Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

92.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$168

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

7 positions

First seen

2026-09-22

last 11-07 21:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 96% +$0

Politics

37% 67% -$6

Other

9% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+6	$6	100¢	$6	$0	10-27 07:29
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	+6	$3	76¢	$5	+$1	11-02 09:07
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+4	$2	39¢	$2	$0	10-09 11:42
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	Yes	+15	$2	10¢	$1	-$1	10-04 07:31
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	+5	$1	16¢	$1	-$1	11-02 09:07
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	+4	$1	14¢	$1	$0	11-02 09:07
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+7	$2	2¢	$0	-$2	10-09 11:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 21:15:31	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 November 2-8?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xeea38d…
11-07 21:11:03	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x8df8ba…
11-07 21:10:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x1e0693…
11-05 12:19:04	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3a0598…
11-05 08:15:42	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x7e897a…
11-05 08:15:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x73e7fc…
11-03 10:23:01	Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xcee8fc…
11-03 10:22:58	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Maine, Ohio, and Texas?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xaa8fab…
11-03 10:22:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x445344…
11-02 11:12:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8e471e…
11-02 09:07:22	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x714ba1…
11-02 09:07:21	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x1f73f0…
11-02 09:07:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xb56f3d…
10-30 06:32:18	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe07e96…
10-30 06:32:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6c22f1…
10-30 06:32:13	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe4ba08…
10-30 06:32:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x638917…
10-27 07:47:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xcd523d…
10-27 07:29:05	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xda94ed…
10-27 07:29:05	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xce20fb…
10-27 07:29:03	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2b3dd0…
10-26 11:10:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x37551e…
10-25 09:37:05	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x962ea6…
10-25 09:37:05	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 19-25?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2dd37f…
10-24 08:48:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x358f9c…
10-24 08:48:30	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xcf62a6…
10-24 08:48:30	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x36df8e…
10-24 08:47:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8d151b…
10-09 11:45:25	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x9ccd69…
10-09 11:45:04	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0xdb41b4…
10-09 11:43:16	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xf41319…
10-09 11:42:40	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x47c19b…
10-08 10:15:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0b8ea6…
10-08 10:14:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x71295e…
10-07 09:48:00	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xdab176…
10-05 06:43:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xd14678…
10-04 07:31:22	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x76d3f8…
10-04 07:31:20	Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x47bbd7…
10-03 06:57:56	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xdfb46c…
10-02 10:57:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x8e0904…
10-02 10:57:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 2?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xb96f25…
10-01 08:26:02	ethereum above 2600 on october 3 2026	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x0e4456…
10-01 08:25:33	ethereum above 2500 on october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x2649cc…
10-01 08:25:30	bitcoin above 80k on october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x15c14f…
10-01 08:25:00	solana above 110 on october 2 2026	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0xffbb41…
10-01 08:24:56	bitcoin above 82k on october 1 2026	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x0e96c7…
10-01 08:24:54	solana above 115 on october 1 2026	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x0cbe01…
09-22 13:54:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$3	0x809a2a…
09-22 13:54:19	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x71f5e0…
09-22 13:53:33	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x289802…
09-22 12:42:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 22?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc27d0e…
09-22 11:02:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5914b7…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	1	$22	22	0	+22	Yes	+$0	10-26 11:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 2?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	11-02 11:12
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	11-07 21:11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	11-07 21:10
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	10-27 07:29
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 19-25?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	10-24 08:48
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	10-24 08:48
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 19-25?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	10-24 08:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 19-25?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	10-24 08:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	-$4	11-05 08:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 3?	1	$4	4	0	+4	Yes	+$0	11-03 10:22
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Maine, Ohio, and Texas?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	11-03 10:22
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	10-27 07:29
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	10-27 07:47
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	10-27 07:29
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	2	$4	9	9	+0	open	—	10-09 11:45
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	09-22 13:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$0	09-22 13:54
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	11-02 09:07
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 November 2-8?	1	$3	5	0	+5	Yes	+$2	11-07 21:15
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	09-22 13:53
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	11-03 10:23
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	-$2	10-03 06:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 8?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	10-08 10:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 2?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	10-02 10:57
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	1	$2	15	0	+15	open	—	10-04 07:31
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	1	$2	7	0	+7	open	—	10-09 11:45
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	1	$2	10	0	+10	No	-$2	10-07 09:48
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	10-09 11:42
ethereum above 2600 on october 3 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	10-01 08:26