-14 22:05:12	Guadalajara Open Akron: Elsa Jacquemot vs Liudmila Samsonova	Liudmila Samsonova	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0xd7f12f…
09-12 22:57:51	Noche UFC: Jean Silva vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Main Card)	Jean Silva	BUY	94	79¢	$74	0x266129…
09-12 22:53:58	Noche UFC: Jean Silva vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Main Card)	Jean Silva	BUY	52	79¢	$41	0xade6f1…
09-12 22:44:34	Noche UFC: Jean Silva vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Main Card)	Jean Silva	BUY	113	78¢	$88	0x156475…
09-11 08:33:24	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	72	18¢	$13	0xe96a39…
09-09 23:07:00	LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	372	94¢	$350	0xc40aa4…
09-08 16:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x17bf21…